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Vol 5 – Special CREDO Episode with Macke Raymond
Episode 514th June 2023 • WonkyFolk • CharterFolk
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This week, Andy and I are talking with Macke Raymond, the director of the Center for Research on Education Outcomes (CREDO) regarding CREDO’s As a Matter of Fact: National Charter School Study III, which is the third installment of a multi-decade study examining the academic progress of students enrolled in charter schools compared with those enrolled in traditional public schools.

Here is a link to our conversation where you can listen to the podcast. And for those of you who would prefer a video recording, we provide a link to YouTube as well.

This week some of the topics we discuss include the following:

  • The heart of the matter, the meta message, the most important takeaway from the study: How are charters excelling? (00:02:13)
  • The study methodology: How you can actually compare students’ performance in different schools? (00:05:13)
  • Maintaining balance: Macke’s thoughts about how to frame the progress charter schools have made while also acknowledging areas needing improvement. (00:11:16)
  • Macke’s thoughts regarding performance expectations, student learning, society in general, and CREDO’s future. (00:16:25)
  • Focusing on other themes in the study: The performance of Native American students and students in the suburbs, as well as how virtual charter schools are performing. (00:18:51)
  • Interest levels in the three studies from the media and policy makers and what this may portend for future policy making. (00:26:31)
  • Macke’s “aha” and the people who get credit. (00:35:00)

Notes:

Transcripts

Jed:

Hey, Andy.

Andy:

Hey, Jed.

Andy:

How are you?

Jed:

I am doing well.

Jed:

Excited that we're going to have our first guest here at Wonky Folk.

Andy:

I know, and this is like a poor man's version of Smartless.

Andy:

We have a mystery guest.

Andy:

We'll get to that in a second.

Andy:

So for folks who, this is your first time or you've never watched this podcast, or

Andy:

you've been in the Taylor Swift concert and lost your memory, and so you need

Andy:

to be refreshed, this is Wonky Folk.

Andy:

And with Jed Wallace of Charter Folk and a leading charter consultant.

Andy:

And I'm Andy Rotherham of Bellwether.

Andy:

And today though, this will be a Wonky Folk that's going to go deep on charters.

Andy:

And the reason is because there was a big study that just recently came

Andy:

out, about charter schools, the third in a series and it's by CREDO

Andy:

at Stanford and it's important.

Andy:

And so Jed and I tried to figure out like who would be a really good person

Andy:

to have on, who incidentally will also be our first guest ever on Wonky Folk.

Andy:

And we were trying to figure out, who would be a great person to have on to

Andy:

discuss this study and its implications.

Jed:

And so we chose no another, and we were delighted to have an

Jed:

accepted invitation from Macke Raymond, who is the leader.

Andy:

We figured go straight to the go, straight to the source.

Andy:

So who better than the lead investigator and the leader of CREDO who's been

Andy:

on this issue in doing these studies for well more than a decade now.

Andy:

So, Macke, thank you.

Jed:

Welcome Macke.

Macke:

With that kind of buildup, it's have to be downhill from here.

Andy:

Now we're excited.

Andy:

I wore my, I don't know if you can see on the screen, I wore my charter shirt that

Andy:

I only wear for like, really important discussions of things like charter

Andy:

schools that are generally really tortured conversations and that's why we're excited

Andy:

that you're here, because you really do a nice job of sort of cutting through

Andy:

the rhetoric on all sides and getting to the facts of what's actually going on.

Macke:

Well, I'm delighted to be here.

Jed:

So I'm playing straight man to Andy Rotherham.

Jed:

That's a good one.

Jed:

But Macke, delighted to have you here for sure.

Jed:

I'm going to take the first question because I do think we're going to focus on

Jed:

a lot on charter school issues, but what's great also are the implications for your

Jed:

study as it relates to public education more broadly, all sorts of decision

Jed:

points, about what society is doing in terms of our commitment and our policy

Jed:

making as it relates to public education.

Jed:

So we'll go in a lot of different directions, but I want to start with

Jed:

kind of the heart of the matter and what are the takeaways from your

Jed:

standpoint, the most important ones that we should be looking at, as it

Jed:

relates to the performance of charter schools over a multi-decade timeframe?

Jed:

There are very few studies that have such a longstanding look at things.

Jed:

And also you've been through ups and downs.

Jed:

You've been at your moment when the charter school world

Jed:

was so frustrated with you.

Jed:

And there have been also this moment of like, "Hey, can you please do more?"

Jed:

And it's always a struggle to get the quality data and now

Jed:

you've been able to do it.

Jed:

So just very intrigued to hear what your thoughts are about the

Jed:

most important thing we should be thinking about given that multi-decade

Jed:

frame that you bring to the work.

Macke:

Sure.

Macke:

So great way to start.

