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We need to talk about ideas, good ones and bad ones.
Speaker:We need to learn stuff about the world.
Speaker:We need an honest, intelligent, thought provoking, and entertaining
Speaker:review of what the hell happened on this planet in the last seven days.
Speaker:We need to sit back and listen to the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove.
Speaker:Ah, welcome back to your listener.
Speaker:Yes, the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove podcast, episode 363.
Speaker:Welcome aboard.
Speaker:If you're in the chatroom, little bit of late notice about the event.
Speaker:I managed to sneak that in just after seven.
Speaker:So if you're in the chatroom, say hello.
Speaker:I'm Trevor, the Iron.
Speaker:Fist with me as always, Joe, the tech guy here going Joe Evening or.
Speaker:So, so tonight we'll be talking about a little bit about Twitter,
Speaker:robo debt industrial relations.
Speaker:So that sort of, it's the Australian type of stories.
Speaker:Then I found some interesting stuff about renewable energy storage.
Speaker:We've talked in the past about hydro storage, so found an interesting article
Speaker:about how much hydro sort of, storage we need, and different information
Speaker:about that, which I found interesting.
Speaker:Bit about USA midterm updates and just the USA generally, and can't have a podcast
Speaker:these days when we're talking about China and maybe Venezuela with a bit of luck and
Speaker:maybe CIA propaganda depending how we go.
Speaker:So just something new.
Speaker:There's this company called vii, which makes it easy to
Speaker:create podcasts, chapters.
Speaker:So I tried it out last week.
Speaker:If you downloaded the episode, the cardboard place, then Uhhuh.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Not the cardboard play.
Speaker:Different one.
Speaker:And if you in this episode, dear listener, look at your podcast app and if it's Apple
Speaker:Podcast you'll see it and various other ones do now, where there'll be chapters.
Speaker:And so for the various topics, you can see chapters.
Speaker:And if you think I've listened to Trevor bang on about China way too much, and I
Speaker:just wanna skip that section, well you can just look at the chapters and and skip it.
Speaker:We can go back and jump around.
Speaker:So I'm gonna introduce that and see how it goes.
Speaker:And you might even see images on your app as well.
Speaker:So I introduced it last week.
Speaker:If you downloaded the episode really quickly, then it didn't appear.
Speaker:It was after a couple of days.
Speaker:I played around.
Speaker:So it did appear in, in last week's episode.
Speaker:I tried chapters years ago, but the technology, there weren't that many apps
Speaker:that showed it and it was difficult to do.
Speaker:But anyway, there's this new thing that I'm gonna try.
Speaker:So looking out for chapters.
Speaker:And you can navigate what we talk about and skip bits and whatever or listen to
Speaker:stuff that you found really interesting.
Speaker:You don't wanna listen to it twice.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So in the chat room we've got Joel and James.
Speaker:Good on you.
Speaker:Say hello and we'll keep going.
Speaker:So yeah, chapters have a look at your podcast app and see
Speaker:if you can see some there.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Just gonna talk briefly about Twitter.
Speaker:And Twitter was really good in the lead up to the last federal election cuz
Speaker:people were so over Scott Morrison that it was, it was full of interesting stuff.
Speaker:It sort of died down a little bit in terms of interesting stuff.
Speaker:But most of the stuff there now is complaining about Elon Musk.
Speaker:And there was this great little exchange.
Speaker:There was a a Twitter handle called Christmas.
Speaker:And this person sort of tweeted at Elon Musk saying, I don't
Speaker:wanna be Christmas forever.
Speaker:Elon Musk, please help.
Speaker:I've made a mistake, meaning he wanted to change his name from Christmas and
Speaker:got a reply from Elon Musk saying, You should be able to change your name now.
Speaker:And the same person who was Christmas then replied as Elon Musk and said Thank you,
Speaker:which was just top marks for hilarity.
Speaker:So yeah.
Speaker:Just sort of demonstrated the silliness of this whole situation
Speaker:with Twitter and these blue ticks and gray ticks and the thoughtlessness
Speaker:that's going on with Elon Musk.
Speaker:So, well played, sir.
Speaker:The guy who was Christmas turned into Elon Musk, well played . Have you,
Speaker:have you not seen the number of people who got banned from Twitter for.
Speaker:For doing, changing their name to Elon Musk.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:After being Bick verified.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Well, you know, for that particular screenshot that he got before he got,
Speaker:you know, canceled, it was worth it.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, just on the strategy of what he's up to, just reading from an
Speaker:article from The Intercept which goes on to say that Musk immediately
Speaker:discovered that advertisers hate Freewheeling Ruckers political debate.
Speaker:Josh Marshall, the founder of Talking Points and Mimo, explained this cogent
Speaker:in a recent article about his experience running an outlet devoted to politics.
Speaker:And he said that advertisers don't want to be near controversy.
Speaker:And indeed, they don't even wanna be near things that are upsetting or agitating.
Speaker:And that is why all political and political news media face an inverse
Speaker:premium in advertising because the content is inherently polarizing.
Speaker:. So any content that's basically got politics in it is gonna be polarizing.
Speaker:He says you can show the same ad to the same people the same amount of times, and
Speaker:you'll get more money if the content is fashion or parenthood or entertainment
Speaker:safe topics than if it's politics.
Speaker:And this is apparently a bedrock rule of advertising that
Speaker:advertising in amongst political content, it's just not effective.
Speaker:I, I know that for the people who've monetized YouTube, depending on
Speaker:how much of a premium advertisers are willing to pay, you get paid
Speaker:per view differently depending on what your content is deemed to be.
Speaker:Ah, so when this show on YouTube is getting hundreds of thousands of watches,
Speaker:we'll get less than a show that had.
Speaker:Hundreds of thousands of watches, but was Parenthood or I cute cats or something.
Speaker:Subscribers before you can monetize, right?
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:We're a long way off . It's never gonna happen.
Speaker:But that's interesting.
Speaker:Just political content, put an ad in it and you just get it's less effective.
Speaker:Interesting.
Speaker:Even with the same people.
Speaker:So it's not about demographics, it's just the way people react
Speaker:to ads when it's mixed in amongst political stuff, so, mm-hmm.
Speaker:. So it goes on to say that is why Twitter was the way it was before
Speaker:Musk bought it not be meaning they were sort of cleaning it up and,
Speaker:and censoring it to some extent, not because of the politics of its staff,
Speaker:but because advertisers demanded it.
Speaker:Likewise, it's now why advertising has fallen off a cliff.
Speaker:So a real problem there for Musk with.
Speaker:Advertising and Twitter.
Speaker:And the other thing then about subscriptions.
Speaker:So according to some reports, he wants to make the subscriptions
Speaker:at least 50% of the revenue.
Speaker:And it says again in this article, Why would anyone pay for Twitter?
Speaker:One answer would be to see fewer ads, except people who are willing to
Speaker:pay for Twitter are going to be the audience that advertisers most want to
Speaker:reach, namely heavy users with money.
Speaker:This is why Twitter's specialists crunch the numbers and form Musk
Speaker:that Twitter would plausibly lose money on many $8 a month subscribers.
Speaker:So it's really tricky.
Speaker:The very people that you would want to keep watching advertising
Speaker:are the very people likely to pay the $8 and not watch it.
Speaker:And therefore, I wonder how it's a conundrum, YouTube premium, whatever
Speaker:it's called, YouTube bread, right?
Speaker:Work works because you pay basically a subscription and then you don't see ads.
Speaker:Correct?
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So, good point.
Speaker:So I would've thought that would be exactly the same thing.
Speaker:Yeah, true.
Speaker:Mind you, I think it's 20, $25.
Speaker:Maybe that's a difference.
Speaker:I dunno.
Speaker:Good point.
Speaker:But you're right, it is the same sort of thing.
Speaker:So, Oh, you can install ad blocking software on your browser, Right?
Speaker:That's the other way.
Speaker:And then watch, watch YouTube without the ads.
Speaker:That's what you do when you're a tech guy.
Speaker:Is it joke?
Speaker:Is that what you've got?
Speaker:Simple enough?
Speaker:Right?
Speaker:Just add a plugin.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Tell me about it later.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, by the way, do you listen to Jay?
Speaker:I one of the, Well, not a one.
Speaker:You're used to doing hand radio.
Speaker:You're telling me before we fired up and eventually, Yeah, I still on my license.
