Today, we welcome Katy Kaminiski back to the show as we reflect on her entry into the trend following space and what she has learned on her systematic journey. We also discuss different ways of allocating risk in portfolio construction and why Katy “loves skewness”, why preparing for pain can actually lead to better decisions as an investor and how changes in the global macro environment takes time to manifest in trends. Lastly, we discuss what we are both excited and nervous for in 2024.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:50 - What has been on our radar recently?
03:03 - When are trends coming to an end?
06:24 - Industry performance update
07:31 - How did Katy end up in the trend following industry?
11:19 - What attracted her to the industry?
12:40 - What Katy has learned from being an allocator
15:44 - Risk variations in portfolio construction
20:21 - What drives the biggest dispersion?
21:54 - Understanding risk in your portfolio
24:05 - Constant vol targeting - just a phase?
25:25 - The importance of skewness
31:06 - Mind the timeframe
34:57 - Preparing for pain ahead of time (MAN Paper)
38:15 - No pain, no gain...
43:28 - Economic trend (AQR Paper)
47:33 - Dealing with a world in disruption
50:48 - Excitement and worries about 2024
57:05 - What is up for next episode?
Resources discussed in this Episode:
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2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
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3. Other Resources that can help you
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