Macke:

Thank you.

Macke:

So as I look across all of the data from all three of the studies, the

Macke:

thing that really stands out for me is the fact that there are so many, many

Macke:

schools in our sample that demonstrate improvement over time in a timeframe

Macke:

where that wasn't the case for the nation.

Macke:

And so when I think about what the charter proposition does for schools,

Macke:

I think it creates the right kind of incentives for the adults in schools

Macke:

to do the right thing by kids.

Macke:

And that is, for me, the largest takeaway.

Andy:

So, go ahead, Jed, please.

Jed:

Well, I wonder there are so many different findings that

Jed:

you have within your story.

Jed:

This idea of a sector that's grown to serve millions of kids, to be

Jed:

able to improve at that scope, it just seems pretty un unprecedented.

Jed:

But there are all sorts of sub stories, there are concerns.

Jed:

"Hey, we are doing as well with white kids.

Jed:

Hey, we've got our challenges as it relates to special education."

Jed:

What's the right way to present the study in its totality?

Jed:

What's the right metaframe while also maintaining, or encouraging the

Jed:

movement to keep enough integrity to keep focused on the things

Jed:

that still aren't good enough yet.

Andy:

And Macke, when you answer that's a really important question, particularly

Andy:

that last part, like for charter proponents, but also just for folks.

Andy:

I feel like some folks may be feeling like they're joining

Andy:

a play in the third act here.

Andy:

Just talk a little bit about the study, the method, how you do it with the virtual

Andy:

twins, and talk about this study, what's the timeline we're looking at, thing

Andy:

like help readers also understand what specifically we're talking about here.

Macke:

Okay, I'll start by answering Andy's first and then Jed, I

Macke:

may have to circle back to you and get the question refreshed.

Macke:

So, I also have to say, as a scholar of education policy in the United States,

Macke:

I want to put on the table that our team doesn't pick, as an advocate, any

Macke:

particular policy or program to endorse.

Macke:

We let the data tell us what the answers are.

Macke:

And so when we set out to examine the performance of charter schools, we

Macke:

wanted to know really what was the impact they had on student academic

Macke:

learning and progress over time.

Macke:

And so our entire method is focused on what do kids learn.

Macke:

And in order to do that study there's a lot of concern that you don't get

Macke:

to compare charter schools to district schools head to head like that because

Macke:

they might not have the same kids.

Macke:

So we developed a methodology where we created a very complicated matching

Macke:

methodology, I'll spare you all the details, but what we end up with is

Macke:

we end up with essentially twins, the only difference between the twins

Macke:

is that one student is enrolled in a charter school and the other is the

Macke:

other example is students who enroll in district schools that the charter school

Macke:

students otherwise would've attended if they hadn't gone to the charter school.

Macke:

So very, very tight geographic comparisons and very tight demographic comparisons.

Macke:

Based on that, we've been doing this for a really long time and we've seen the

Macke:

results go from really strong negative and statistically significant, which is

Macke:

what we came up with in 2009, the first time we did the study, to now in the 2023

Macke:

study, in both subjects reading and math, students in charter schools are learning

Macke:

more than they are than their peers in traditional district schools are learning

Macke:

in the space of a year, and we think that trajectory over the three studies

Macke:

that we've done, is evidence of the fact that schools themselves are improving in

Macke:

little bits and little bits and little bits, and over time, they actually have

Macke:

created these greater gains for students.

Macke:

That's an incredibly important finding.

Macke:

It's not just a charter school finding, it's an education finding,

Macke:

and we're really excited that we were able to see that in the data.

Andy:

Jed's question.

Jed:

Yeah, I started at C C S A in 2009, and we already knew from a variety of

Jed:

other data sets that we had some serious quality issues in the movement and

Jed:

two mandates get better in advocacy.

Jed:

But the other one find a way for us to begin to nudge the entire

Jed:

charter school sector toward greater performance and your study really put

Jed:

in repose, just how important that was.

Jed:

So my question for you now, going back to the one I've asked before, there are,

Jed:

there's the meta story, this incredible story of a multi-million student sector

Jed:

actually being able to improve itself.

Jed:

But there are sub stories as well.

Jed:

Where maybe it's not as good or maybe there are sub stories are even better

Jed:

than the meta story, but, How do you think we both keep the focus on the, I

Jed:

think, very positive meta story that's happened while also have the integrity

Jed:

to keep pushing ourselves in those areas.

Jed:

And everything gets so politicized, it seems to me like charter detractors,

Jed:

all they want to do is focus on our problems and charter advocates

Jed:

can err in the other direction.

Jed:

What's the right way to keep the mix here?

Jed:

Macke.

Macke:

Well, I think I can give you the thumbnail answer by pointing

Macke:

to the title of this third study.