Speaker:I'm just not active.
Speaker:You need a license to be a hand radio operator.
Speaker:Yeah, you need to.
Speaker:Pass a, an exam on technical theory cuz you can build your own transmitter.
Speaker:So in theory you can cause large amounts of interference.
Speaker:Ah, and over here it's up to 400 watts.
Speaker:In America it's 1500 watts.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Which is a lot of power.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And historically you used to be able, used to have, to be
Speaker:able to understand Morse code.
Speaker:In the UK the license was 12 words a minute.
Speaker:And that was if a commercial station came up on frequency and told you you
Speaker:were interfering with them, you needed to be able to understand them, to be
Speaker:able to shut down at their request.
Speaker:And is that, did that ever happen to you?
Speaker:No.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Did you have a year of it happening where people were messaged in morse code?
Speaker:It, it, it was a historical because it was a hobby and there were commercial users.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:They said, all right, for it to be valid worldwide, it was an international,
Speaker:it was under the, the international radio agreements that any amateurs.
Speaker:Who operated need to understand more codes so that they could be told by
Speaker:a commercial station to shut down because they were causing interference.
Speaker:There you go.
Speaker:There you go.
Speaker:All right.
Speaker:Well, and, and ideally, if you set up your hand radio again mm-hmm.
Speaker:without being crazy, the height of the antenna would be how high?
Speaker:About 20 meters.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, Okay.
Speaker:It's a good, it's, as I said, it's a good hobby because when the zombie
Speaker:apocalypse arrives, you, you guys will be rescuing civilization.
Speaker:That's every zombie book that I ever read.
Speaker:It was the ham operators who kept things together.
Speaker:It was also in who was the Hitchcock?
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. There was the, the teenage boys, Hitchcock Mysteries.
Speaker:The Hardy Brothers.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:The Hardy Boys.
Speaker:They had hand radio.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Travel around the world doing exciting things.
Speaker:Here we go.
Speaker:Well, You listener.
Speaker:If there is the zombie apocalypse and everything just goes to shit and the
Speaker:whole world collapses, we'll still be able to run this podcast on a hand radio.
Speaker:Look out for it, . All right.
Speaker:Back to the topics.
Speaker:Oh, the other thing you can do, I found you can do a search, which will tell you
Speaker:of the people you are following on Twitter who has actually paid for their blue tick.
Speaker:And it's sort of like a, a dickhead filter really, I would've thought in many ways.
Speaker:So, so I ran the search on my Twitter page, and the only one who came
Speaker:up as having paid for their blue tick was Drew Pav Pavo Pavlo Pavo.
Speaker:He's the guy who's always going on about the Chinese, and he
Speaker:was in the, in the uk and.
Speaker:It's, he's a troublemaker for the Chinese who I follow because dear listener,
Speaker:I like to get a broad cross section.
Speaker:It's not all one bubble I'm listening to.
Speaker:So, so I thought that was pretty good.
Speaker:Of all the people I followed, he was the only one who paid for it.
Speaker:So, yeah, I, I follow about five people, so when I tried it, no one came up.
Speaker:You go, right.
Speaker:The, the search you can use will be in the show notes for that.
Speaker:So that was Drew and yeah,
Speaker:lots of tech companies, Joe laying off lots of staff.
Speaker:So meta Facebook is laid off.
Speaker:11,000 people, maybe 13% of their workforce.
Speaker:Twitter supposedly up to 50%.
Speaker:And others like Amazon getting rid of 10,000 people.
Speaker:Like did you hear about Twitter?
Speaker:Which they sent.
Speaker:There was a whole load of sackings and then apparently there were some emails
Speaker:going out very rapidly afterwards going, Oh, actually not you, You're right.
Speaker:this.
Speaker:So it sounds, there's, it sounds like there's an awful lot of confusion there.
Speaker:It just goes, And the other thing was apparently they were, they
Speaker:were measuring programmers by the number of lines of code written.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Which, if you know anything, it's kinda like, measuring a safety inspector on
Speaker:the number of safety inspections He does.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And it's really not a good, it's not a good output to measure.
Speaker:No.
Speaker:It could have been a thousand lines of crap and Exactly, Yes.
Speaker:So just goes to show you can be the richest or the nearly the
Speaker:richest men in the world, and it comes to be through dumb luck and.
Speaker:And, and psychopathic tendencies in a particular area that you happen to be in.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I think lots of people are realizing that maybe he isn't the brilliant
Speaker:engineer that everyone thought he was.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:or brilliant in one area, but hopeless in another perhaps.
Speaker:So.
Speaker:And Zuckerberg, Facebook is in real trouble.
Speaker:It's advertisers are complaining because Apple switched off some sort
Speaker:of facility that allowed data sharing, which made it easier for advertisers.
Speaker:So historically, everything you did on a browser, Facebook could
Speaker:plant a cookie, track what you were doing by having a unique ID
Speaker:that was tied to your phone mm-hmm.
Speaker:. And so they could stalk you wherever you went on the internet.
Speaker:And Apple have blocked that.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And Facebook were crying to Apple about it, saying, How dare you do this?
Speaker:And Apple said, Well, actually no.
Speaker:, we're the ones who are going to sell off our customer's data, not you.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:And basically turned off the tap that allowed Facebook
Speaker:to stalk with their users.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:And apparently it's made a huge difference to the effectiveness of the advertising.
Speaker:And, and don't think if you're not on Facebook, that you're safe from
Speaker:being stalked by Facebook because they, they create shadow users so
Speaker:effectively they can infer your relationship to other people.
Speaker:So if you are not a Facebook user, but you're doing things on the
Speaker:internet, they will still track you and then track your interactions with
Speaker:Facebook users and basically work out who you are from your interactions.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:So even if you don't have a Facebook account, you could still be in their
Speaker:database and sold to advertisers.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:Didn't know that.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I might get myself one of those ham radios.
Speaker:Joe, I don't think
Speaker:Zuckerberg can't tap into me there.
Speaker:Surely.
Speaker:Remember, if it's free, generally you are the product.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Wow, that's interesting.
Speaker:Did not know that.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:So anyway, that's Facebook.
Speaker:Tough times for those large IT companies and I don't think
Speaker:it's gonna improve anytime soon.
Speaker:And I've been hanging around, mastered on having a look around there and as
Speaker:we were talking about before, it's sort of part of the fatty verse of these
Speaker:interconnected facilities that are all hosted by volunteers and others and
Speaker:could be the way things end up going.
Speaker:So, we'll see how that works out, but I'm sort of hanging around there,
Speaker:sniffing around, seeing what it's like if anybody's in the chat room.
Speaker:Is founder a via master.
Speaker:Don, put your hand up.
Speaker:Who's in the chat room, by the way?
Speaker:Still?
Speaker:Brahman's there, Don And Joel.
Speaker:Still here, Joel?
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. All right.
Speaker:Robo debt that's been in the news.
Speaker:Not much as it should be.
Speaker:Certainly not in mainstream media as much.
Speaker:I've been kind of waiting for a decent article to really get into it.
Speaker:And I did see something about somebody who got paid $200,000 to supervise it.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Was claiming to the Royal Commission that she knew nothing about it.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So Rick Morton writes for Schwartz Media Sunday paper.
Speaker:He's done very, very good stuff.
Speaker:Almost too good.
Speaker:It's so forensic.
Speaker:I'm looking for a more summary version of the whole fiasco, but essentially what it
Speaker:boils down to is people's commitments are.
Speaker:With social services was designed to look at their, their fortnightly income and as
Speaker:that varied, so, were their commitments.
Speaker:And for a lot of people, their fortnightly income bounces around,
Speaker:up and down, all over the place.
Speaker:And this scheme just basically said, Oh, well, we're just gonna look at the tax
Speaker:records and average their income out.
Speaker:And then just, and made an assumption of even income, which was clearly
Speaker:just never gonna be the case, and was clearly illegal because
Speaker:that's not how the, the act worked.
Speaker:You had to look at each individual fortnightly timeframe and figure out
Speaker:people's obligations at that time.
Speaker:And yeah.
Speaker:But doing that is hard.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:You couldn't, Well, that's the whole point.
Speaker:They wanted to just automate it and mm-hmm.
Speaker:, and Scott Morrison could see money flow into the government coffers as
Speaker:a result and, being the asshole.
