Ninety percent of the room raised their hand. The question was who here is building something, and the room was a Claude meetup in Toronto — three hundred people, with four or five hundred more on a waitlist. Lawyers. Doctors. Everyone building something on a weekend.
Chris Grimes and Reuven Gorsht start there and end up somewhere less comfortable: if anyone can build the product, the product is not the business.
They work through what that means for AI startups, for the app layer sitting between the frontier labs and the customer, and for mortgage lending specifically. Chris rebuilt a top-three fitness app in ninety minutes on a Sunday. A tool set that needed Claude Code four months ago is now a feature of the model provider. Half a trillion dollars went into startups in the first half of 2026, and roughly 43 cents of every dollar went to two companies.
If the product can be built over a weekend, the product was never the business. So what is? That is the question the rest of the episode is trying to answer, and in regulated lending it turns out to have a different answer than it does anywhere else.
What you'll take away
Chapters
(00:00) A maxed-out AI week
(01:16) Three hundred people at a Claude meetup
(04:06) A great time and a terrible time to build
(06:08) Why lenders don't shop vendors
(09:29) A product mid-flight, and testing distribution first
(10:46) Half a trillion in funding, and where it went
(12:22) The app layer, and the fitness app built on a Sunday
(16:36) Long Lake, Amex, and margin as the real prize
(20:12) Razor-thin lending margins and the tax agent
(27:00) Fannie, OSFI E-23, and the coming washout
(30:23) The cleaning company paying four thousand a month
(33:17) Start with the problem, not the AI
Mentioned in this episode
Anthropic, whose economic index comes up in the discussion of what people are actually building with these tools
Lovable, the platform used to rebuild a top-three fitness app in an hour and a half
Long Lake, the HOA management company founded in 2023, and the episode's central example of where margin really sits
Amex Global Business Travel, the low-margin operation Long Lake acquired, and the case study Reuven builds the argument on
OSFI E-23, Canada's model risk management guidance, cited as the deadline Canadian lenders are working toward
Fannie Mae, whose AI transparency and traceability requirements took effect recently
The Mortgage Bankers Association, credited on tape for the cost-to-originate figures
Your hosts
Chris Grimes is CEO of FundMore.
Reuven Gorsht is CEO of Deeded and The Variable.
One builds the tool. One absorbs the friction.
Related episode
AI vs. The Human Element— Balancing Trust and Technology — two AI conferences in one week, fifteen vendor demos, and the three questions a lender has to answer that nobody could
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New episodes every Tuesday.
The hardest business to build right now is a business
2
:whose product is intelligence.
3
:All right.
4
:Welcome, Chris, how's it going?
5
:What, how's your week?
6
:Chris: A lot been going on, but,
I, I maxed out, my Max account,
7
:my Enterprise account, and, almost
maxed out my OpenAI account all in
8
:the same week, so that's a record.
9
:Never…
10
:I haven't really hit that token maxing
thing before, but, uh, yeah, it was
11
:e- it was either a very expensive
week, depending on how you look
12
:at it, or a very productive week
13
:Reuven: So you got no,
there's no working AI.
14
:how do you deal with that?
15
:Chris: I didn't know what to
do with myself at about 4:00
16
:on, was it Wednesday afternoon?
17
:I just sat there and said,
"Well, what do I do now?"
18
:Reuven: Crazy.
19
:Well, busy, busy week, I guess.
20
:Yeah.
21
:Um, on, on my end, um, and, and this
is kinda what we wanted to maybe
22
:dive into in, in, in the, in this
episode is, So this was, this wasn't
23
:this week, it was actually last week.
24
:Time's flying here in the summer.
25
:but I went to this, Claude meetup,
it was, it was here in Toronto.
26
:About, I think about 300
some odd people showed up.
27
:the organizer said they had a wait
list of about 4 or 500 other people
28
:that they couldn't let in 'cause just
the venue couldn't accommodate it.
29
:wanted to share just a, a couple insights.
30
:First of all, it's nice to see so many
people out there, getting interested
31
:in AI or, this was specific to Claude,
although I don't think it was sponsored
32
:by Anthropic or anything like that.
33
:I did a little bit of networking
before, before the event started, and
34
:met some very interesting people, and
just very quick observation, it was,
35
:uh, you know, you had young people, you
had older people, you had, new grads,
36
:you had experienced entrepreneurs.
37
:but the common thread is everybody…
38
:And I think, when they started
the event, they asked, to raise
39
:their hand if they have a company
or they're building something.
40
:I think a good, 90% of the room
just, like, raised their hand, and
41
:they, they're building something.
42
:So I met, a, a young gentleman who
was a CPA, and he's, discovered
43
:just through some of his work,
all the manual work that, that's
44
:required to close the books, and he's
selling an AI that, that does that.
45
:just really all, all sorts of
bu- all sorts of businesses.
