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What is the market doing? bull? bear? cat?
Episode 651st August 2022 • Generation Bitcoin • McIntosh
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Are we still in a bear market? A bull market? Let's analyze what's going on..

News and Links

https://cointelegraph.com/news/ticketmaster-scouts-productization-of-enterprise-nfts-beyond-ticketing

Podcasting 2.0 Apps Available at http://newpodcastapps.com/

I can be reached by email at mcintosh@genwealthcrypto.com and on twitter at @McIntoshFinTech. My mastodon handle is @mcintosh@podcastindex.social. Looking forward to hearing from you!

Website

https://genwealthcrypto.com

Music Credits

Rock Guitar Intro 07 by TaigaSoundProd

Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/8342-rock-guitar-intro-07

License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Funky Life by WinnieTheMoog

Link: https://filmmusic.io/song/6040-funky-life

License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Transcripts

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It's August 1st, and this is Episode 65 of Generational Wealth of Cryptocurrency.

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I'm your host, MacIntosh.

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Today we're going to be talking about a general market update.

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Hey everyone, no one on this podcast is a financial advisor, and all information presented

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here is for informational purposes only.

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Now that we have the legal stuff out of the way, let's jump on in.

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All right, it has been a week since I last posted, and I have several news items tonight

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about the podcast itself.

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One of them is I am going to go ahead and switch back to an episode per week.

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There's a couple of reasons why, as we move into this new market, we find that news itself

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about crypto in general is slowing down.

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There are still things I'll be discussing, one in particular tonight, but not nearly

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as much as, say, six months ago.

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So that's one part of it.

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Another part of it is it's actually pretty difficult to put together a good episode with

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some quality material, and my work, my job has gotten busier of late, and I don't really

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have the time twice a week to put together a quality episode.

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So we're just going to slow things down.

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I'll put out an episode every Monday.

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I typically record on Sunday night, and I will try and be very deliberate unless something

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comes up.

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That episode will come out on Monday mornings.

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So let's go ahead and get that out of the way.

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We'll move on, and I actually, go ahead and just spill the beans about the second one.

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For a long time, a long time actually, I've been trying to think of some levels for people

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who support the show, and it finally came to me tonight, and I'm glad I waited.

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I think it's good.

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I hope you will like it.

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I'm not going to explain it tonight because I don't actually have it all worked out, but

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I did come up with a name, so I think that'll be pretty neat.

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I hope it'll add a little fun to this, to the listeners.

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So we will be discussing that next week.

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That probably will take a good portion of the episode next week.

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We'll see what else we need to talk about.

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So I'm looking forward to that.

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All right.

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So that's kind of my housekeeping.

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Let's go ahead and talk about things.

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We're going to talk about the market in general this week.

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I haven't done this in a while.

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Right now, as I record, which is at about 11 p.m. Central Time on the 31st, the monthly

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closing has already occurred.

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It happened approximately three hours ago, and it, for Bitcoin, was at $23,336.90, according

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to Yahoo Finance.

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Right now, we're at $23,362, actually, so it's gone up just a few dollars.

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In the last few days, we've actually, roughly the last week, we've had an uptick.

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Ethereum, in particular, has jumped quite a bit.

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It's at $1,691, I believe.

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It almost touched $1,800, but it has retraced Bitcoin.

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Also had gone up $24,572, looks like the high, and that was a couple of days ago.

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So things look better.

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Of course, the Bitcoin bottom was $17,000-and-some, roughly a month ago or so at this point.

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I should probably bring out the charts, but that's going to be close enough.

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It's been a few weeks.

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A lot of people at this point are saying, hey, we're heading back to bull market.

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I personally would not get too excited.

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It's been kind of a good relief rally.

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It remains yet to be determined if it's going to continue to be a rally or it's going to

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be what they would call a dead cat bounce.

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What that means is, it's kind of almost a vulgar term, but you'll get this small bounce

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and it'll fall back.

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That could be what is now going to happen.

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The $23,800-ish level is a very important resistance level.

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If Bitcoin doesn't break above it and then maybe even come back and retest it, I don't

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think that you can confirm this is a real bull run.

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I think for me personally, not that I'm not buying Bitcoin.

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Of course, I'm buying Bitcoin.