Speaker:You, you miss the important part.
Speaker:It was about punishing poor people.
Speaker:Well, that's right.
Speaker:This is the, the goddamn Christian Pentecostals.
Speaker:If you're poor, it's because Jesus hasn't favored you.
Speaker:You must be some inherently bad, lazy person and screw you.
Speaker:Like they got no sympathy for poor people.
Speaker:This, this modern version of, of muscular evangelical
Speaker:Christian, they're a nasty mob.
Speaker:And yeah.
Speaker:All sorts of nasty stuff going on there.
Speaker:Good on labor for having a commission to look into it.
Speaker:And it's just a sad story of people who were faced with terrible debt collectors.
Speaker:Thank you Mr.
Speaker:Abbot, for opening the doors to op, doing royal commissions on your opponents.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Cause he started with the pink, With the pink bats.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Anyway.
Speaker:Some pretty sad stories of, of people who are faced with threats
Speaker:from debt collectors for tens and tens of thousands of dollars.
Speaker:And yeah, people who were handed to the point of committing suicide.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Terrible stuff.
Speaker:So cruel.
Speaker:Really cruel.
Speaker:And anyway, at the end of this commission, there'll be a list of culprits.
Speaker:Hopefully not enough people pay the price.
Speaker:They're shameless these people and they get away with all sorts of stuff.
Speaker:Hopefully, even if they're just named and their reputation is
Speaker:ruined, hopefully that will happen.
Speaker:We'll see.
Speaker:Wow.
Speaker:But if it ruins their reputation, cuz it seems loud that doing something
Speaker:shameful is no longer a problem.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Just leave on and get another cushy job somewhere.
Speaker:This is what often happens, unfortunately.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, The other topic actually where I
Speaker:useful summary was in relation to the industrial relations bill that I think
Speaker:has gone through the house and is now going to the Senate and they're now
Speaker:haggling with some of the independent senators doing a bit of horse trading
Speaker:to see what they can agree to here.
Speaker:So the changes are that it makes to industrial relations is makes
Speaker:job security and gender pay equity explicit goals of the act prohibits
Speaker:sexual harassment and requirements that workers keep their pay secret.
Speaker:That's an interesting one.
Speaker:So, I've never really been in a position where I've needed to know
Speaker:what my coworker's pay was, but.
Speaker:any experience with that Joe?
Speaker:Of people swapping details about their pay so that they could,
Speaker:working for government departments.
Speaker:I've been on a known salary.
Speaker:You're a level X, level five, level six, or whatever.
Speaker:Everyone knows.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:That's what you get.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And, and we had a number of years of seniority, so you got paid
Speaker:increases after so many years.
Speaker:But aside from that, no.
Speaker:Everyone was on a fixed amount.
Speaker:The idea is that in theory, if pay negotiations a secret, everyone
Speaker:negotiates what they're worth.
Speaker:But realistically, the people who are most able to walk from job to job
Speaker:command the biggest pay rises and those who are willing to negotiate hard.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And not everyone.
Speaker:Typically men, one of the reasons for males being paid more, I
Speaker:believe, was just because they were more likely to be aggressive and
Speaker:bargain and actually thought of themselves as worth more as well.
Speaker:Kind of inherently a gender thing.
Speaker:And I would say that extroverts probably negotiate harder than introverts.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But if you are in a workforce in that position, what's the downside
Speaker:in not sharing your income?
Speaker:Like, I reckon it's not like say you're with five or six people in a similar,
Speaker:you think are all about the same as you.
Speaker:And you're curious if you were to agree to sort of swap information about your
Speaker:salaries, what, what's the downside?
Speaker:If, if there is a fixed pool of remuneration?
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Then if they're negotiating.
Speaker:Then there isn't as much for you to negotiate.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:But is there a fixed pool?
Speaker:Like is it ever fixed?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well, my employer basically says there is a pool of X for this department.
Speaker:Oh, okay.
Speaker:So it's, it's basically down to the employer to fit as many people in.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:I'm thinking of a law firm.
Speaker:I'm thinking of, you know, you're not a partner, you're in some sort
Speaker:of just employed salaried lawyer.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. I reckon they should all just get together somewhere and swap information because
Speaker:then they'll know what's possible.
Speaker:It's not like the people on the higher level are gonna have their
Speaker:salaries dropped, it's just that the ones on the lower level are gonna
Speaker:know that they can get an increase.
Speaker:So for that situation, I would've thought you should do it in the chatroom.
Speaker:Anybody ever sort of swapped sort of income information with.
Speaker:A coworker and had a successful or unsuccessful sort of result out of that.
Speaker:Shalene says, Bullshit.
Speaker:I don't know what the bullshit was about Shalene.
Speaker:Was it something I said or what?
Speaker:I'm guessing the bullshit was to do with the people knowing your salary is bad.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:I'm sure she'll expand on it shortly.
Speaker:So, anyway, under these changes requirements that workers so prohibits
Speaker:sort of employers trying to stop workers from keeping their pay secret
Speaker:and strengthens the rights of workers with family responsibilities to
Speaker:request flexible working hours and abolished the Australian Building
Speaker:and Construction Commission.
Speaker:And I think the flexible working hours is more a presumption of yes than the
Speaker:employer has to provide reasons why not, rather than the other way around.
Speaker:So I haven't seen a great summary of that yet.
Speaker:And what it all means, maybe Shay will make a guest appearance down the track.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, tell us all about it.
Speaker:Shai, you're probably across all this, so, Yeah.
Speaker:So anyway, that's what's happened.
Speaker:Robo debt and industrial relations, so, Oh, here we go.
Speaker:Shay says it's inherently sexist to presume blokes just get paid more because
Speaker:they are better at bargaining baloney.
Speaker:I don't know this, I wouldn't say they're better at it.
Speaker:I'd say they're more likely to engage in it, I think is what I read somewhere, but,
Speaker:or more likely to argue about their party.
Speaker:But Shay saying that's baloney as a theory.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Fair enough.
Speaker:You're probably right, Shay.
Speaker:Right, of course, in response to the industrial relations bill, , all sorts
Speaker:of industry spokespeople come out.
Speaker:And there was an article by Belinda Jones in Independent Australia, where she names
Speaker:these people ins Willox of the Australian Industry Group, Jennifer Westcott from
Speaker:the Business Council of Australia.
Speaker:You'd see her all the time.
Speaker:That one in particular, Jennifer Westcott, Steve, not from the
Speaker:Australian Chamber of Commerce, Danita Warren mba from the Master Builders
Speaker:Association, you know, Tony Ma from the National Farmer's Federation.
Speaker:So, according to this writer, Belinda Jones, these five spokespeople,
Speaker:spokespersons get trotted out all the time and make statements in front
Speaker:of the media and give the employers side of the story, which invariably,
Speaker:of course, They're representing the employer side of the story.
Speaker:It's gonna be outrage at how much this is going to cost business and
Speaker:eventually cost jobs and, you know, paint a negative approach to it.
Speaker:So it's a good point to being record profits.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:But you know, this is what it's a bit like with religion.
Speaker:There's full-time PR people like the John Dick Dickens of the
Speaker:world, Dickinson Dickens can't remember his name, but Oh yeah.
Speaker:It got nothing else to do, but ring up ABC offer themselves as an interview subject.
Speaker:Isn't Dixon Dixon?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And the same with these guys.
Speaker:It's their job to contact these media people and make these statements,
Speaker:whereas I guess there's a union.
Speaker:Where are the union?
Speaker:Where's our, where's our Bob Hawk?
Speaker:This is where sort of Bob Hawk was the guy who came out and spoke on
Speaker:behalf of the union movement and the workers in these situations.
Speaker:Well, wasn't the oh T G W U used to regularly be on these?
Speaker:I can't think of a particular player in the same way that I can think of.
Speaker:I always see that Jennifer Westcott everywhere, so on q
Speaker:and a in all sorts of places.
Speaker:And I think if you're looking at the UK at the moment where they've got
Speaker:those railway strikes happening mm-hmm.
Speaker:and, you know, you've got Mick Lynch who is a real sort of spokesperson
Speaker:for the working class of the UK at the moment and really taking on the UK
Speaker:equivalents of the Jennifer Westcotts in these panel discussions and
Speaker:absolutely murdering them, one of them.