Macke:

We have named this study as a matter of fact, the National

Macke:

Charter School Study three.

Macke:

And the reason that we did that was because of all of the thousands and

Macke:

thousands of times when we have heard some small slice of opinion or position

Macke:

about schools that are in the charter sector that just don't hold up under

Macke:

scrutiny, they don't hold up to the data.

Macke:

And so what I would say is, along with Andy's t-shirt, it's not

Macke:

just a completely vanilla story.

Macke:

I mean, there's very, very strong positive news that we see in the study that we

Macke:

have brought forward, and we really want to celebrate that, particularly

Macke:

in this post covid world where the need for evidence-based strategies for

Macke:

student success has never been higher.

Macke:

This is good news for everybody, but we also want to be completely honest about

Macke:

the fact that there are still pockets within the charter school landscape

Macke:

where there are students that are not learning as much as they should.

Macke:

There are pockets where schools are not performing as well as they

Macke:

should and we need to be completely transparent about that, as researchers,

Macke:

because that's what the data say.

Andy:

Yeah, I want to talk about those pockets, I

Andy:

appreciate the t-shirt call out.

Andy:

I think something that will surprise people in our extensive market

Andy:

research, people think people are coming to this podcast for

Andy:

the education policy discussion.

Andy:

It's actually our fashion choice, as it turns out, is what's

Andy:

actually driving listenership.

Andy:

Yeah.

Andy:

Which was a surprise to us as well.

Andy:

So you talk about those pockets, like dig in both in terms of like

Andy:

types of schools, types of kids.

Andy:

What are some things we should be attentive to?

Andy:

Because I do think one of the things I've respected about these studies

Andy:

since the stars, as you said, they don't flinch on the bad news, these aren't

Andy:

exercises in messaging and so forth.

Andy:

And so I think that's what makes them valuable and credible over time.

Andy:

But talk about what we did see some places here where there's obviously

Andy:

a lot of room for improvement.

Macke:

Sure.

Macke:

So let me just say, across the entire student population that we studied,

Macke:

we saw that there were particular student groups that did not learn

Macke:

as much as they would have had they gone to traditional public schools.

Macke:

I would call out here Native American students, even though they constitute

Macke:

a small percentage, the learning gains that they post are just not anywhere

Macke:

near what they need to be in order to prepare those students for the life

Macke:

that they will eventually inherit.

Macke:

The same is true for students who have special education needs.

Macke:

They are just not getting the kind of education in charter schools.

Macke:

And this has been a persistent finding across the studies that

Macke:

we've done, not just these national studies, but when we drill down

Macke:

into particular areas, particular geographies, we see this as well.

Macke:

So this is sort of a collective finding for the entire movement.

Macke:

And then finally, the one that just continues to distress

Macke:

are the student results.

Macke:

For students that are enrolled in virtual charters, the learning that they get

Macke:

there is so far dramatically under their peers in traditional district schools,

Macke:

that we just have to call it out.

Macke:

There's just no way around it.

Andy:

Yeah, that's been an ongoing issue.

Andy:

Talk about that, if a virtual school proponent were here to try to give

Andy:

them their due and steelman their argument, they would say: "Well, like

Andy:

there's a lot of variants and kids don't go to virtual schools because

Andy:

they were doing well previously.

Andy:

They go because they're struggling and they're looking for a fit.

Andy:

And so they're trying this thing."

Andy:

Talk about, why do you think that is?

Andy:

And to the extent you agree with this, why do even the strongest arguments

Andy:

from virtual supporters fall short?

Macke:

Well, I want to say, I'm gonna be drawing on not just this study, but our

Macke:

earlier study of virtual charter schools.

Macke:

And there we partnered with Mathematica, and also with the Center

Macke:

for Reinventing Public Education.

Macke:

So we brought a larger body of knowledge to that study than we

Macke:

were able to do in this study.

Macke:

The results continue to be concerning because a lot of the

Macke:

claims, just are not substantiated.

Macke:

The claim that the students all come to virtual schools because

Macke:

they have had X in the past and that X has actually changed over time.

Macke:

When we first started talking about this, it was that they were bullied.

Macke:

Then it was because they had some particular categorical learning

Macke:

challenge, then it's now because they're in post-traumatic stress.

Macke:

The argument continues to be it's a student-based problem and

Macke:

therefore we should be off the hook.

Macke:

And I just want to say, If you're a charter school, your job is to figure

Macke:

out how to meet kids where they are and bring their learning forward, and

Macke:

I don't care whether you're talking about a Native American population,

Macke:

whether you're talking about Hispanics or E L L or Special Ed or white

Macke:

kids in suburbia, I don't care.

Macke:

Your job, as a charter school, the reason that you've been given a charter is to do

Macke:

exactly what I just said, take kids from where they are and move them forward.