46
:But, what really got me, Chris, was the…
47
:When they started the panel, so they had,
basically three experienced entrepreneurs,
48
:or actually two entrepreneurs, one VC.
49
:And, the topic was really all about,
what's the state of the market?
50
:What's the state a- of AI?
51
:And this, question came up, I think
it might have been from the audience.
52
:It says, "Is now time
to build an AI company?"
53
:And, one, one of the entrepreneurs said,
there's never been a better time to build
54
:a company or become an entrepreneur."
55
:And, the other one kind of said
something that was really interesting.
56
:He said, now is probably the worst
time to build an AI company."
57
:and then he went on to describe just,
the saturation and the noise and the, the
58
:fact that, even if you look at Anthropic,
they released that economic index
59
:analysis, and you see a peak activity.
60
:You talk about token maxing during the
week, Chris, like the weekends is when,
61
:consumption goes through the roof.
62
:So people are doing work.
63
:They're, lawyers are vi-
vibe coding, doctors are.
64
:Everyone's building something.
65
:Chris: It actually, it reminds me of
66
:Reuven: that session, it, it was, it was
just it was overwhelming to see how much
67
:noise and how much interest there was.
68
:Chris: I was gonna say it, it
reminded me of, another episode
69
:of another podcast I listened to.
70
:And, Andreessen Horowitz was on there,
and he was talking about exactly this.
71
:This is not too long ago,
four or six weeks ago.
72
:And he said, you know, it's, it's a great
time and a terrible time because what,
73
:what the different- differentiator was
for, you know, someone without engineering
74
:capacity is now being completely disrupted
because you can use AI to go to market.
75
:And then on the flip side, if
you, you know, you have zero
76
:coding experience, well, building
software is, is democratized.
77
:There's n- there's no one…
78
:Like, anyone can do it now, which I,
you know, is, is what you're talking
79
:about with, you know, everyone vibe
coding something on the weekend.
80
:You know, whether that's building
something as simple as a website or
81
:building the next mobile app, it's,
it's at everyone's fingertips now.
82
:Reuven: Yeah.
83
:I think the panel, you know, they
were asked to provide some advice
84
:for the room, and, most of the advice
was about, how do you differentiate?
85
:And, y- we hear the co- the constant
themes and for, for our listeners,
86
:there are common themes like,
getting proprietary data or the
87
:data flywheel or, understanding
the domain, understanding judgment,
88
:going to the next frontier, right?
89
:and, um, a lot of the, a
lot of those things are…
90
:they're great.
91
:They're the right,
they're the right advice.
92
:But, what really got me is, is really
that, uh, tone shift that, y- any- anybody
93
:can, like you said, Chris, anybody can
vibe code something over the weekend.
94
:The other thing is, for folks that
are running these software companies,
95
:whether if it's an AI native company
or a traditional company, their
96
:customers are now vibe coding parts
of their software over the weekend.
97
:what have you seen, just curious,
uh, Chris, out there in terms of,
98
:companies, starting to commoditize
kind of what you do in your business?
99
:Have you seen some of that?
100
:Have you seen attempts to do that?
101
:Chris: Should probably sort
of declare my stance, I guess.
102
:I mean, I'm basically the
guy on the panel, right?
103
:I mean, I've been…
104
:I'm shipping software, and,
105
:you know, I've been doing
so for the last six years.
106
:So, you know, if, I guess if your
thesis is right or theirs is,
107
:then, you know, I'm gonna become a
cautionary tale in this whole story.
108
:M- and, and, and maybe not.
109
:But, you know, I think, I think what's,
what, what's been interesting is…
110
:And then I'll take the FundMore lens
for a second because it's, it's what
111
:we, you know, as, as we do this.
112
:But, you know, when…
113
:With the lenders we approach, the lenders
we speak to, you know, one thing's clear.
114
:Lenders aren't picking a, a vendor,
you know, from, from a list, right?
115
:That today, you know, if they're
buying, and I think that's a question,
116
:question mark, because I think there is
a little bit of, you know, hesitation
117
:or trepidation in the market right
now because there's so much noise.
118
:There's so much coming at them.
119
:and, and, you know, if they did put a list
together, you know, I would even go back
120
:three years, and you would, you basically
have someone in a procurement team.
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:You know, if you're, if you're
sitting there as an executive
122
:and said, "I need a…"
123
:I use erasers.
124
:we need new erasers for the office."
125
:They
126
:would, would give the, list to
the, to the procurement team.
127
:The procurement team would go out and find
all the vendors in the world that make
128
:erasers, and they would have their budget,
and they would find the right vendor.
129
:And all of a sudden on, you
know, a week later you'd have
130
:your erasers in your office.
131
:And I know I, I use that in, a little
bit generally, but in, in coming…
132
:Because I wanna sort of give an
example of, you know, how these lenders
133
:should be thinking about software now.
134
:Because, you know,
they're coming at the…
135
:They're, th- every day there's a
new AI solution coming into lending.
