Cedric covers Monday morning’s national emergency-management picture: the National Interagency Fire Center holds at Preparedness Level 2 nationally with 20 uncontained large fires and the Southern Area at PL4, the U.S. Geological Survey’s Kīlauea Episode 46 fountaining window opens today, the Storm Prediction Center carried a hail and isolated-tornado risk into the mid-Mississippi Valley overnight, and the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi has the Guadalupe River at Victoria under a Flood Warning. State updates include Georgia’s Highway 82 and Pineland Road fires, the Fairburn and South Fulton boil water advisory tied to the Adamsville Pump Station outage, a magnitude 4.6 earthquake near False Pass, and the Texas flood watch. EM Morning Brief is your concise daily update on national and state-by-state emergency management news. Produced by Sitch Radio, an EOC Voices podcast.
Key Takeaways
• National wildland fire posture: PL2 nationally and PL4 in the Southern Area; 20 uncontained large fires; year-to-date burned acreage outpacing the 10-year average.
• Kīlauea — Episode 46 imminent: USGS HVO forecast window for renewed fountaining is May 4 through May 7; alert level remains ADVISORY/YELLOW.
• Severe weather — central U.S.: SPC carried hail, damaging gusts, and an isolated tornado risk into Sunday evening across northern/eastern Missouri and south-central Illinois.
• Texas flood watch — Guadalupe River at Victoria: Minor flooding forecast through Tuesday; monitor low-lying access in Victoria County.
• Georgia wildfires: Highway 82 Fire ~22,500 acres / 45% contained; Pineland Road Fire 32,575 acres / 44% contained; evacuations and animal shelters remain in place.
• Georgia public water: Boil water advisory continues for Fairburn and South Fulton pending sampling clearance after the Adamsville Pump Station outage.
• Alaska seismicity: Magnitude 4.6 quake near False Pass; below tsunami thresholds, no advisories issued.
• Aviation/ports/lifelines: No FAA system-wide ground stops, no USCG MSIB closures, and no DHS NTAS bulletin updates within the 24-hour window.
The National Interagency Fire center reports the country at preparedness level 2 with 20 uncontained large fires burning and 69 new starts logged Sunday, while the southern geographic area sits at preparedness level four on the strength of stubborn brush and bay fuel fires across south Georgia and the Florida Georgia line.
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Year to date, more than 1.84 million acres have already burned, running ahead of the 10 year average for early May, and roughly 2,400 personnel and two complex incident management teams remain assigned to active wildland incidents.
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Official update published this morning the US Geological Survey's Hawaiian Volcano Observatory says Kilauea remains paused between fountaining episodes with the volcano alert level at advisory and the aviation color code at yellow tilt and glow patterns at Halemaumau point to episode 46 lava fountaining within a forecast window that opens today and runs through Thursday, May 7, with Breezy north northeast winds at the summit potentially shaping VOG dispersion if onset.
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OCC the NOAA Storm Prediction center carried a marginal severe outlook into Sunday evening across northern and eastern Missouri and south central Illinois, citing risk of large hail and an isolated tornado near a triple point and trailing cold front.
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Separately, the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi has a flood warning in force for the Guadalupe river at Victoria, Texas, with a river forecast to rise above flood stage early today and crest at minor flood levels into Tuesday.
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The National Hurricane center has no active tropical cyclones routine.
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Eastern Pacific tropical weather outlooks resume May 15th.
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Let's run through the states.
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Alaska the U.S. geological Survey recorded a magnitude 4.6 earthquake at a shallow depth in the Gulf of Alaska south southeast of False Pass on Sunday morning.
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The event was below tsunami generating thresholds and produced no advisories from the National Tsunami Warning center, but it underscores ongoing aftershock activity along the Alaska Peninsula segment of the Aleutian Arc.
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Florida remains under elevated wildfire pressure tied to prolonged drought across the northern peninsula and the Big Bend.
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Smoke and access impacts continue from the Pineland Road fire just over the Georgia line and the Storm Prediction center notes a marginal risk of excessive rainfall over over the Southeast Peninsula today with hourly rates that could approach 2 inches in heavier cells.
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Georgia the Highway 82 fire in Brantley and Atkinson counties stands at roughly 22,500 acres with 45% containment after recent light rain helped crews secure additional line.
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Evacuations and road closures remain in effect and the cause has been traced to a Mylar balloon contacting an energized power line.
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The Pineland Road fire in Clinch and Echols counties is reported at 32,575 acres with 44% containment in heavy southern rough fuels.
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The mandatory evacuation order for Eccles County's Fruitland community was lifted Friday, but evacuation alerts persist along several rural roads and animal evacuation shelters remain operational.
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The Atlanta Department of Watershed Management's boil water advisory for the city of Fairburn and the city of South Fulton issued Saturday after a power outage at the Adamsville pump station was still in place Sunday evening pending sampling clearance.
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Residents are continuing to boil water for drinking, cooking and brushing teeth.
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Official utility update issued 36 hours ago with active operational impact the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory's May 3 daily update places Kilauea in a paused state ahead of expected episode 46 fountaining between today and Thursday.
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There is no eruption underway at present and air quality and access guidance for Hawaii Volcanoes national park reflects the advisory.
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Yellow posture Illinois A severe thunderstorm warning was issued by the National Weather Service in Lincoln, Illinois late Sunday evening as storms developed near the surface front consistent with the Storm Prediction Center's Day One outlook for hail and isolated severe gusts in south central Illinois.
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Missouri Severe storm potential for hail and a brief tornado was carried into Sunday evening across northern and eastern Missouri per the SPC outlook.
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No federal disaster declaration or large scale damage report tied to Sunday's activity has been published as of this writing.
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A flood warning is in effect from the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi for the Guadalupe river at Victoria with minor flooding forecast through Tuesday evening.
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The river is expected to rise above flood stage early today and crest at roughly 22ft, with low lying access points and agricultural areas the primary concern.
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Residents in flood prone areas of Victoria county are urged to monitor local guidance.
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All other states and territories have no significant updates in the last 24 hours.
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That wraps today's EM Morning Brief.
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New episodes drop Monday through Friday in the 5am hour PT, so the day starts with clarity instead of catch up.
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