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SI160: Long-Term Performance vs Short-Term Hot Streaks ft. Rob Carver
3rd October 2021 • Top Traders Unplugged • Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
00:00:00 01:04:29

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Rob Carver returns to the show today to discuss the varying performances among CTAs during the notable market moves of the last few weeks, how to decide whether one system is better or worse than another, spread betting as part of a diversified portfolio, raising initial capital when starting a new firm, some thoughts on the US debt ceiling & its proposed '1 trillion dollar' coin, and how to safely improve your system while still adhering to its rules.

In this episode, we discuss:

  • Why returns dispersion among CTAs is higher than ever recently
  • How to gauge a system's long-term effectiveness
  • Spread betting in the UK as an alternative to futures
  • How to raise AUM when starting a new firm
  • The US debt ceiling and its proposed '1 trillion dollar' coin
  • Adding parameters to a system

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:11 - Feel free to share this podcast with like-minded friends using this link: and a big thank you to those who have left a rating or review on iTunes

03:03 - Macro recap from Niels

05:43 - Weekly review of returns

12:49 - How different types of CTAs have performed during the market moves of the last few weeks

21:14 - How to decide whether a system is better or worse than another system

26:11 - Q1; Matt: Has Rob ever considered using SpreadBetting to build a diversified portfolio instead of futures?

34:24 - Q2; Joel: How much investor money would you need if you were to start a firm today, and where would you find these investors?

38:23 - Thoughts on the US debt ceiling and the ‘platinum coin’ (check out this funny video by YouTube creator Remy)

46:58 - Rob’s new system adjustment which places constraints on positions based on leverage

55:56 - Some information on Rob Carver’s new book which is due to be released late 2022

59:36 - Benchmark performance update