136
:and, you know, the scarcity of it is, is
no longer, is no longer the challenge.
137
:And, and building the code
is no longer the challenge.
138
:but, you know, I think the one thing
that maybe that didn't come out
139
:in that, in that panel, and, and
maybe it did, but, I wasn't there.
140
:But it's this, it's the permission
to get access to the money and, you
141
:know, to get access to that dollar.
142
:And that only comes with, you know, 20
years or 30 years or 15 years of building
143
:these relationships, knowing that if you
had to pick up, you know, make a call,
144
:someone on the other end's gonna, other
end will actually answer your call.
145
:Where if you just built an app to, extract
data from documents, well, frankly, drop
146
:it in Gemini, or drop it in Claude, or
drop it in Copilot, and every one of
147
:those solutions will give you exactly
what's happening in that document today.
148
:It's, that's, it- it's, it's not, there's
no secret sauce there anymore, right?
149
:And so, because it's too easy
to access that now, you know, to
150
:your point, well, is it secure?
151
:You know, is, is the- You know,
what is this, what is this
152
:actually being trained on?
153
:Because if you think about it for, in,
you know, in, in this mortgage industry
154
:that we both operate in, you know,
it's, it's very specific, type of,
155
:type of outputs that they need to run
through their, their lending journey.
156
:And so, you know, just because you know
the name of the street doesn't necessarily
157
:mean it feeds into the workflow later on.
158
:And so understanding that at a really
r- rudimentary level and then really
159
:deep within that vertical helps as
well when I think you're, you're,
160
:you're out in, in market trying
to, to, to promote these things.
161
:a-and actually I, I want one more
example and then I'll pass it back
162
:to you for a second because it
just, it just popped in my head.
163
:And, and you know, I think, you know,
when, when you think about those, those
164
:three, those three types of things, and
we actually have a product that's sort
165
:of mid-flight right now at FundMore.
166
:And w- you know, we're, we're w- before,
before it hits the market, we had already
167
:written down sort of, you know, in plain
English what was, what was gonna make
168
:this, a defensible asset and how are we
gonna distribute it and where, who, who…
169
:What were the relationships in market that
could help us actually access the market?
170
:And it wasn't about, you know,
product marketing or the motion
171
:or the sales motion behind it.
172
:Frankly, it wasn't even
about the product working.
173
:It was do we have the relationships
to distribute this at scale?
174
:And if we don't and it, and, and
they decide to potentially not
175
:back that idea, then we were out.
176
:We weren't gonna build it and we
weren't gonna go forward with it.
177
:So that's…
178
:And, you know, we're sort of
mid-flight in that right now.
179
:We've got the prototype because like you
said, we can vibe code it on a weekend.
180
:and now we're out in market pitching it
to see if the distribution is there and
181
:if it's there, then we're gonna spend
the next eight weeks productizing it.
182
:But that's the cycle, right?
183
:The, the, the life cycle of that, of,
of, of how we're looking at it now.
184
:Reuven: Yeah.
185
:No, that's brilliant, and, couldn't
agree with you more, Chris.
186
:just the amount of noise, if I look at,
my Facebook feed or Instagram, I start
187
:getting all those ads for the, industry
solutions, and I don't think there's been
188
:a week where I haven't seen something new.
189
:But they're all fairly generic, right?
190
:They all have that
generic value proposition.
191
:And, maybe just to put some numbers
on just how much we're seeing happen
192
:out there is, is, you know, so
global startup funding first half
193
:of 2026 hit an all-time record.
194
:The number's $510 billion,
so half a trillion, right?
195
:when you look under the covers,
it sounds like half a trillion
196
:dollars is pouring into startups.
197
:Wow, the world is changing.
198
:Underneath the covers, about 43 cents out
of every dollar went to two companies.
199
:That's OpenAI and
Anthropic, got 217 billion.
200
:so it, obviously it's a large amount
of money going out to the rest of
201
:the market, probably some, larger and
companies that have a lot more traction.
202
:And like you said, Chris, that, that
level of distribution and relationships.
203
:but at the end of the day, that,
that noise is only going to
204
:accelerate, and it does become a
bit of survival of the fittest.
205
:So if I'm, if I'm putting myself
in a buyer's chair, I really gotta
206
:ask the question of how many of
these companies are really gonna be
207
:around in the next, couple years?
208
:Any thoughts there?
209
:Chris: I think that's, I
mean, that's the big question.
210
:And, you know, I think if you look
at y-your, your point that half that
211
:money base has gone to two companies.
212
:And, and you can throw Google
in there too, they've just, you
213
:know, a lot of that's been in
self-investment, and they don't
214
:really count themselves as a startup.
215
:But you have these three predominant
players, and I think, you know, f- I
216
:was looking at a chart the other day,
and you look at the usage, OpenAI
217
:users are still exponentially greater.