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Now is a really good time to buy Bitcoin and other assets, but this is not a bull market,

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in my opinion.

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It remains to be seen that it is, and in fact, I would actually argue you're going to have

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to get into the upper 30s, maybe even lower 40s before I would really call it a bull market.

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You could say, well, McIntosh, we went down to $17,000 and you're at $42,000 and it's

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doubled in price.

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Well, yes, but we did go up to $69,000.

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Unless we get solidly around $42,000 and hold that price actually for a while, or keep going

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up of course, then I'm not convinced of anything.

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Now I'm probably being very conservative maybe, but regardless, at bear market, as I've discussed

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many times on this podcast, of course, it's the perfect time to do what?

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The dollar cost average to buy.

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I don't necessarily want it to go up to $42,000 or $69,000 or $100,000 yet.

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I want more Bitcoin personally.

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I want nothing more than that, and when it's $100,000, I can't buy it.

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Four times as expensive, so clearly I can't buy as much then as I can buy right now.

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By the way, I did want to make a little note.

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I talked quite a bit in the past as I was recording these episodes, recording late at

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night after a lot of times a long day, and I would drink hot tea, Earl Grey, with some

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honey from Little Green Bees, and I had to stop doing that.

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So I'm on a diet, and the diet has restrictions in terms of how or so when I go to record

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this podcast, it's too late, and I can't be drinking tea or having honey.

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I suppose the tea by itself would be okay, but I don't like hot tea without sugar or

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honey in it.

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So there you go.

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If you hear the clinking of the ice, it's just water, because I do have to use something

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while I record a 30 plus minute podcast.

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So completely random thought there.

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All right, back to the market.

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That's where we're at though.

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Ethereum has had a nice bounce.

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Now it went down to roughly seven.

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I am actually going to bring up TradingView.

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Ethereum in general has done better during this rally than Bitcoin.

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We had a low on Ethereum of roughly $880 back on June the 19th.

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Bitcoin on the other hand, the Bitcoin low back on that same day, the same time basically

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was about $17,534 or so.

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So Bitcoin has gone up roughly $24,000.

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So the Ethereum has almost doubled, actually it has doubled in price.

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So $880 would be $1660, would be doubling and here we are at $1690.

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So in fact, it has doubled where Bitcoin has not during that same time frame.

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So clearly Ethereum at this point in whatever this is, this rally, it's doing better.

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It's performing better.

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So if you have that asset, of course, that's good.

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We have news of course coming about Ethereum.

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The merge is still on track.

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We're really only a little over a month away if I'm not mistaken.

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And so that's got the, I guess in some ways jittery, but clearly people, I mean, they

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think that's going to work and we've discussed that.

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I think in the long run, making Ethereum a deflationary asset, which is what the end

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result of that merge will be, I think that's not a bad thing.

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So we're looking forward to seeing how that works out down the road.

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ADA on the other hand has not necessarily done so well.

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It is sitting at 52 cents right now.

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And with it, I'll look that low up for June the 19th and we will see where it was at.

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If I'm remembering, it was 30 ish something cents, maybe of 30, 32, I don't know.

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We'll see 35.

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I probably am off a little bit.

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It has struggled to get above 50 cents, really.

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And let's see here.

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Yep, here it was.

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Actually it reached its low on July the, oh, that's July the 13th.

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So that was a few days ago.

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Excuse me.

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Haven't gone back far enough.

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Well, that's interesting.

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So ADA back on that same timeframe, 18th, 19th of June, it was at 41 cents.

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It actually went lower, 40.1 cents here just a few days ago, July the 13th.

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So it has really struggled and that's unfortunate.

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ADA, I don't know, this is the way ADA is.

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I personally feel that ADA has a lot of potential, but it doesn't have the market share.

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It doesn't have the market mind certainly that Ethereum and Bitcoin do.

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I hold an ADA position.

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I will continue to hold it in ADA position.

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But at this point, I probably personally, well, we're low in overall terms, so maybe

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it is a good time to buy it.

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Maybe it's a good time to DCA some more in.

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I'm personally choosing to only invest in Bitcoin and Ethereum at this point.

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With the funds that I have, I don't want to dilute it.

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I don't want to split it up among too many things.