Speaker:And Where's Australia's McManis was who I was.
Speaker:Yeah, actually she is good.
Speaker:I will say I have seen her on things and You are right, Sally McManis and yeah,
Speaker:she, she would be the one, We need more of them anyway, and I think, well, we
Speaker:need them to, I'm sure they're out there.
Speaker:It's just getting on to media and even the abc, even while, I mean obviously Sky
Speaker:News and the Murdoch Press are just going to reach out to business interests and,
Speaker:and, and, and not reach out to the others.
Speaker:But even the ABC, I think is very lazy on these things.
Speaker:And they'll get approached by these people and they think, Oh,
Speaker:well, come on, we'll talk to you.
Speaker:It's easy for their producers to find these people and put them
Speaker:on than to find other people.
Speaker:So, That's just one of the inherent problems when it's like the atheist
Speaker:movement can't afford to pay people to be full-time advocates for atheism as opposed
Speaker:to Christian groups the unions can afford.
Speaker:And yeah, the unions can, they should be doing better job at it.
Speaker:Tony McManus.
Speaker:Full mark.
Speaker:She's very good.
Speaker:Need more of them.
Speaker:Shai agrees with me, I think so.
Speaker:We've had a bullshit and an I agree out of Shay in the chatroom.
Speaker:I'll keep going to see how the strike rate goes.
Speaker:Good to hear from you, Shay.
Speaker:Until Shay gets so angry that she throws the computer across
Speaker:the room, she wouldn't do that.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Just also the independence of, in the house, were voting on this stuff,
Speaker:so that's showing the true colors of some of the teal in independence.
Speaker:I I thought it was a known thing that the teals were.
Speaker:Liberals just with a bit of climate change.
Speaker:That was it.
Speaker:Well, it's, it's sort of sorting them out a little bit.
Speaker:So, Zoe Daniel and Monique Ryan voted in favor of the bill along with Bob
Speaker:Catter, Andrew Wilke and the Greens.
Speaker:So the ones who voted against the industrial relations changes were
Speaker:Sophie Scams, Helen Haynes, Kate Chaney, zte, and Alexandra Spender.
Speaker:So certainly STL and Spender should always have been viewed as really blue blood
Speaker:liberals who just couldn't handle the craziness of the current liberal party,
Speaker:but in all other respects are liberals and basically showing their colors there.
Speaker:So, so yeah, and also Rebecca Sharky and.
Speaker:Die anyway.
Speaker:That's interesting that this bill has sorted out a little bit about these
Speaker:teals as to which side of the fence, right or left the might really belong.
Speaker:Roland says, yes, that's why it's teal blue with a bit of
Speaker:green added otherwise blue.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:That was always my assumption was that they were liberal just
Speaker:without the climate craziness.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Robin in the chat room says Paul si.
Speaker:Pauls was a, he was actually like a reporter in the Murdoch press and he's
Speaker:gone to work for one of the unions.
Speaker:I see him on social media, but I don't see him saying a lot
Speaker:on general mass media, robin.
Speaker:But Yeah, it's a good channel Island's name Cray it, it's a, Is that the
Speaker:name of a channel island, is it?
Speaker:No, no, no.
Speaker:It's a common surname in the Channel Islands.
Speaker:Oh, is it?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:He's a friend of yours, isn't he?
Speaker:Robin?
Speaker:I'd like to meet Paul Cray one day.
Speaker:I think the interesting guy.
Speaker:He's down the case there somewhere.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:So we had a little mini budget and after the budget, the cost of living increased
Speaker:by 7.3% over the past year apparently.
Speaker:But did it, so maybe instead of 7.3, it was only 6.7 or only 6.4.
Speaker:And what is the confusion all about?
Speaker:Well, according to Ross Gittens, he says that 7.3 is the rise
Speaker:in the consumer price index.
Speaker:And that's typically, The sort of figure that we've worked off in our
Speaker:heads as to how much have prices increased over the last whatever period.
Speaker:But he says there's, in addition to the consumer price index, there's
Speaker:always been a living cost index, which for various household types,
Speaker:whether you are a young family or a retired couple or something like that.
Speaker:So this living cost index has always been there, but not really talked about.
Speaker:And we've mentioned before about gdp, Joe, how GDP is such a bad measure
Speaker:of, Well, it's not consistent.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Economic activity, just the very idea of it is, is not good.
Speaker:But the variations between different countries in how they measure gdp and
Speaker:we went extensively through Australia versus USA in terms of housing costs
Speaker:and how GDP is quite different.
Speaker:Well, Consumer Price Index before 1998, the cpi it used to include interest on
Speaker:mortgages, but the Reserve bank asked for a change because they didn't want the
Speaker:measure of inflation to go up every time.
Speaker:It raised interest rates to get inflation down and on them.
Speaker:So they're saying, Hang on a minute, we are raising interest rates in
Speaker:order to get inflation down, but in your inflation calculation
Speaker:you are including mortgage rates.
Speaker:So that's just not working for us.
Speaker:So this, so the statisticians said, Okay, we'll take out mortgage rates.
Speaker:And effectively they put in the cost of building a new house
Speaker:rather than mortgage rates.
Speaker:But that's a really, People do that all the time.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well this is the point that he makes in the article is how many people,
Speaker:lots of people never build a house.
Speaker:And how many people build one once in a blue?
Speaker:Me like the cost of building a house is not a good indicator to use.
Speaker:Whereas everybody, well, not everybody, but far more people are actually
Speaker:paying interest on a mortgage.
Speaker:So if you're really wanting to get a reflection of how is the cost of living
Speaker:in Australia changed in the last 12 months, you're probably better off
Speaker:looking at the cost of living index rather than the consumer price index.
Speaker:There you go.
Speaker:So that was an interesting one by Ross Gittens and Okay.
Speaker:Wanting to do a good story for change.
Speaker:N D I S, so Dylan Elcot is kind of like Spokeperson, I guess
Speaker:for the N D I S and he was at a interview at a press conference.
Speaker:And I think this is gonna demonstrate the value of having I mean, I wanna
Speaker:say a regular guy, but regular in the sense, not ensconced in a labor union or
Speaker:in a law firm, or this was the public.
Speaker:He's had a life.
Speaker:Yeah, he's had a life.
Speaker:And anyway, have a listen to this this clip.
Speaker:Hopefully it works.
Speaker:What do you say to those who have been rotting, the N D I S?
Speaker:You talked today about lawyers, a lot of money going in, in legal
Speaker:fees, but there are clear instances of people abusing the, the scheme.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:They can go and get stuffed . Like first and foremost, we've had
Speaker:four questions about the N D s.
Speaker:So they've all been negative things about it.
Speaker:I'm starting by saying the n D s is bloody awesome.
Speaker:Right?
Speaker:We commissioned an N D I S report a few months ago.
Speaker:The first almost half is about good.
Speaker:The N D I S is, you know, we talked about early intervention before.
Speaker:One of the things we found out about this report for kids with early
Speaker:intervention on the N D I S who were under the age of six had doubled the
Speaker:amount of friends, the kids who weren't, I had no friends when I was five.
Speaker:Like, I got goosebumps saying that.
Speaker:Where was, I would've loved to have the N D I S.
Speaker:Did you know that?
Speaker:Not really.
Speaker:You don't really read stories about that, do you?
Speaker:You don't talk about the economic growth of it being involved and things like that.
Speaker:So first and foremost, it's awesome, right?
Speaker:And we need to hear our stories about the good things that are happening.
Speaker:But secondly, you know, there are some dodgy people out there doing dodgy things.
Speaker:And we are gonna find, you know, the government have already commissioned
Speaker:the, it's a really funny, good word, The fraud task, Fusion fraud task force.
Speaker:And they're gonna, that's gonna find people that are doing the wrong thing.
Speaker:And if you are watching this and you're doing the wrong thing, you
Speaker:are literally taking away from a new diverse kid getting care.
Speaker:You're taking away someone with a high level disability, having a shower.
Speaker:You're not taking away us having fast cars and stuff like that.
Speaker:That is not what it's about.
Speaker:To remind yourself if you are doing that, Hey, you know what, I'm not
Speaker:gonna try and do that anymore.
Speaker:Well, wasn't that direct language really well said?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Good sentiment.
Speaker:Yeah, please man.
Speaker:Well said goodnight.
Speaker:That's, he's got a future.