218
:Then you have Gemini Google
users, then you have Claude users.
219
:And these, you know, make up majority
of the people playing with AI today.
220
:But I think one thing that's,
that's becoming super clear
221
:around this is that they can't…
222
:I-if they're gonna take all that money in,
it can't just be about building the next
223
:frontier model because the intelligence
stack on that is gonna be limited.
224
:And so the next step is building
the app layers on top of it.
225
:And you, you know, we're starting,
you started to see that with,
226
:you know, the capacity of what
Cowork can do for you today.
227
:you know, you can build these
workflows and these agents and these
228
:artifacts and these HTML outputs
that, you know, before you, you could
229
:never have done that without coding.
230
:And even really four months ago,
like we talked about this in the
231
:last episode, I built that, team of
agents to support my decision-making.
232
:I had to use Claude Code to execute that.
233
:Today, I could build it on, with Cowork.
234
:And so the, you know, the
h-how easy it is to be able to
235
:bring these things to market.
236
:And, and the reason why I reference that
is because all those other companies out
237
:there that are being heavily funded and,
you know, the level, the Lovables and
238
:things like this, that, you know, when
they got released were f- game changing.
239
:It was incredible.
240
:I could go in there, I could build an app.
241
:You know, I, I, I built a…
242
:And I did it for fun because I wanted
to learn how it worked, and I built,
243
:basically a fitness tracking app,
and it had the whole, the nutrition
244
:pieces, it had all the, the, you
know, the, the core metrics you'd
245
:wanna track and all these things.
246
:And then I looked at it and said,
"Well, this is basically if you
247
:go onto your, your Apple or Google
store, and you're gonna g- and you
248
:look in like fitness apps and you
just go find the top three," you…
249
:I basically replicated that in, in, in
an hour and a half on a Sunday, right?
250
:It was…
251
:And, but now, and that was on Lovable.
252
:Well, today, I could build
that whole thing within Claude
253
:or probably, or Anthropic.
254
:And, so-
255
:Reuven: part of your plan essentially
without paying for another tool,
256
:Chris: Exactly.
257
:Exactly.
258
:And so, you know, all that money
that's gone into these other companies,
259
:the question is, where's that,
where's that money going and gone?
260
:Because these, these three, leaders
in the space, in order to continue to
261
:be at the forefront and driving the
revenue value they're, they're cr- or
262
:the revenue they're creating, they have
to continue to build that app layer.
263
:And if they're gonna be the ones leading
the app layer, this won't be like any
264
:transformation in the past, right?
265
:Where, and, and I, I mean, I- you wrote
a really good, post about this on your
266
:Substack, I think it was last week, right?
267
:Or earlier this week.
268
:And, you know, I, I commented on it
because, you know, my, my theory, and this
269
:is how much this is all changing, I, you
know, I, I gave some examples about, about
270
:history and, you know, I've always enjoyed
history and I talked about a little
271
:bit of railway on my comment to you.
272
:But it was talking about, you know,
if you look at the top five companies
273
:in, in Canada and in the US that
are responsible for, in Canada,
274
:connecting coast to coast, and in the
US c- connecting all four corners,
275
:at one point they all went bankrupt.
276
:And they built the rail, and, it was all
the train companies and, that moved the
277
:people that actually made all the money.
278
:Now, most, a couple of those companies
still exist, but that's because the
279
:government stepped in and huge bailouts
back then to keep, to actually make these
280
:into logistics companies effectively.
281
:And, uh, but that's, you know, I make
that comment because I think, you know,
282
:a week ago I would've said, "Holy jeez,
this is heading in the same direction."
283
:And you're seeing these, all this
money being poured into these three
284
:or four companies that are building
the, the infrastructure for the
285
:pipeline for this next app layer.
286
:But, I think what we're seeing, and
I'll, and, and, and I think, you
287
:know, you mentioned this to me the
other day, but, you know, OpenAI's
288
:finding a way to cut their, their token
cost in half, and, and, or by 20%.
289
:And, you know, and, and
like, what's your…
290
:Like, h- how do you see this now?
291
:Because if they're able to start
giving this away for virtually
292
:free, that changes everything.
293
:Reuven: Yeah, no, I, I think, I think,
Chris, I'm really changing my lens, right?
294
:As I run a services company.
295
:Deeded, at the end of the day,
we use AI, but we're pushing real
296
:estate files, we're dealing with
brokers, we're dealing with lawyers.
297
:Like there's a lot of back and forth.
298
:But I- I'm way less excited about all
this technology and the benchmarking
299
:and the frontiers, for the same
reason we just talked about.
300
:It's a crowded and noisy space.
301
:The hardest business to build right now is
a business whose product is intelligence.
302
:And I think, power to the people,
they've got tons of money behind them.
303
:And I'm sure, there will be winners
and trillion dollar companies
304
:that are already emerging.
305
:It's, it's fascinating to watch.