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So typically, I spend more on one asset than the other in a month.

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I don't do 50-50 or whatever and maybe I should, but I just kind of do it based on the way

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that I see the market.

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But I basically buy Ethereum, Bitcoin every month with that DCA.

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These days, I've been buying more Bitcoin and especially with the way that Ethereum

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has gone up, I'm looking to gain more Bitcoin because Bitcoin will go up.

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It's not leading right now, but it will.

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It will at some point.

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So I want to make those Bitcoin buys while the price is low.

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So there you go.

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There's our market overview, at least in terms of what, in my opinion, are the three most

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important assets in Bitcoin.

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I do want to go ahead and jump into the one little bit of news.

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Maybe even spend a little bit more time than normal talking about this.

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I was checking around tonight.

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When did this get posted?

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22 hours ago, right?

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So just in the last day.

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And saw this right before I went live, right before I started recording.

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But I have discussed this in the past and so I'm going to give you the gist of the article

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and then we're going to talk about it for a minute because I think this is actually

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something that's really important and I think a lot of people might miss this.

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The article is about Ticketmaster.

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Ticketmaster is the number one, at least in the United States, ticketing company.

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They provide tickets for sports or concerts, this kind of thing.

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And they are looking at productizing NFTs.

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So they are going to roll out different products across what they say, all content categories,

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including sports and music.

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I've talked about this when we talked about NFTs.

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We've got all this stuff going on.

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Everybody's like, oh, Bored Apes, whatever, blah, blah, blah.

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Which that seems to be legitimate, I'll put it that way.

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I think I've even told y'all I did invest in one NFT koala, a KIA koala in action.

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And it's frankly not done well.

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I'm continuing to hold that at this point.

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There's no point in selling it.

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But those type assets have a place.

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There are people who do enjoy doing that, collecting those, whatever.

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This is a little bit different.

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So the idea here, and I talked about this on an episode, I think for the whole episode,

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but the idea would be, hey, we can productize the ticket.

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Now not only as an NFT can we do things to ensure that tickets are unique and therefore

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they're not, you can't copy them, right?

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Makes it very easy to keep people from making counterfeit tickets.

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You can also make them collectibles.

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Just in terms of the ticket itself.

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Oh, I've got the ticket from the Super Bowl where the Steelers beat the Dallas Cowboys

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because of course that's what should happen when the Steelers play the Dallas Cowboys.

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Go Steelers, right?

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In the Super Bowl of 2025 or whatever.

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And I've got my NFT.

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I can display that on a monitor maybe if I'm vain like that.

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I don't want to put it, say it like that maybe quite, but you know, whatever.

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I collect it.

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I keep it.

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But they're looking at things beyond that.

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So music, there's things besides the tickets for the concert that you could do with NFTs

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certainly.

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And Ticketmaster is taking a very close look at that.

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They're looking at hiring people to drive that innovation.

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So we will see, but they are the largest company in America doing ticketing.

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So you know, they're the leader.

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I think that this will become a bigger market over time and certainly a very legitimate

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use of NFTs.

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Sometimes people say that those NFTs, they have no use and I think they're not looking

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far enough.

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This is only one.

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There will be dozens if not hundreds of different use cases for NFTs, things that we can't

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even imagine right now.

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So that really was all the news.

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There was other than that in crypto land itself, it was pretty quiet other than, hey, things

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are going up.

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Things are going up.

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The interest rate, it's called FOMC.

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The Federal Reserve had their meeting.

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They made their announcements and they've raised rates by 0.75% here in the United States.

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It is what was expected and frankly, the market reacted very positively, which I thought was

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strange because interest rates going up is actually designed to throttle the market.

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I mean, that's literally the point of it.

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And so I don't know.

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I guess it went up because they all said, well, that's what we expect.

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So overall, the stock markets in general went up.

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Crypto certainly reacted well to it.

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The crypto market has done better than the stock market in general of late.

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And there you go.

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So that was the other little bit of news.

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I didn't even, I don't know, I watched it when it happened and watched what the market

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did and said, huh, that is what it is.

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So hats people, we're going to move on and that's it for the news.

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We of course, the Generation Wealth podcast is a podcasting 2.0 podcast.

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It's a value for value podcast.