Macke:

And so after all of the time that we've put into virtual education, the fact

Macke:

that we have gotten results this time that are even worse than last time,

Macke:

and this is before the pandemic hit.

Macke:

I'm just boggled.

Macke:

I'm boggled why this is a conversation we continue to have.

Jed:

I think that my experience in this is that, if you can come up

Jed:

with minimum performance expectations that apply to charter schools.

Jed:

The vast majority, there are some that are in prisons and there are some that

Jed:

are working with certain populations of alternative students where maybe that

Jed:

we need to have something very specific and different, but across the vast swath

Jed:

of schools, it is possible to identify minimum performance expectations that

Jed:

would apply to absolutely all schools.

Jed:

And if the, if the movement and, and, and policymakers have the fortitude to

Jed:

simply enforce those, we will address, if we have disproportionate problem in

Jed:

virtual schools, you will see that those schools will face a reckoning or improve.

Jed:

And it's important for us to do that.

Jed:

I guess my question for you, Macke, is where do you think societal opinion is on

Jed:

the use of standardized tests, generally, are we wavering in our commitment?

Jed:

Is it harder for you to get the data that you need to do these kinds of tests?

Jed:

What's the future here?

Jed:

Are we going to be able to sustain enough focus on student learning such

Jed:

that your kind of studies can continue?

Jed:

And what does that mean for society more broadly if the answer is no?

Macke:

Society more broadly.

Macke:

Let's talk about the future of CREDO.

Macke:

Both of these things align in this question because the work that we've

Macke:

done for the last 20 years, requires that we be able to access student level

Macke:

data of a preponderant number of students in each of the places that we study.

Macke:

So states necessarily need to be educating the majority of students.

Macke:

In public schools, in environments that are tested on a regular basis.

Macke:

A number of those assumptions are starting to not necessarily hold true.

Macke:

So we see in the most recent enrollment data that there are a lot of students

Macke:

who are electing not to be involved in the public sector for education.

Macke:

We see a lot of legislative activity that suggests that we're going to

Macke:

see more and more students taking advantage of alternative pathways to

Macke:

education, whether it's homeschooling or micro schools or private schools

Macke:

or whatever, through the ESA programs.

Macke:

So that in addition to a sort of a, shall I say a softening of the commitment

Macke:

to testing students on a regular basis that we see in a number of states.

Macke:

We're not convinced that the record about what kids know is

Macke:

going to continue into the future.

Macke:

And I think that's a real threat to the kinds of performance expectations that

Macke:

we need to be able to place on schools, especially now, and so I have the concern,

Macke:

not just for my team, but for the nation as a whole that, while we have a active

Macke:

conversation about whether testing is good or how to make testing better, I would

Macke:

like to make sure that we don't lose the signal that we do get from testing until

Macke:

we have something better to replace it.

Andy:

So, yeah, I agree, and on the virtual school question, it seems

Andy:

like this is the kind of schooling that works well for a real subset

Andy:

of kids, but has been scaled quite a bit and is serving more kids than it

Andy:

probably is going to serve optimally, and that may be one of the reasons

Andy:

that we're seeing these results.

Andy:

Because you do see virtual school can work for some kids, but the scale it's

Andy:

at and then the bellwether charter deck a few years ago, this was a very clear

Andy:

finding, both on virtual schools and also states that had a lot of virtual

Andy:

schools, their achievement was getting depressed overall as a result of it.

Andy:

So you do see this.

Andy:

I want to go back though to this question on Native Americans,

Andy:

because I think it's fascinating.

Andy:

You have the tribes are actually starting their own charter schools

Andy:

and a real area of concern has been native kids in district schools we're

Andy:

more than 90% of them go to school.

Andy:

Like I think people can think that the BIE schools and so

Andy:

forth are a larger section there.

Andy:

Most of these kids are in district schools and there's been a move that

Andy:

they're not being well served there.

Andy:

So how do you address that and put them in schools that are going to be

Andy:

more culturally affirming, be better and yet we're seeing these results.

Andy:

So talk a little bit more about that Mackey, like what are your

Andy:

hypotheses for why we're seeing that?

Andy:

How should advocates be thinking about that?

Macke:

So I think it's a really important sector of concern for

Macke:

the charter school community.

Macke:

My sense is that the models that have been introduced in the Native

Macke:

American serving schools that we see, are not culturally affirming.

Macke:

I would also say they're not necessarily sustainable in the

Macke:

environments in which they're placed.

Macke:

And so I think that there's a fundamental mismatch between the schools that enroll

Macke:

Native Americans in charter schools.

Macke:

I should note that the schools that have Native American students, there are

Macke:

very few where the Native Americans are themselves the majority of the students.