306
:It's a great, business, business case.
307
:It's gonna be one of those lessons in
history, Chris, if we, if we're old
308
:enough to quote that at some point.
309
:but the easiest leverage right now is,
belongs to those folks that already
310
:own a customer, they already have a
workflow, and most importantly, they
311
:have a reason for someone to pay, right?
312
:So in other words, you have an
existing business, and it could be…
313
:And I've got a couple examples,
that I've written in my recent blog
314
:that, that are, really traditional
businesses, and you wouldn't think
315
:that they're sexy or they're exciting.
316
:one company, for example,
Chris, is called Long Lake.
317
:started in 2023.
318
:Their business is managing
HOAs, homeowner associations.
319
:They're…
320
:So they're collecting dues, they're
running their board meetings,
321
:they're, arranging for landscaping,
all that sort of stuff, right?
322
:doesn't sound exciting, but I know it's
a business, that someone's gotta do.
323
:and this company, out of nowhere
ac- acquired, something called
324
:Amex, Global Business Travel.
325
:So Amex, we know Amex for being in, in
the credit card business, but Amex has a
326
:huge, global business travel, division.
327
:They did about 2.7
328
:billion in revenue in 2025.
329
:Uh, but their profits have been
very low, so they've had about
330
:130 million operating profits.
331
:So if you do the math, it's
about, you know, it's a 4.8
332
:you know, sub five margin business, right?
333
:so Chris, so this company at, Long
Lake that manages HOAs goes and
334
:buys this like, massive, giant,
and I think they paid about 6.3
335
:billion for essentially a 4.8%
336
:margin business.
337
:and at, on the surface,
it doesn't make any sense.
338
:I think if you kinda do the math,
that's a lot of money for, essentially
339
:a very low-yielding business.
340
:what was under the covers is that,
Long Lake has really figured out,
341
:how to use AI for their operations.
342
:So their cost of delivery on that A- HOA
management and all these acquisitions
343
:that they've done, basically, i- has 80%
common infrastructure, which now they're
344
:rolling into that, Amex acquisition.
345
:So they're, in fact, running the business
from, that traditionally runs 0 to
346
:5% margin, same thing on the property
management HOA, now they're able to
347
:deliver that at over 20% margin, right?
348
:I think there's, and there's
several other examples.
349
:I think, Chris, you might have a couple
as well that just have figured it out.
350
:They've figured it out h- either
by transforming their business or
351
:building from scratch, but that's
where the big needle is moving on
352
:billions of dollars, obviously.
353
:You move the needle even on
one point of margin and you're
354
:doing really well, right?
355
:Any thoughts there?
356
:Chris: Yeah, it doesn't…
357
:I mean, it's, it's interesting, right?
358
:It, it's, it's not gonna take a lot to
drive real margin in a lot of businesses.
359
:I mean, I'm … Maybe I'll pick on lending
again, or mortgage lending in particular.
360
:But, you know, margins in this is, a- as
you know, are, like, razor thin, right?
361
:Primarily, it's a very
people-intensive process.
362
:you know, and, and, and it's not
people working on high-value work.
363
:It's not people working on driving
new revenue channels or bringing
364
:new money into the business, or
even figuring out how, you know, of
365
:the, of the 100 loans that walk in
the door, how do we actually fund a
366
:hun- fund 100 of those loans, right?
367
:And they're always in the
weeds, so they're funding 20,
368
:30%, 35, 40% on a good day.
369
:… At the end of it, they're sitting
back and saying, "Geez, our margins
370
:are three, four," you know, on a, on
a good day five maybe, perc- percent.
371
:And y- you're sitting there
and saying, "How do you really
372
:run a business on this?"
373
:you know, kind of just echoing what you
said, but if you can get to the point
374
:where, you know, you're not spending
the 100 hours on that file, but you're
375
:spending six hours on that file, then all
of a sudden, you know, margins change.
376
:You know, I, I think, you know, I
think there was an, an example of this
377
:with OpenAI in, is it Crete, I think?
378
:Something like that.
379
:you know, and they, they built a,
effectively a tax agent that, you
380
:know, drafts returns and improves
on itself and, you know, you know,
381
:across that firm, you know, at least
in the pilot stage, like seven…
382
:It was like 7,000 returns
they ran in, in, in session.
383
:And, you know, it was north of 97%
accuracy and, you know, the, it's
384
:equivalent of, like, one senior accountant
who would spend 180 hours on a tax,
385
:files down to something like 15 hours.
386
:So, you know, all of a sudden it
doesn't take a team of, a, a, an army
387
:of, of accountants to be able to, to
make it through tax season, right?
388
:You can, you can run it on one or
two, and you're just as profitable.
389
:Or you can be … You, you can decide that
you don't kill yourself during tax season
390
:and, you know, you keep your team and
everyone's working a normal working hour.