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We don't have sponsors.

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We don't have advertising.

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And there are three ways you can support the podcast with time, talent, and treasure.

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If you want to support the podcast and have some time or talent, I could use some help

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with things like chapters for the podcast and transcripts.

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And I'm sure there's a dozen other things I can come up with, things that I don't have

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time for, but you may choose to do that as a way of returning value to the podcast because

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you are getting value out of it.

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Treasure is just what it sounds like if you find the content valuable.

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You can support the podcast by streaming Sats from a podcasting 2.0 app.

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You can find that at newpodcastingapps.com, excuse me, newpodcastapps.com.

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Or you can send support via PayPal to macintosh.genwealthcrypto.com.

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We did have some people supporting the show this week and I would like to thank them.

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Some of them anonymously won.

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They did get a boost and I would love to recognize them and read out their little message, which

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was great.

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So they listened to last week's podcast on simple math, which we talked about kind of

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a way to break it down.

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If you wanted to have a goal, say of gaining one Bitcoin in 10 years, what does that actually

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mean?

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You can go back and listen to that.

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If you would like to hear about that.

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But this person did enjoy that.

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So here we go, let's see, Crypto Dog was listening to us on the Fountain app and he said great

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episode or he or she said great episode and like the daily goal.

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So again, that was last week's topic.

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Now to work towards that goal.

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So Crypto Dog, I know that you can do that and you figure out what's going to work for

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you and move forward with that.

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And he sent a couple of sats using the Fountain app, appreciate that.

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We did have some people streaming.

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When people stream sats, it's essentially anonymous.

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I can actually tell who sends sats via streaming.

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There is a breakdown of that by their username and that's all I've got, but I'm not going

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to be reading those on the air.

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So I do appreciate the people supporting us through streaming and Crypto Dog through his

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boost.

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I actually had a couple of other boosts, but they didn't send a note.

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So I would say if you want to have it read on the air, send a note.

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I don't have those names right in front of me.

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So see if I can tell real quick, three boosts.

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It does not say the name.

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When you send a message, it sends the name.

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When you don't send a message, it just says a boost.

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So we had a few boosts.

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I'll just go ahead and mention these real quick.

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We had a three-sat boost.

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Looks like another three-sat boost.

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I guess they liked it and then liked it again a few hours later and then a 20-sat boost.

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So we've had a few boosts.

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Oh, and a 26, oh no, that was a total, excuse me, total for the day.

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So we've had a few boosts and I do appreciate that.

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It means a lot to me that people are actually out there listening and supporting the show.

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So next week, I'm a little excited about that.

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I got to work out the levels for the support and I've got the names in place.

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So if you have no idea what I'm talking about, I'll explain it next week.

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But there are Value for Value podcasts that are out there that they have different levels.

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I think I've mentioned at one point, like the No Agenda Show, the people who pioneered

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the Value for Value podcast, really, Adam Curry and John C. Dvorak.

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They have Knights and Barons and Dukes, maybe Earls.

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I don't remember ever hearing an Earl, but it would be a logical one.

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So they've got these different kind of medieval themed levels and I don't want to just copy

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their stuff.

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So I want to come up with my own and I got it and it does relate to crypto.

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So I'm excited to share that with you all next week.

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And frankly, it'll give people a goal to work towards.

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So we'll go through all that.

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It'd be a great way to, of course, support the show.

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So that's going to be it for this week.

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We've already covered the Value for Value stuff.

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If you like the content, I would love it if you would tell your friends about the Generational

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Wealth of Cryptocurrency podcast.

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And of course, we're available everywhere.

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If your friends listening on Apple or Spotify, I hate to say it, but we're on Spotify, that's

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fine.

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I do recommend a podcast 2.0 app, because really podcasting 2.0, in my opinion, is going

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to be the future of podcasting.

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They are adding such great stuff.

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And of course, it gives us a way that listeners can support the podcast.

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So thanks for being here.

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I hope this has been helpful and I would love to hear from you.

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I'm on Twitter at McIntoshFintech and you can reach me by email at McIntosh at GenWealthCrypto.com.

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Of course, the Generational Wealth website is at GenWealthCrypto.com.

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Now go out and make it a great week.

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I will talk to you all next Monday.

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