Macke:

So we're still seeing the same problem that you just mentioned for the district

Macke:

schools, where we're seeing small slices of the student population be

Macke:

Native American and slotting into other charter schools, across the country.

Macke:

And I think there it's very easy for students to get missed and to

Macke:

not be the center of attention.

Macke:

So the reservation and tribe based charter schools are trying

Macke:

to do a different thing, which I applaud and I'm looking forward to

Macke:

learning more about as time goes on.

Andy:

That's great.

Andy:

That's really interesting.

Andy:

Talk about one other subset of kids, you know, a big push you hear in the charter

Andy:

world politically, and something Jed and I have actually talked about on this podcast

Andy:

is, how do you build a suburban political strategy and how do we keep charters right

Andy:

now are still disproportionately sort of a function of urban politics and haven't

Andy:

really penetrated the suburbs, as much as how do you build a broad based movement,

Andy:

yet some of the results that you find seem to raise questions about that as a sort

Andy:

of efficacy strategy in terms of actual, as you said earlier, actual teaching and

Andy:

learning, leaving aside the politics.

Andy:

So how should we think about those results?

Macke:

So the suburban results that we see are literally in

Macke:

comparison to suburban schools.

Macke:

And so when we don't see a necessary advantage to going to a charter

Macke:

school in that specific achievement context, that might not be a bad thing.

Macke:

Let me just say, we would always want to see charter schools doing

Macke:

strong academic progress for kids and when you look at most of the

Macke:

suburban schools, you will see that.

Macke:

What you'll see though is that they're not quite as strong as the schools that

Macke:

they otherwise would've attended, and that's why we get the result that we do.

Macke:

Having said that, there are a large number of cases that suit a charter school

Macke:

presence in suburbia where you have huge schools, at the high school level, where

Macke:

you have a particular run of schools from elementary to middle to high school

Macke:

that may not actually provide a kind of flexibility that families are looking for.

Macke:

Those are contexts in which charter schools can actually enter and be very

Macke:

successful because they're offering choice, they're offering flexibility,

Macke:

they're offering the opportunity for a different education environment,

Macke:

and what we see, in places where the suburban education has been really

Macke:

high flying, but really high stress, that's the place where the charter

Macke:

conversation has become very vibrant.

Andy:

That's interesting and I've always thought the customization and

Andy:

sort of choice and options part is a key thing in the suburbs, it's almost

Andy:

like a Maslow's hierarchy of schooling, and so if like your basic schooling

Andy:

needs are being taken care of, then you start thinking about, "I might want

Andy:

core knowledge, I might want arts."

Andy:

And that sort of customization is a key selling.

Andy:

And actually, I think over time makes public education more resilient because

Andy:

instead of trying to keep people in who want something else, you're giving them

Andy:

lots of choices and people feel more bounded invested in the entire project.

Macke:

I think that's a great point.

Jed:

Macke, can you talk about the composition of students

Jed:

who are in virtual settings?

Jed:

My intuition is that we would have a larger percentage of those

Jed:

students be Caucasian than in other classroom based settings.

Jed:

And that could be skewing the results as it relates to white kids.

Jed:

But is my intuition wrong here or not?

Macke:

No, you're right.

Macke:

And for those of you who would like to really like totally geek out, we

Macke:

have a website of all of the results of our study that are available

Macke:

for you to go and poke around with.

Macke:

And if you look at the demography of the charter school landscape, the

Macke:

demography of virtual charter enrollees is substantially more White than

Macke:

charters or their district schools.

Macke:

Lower proportions of Black students by a great deal.

Macke:

And lower proportions of students in poverty.

Macke:

And so there is a sort of an evolving archetype of what a typical virtual

Macke:

charter school student looks like.

Macke:

I will warn that there are contexts across the country where that is not the case.

Jed:

Yeah.

Jed:

It's my sense that this is one of the responsibilities that is going to fall

Jed:

on charter school advocates, which is to continue to advocate for this

Jed:

kind of data being available and for schools to be held accountable to it.

Jed:

I think we find ourselves in a challenge because I think there have been all

Jed:

sorts of instances where data has not been used wisely and not used fairly.

Jed:

And so anytime you end up defending something like that, you run the risk

Jed:

of undercutting your own credibility.

Jed:

But more for the long term, for the long term.

Jed:

There's have to be some voice and Andy maybe you've got other ideas

Jed:

about where else, we can get some spine to keep this kind of testing

Jed:

data available in the landscape.

Andy:

Jed, that's a great question and you would think like in general

Andy:

people would want as much information and as much transparency, but

Andy:

as we know, that's not the case.

Andy:

Um, and so I do think we're under a lot of pressure here.

Andy:

We're seeing even like post pandemic, it's been a struggle to get test score

Andy:

data released in a lot of places.