391
:But I think the same thing, you know,
is, is prime for, for the businesses
392
:we're in today too is, you know,
how, how do you make that, that one
393
:underwriter, how do you make that one
processor, how do you make that one
394
:funding specialist or risk officer,
whatever it is, become, you know, way
395
:more efficient by re- by reducing that,
that burden of, of, diligence they have
396
:to do to be able to make those decisions?
397
:Reuven: Yeah.
398
:And I think, like part of the concern
that I'm hearing is that, companies
399
:have been burned before, right?
400
:Let's put it this way.
401
:It's, we're not AI isn't anything new.
402
:It's another, you know,
CapEx, sometimes OPEX, right?
403
:for companies.
404
:And there's been a good,
25, 30 years of technology.
405
:and you talk about, the moving the
needle on, let's say, cost to originate
406
:a loan, and I don't think we've seen
it come down, unless I'm, unless
407
:there's something I'm missing, right?
408
:I think it's only, it's only gone up, um,
409
:Chris: They gone
410
:Reuven: the thought was that,
businesses have seen this movie before.
411
:We've had different generations
of technology previous to AI,
412
:different, loan origination systems.
413
:There was, mobile.
414
:There was a whole bunch of stuff before
made some pretty bold promises, but
415
:I'm not sure that, many businesses
actually saw the results, because the
416
:numbers on the cost of originating a
lo- a loan, really haven't changed much
417
:Chris: No, they haven't.
418
:I mean, they've only gone up, right?
419
:Like it's something I, I've, you
know, I've been saying since I really
420
:moved into technology around 2018.
421
:I think back then it was around 9,000
some odd dollars to take a, a lead
422
:to, to fund, you know, through that
process and with all the people that
423
:have to touch it and everything else.
424
:Today, I think, you know, I
think MBA just released a stat,
425
:somewhere north of 12,000.
426
:Yet, if you look at all the money that's
been put into supposedly automating this
427
:process, AI or not, that somewhere in
there we should have seen that gain.
428
:We haven't.
429
:It's still, you know, it's,
it's o- it's only gone up.
430
:And, you know, maybe with
inflation it's still $9,000.
431
:So maybe the reality is, you
know, with cost of money, it's
432
:the same cost as it was in 2016.
433
:But I s- I'm sure if you looked at tech
budgets, vendor budgets, internal, build
434
:teams, you know, and everyone else,
those, those have only, have only grown.
435
:It's not like they've shrunk.
436
:And, and so we, you know, I'm not
sure where we've been able to get
437
:the lift we're-- through the last
eight years that everyone promised.
438
:And so I think, I do think this is
where, you know, we sh- we should be
439
:able to see the leverage in-- with
AI, and, and the c- and where how
440
:agents can come in and actually do
the work, opposed to the past where
441
:you had to have a machine and a human
kind of work together to do the work.
442
:And so I'm, I'm optimistic or positively
optimistic about this next kind of decade
443
:here in lending and, and some of the
opportunities that I think we're gonna see
444
:Reuven: so Chris, just, maybe
without being cynical, like
445
:what, what has to change, right?
446
:So if I'm looking at, Long Lake as an
example, or, there's a company called
447
:Current in the US, and, their business is,
they're buying and they're consolidating
448
:these accounting practices, right?
449
:So they've taken, about 50
CPA practices and consolidated
450
:them with one, AI platform.
451
:And basically, they have a tax
processing agent that literally
452
:refreshes itself every 48-hour cycle.
453
:This year they processed
about 7,000 returns.
454
:Their average prep time is down 31%.
455
:Data accuracy is at 98%.
456
:and one accountant's workload
went from 180 hours to 15.
457
:we're talking about, meaningfully
moving the needle on doing more,
458
:doing the same with far less, and I
think that's their thesis that they
459
:continue to, acquire these CPA firms.
460
:And, you know, a- again,
I, I wanna, be realistic.
461
:We're, we're, we're talking
apples and oranges, tax return
462
:to mortgages to lending.
463
:But what do you think, what do
you think needs to happen for the
464
:industry to have the same model?
465
:Like the current the industry, having
someone that really figured it out, that
466
:can show tangible numbers and say, "Look,
one loan officer just, was able to, to
467
:go from doing 50 files a year to 500."
468
:Chris: I mean, I think that question
still needs to be answered, and I think
469
:part of that is because the regulators
haven't decided yet how they're fully
470
:going to, regulate, I guess is the right
word, um, or oversee these, this sort of
471
:next generation of technology with AI.
472
:You have, you have Fannie in the US
that made a statement, I think it was
473
:about six months ago, and actually
the date was yesterday or Thursday.
474
:they had every lender who was
a Fannie lender had to comply
475
:to a bunch of, standards.
476
:And most of it was around visibility
and transparency and accountability
477
:and traceability of that, of what
an- what your AI is doing for you.
478
:Which actually comes back to probably
how we started this conversation
479
:because it is a super crowded space.