Speaker:In politics, and he'll join a party and they'll beat that out
Speaker:of him and make him talk in rids.
Speaker:Good on you, Dylan.
Speaker:Right?
Speaker:I don't know how I came across this article.
Speaker:I think it might have been John blog about renewable energy and so there's
Speaker:a couple of reports included in it.
Speaker:Actually it was, was in the John blog.
Speaker:If you are not subscribed to the John blog, you should.
Speaker:Your other alternative, of course, is just to subscribe to
Speaker:my newsletter and you'll get it.
Speaker:The best bits extracted anyway.
Speaker:So go to the website, i Glove dot com au and sign up for the newsletter three times
Speaker:a week, few articles, and I sort of scour the internet for you so you don't have to.
Speaker:Anyway.
Speaker:In the John Energy blog, there was an article by an Andrew Blake is
Speaker:an Anna Do and o stocks, and they are from a university, I believe.
Speaker:Let me just actually let me just find, whoops, I've just
Speaker:gone past where I wanted to go.
Speaker:Hang on a second.
Speaker:So they're from the Australian National University and I guess the lead guy,
Speaker:Andrew Blake, is professor of engineering at the Australian National University.
Speaker:So they've been looking at pump hydro and anyway there was a group who were
Speaker:for one of these reports that's in the show notes about how much pumped hydro
Speaker:storage do we need, and as a guide to storage requirements, if we're gonna have
Speaker:a hundred percent renewable electricity based on analysis for Australia.
Speaker:Is one gigawatt of power per million people with 20 hours
Speaker:of storage, which amounts to 20 gigawatts per million people.
Speaker:So essentially in a grid like ours, which is strongly connected it's a
Speaker:large area and with good wind and solar resources and high energy use doing the
Speaker:math, looking at the weather systems, they can calculate that at any point.
Speaker:If you've got hydro backup of 20 hours of storage then you've got a secure system
Speaker:and that means you need 20 gigawatts 20 gigawatt hours per million people.
Speaker:And so that was the calculation they came up.
Speaker:And so for Australia, that means Australia needs about 500 gigawatt hours.
Speaker:G w h I think gigawatt hours, Joe.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Gigawatt hours.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Don't forget Australia's a bit bizarre because the east coast
Speaker:and west coast are not connected.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And the East coast has got lots of great pumped hydro spots.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:and the West Coast, not so much.
Speaker:Apparently.
Speaker:Just the Gilbert, It's a bit flat over there.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So, so yeah.
Speaker:Anyway, they've given that figure for Australia right, 500 gigawatt hours
Speaker:of pumped hydro is going to be enough.
Speaker:And in this article, Flux capacitor, What's that?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Flux capac Flus capacitor.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:In the DeLorean or whatever it is.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:That was it.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So.
Speaker:Just back to this article in the John Manou blog by these academics.
Speaker:It says of course, pumped hydro involves two dams, one high on a
Speaker:hill and one down in a valley with pipes and turbines connecting them.
Speaker:You store electricity by pumping water uphill to the upper reservoir on a
Speaker:sunny and windy days, and you turn it back into power at night or during
Speaker:calm or cloudy days by letting the water flow downhill through a turbine.
Speaker:So it's like a giant gravity battery.
Speaker:So the question now is where are the best locations?
Speaker:Last year we released a global atlas of 600,000 Greenfield
Speaker:locations that was worldwide.
Speaker:And 4,000 of these were in Australia.
Speaker:So Greenfield locations are where there is no existing reservoir.
Speaker:So they've now identified 1500 new Australian sites,
Speaker:which they call Bluefield.
Speaker:Sites and Bluefield locations where there's already one
Speaker:reservoir for some reason in place.
Speaker:So you only need to make one extra reservoir.
Speaker:It has to be built so it's using existing reservoirs.
Speaker:And apparently there's 1500 of these in this report.
Speaker:So none of this requires damning of major rivers.
Speaker:So that's also a good thing.
Speaker:So according to this report, because we've got so many good
Speaker:options, we can afford to be choosy.
Speaker:We can go all the way to a hundred percent renewables while only
Speaker:developing the very best sites.
Speaker:And further on it says same sort of thing.
Speaker:Oh, that 500 gigawatts hours, which was supposedly enough for Australia.
Speaker:that would supply all of Sydney's electricity for about four days.
Speaker:So think of 500 gigawatts as Sydney for four days.
Speaker:Well, let's look at some of the projects that are being considered.
Speaker:So there's a Kidston project in far North Queensland, two gigawatts snowy, 2.0
Speaker:Hunt Hydro is looking at 350 gigawatts.
Speaker:So consider we only need 500, 3 50.
Speaker:Snowy is sort of getting us two-thirds of the way there.
Speaker:Queensland's recent plans are a 50 gigawatt scheme inland from
Speaker:the Sunshine Coast at Barumba and the enormous 120 gigawatt Pioneer
Speaker:Buran Project, Western Mackay.
Speaker:So I think that's the one we talk about a few weeks ago as being the largest
Speaker:in the southern hemisphere, which was also the largest in the world.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Until snowy two.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:If it ever happens.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But I thought snowy two was, there were environmental concerns about it.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So it, I guess when they were talking about these blue field
Speaker:sites not re not damning an existing river, that was probably separate
Speaker:to the snowy one, I guess, which is damning of a river, isn't it?
Speaker:So it must be so, well, if it's a pumped hydro, but it's an
Speaker:expansion on the existing, I think.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Dunno.
Speaker:But in any event, if Australia needs 500 and that one Western Mackay is 120,
Speaker:that's a big chunk of what's required.
Speaker:So, Well if snowy too, and the two Queensland ones Go ahead.
Speaker:That takes us to five 20.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:On their own.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:And there's plenty of other sites around.
Speaker:So if the math is correct, then it all looks possible, doesn't it?
Speaker:What else is in this here?
Speaker:Does make the comment that Western Australia's not as great because
Speaker:they don't have as many options, but they do have some and yeah.
Speaker:Link in the show notes.
Speaker:I thought that was good news story.
Speaker:Nice to have.
Speaker:Yeah, absolutely.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:And this is really quite old solid technology.
Speaker:The I was chatting with a guy on Master Don and he referred me to this
Speaker:video about one in Tele Tele Hill in Ireland, and a video about that.
Speaker:And I think that one was back in the eight.
Speaker:Like, it's, it's sort of, You work on Split Yard Creek.
Speaker:Yeah, exactly.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Shame to say that was 1983.
Speaker:Yes, exactly.
Speaker:And this video, this guy referred me to the, sort of the turbines.
Speaker:I mean, they lasted 30 years before they needed their first
Speaker:overhaul or something like that.
Speaker:These things are really rock solid things that just keep going.
Speaker:It's, it's not fancy technology.
Speaker:It's really well established engineering that once you've paid for it and set it
Speaker:up, it'll just keep rocking for decades.
Speaker:So, all good news.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:Any of your friends were in favor of Brexit back there,
Speaker:Joe, Friends and family?
Speaker:Or was everybody remainers or, or brexiters in your No, very
Speaker:much remainers, unfortunately.
Speaker:They were part of the.
Speaker:The group who bought into all brexiters are racist.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:And, and I think there were some valid concerns around the European Union Yes.
Speaker:Particularly the European Parliament.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And how autocratic it was.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And I think it, it was very much painted as a black and white issue.
Speaker:And basically anyone who was seen to have any questions about Europe
Speaker:was immediately just a racist.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And . Yes.
Speaker:And, and I didn't, I, I thought that, you know, a lot of people saw the
Speaker:benefits, but also saw that there were problems that needed resolving.
Speaker:And there were those who.
Speaker:Spun bullshit about how much money we were paying to the EU and how much little,
Speaker:or how little we were getting in return.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:I think at the time, I wasn't sure how I would've voted at one point there,
Speaker:but I don't think there was enough genuine examination of the economic
Speaker:costs and what it was really gonna mean.
Speaker:And that was no, it was, it was all bruises.
Speaker:It was very much a glossed over and, and you know, we'll
Speaker:worry about the details later.
Speaker:Let's just get it done.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So anyway just saw a poll that said 50% of the of those in the
Speaker:UK would think it's a mistake.
Speaker:So 43% still think it was a good decision.
Speaker:Interesting.
Speaker:It's quite a high figure.