Andy:

And I think in some of those places, and we talked about a few weeks

Andy:

ago, New Jersey, I think one of the reasons maybe that it told a pretty

Andy:

good story about charter schools and a less good story about traditional

Andy:

public schools and there's obviously politics around all of that.

Andy:

So I think this is a big problem and it's something that everybody

Andy:

needs to pay attention to because without good data, this just becomes

Andy:

brute force sort of politics.

Andy:

So Macke, I kinda want to ask you related to that though.

Andy:

Like I follow these since the beginning.

Andy:

I remember the 2009 study and you got a lot of grief because there's

Andy:

certainly in the charter world, there was a sort of hear no evil

Andy:

speak, no evil, see no evil faction.

Andy:

That was like, what, you know, essentially kind of argued you were like turning your

Andy:

guns on the wrong lines or something.

Andy:

And I think what gives these study credibility again, as we said

Andy:

earlier is how it arcs over time and the results have changed.

Andy:

But how like it seems like we're still heavily anchored on, I still hear a

Andy:

lot about the 2009 results when you listen to advocates, it's like they're

Andy:

like frozen amber or something, and like this one and the last one for

Andy:

that matter didn't seem to get quite as much attention, which is striking if

Andy:

you just step back and are like, we've created this enormous cohort of schools.

Andy:

If you think about sort of the history of public education, this is one

Andy:

of the more ambitious experiments and innovations historically that

Andy:

we have seen in this country.

Andy:

And these results keep coming in and they're changing.

Andy:

It's an evolving story.

Andy:

You would think they'd be more interest and curiosity, and yet I just didn't

Andy:

see a lot of attention, maybe it's the old adage, if it bleeds, it leads.

Andy:

And so good news, or somewhat good news.

Andy:

Didn't get the attention, but I'm just one observer and you

Andy:

were at the epicenter of it.

Andy:

How did you experience, like, is there a changing appetite around like, you

Andy:

know, what kind of news, the level of information, like what's, what's going on?

Macke:

So I want to make a distinction between folks who are

Macke:

actually engaged in the crafting of policy and the public media.

Macke:

And I think the statement that you just made applies pretty

Macke:

broadly to the public media.

Macke:

We have learned from our past studies that a lot of this is a slow burn that

Macke:

particularly as we continue to talk about or place op-eds in particular places other

Macke:

news vehicles start to pick up on it.

Macke:

So I'm a little bit surprised at the media reaction this past week, but

Macke:

I'm not ready to pack the tent yet.

Macke:

On the policy leadership side though, I have to say, t's been a

Macke:

very different reaction this time.

Macke:

Most of our state partners require us to do briefings with them before

Macke:

the report is released, and of course we would want to do that anyway.

Macke:

And the conversations that we've had in those settings have been

Macke:

much more constructive, I would say, than we've seen in the past.

Macke:

We've been asked to be much more available to share the results

Macke:

and to discuss without making any policy recommendations, discuss the

Macke:

implications of what we've learned.

Macke:

And so lots of folks in the policy arena are handing us off so that

Macke:

they can create a community of folks who know the findings.

Macke:

And I, I look at that as a very positive development.

Andy:

Yeah, that's actually, there's like a robust set of folks doing that,

Andy:

that's extremely encouraging just in terms of how issues evolve that and

Andy:

is that bipartisan and is that, are you seeing like, say a little bit

Andy:

more about that because like, that's probably the most encouraging thing we've

Andy:

talked about in this whole discussion.

Andy:

If that's happening in a number of places.

Macke:

So, one of the things that's happened over the long term that we've

Macke:

been doing this research and as you spoke about keeping these data relationships

Macke:

going, is that I think we've actually worked ourselves into, I wouldn't call

Macke:

it allies necessarily, but at least respected colleagues in a number of

Macke:

places that you would not normally think we would have any kind of traction.

Macke:

And so there are quiet conversations that are going on in places that you

Macke:

wouldn't expect, and surprising to me, lack of conversations in some of

Macke:

the places where you would expect it.

Macke:

So we're tracking this sort of one day at a time as it comes and really

Macke:

trying to make sure that the focus is on looking at what the evidence says

Macke:

and what it portends for future decision making for K12 in the public space.

Jed:

I like that.

Jed:

Focus on what this portends.

Jed:

Because I've had conversations with several advocates whose

Jed:

state sectors are just nailing it.

Jed:

And it could very well be that you can make a big deal about

Jed:

the results that are here.

Jed:

But they also know they are sobered by their own data about what's happened

Jed:

to charter schools during Covid.

Jed:

And a lot of those supports that charter schools were using to generate these

Jed:

kinds of results were the exact supports that were most affected by the pandemic.

Jed:

And so our folks are saying, don't make too much hay about

Jed:

it right now, cuz our data might not look as good a year from now.