480
:Every time you turn around, there's
another company that's evolved because
481
:they vibe quoted something in their
basement, and they're out pitching lenders
482
:saying, "Hey, this is your solution."
483
:The problem is, is that they've
tr- they're using these large
484
:language models as the train…
485
:as, as what they were trained on
to be able to execute that task.
486
:Chris-AI: without having access to
the real data and the, and the real
487
:structure then of, of how these loans
actually work through a process, it's
488
:very difficult, I, I think, to actually,
um, adhere towards what Fannie asked.
489
:And I think in Canada, we saw…
490
:we're seeing the same thing with OSFI
E-23 just coming up in a, in a few weeks
491
:where, you know, version one of that's
landing as well, and it's giving, you
492
:know, lenders some guidance, again,
around visibility and transparency
493
:around what their AIs have to be a…
494
:Chris: they have to be auditable.
495
:and again, if you're relying on a large
language model as your source of, of, Of,
496
:of, of work, well, it's not that open.
497
:I, I don't know how I, I, I can…
498
:I mean, I'm like everyone else.
499
:You, you can go read about what, you know,
Anthropic or OpenAI have done to go and
500
:train their models, their frontier models,
and but that's not giving me the…
501
:And, and I can ask it how it sort of
came to it, but it's not really open.
502
:So, you know, I, I'm, I'm not really
answering the question because I think
503
:there's a big question mark right now.
504
:I think three weeks ago or six months ago,
it would've been easier to answer that.
505
:today, I think it, I think there
has to be a little more caution put
506
:into this, specifically for mortgage
lending, because of, of how, you
507
:know, they're, the, the, the lenders
are gonna be governed, around that.
508
:so you know, again, I will sort of
toot the Fundmore horn here a little
509
:bit or, or others in this space, but,
you know, having the relationships,
510
:having the clients, like you said
earlier, having, the technologies
511
:is, is, is easier to come by.
512
:But then figuring out how you
actually take all that and make
513
:this truly transparent in an
AI world is gonna be the next,
514
:quote-unquote, "frontier of lending."
515
:And I think the companies that figure
that out first, like how you do that,
516
:whether that's, a small model, a,
or a, or, or a large language model
517
:that's purely trained, you know, on, on
whatever, on, on lending as an example.
518
:Those are gonna be the ones that
actually find a path forward, I think.
519
:And I really believe there's gonna be a
washout in this, in this market because,
520
:because the regulators are going to
want governance that most of these small
521
:companies aren't gonna be able to provide
522
:Reuven: Yeah, no, for, for sure, Chris,
and it sounds like, again, full circle
523
:back to all the noise and the tug of war.
524
:There's always that tug of war
between, what's right, what's
525
:regulated, what's gonna be around
in years, in 10 years, right?
526
:So we've always gotta think that or have
that in very high consideration because
527
:build cost's super low, next to nothing.
528
:Token cost, dropping like a fly.
529
:that intelligence is, not, let- let's,
let's call it a non-obstacle, although
530
:as you pointed out, there is, there's
the training and, and, and judgment and
531
:taste and all the, all, all that stuff
that needs, interrelationship matters
532
:that need to be, inserted in there.
533
:but nonetheless, that, that
moat has really shifted.
534
:So whether you're looking at it from
a, software vendor perspective, or if
535
:I'm looking at it from a services lens,
what gets me excited is, now you've
536
:got these traditional businesses that
have traditionally had margins erode,
537
:accounting, parts of legal, homeowner
association management, um, um, to
538
:a guy this week that was running a
cleaning company, 17 cleaners, and
539
:was just about to quit the company
because just couldn't take it anymore.
540
:He's working, 18-hour days trying to
manage the scheduling and all that stuff.
541
:he's paying $4,000 a month, for an AI
agent that's now essentially managing
542
:all that appointment booking, all the
back office, all the rescheduling, all
543
:that stuff, and he's actually enjoying
his business and he's growing it, right?
544
:it- it's, there's a lot of magic
there, but the magic, you know, I
545
:think we would agree, Chris, happens
in the application of the technology.
546
:you, again, you won't see me
excited and jumping for joy
547
:about the next frontier model.
548
:Those companies are great.
549
:love the innovation.
550
:I get surprised every time.
551
:what matters is can I get my loan quicker?
552
:Can I get my office clean?
553
:Can I remove friction versus adding
more friction, just because I wanna,
554
:I wanna add technology, I wanna be,
or I wanna take the risk of being
555
:not compliant with some of these
regulations that are coming out, right?
556
:Chris: Yeah, no, I think that's,
I, I, I think that's well said, and
557
:I think that's how I see it too.
558
:I mean, may-maybe just before, you know,
we wrap up, 'cause you did ask me the
559
:question, maybe I'll just put it back
to you because I think, you know, maybe
560
:you you have a, a different
lens on it, a little bit.