Speaker:I would've thought so.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I mean, given the.
Speaker:Chaos that the UK is in the pound is tanked.
Speaker:I mean, that wasn't helped by obviously Liz Trust.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And anybody who's trying to do business, I suppose the, the laborers, because there
Speaker:was a lot of eastern Europeans who in and probably forced down the price of labor.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:I'm not gonna say unskilled because No, they were, they were quite often tradies.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:But also in health work, you know, the nurses mom's in a nursing home at
Speaker:the moment, and she's saying a lot of the nurses there are eastern European.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:In the chatroom.
Speaker:James says that the economist covered the issue extensively warning of
Speaker:the issues that the UK would face.
Speaker:So there we go.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Which is not exactly read by the average trading.
Speaker:No.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:A little bit turn our attention to America and Mother just got through some
Speaker:midterm elections and certain segments of the Republican Party are already
Speaker:complaining about the results, and it'll be interesting to see how that develops.
Speaker:I've been saying for a while, did you see the polling booth
Speaker:where there was corruption?
Speaker:No, I didn't.
Speaker:Joe, what was that?
Speaker:Oh.
Speaker:So apparently the voting machines didn't work.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, and they were going to have to mark their ballot and then put it in a sealed
Speaker:box, and it was gonna be opened later.
Speaker:And a member of the Democrats and a member of the Republicans would
Speaker:then supervise the counting of the votes and how undemocratic that was.
Speaker:Clearly it's much safer just to feed it into a slot, into a machine where
Speaker:it disappears from human eyes forever.
Speaker:That would've been much better.
Speaker:The machine counts it correctly.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:I saw a tweet from this guy, Byron Clark said, I feel like to many
Speaker:people don't recognize fascism because they think fascism will
Speaker:arrive selling oppression and tyranny.
Speaker:But if you're part of the privilege group, fascism is selling you
Speaker:safety, normalcy, and tradition.
Speaker:And a lot of these people who are up in arms are just wanting to
Speaker:somehow return to a vision that they have of what America was.
Speaker:White, prosperous, middle class and kind.
Speaker:What's that mean?
Speaker:Children cooking in church.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:In what way?
Speaker:What Nazis promised for women.
Speaker:Yeah, there you go.
Speaker:So what is fascism?
Speaker:Far right authoritarian, ultranationalist, political ideology or movement
Speaker:characterized by a dictatorial leader.
Speaker:Centralized autocracy, militarism force, suppression of opposition, belief in a
Speaker:national, a natural social hierarchy.
Speaker:I reckon lots of Republicans tick a lot of those boxes already.
Speaker:Subordination of individual interests for the perceived good of the nation and race.
Speaker:So, They might think that as Republican Margaret supporters, they are actually
Speaker:pro individual interests, but they're quite happy for the police to beat
Speaker:people up and arrest them for no reason.
Speaker:And a lot of individual freedoms to be curtailed for people of the wrong type.
Speaker:Well, you know the saying, they want the government so small it
Speaker:can fit through your bedroom.
Speaker:Keyhole . I hadn't heard that one.
Speaker:That's a good one, Joe.
Speaker:That's good.
Speaker:Write that one down.
Speaker:Let's see.
Speaker:Okay, so I just found it, and of course, always with America now, it's always
Speaker:gonna be intertwined with China because really the world now is about this
Speaker:battle between America and, and China.
Speaker:We've had America in charge for 70 years ruling the roost and.
Speaker:It's becoming apparent to everybody that they're no longer gonna
Speaker:maintain that dominating position where they can just bully everybody.
Speaker:So, so I've sort of been complaining all the time about this, this reference to
Speaker:the Chinese and how it's almost McCarthy like, the way that we've turned on the
Speaker:Chinese, when, when it wasn't that long ago we were doing military or preparing
Speaker:to do military exercises with them.
Speaker:It wasn't that long ago that Xing Ping was in the Australian
Speaker:parliament giving a speech.
Speaker:It wasn't that long ago that the liberal party were criticizing labor because Labor
Speaker:didn't want to have a extradition treaty with China and said, Hang on a minute.
Speaker:And, and liberals criticized them and said, What are you doing?
Speaker:This is gonna ruin our economic.
Speaker:relationship with China.
Speaker:What are you talking about?
Speaker:That wasn't that long ago.
Speaker:It was only five or six years ago that we were, that liberals wanted
Speaker:to do an extradition treaty with China and military operations.
Speaker:You read any Tom Clancy?
Speaker:Eh?
Speaker:Have you read any Tom Clancy?
Speaker:No.
Speaker:So the Hump Red October was famous one.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:I've seen the movie.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:He was the writer.
Speaker:Very much militaristic.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Lots of army books.
Speaker:One of his books called The Bear and the Dragon.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:He envisaged a newly free Russia, you know, no, no longer communist.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Being attacked by China who were after their resources.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:And America piling in on the side of the Russians against the Chinese.
Speaker:Clearly a work of fiction.
Speaker:. Well, yeah.
Speaker:Well, yeah.
Speaker:I see, I saw this video.
Speaker:I've tried to make it relevant to all that discussion, but let me just
Speaker:grab it now and and I'll put it up.
Speaker:So, cause I think it's just an interesting blast from the past in
Speaker:recognizing a communist physical appearance counts for nothing.
Speaker:If he openly declares himself to be a communist, we take his word for it.
Speaker:If a person consistently reads and advocates the views expressed
Speaker:in a communist publication, he may be a communist.
Speaker:If a person supports organizations which reflect communist teachings
Speaker:or organizations labeled communists by the Department of
Speaker:Justice, she may be a communist.
Speaker:If a person defends the activities of communist nations while
Speaker:consistently attacking the domestic and foreign policy of the United
Speaker:States, she may be a communist.
Speaker:If a person does all these things over a period of time, he must be a communist.
Speaker:But there are other communists who don't show their real
Speaker:faces, who work more silently.
Speaker:But I think Scott Morrison was trying to get that rerun while he was in power.
Speaker:I, I particularly like the fact that if you protest against the
Speaker:kkk, you must be a communist.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:At that last scene, they were marching against the kkk,
Speaker:just, just the way that they thought to be a good, a good anticommunist American.
Speaker:You must support the kkk.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Just the way Australia turned on China just had a McCarthys feel to it.
Speaker:Just a sort of a propaganda feel to it to me.
Speaker:What else have I got here?
Speaker:USA Update episode 360 3.
Speaker:So, the USA has warned Australia against joining a landmark
Speaker:treaty banning nuclear weapons.
Speaker:So this treaty is only a recent one about banning nuclear weapons.
Speaker:And we have previously voted against it and the albanese government shifted
Speaker:our position and we've now abstained.
Speaker:So with this particular treaty, it's a blanket ban on developing,
Speaker:stockpiling, using or threatening to use nuclear weapons or helping other
Speaker:countries carry out such activities.
Speaker:I would've thought that's something we should be in favor of.
Speaker:And the US told Australia What the hell are you doing?
Speaker:So there'll be pressure on Australia from the US and see how that pans out.
Speaker:I watched the documentary recently on a physics equation called The Fast Warrior
Speaker:Transform the Fast Furrier Transformer.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:And it's used amongst other things for splitting out complex wave
Speaker:forms into their component parts.
Speaker:And they were saying it was designed originally to determine from seismic
Speaker:measurements whether a nuclear test had taken place or not, right?
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And one of the reasons why in the 19, late 1940s, America wanted to ban
Speaker:all development of nuclear weapons cuz they realized that the harm,
Speaker:but because they could only detect.
Speaker:Land and sea blasts, they couldn't detect underground blasts because
Speaker:they didn't have the ability to decode the information from Seismographs.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:That was excluded from the non proliferation treaties because
Speaker:they knew they could secretly do it underground and nobody would catch that.
Speaker:Well, they knew they had the technology, so Yeah.
Speaker:Basically the Russians and whoever else could do it underground and
Speaker:there was no way of measuring.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:So they had no way of knowing whether a country was developing nuclear weapons
Speaker:if they destroyed their own stockpile.
Speaker:And so that basically put an end to the destruction of nuclear weapons.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:So it, it sounds like this treaty has nothing to do with existing stuff.
Speaker:And the US embassy in Canberra said the treaty would not allow for us extended
Speaker:deterrence relationships, which are still necessary for international peace.