Jed:

Do you have anything that you've seen as it relates to this data and heading into

Jed:

Covid that would help us understand what might be a coming, because everybody's

Jed:

got their guess on what's gonna happen with charter schools through the pandemic,

Jed:

but do you have any inclinations there?

Macke:

So we don't have the kind of longitudinal student level data that

Macke:

we have used in these studies, but during the pandemic we actually did

Macke:

do a fair amount of research about what was going on in charter schools.

Macke:

And we zeroed in on three states, three very different states, I should say.

Macke:

And what we found was that, many of the things that we had believed

Macke:

before about what made charter schools different were evident in spades.

Macke:

And what I really mean here is, what we saw was a much faster responsiveness of

Macke:

school teams to the changing conditions of the schooling that they faced, that they

Macke:

literally turned within a few days to an alternative learning model and insisted

Macke:

on learning as they went along and continuous improvement as they went along.

Macke:

That was something that we didn't see in any of the comparative

Macke:

examples that we delved into.

Macke:

I also think that there was a real commitment that they identified themselves

Macke:

without being prompted to being first responders and took on that mindset, and

Macke:

so when we talked to school leaders and when we talked to educators and we talked

Macke:

to parents, we got this consistent message of these guys are frontline fighters.

Macke:

And I would say that throughout the pandemic, I think universally

Macke:

we're gonna see learning loss when we get those data and actually can

Macke:

nail down what that looks like.

Macke:

I think we're going to see learning loss no matter where we look.

Macke:

But what I would say is I think both, the magnitude of that I

Macke:

anticipate would be smaller.

Macke:

And I think the resiliency of those teams to get back on track is probably higher.

Macke:

Those are my predictions.

Andy:

Interesting.

Andy:

And you square out that we've got some very preliminary

Andy:

data in the their findings.

Andy:

And so that's what you're sort of grounding that, as

Andy:

well as what you're saying.

Macke:

Well, and through some of the formative assessment providers that we

Macke:

partner with, we can see some of those interim results starting to come through.

Macke:

So I don't want to get too far out in front of the data, because frankly there's

Macke:

not enough of it to be able to say things with sort of with the kind of authority

Macke:

that these other studies provide.

Macke:

But the early indicators are pretty encouraging.

Andy:

So let me ask you a question about just the funding of this project and

Andy:

what of portends Macke,.You've been able to do this for a long time and it seems

Andy:

like maybe the real risk was after 2009 people just like throw in the towel and

Andy:

stuff and instead you've been able to keep these studies going, and as you

Andy:

said, and we'll put in the show notes.

Andy:

There's studies of particular states, there's studies of cities, it's a

Andy:

treasure trove of data on charters.

Andy:

And we've had over the last 20, 25 years, a problem in the sector of funders will

Andy:

quickly lose interest in something, move on often before the results are even in.

Andy:

I mean, like the Gates Small Schools Initiative is sort of Exhibit A, but

Andy:

you also saw that around some, around teacher evaluation, some other things.

Macke:

Small interval challenge.

Andy:

Yeah, exactly.

Andy:

You've been able to like, keep with this and keep it going, which is, you

Andy:

know, enormously important because the learning does happen over time,

Andy:

this is not sort of a point in time thing, it's an overtime thing.

Andy:

So talk about like, how have you been able to do that and

Andy:

what should we be doing more of?

Andy:

What are the broader implications for the field, even beyond

Andy:

charters and so forth of this kind of work you've been able to do?

Macke:

So it's a wonderful question.

Macke:

And when we put the results of the three studies together and we

Macke:

saw the upward trend across all of these three studies that emerged.

Macke:

For us, it wasn't a wow, look at that charter schools are really pushing it

Macke:

here and they're doing really well.

Macke:

Obviously we were happy to see that result and we are happy to

Macke:

bring those findings forwards.

Macke:

But for me, the real insight there was policy takes a really long time to mature.

Macke:

And it takes an endurance that I don't know is well matched to the context.

Macke:

And so you asked about the funders, I have to give credit to the legislatures that

Macke:

continue to endorse the policy over time.

Macke:

I give credit to the school teams that continue to battle on when they're faced

Macke:

with the kind of political uncertainty that they've faced over time, and I really

Macke:

appreciate the authorizers who have been diligent about applying new standards

Macke:

in increments so that, the incentives work in the directions that they do.

Macke:

So for me, what we've got here is we've got a collective mix of a lot

Macke:

of different stakeholders who are in it for the long haul and are willing

Macke:

to stand tough over the long haul.

Macke:

And that, for me is the big insight of that trend line that we see.

Andy:

It's ironic though, right?

Andy:

Because it's happening on an issue that is particularly

Andy:

contentious, has become partisan.

Andy:

I Think like a naive hypothesis would be this would be the kind of

Andy:

issue where that wouldn't happen.