561
:Like, like if you were sitting in
front of a sales team at, at a, a large
562
:institution today, and you're like,
"Okay, we have all these loan officers.
563
:They're producing on average,
you know, 10 loans a month.
564
:I have another guy
doing 50 loans a month."
565
:You know, like, what, what would you
suggest to even bridge the gap there?
566
:Because, you know, like if
you had everyone running at
567
:50, you'd be in great shape
568
:Reuven: it's fu- funny enough, I had the
conversation this week, so it's fresh
569
:on my mind and i- what I'm finding is,
it all started with an AI conversation.
570
:Let's talk about AI.
571
:I said, the first question was,
like, "Okay, what do you do
572
:today that's actually effective
and working, and what do you do
573
:that's a complete waste of time?"
574
:Because you're in ef- if you
wanna get efficiency, it's, yes,
575
:technology's gonna be the tool and
enabler, a lot of teams are still,
576
:they're still doing legacy practices
for either, managing relationships
577
:or touching base with clients.
578
:So my first question to this person
that I was chatting with, I said,
579
:what are you really good at?"
580
:And he said, I'm good
at talking to people."
581
:your answer is not AI.
582
:Your answer is, just go
talk to more people, right?
583
:At the…
584
:And, and but obviously, that's a kind of
a simple, on the surface answer, Chris.
585
:But you start with that problem in mind
to say, "Okay, so my, my, my superpower
586
:is going to talk to more people.
587
:How do I free up enough time?
588
:Because I know I've got all this time
in the back office, whether if it's
589
:paperwork or getting stuck between
portals and systems and complexity
590
:and regulation and compliance."
591
:and that's where we started to erode at
some of these bottlenecks versus, touching
592
:on the, the, the, the, what he thought was
the problem was, like, I'm not using AI.
593
:What we really came, came up with is,
you gotta find ways to free up more
594
:time so you can talk to more people.
595
:And when you talk to more people,
if you're, if you're good at it,
596
:you're gonna get more business
and you're gonna do more loans.
597
:Chris: It's actually, um, you
know, a, a, a good point, and
598
:it's something we actually use
in our AI lending labs, right?
599
:When we bring, you know, these executives
together in a room, when w- the, you
600
:know, a- after, you know, we give the,
the sort of the market update on where
601
:AI is and we group them, group them,
the first ses- the first 45 minutes
602
:is let's just dig into that problem.
603
:Before we ask AI to solve it, let's
dig into the problem and then, you
604
:know, collectively amongst peers, we
get an incredible sort of challenge
605
:that we put into, you know, in, in
AI, you know, Claude Cowork or, or
606
:OpenAI and, and really try to build
out the, the workflows from that.
607
:But you're right.
608
:It starts with that problem and,
and if you can identify it, and you
609
:can figure out then, you know…
610
:Then, then you can start figuring
out what the solutions are and how
611
:you actually get to, to the outcome.
612
:Reuven: Yeah, and what I'm finding
is just, just maybe as some closing
613
:thought, Chris, is that the initial
problem that is articulated when you
614
:start digging and peeling the onion and
getting, a couple layers deep, probably
615
:about 80% of the time that is not the
real problem, or it's just a symptom
616
:that they're seeing in the business.
617
:I'm not closing enough business.
618
:I'm not I'm behind my, my,
uh, my target for the year."
619
:And when you start looking
under the covers, there's a lot
620
:more that sometimes leads to a
completely different issue, right?
621
:So it's important to, for anyone
listening, not to peg that and jump into,
622
:jump to conclusion to say, my problem
is I'm not growing because I'm not using
623
:AI, because Chris is using AI in his
company, and I'm, I'm now the laggard."
624
:The solution really is to start doing
some, working on the business and
625
:thinking about, what is the real problem?
626
:What is that root cause?
627
:And sometimes it's gonna be an AI fix,
which, you know, we all talk about with
628
:the popular thing to do, or sometimes it
just may be a process that's broken, and
629
:it's been sitting there for 15 years, and
you just haven't felt the pain until now.
630
:Chris: Said just like every
executive coach I've ever had.
631
:Reuven: Perfect.
632
:Chris: Yeah
633
:Reuven: with that, I think, we wrap
up this episode and, you and I will
634
:be on the road next week, and, uh,
we'll look forward to bringing you
635
:some more insights from the industry.
636
:Always open to feedback, so s- drop
us a line, let us know what you
637
:think, and, uh, talk to you next week.
638
:Chris: And maybe just before we
go, since I did mention it, we
639
:do run these AI lending labs.
640
:If you're a lending executive and you know
you're new to AI or you just want to know
641
:what's next and actually put your hands
on keyboards to actually build out agents,
642
:you know, happy to have you join us.
643
:We're running two of them.
644
:We have one coming up in Calgary
later in October, and we have one
645
:in Orlando in the US, in November.
646
:So look forward to
seeing you there as well