Speaker:And this is a reference to.
Speaker:Australia relying on American nuclear forces to deter any nuclear attack
Speaker:on Australia, the so-called nuclear umbrella, even though Australia does
Speaker:not have any of its own atomic weapons.
Speaker:So anyway, what, None of it is surprising.
Speaker:Is it?
Speaker:Midterms still up for grabs?
Speaker:Looks like last time I saw the Democrats were gonna hold onto the Senate.
Speaker:Probably they've probably got 50 of the hundred seats.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So they need 51 for a clear majority.
Speaker:They could have a hung Parliament or a Hung Senate, but in that case Carala
Speaker:Harris, Kamala has the deciding vote.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. So since it's important for appointing lots of people to lots of position.
Speaker:One of its roles, but it looks like they'll probably just lose the house.
Speaker:But in the, in any event, typically in the midterm elections, this is
Speaker:sort of halfway through a president's term, there's always a backlash
Speaker:historically against the president who won the election two years earlier.
Speaker:So Biden actually did remarkably well and did not suffer the normal backlash.
Speaker:But, you know, I had in my notes here does it matter which side wins anyway?
Speaker:Really?
Speaker:And I had only if you wanna terminate a pregnancy or wipe out a student
Speaker:loan and the student loan one.
Speaker:So Biden passed laws about wiping out the student loan, and that's been
Speaker:successfully challenged in the courts.
Speaker:And no doubt there's more appeals to come, but at least one court ruled it invalid
Speaker:to be wiping out these student loans.
Speaker:So, may not go through.
Speaker:So the, and because you know, we should wipe out the loans to the
Speaker:major financial companies, but not to small individual people.
Speaker:Indeed.
Speaker:When you so effectively then, what's the difference between these two parties?
Speaker:Is, is the lock step on foreign policy and really it's just abortion law is about
Speaker:What else is different between these two?
Speaker:Realistically, not a lot, is it?
Speaker:Is it, Yeah.
Speaker:Socialized medicine, the Democrats are trying to creep towards it.
Speaker:There are slightly better distance for Paul and I believe
Speaker:on the environment, right?
Speaker:The Democrats are slightly stronger.
Speaker:In terms of the epa, but probably just talk not in actual real stuff, you know?
Speaker:I don't think they're actually really gonna do anything or really want to.
Speaker:It's just, it's just talk.
Speaker:The only thing they really wanna do something about is abortion
Speaker:law and arrest will make all the right noises, but probably don't
Speaker:care that much, I don't think.
Speaker:Seems to me, oh and minimum wage.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Alright.
Speaker:Democrats in favor of that are raising the minimum wage.
Speaker:Cause it hasn't gone up since 92.
Speaker:Some ridiculous amount of time anyway.
Speaker:Still $7 50 some places.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Why did the polls get it wrong again?
Speaker:Because it seemed like the majority of polls were predicting a red wave.
Speaker:You know, this sort of typical backlash against the Sitting president or
Speaker:the sitting president's party, and there was a tweet by this guy, Ben
Speaker:Collins, who said talking about the polls before the next election, you
Speaker:might wanna find a better way to poll anyone under the age of 30, since they
Speaker:would rather pick up a pinless grenade than a call from an unknown number.
Speaker:Is this true Joe?
Speaker:Under thirties unknown number?
Speaker:They just ignore it.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Interestingly enough, I was involved in the periphery of a one of those
Speaker:two education sectors over here that basically sell visas for money.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:And they were, they were trying to talk to their students and they
Speaker:had banks and banks of mobile phone dialers because their students wouldn't
Speaker:answer a call from a landline, but they would from a mobile phone.
Speaker:Is that right?
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. There you go.
Speaker:So all their outbound calls were made from mobile numbers because their
Speaker:students wouldn't pick up otherwise.
Speaker:Good story, Joe.
Speaker:So the theory is when you're doing polling, which of course is relying on
Speaker:phone calls that this younger generation who VAD overwhelmingly for the Democrats
Speaker:just would never have picked up the phone to answer the poll question and therefore
Speaker:we're not represented in the polling, is kind of what this guy is suggesting.
Speaker:Dunno if that's true, but yeah.
Speaker:Interesting.
Speaker:It didn't surprise me.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:So there was some exit polls by CNN and let me see if I can
Speaker:bring up well Joe, I'll let you bring up some of these by gender.
Speaker:So if I say Republicans?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Sorry.
Speaker:Are you gonna say something first of all?
Speaker:Well, I was gonna say the way they phrased some of these was they lost support when
Speaker:they were in every single demographic.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:votes went from the Democrats to the Republicans.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:It was just greater in some ways.
Speaker:And they said they lost support in this one, but they gained
Speaker:support in the other one.
Speaker:But they still lost votes.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So in in no place did I see the number of Democrats, the number of people
Speaker:wanting to vote Democrat increase.
Speaker:It was just the amounts.
Speaker:Yes, true.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:They're in the show notes, bunch of graphs and and there's a comparison between.
Speaker:2018 and 2022.
Speaker:So four year difference.
Speaker:And in 2018 men Republican plus four means that overall the number
Speaker:of men who voted Republicans versus Democrats was 4% more were Republican.
Speaker:Okay?
Speaker:And that became plus 14.
Speaker:So 14% amongst men were voting Republican rather than Democrat amongst women.
Speaker:Four years ago it was Democrat plus 19.
Speaker:And in this recent one, Democrat plus eight.
Speaker:You're right Joe.
Speaker:A 2% shift in men.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And 11% shift in women.
Speaker:Indeed.
Speaker:Both of them dropped the support.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Women by 1% and you've gotta wonder what their margin of error is.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So I think they're trying to infer more than you possibly can.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Interesting though.
Speaker:I mean, miles Republican plus 14 and women are Democrats plus eight.
Speaker:It's quite a difference in the genders.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:You know, Joe, I might suggest that women are just smarter in America, but then
Speaker:Shay would wanna disagree with me calling out bullshit again, so I won't do that.
Speaker:Well I think abortion was part of it.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Because abortion has been a key part of their platform for a while.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And also contraceptive in general.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Cause they voted against the whole, including it in your health insurance.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:. Yep.
Speaker:But also I would say that women tend to be less well paid and therefore tend to vote.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:The less well paid tend to vote.
Speaker:More left-leaning.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:More likely to be lower class perhaps.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, by age, the 18 to 29 year olds were plus 28 for Democrats, but
Speaker:four years ago they were plus 35.
Speaker:So mind you, Joe, there's a lot more young people now when you see other statistics.
Speaker:So in that, there's more of 'em, you know, so that percentage, it
Speaker:did drop from 35 plus 35 to plus 28, but there's a lot of them.
Speaker:So they're starting to outnumber the boomers now.
Speaker:These younger generations, or at least that effective
Speaker:boomer population is waning.
Speaker:I think in the number of people who voted more younger people turned out.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So it was in the 18 to 29 it equaled or was more than the
Speaker:number of people from 65 or older.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So if you're 1829, Democrats plus 28, if you're 65 years and older Republican
Speaker:plus 12, now the 65 years are older.
Speaker:I'm surprised.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:cuz they were the demographic most likely to have been hit by Covid.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And it was the Republicans who would've died probably at a rate of two to one.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So I would've expected a bigger loss of Republican voters in
Speaker:that, in that demographic.
Speaker:They'd been conditioned to blame Biden anyway for it.
Speaker:Maybe.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Well the condition that, that that Trump actually did a good
Speaker:job in terms of covid, so the.
Speaker:By race and ethnicity, white men, Republican plus 28 white women,
Speaker:Republican plus eight black women, Democrat plus 78, and black men Democrat
Speaker:plus 65 Latino women, Democrat plus 33 Latino men, Democrat plus eight.
Speaker:Some Latino men can be quite conservative.
Speaker:Some of Latino voters in general, a bit more conservative
Speaker:than the African Americans.
Speaker:So yeah.
Speaker:I saw with the Latino men a lot of them are human.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And they have a horror of anything that could possibly be communist
Speaker:because they come from Cuba.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And they've been indoctrinated.
Speaker:Well that too.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Urban, rural divide.
Speaker:Urban Democrat plus 17 rural Republican plus 29.
Speaker:and education.
Speaker:Put it this way.
Speaker:White voters, college degree, democrat plus three white voters, no degree
Speaker:Republican plus 34 . It's big.