Andy:

It might happen on stuff that's a little, where there's a little bit more of a

Andy:

different kind of foundation, different kind of political and policy arrangement.

Andy:

So I think it's a super encouraging story because it is a little bit of, if you can

Andy:

make it here, you can make it anywhere.

Andy:

If we can keep, if we can keep this kind of subsystem kind of working in

Andy:

terms of policy and learning on an issue like this, like that's hugely

Andy:

encouraging on other issues that we think about, like standards, accountability,

Andy:

even school finance, other, other issues where the politics are a

Andy:

little bit different to start with.

Macke:

Yeah, I think that's great.

Macke:

I also don't want to minimize how much effort it took to keep the game going.

Macke:

So, let me just say, a lot of feet on the line standing in the fire.

Macke:

So, and guys, I'm really sorry, but I have my annual meeting

Macke:

with the boss in four minutes.

Andy:

That's alright.

Andy:

It's a great note to end it on, the mixed metaphor of feet in the fire.

Andy:

But no, that note you just ended on how much hard work it was.

Andy:

I mean, just.

Andy:

I know I speak for Jed when I say this to speak for us.

Andy:

Extremely grateful to you for this work.

Andy:

This is, this, this is really substantial.

Andy:

My team knowing that the two of you are giving that kind of praise, my team's

Andy:

going to get really excited to hear this.

Andy:

Thank you.

Andy:

I'll pass that on.

Jed:

I think that multi-decade view is becoming one of the most important

Jed:

and it's the only view that helps us suss out what's really going on.

Jed:

So for everyone that's doing it, you know, we should offer special

Jed:

thanks and Macke you, no one's doing it to the level that you are.

Jed:

So thank you for that and thanks for being with us here.

Macke:

All right, Andy, it's good to see you, Jed.

Macke:

I'll see you next week, right?

Jed:

Yeah, for sure.

Jed:

For sure.

Jed:

Look forward to seeing you in Austin.

Jed:

Good luck with with your meeting here in a few minutes.

Andy:

You can tell your boss that we either loved it or hated

Andy:

it, depending on what will help you, what will help you the most.

Andy:

We found sometimes, sometimes it's our praise or our criticism

Andy:

sometimes helps people more.

Andy:

I

Macke:

I'll report back.

Jed:

See you back.

Andy:

Hey, that was great.

Andy:

What a good first guest like really substantive and important issue.

Jed:

Yeah, I've learned so much from Macke over all our decades of work together

Jed:

that to see her continuing to unearth things that no one else is finding.

Jed:

It's just really great.

Jed:

And I don't sense her own personal desire to keep going waning at all.

Jed:

It's just, can we keep the soci societal conditions together such that this really

Jed:

important work can be brought to light, or these findings can be brought to light.

Andy:

But I think it's encouraging.

Andy:

Look, she's obviously, she's someone who's disposed towards

Andy:

reform, I mean that's clear.

Andy:

But the fact they've been able to do this work, shoot it straight over the

Andy:

years, talk about the good and the bad, even in this study, it's not all good.

Andy:

It's such an encouraging thing when there's so much pressure on

Andy:

everybody to just pick a side.

Andy:

And you're seeing people on charters who are like, they're not really against

Andy:

charters, but the politics the way they are, they're definitely throwing their lot

Andy:

in with people who are against charters.

Andy:

And then likewise, you've got people in the choice community who have never

Andy:

like really stopped to question a lot, that they're just always are for choice.

Andy:

And to see someone like Macke who does bring real nuance to it, to see her be

Andy:

able to produce this work and succeed at it like she has, it's really encouraging.

Jed:

And this last report had 2 million virtual twins.

Jed:

It's 4 million data sets.

Jed:

They're students who's who are being looked at, right?

Jed:

So I think that's a part of what the credibility is for her.

Jed:

Hey, it's having done it over many, many years.

Jed:

But also to have a scope of statistical undertaking that just

Jed:

becomes very difficult to refute.

Jed:

So hopefully, those policymakers who are getting those individual briefings from

Jed:

her will take this stuff to heart and keep the resolve necessary to allow further

Jed:

studies like this to happen going forward.

Andy:

Yeah.

Andy:

Well look, just speaking as a guy who only has two twins, I can't

Andy:

even get my head around that.

Andy:

That is a lot of twins.

Andy:

Well this was great Jed.

Andy:

I look forward to seeing you in a couple of weeks.

Andy:

I hope you enjoy Austin.

Andy:

I know you're off to there.

Jed:

Yeah.

Jed:

Looking forward to conference and looking forward to talking

Jed:

on the other side of it.

Jed:

So take good care to them, Andy.

Andy:

You as well.

Andy:

See you soon.

Jed:

Okay.

Jed:

Bye-bye.

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