Rory takes a USDJPY short just before the podcast begins, but will USD/JPY tank? He explains the reasoning behind this move as well as the strong risk to reward that is favoured. Jonathan is holding off until we see 152 hit but will it be too late?
The question is will Bank Of Japan intervene after removing a pledge to defend the level with offers to buy unlimited amounts of bonds.
This week in the markets is Jam-packed with Data, Earnings, and everything in between. With ISM, PMI Services, NFP, FOMC, BoE and more. There is sure to be a further increase in volatility.
One of the biggest stock winners so far is Amazon after earnings were released better than expected with the share price jumping 11% as the outlook seems better than initially expected. The last time the stock has had such a two day stretch was a 17% rally from November 11, 2022.
The blokes look over other markets with Rory saying he is now short on Oil but would rather not be involved. There’s so many factors that could go against this such as the War in the middle east and the potential of OPEC supply, none of this can be confirmed or quantified and therefore, for now, both of the blokes agree they would rather rule it out. Data from China the US and EU also isn’t highly supportive of stronger economic conditions therefore demand for Oil may not be as strong as initially predicted.
Gold has found resistance at the $2000 level after a strong run higher. Jonathan explains how the major zone of 1800/2000 looks to be in play for quite some time and its likely with a stronger dollar, Gold will remain under pressure, unless of course we see any escalations in middle east.
DXY saw strong support last week from 105.50 and today at 106.00 to continue the push higher towards 107. Jonathan reiterates his long bias on USD & has been taking advantage of the cross pairs as a result. Jonathan also says with a lot of data due this week, there could be the potential for a lot of volatility and higher USD.
With lots of earnings this week from McDonalds, Pfizer, PayPal, Apple, Shopify and many more, it’s going to be an interesting week!
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