Speaker:So it all fits all.
Speaker:What, what does all this add up to?
Speaker:That if you are male old and no degree with no degree and you are
Speaker:white and you live in a rural area, then you'll be Republican then
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So yeah, all of that stuff.
Speaker:I've got a picture of there's just that one of Katie Perry there, Joe.
Speaker:I'll put that one up.
Speaker:You can put that one.
Speaker:I'll see if I can find it.
Speaker:Hang on.
Speaker:Yeah, it's, He's gotta rattle through those graphs.
Speaker:This is a picture of , I dunno where she was on this particular picture.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I wonder if it's taken outta context.
Speaker:Ah, sure it is but it's gonna be good for a joke anyway, so Can't find it.
Speaker:Hang on.
Speaker:Not too many.
Speaker:Yeah, go back one.
Speaker:I got a little excited.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:There's Katie, Terry, Barry, after all, guess what?
Speaker:She voted a Republican.
Speaker:Did she though?
Speaker:I mean she kissed a girl and she liked it.
Speaker:Yeah, I think she's changed.
Speaker:So, no, she was quite vocal as Republican and cuz her ex-partner,
Speaker:Who's that guy that she's married to?
Speaker:Russell Brown.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And he's supposedly lefty Libertarian.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Lunatic.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Anyway, they're not to get through anymore.
Speaker:He's deep in the conspiracies.
Speaker:Yes he is.
Speaker:He's got a podcast.
Speaker:All sorts of crazy stuff happening.
Speaker:I think the gurus, the Decoding the gurus, I think did a bit
Speaker:on Russell Brand at one stage.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I preferred him when he was on drugs.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:one of these guys who scallops though, he's got selected phrases at the top of
Speaker:his head and he just rattles off things really quickly in a way of trying to
Speaker:illustrate that he's intelligent, smart, but I think it's just done in a gish
Speaker:gallop way where he throws stuff out, he's not really genuinely trying to engage.
Speaker:But anyway, that's just me.
Speaker:That was Katie Perry.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Rick's, so bricks we mentioned last week is the Brazil, Russia,
Speaker:India, China, and South Africa.
Speaker:So it's not a free trade.
Speaker:Members do coordinate on trade matters, and they've established their own
Speaker:bank called the New Development Bank.
Speaker:And China has also set up its own bank, the Asia Infrastructure Bank.
Speaker:And those two banks collectively have 100 billion and they're set up as a
Speaker:sort of alternative to the imf, which of course will lend money to poor developing
Speaker:countries, but on the basis that they open up their economies and allow them to
Speaker:be raped by multinationals from the west and force them to do all sorts of things
Speaker:that are actually bad for their economies.
Speaker:We've talked about any number of times in the past.
Speaker:But essentially the IMF says you've got to Raise taxes, you've gotta
Speaker:cut social services, you've gotta sell off your national assets.
Speaker:So your water infrastructure or other, any infrastructure
Speaker:you've got, you've gotta sell it.
Speaker:And by the way, you are borrowing from us in US dollars.
Speaker:So if you currency tanks in any way compared to the US dollar,
Speaker:you'll really be screwed and you'll need even more money from us.
Speaker:And and I, and you've gotta allow our international companies to
Speaker:come into your country and buy up whatever they want to buy.
Speaker:And that's all of these bananas.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And that's the recipe that the IMF imposes on these countries, which is just
Speaker:a recipe to keep them under the thumb.
Speaker:So Bricks has got their own banks set up to do a competition to
Speaker:the international military fund.
Speaker:And so I think let me just where is this?
Speaker:Bring up this graph of what bricks looks like.
Speaker:I think, yeah, so that's what this is a proposed bricks
Speaker:expansion is on the screen.
Speaker:So, essentially there's a bunch of countries who are
Speaker:looking to join this group.
Speaker:So the countries that are looking to join are Algeria, Argentina, Iran Saudi
Speaker:Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, Afghanistan, and Kazakhstan, Nicaragua Nigeria,
Speaker:Segal, Thailand, United Arab Emirates.
Speaker:They're all sniffing around wanting to be part of bricks, and that's a
Speaker:real danger for the US in terms of maintaining control because the IMF
Speaker:and it's the way it operates has been a big part of us maintaining
Speaker:its control over the world system.
Speaker:And let me just leave this one across here so I can read it on its own.
Speaker:Hang on one second.
Speaker:I'm coming off the mic a bit, aren't I?
Speaker:Hang on.
Speaker:So there's some interesting things to do with China.
Speaker:So really we mentioned last week about the u US trying to screw down in terms of
Speaker:chips, for example, where they're saying to the world must not sell these machines
Speaker:that will allow China to build these high quality computer chips and other sanctions
Speaker:that the US wants to impose on China.
Speaker:And one of the problems for the US in trying to get other countries to
Speaker:join them in these sanctions is a lot of these countries are doing a
Speaker:calculation and they're thinking, Well, we do a lot of trade with China.
Speaker:Not so much with the usa.
Speaker:So why would we piss off the people that we do most of our trade with
Speaker:for you guys and money talks.
Speaker:So on the screen is a image of US China trade war, and this is 1980 and it
Speaker:shows in blue which countries most their biggest trading partner was America.
Speaker:And it shows in red the countries whose biggest trading partner was China.
Speaker:And you'll see that there were very few countries that were red and most
Speaker:of it was blue, and that was 1980.
Speaker:If you then go to 2001, you will see a minor expansion to Africa in the
Speaker:Middle East and some of the sort of.
Speaker:Stand countries, I guess, in middle Europe.
Speaker:And then going forward to 2018, when you look at the world map in terms of
Speaker:trade, China just completely dominates.
Speaker:So it's only been a matter of, of 40 years where it's gone from what was essentially,
Speaker:actually maybe that's on the next slide.
Speaker:Let's see if that turns out.
Speaker:No it doesn't.
Speaker:Essentially in 40 years, most countries that most of their trade was with
Speaker:the usa and now for most countries, most of their trade is with China.
Speaker:And that's what's going to be the tipping point where these people
Speaker:say, No, not gonna do what you want.
Speaker:Sorry.
Speaker:Love you America like a brother, but only so far.
Speaker:So see how that pans out.
Speaker:Let me just, Muck around with some windows on the screen here.
Speaker:What else have I got here?
Speaker:Not sure whether to show this or not.
Speaker:What have I got in my clips?
Speaker:Where are we at, Joe?
Speaker:8 53.
Speaker:That's long enough.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, I've got some clips, but if I get into those it'll just keep, keep going.
Speaker:One of them's titled Chinese Angle searches.
Speaker:That's kind of tempting to show that one, but go on.
Speaker:. I mentioned earlier that Drew Pavlo, I was the one Twitter person I follow
Speaker:who has a paid for his blue tick and he's just notoriously anti-China.
Speaker:And he basically found this image of this woman who was being arrested by
Speaker:police with hands behind her back.
Speaker:And he wrote here, Let's see how CCP supporters like Daniel Rumble, try to
Speaker:defend Chinese police pinning people to the ground while performing anal swab
Speaker:tests In public, you would think this must be indefensible, but you never know.
Speaker:It's gonna picture that he's seen in on Twitter again, I guess.
Speaker:And you only have to look closely at the image.
Speaker:And the woman, the angle swab is actually basically a zip
Speaker:tie, a white plastic zip tie.
Speaker:And her hands are being tied behind her back and can't think of, well, no,
Speaker:sorry, I can't think of anal test that requires an anal swab and that's to
Speaker:see whether you've got bowel cancer.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And I can't imagine the police going around arresting people to check
Speaker:whether or not they've got bowel cancer.
Speaker:No.
Speaker:And and it's just clear from the picture.
Speaker:With the positioning of the hands and the positioning of the, of the zip tie.
Speaker:This is, this is nowhere near this woman's just resting her.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And Drew is demonstrating a lack of knowledge of anatomy as well.
Speaker:There's a lot of other things on this one, so.
Speaker:Mm-hmm.
Speaker:, picture the show i'd.
Speaker:So, Alright, , thanks in the chat room for being there.
Speaker:It's an hour and a half that'll see us through.
Speaker:Not sure, be on the agenda for next week.
Speaker:Be something similar.
Speaker:Not sure.
Speaker:We'll talk to you then.
Speaker:Bye for now.