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What about gold?
Episode 892nd January 2023 • Generation Bitcoin • McIntosh
00:00:00 01:23:30

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Many Austrians think that gold is a great store of value. It has a long history (5000 years!!!) as a form of sound money. But should it be used instead of fiat based money or is there a better solution?

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Transcripts

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Hey, Sat Stackers.

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It's January the 2nd.

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This is episode 89 of Generational Wealth with Cryptocurrency.

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I'm your host, McIntosh.

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Today's episode asks why not gold?

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Of course, no one on this podcast is a financial advisor,

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and all information presented on this podcast is for informational purposes only.

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Now that we have the legal stuff out of the way, let's jump on in.

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All right, everybody.

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We will be wrapping up our discussion of Austrian versus Keynesian economics tonight.

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I think we've put the Keynesian economics to rest for the moment.

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We will actually circle back at the end of the episode.

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Tonight, though, I did want to discuss something a little bit different.

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Gold versus Bitcoin.

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Now, that's an interesting question, why I would even bring that up.

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But what you will find if you dig into the Austrian economics is that a lot of the

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Austrians, of course, believe in gold as a form of stable money.

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So, it's a relevant discussion if we're going to talk about gold as a standard,

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a monetary standard versus fiat versus bank-backed money, essentially.

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So, we'll discuss that.

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Let's go ahead and do our market update first.

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It's going to be fairly short this week.

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I would say with the holidays, Happy New Year, by the way, and the stock market's being closed,

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and this, that, and the other, it's been a fairly boring week.

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Markets closed down for the year last Friday.

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They'll actually be closed tomorrow, and there is where we're at.

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So, Bitcoin did close tonight at $16,625.08.

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Ethereum closed at $1,200.96.

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ADA closed at almost exactly 25 cents, 0.249771 of a dollar.

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So, very, very close to 25 cents.

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These are unchanged for the most part.

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They are down just a fraction on all three fronts.

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So, we continue to march sideways.

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No real ups or downs this week, actually, unlike some of the previous weeks,

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where we've had some spikes or drops, and it just kind of went sideways.

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Very little variance.

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All right.

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So, that covers the market.

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As always, I would encourage you to continue to DCA.

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Of course, I would encourage you to be buying Bitcoin,

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but into the asset of your choice, of course, as you wish.

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At this point, there's no real reason to believe that we have broken out of the bear market,

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and we will either continue to go sideways or continue to go more in a downish trend.

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All right.

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Weekly topic.

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Why not gold?

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Why not gold? So, like I said at the start, I know this maybe is a little bit different, but

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if you deal in Austrian economics, they talk about gold.

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Basically, any gold bug that you talk to is somebody who's buying gold as a long-term

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investment, like a lot. They're typically called a gold bug.

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Any gold bug that you talk to, they're going to be coming at this from an Austrian economics

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perspective, whether they actually even understand that or not.

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It's a hedge of inflation.

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I would caution actually when viewing gold or Bitcoin for that matter as a hedge of inflation.

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It's not necessarily a short-term hedge of inflation.

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For example, over the last couple of years, we've not seen gold go up very much in price.

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I don't think people really understand why.

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It doesn't matter, but over the long term, it is something that certainly retains a store of value.

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A brief history, if you've never heard this, this is actually fascinating, at least to me,

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but a brief history of gold as a currency is as follows.

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So, there's nothing else that's been used as long.

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The Egyptians as far back as 3000 BC were actually using gold.

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They were not minting coins, and we'll get to that in just a second.

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The first civilization to mint coins, but they actually used a kind of a form of a ring,

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specific weights of gold to represent specific values.

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So, essentially, it was a currency, and so it had both standardized weights and values to that.

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Turkey actually was the first area where they began minting coins, modern-day Turkey.

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Lydia was a kingdom there in Turkey, and they minted the first official currency in 600 BC.

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They were actually a mixture of gold and silver.

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It's called Electrum, which I had never – I'd heard of Electrum.

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I'd never heard what it was before I was doing this research.

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So, I don't know why they did that.

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I don't, but that's what they did.

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They mixed gold and silver.

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They created this Electrum, and they made coins out of it.

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They stamped different things on it.

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Apparently, it was actually stamped on only one side.

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They weren't regular in shape, if that makes sense.

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So, I don't think they had a very precise minting process down, but what they did do,

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it was a standard weight, and of course, it was acting as a currency.

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The first coin I ever minted, they had a lion on it, actually, and different inscriptions.

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But they did, like I said, they came in standardized weights, anywhere from 0.15 grams up to about 14

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grams.

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So, I actually looked up earlier tonight one gram of gold, which is typically the smallest

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amount that you would be able to buy.

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It's roughly worth $50 right now.

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An ounce of gold, a troy ounce, as they call it, is worth about $1,700 U.S. dollars right

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now, to give you some perspective.

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So, they were going to a fairly small amount at 0.15 grams.

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In today's dollars, that would be, let's see if I can do that math.

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It's more than a tenth, so about $7.50 or so, $7.50 in USD, up to whatever 14 times

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50 roughly is.

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So, that's actually a decent amount.

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So, they kind of had different currencies, so to speak, that were worth different amounts.

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And then in 550 BC, the Lydian king Croasis, I hope I said that right, who you've probably

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heard of, people will say, oh, that person, well, it's not a very common expression anymore,

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but people will say, you're as rich as Croasis, sorry, I'm butchering this guy's name.

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But he was extremely rich.

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He was basically the richest person of his time.

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And he was the king of Lydia.

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They started minting pure gold and pure silver coins, and they had stamps on both sides.

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So, they had a head of a bull and a head of a lion, apparently.

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So, from there, this whole concept of minting coins spread.

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From there, you had the Greeks, the Persians, the Macedonians, and the Romans.

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So, it just spread out from there.

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So, the important thing is that really for 5,000 years, we've been using gold as a currency,

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as a way to transfer value from one party to another in what amounts to a standardized way.

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An economist and somebody who's talking about this kind of stuff would call gold a store of value.

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What do we mean by that?

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It's an asset, a commodity, or a currency that can be saved,

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retrieved, or exchanged in the future without deteriorating in value.

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Now, I'm reading this, I think this came off of Investopedia.

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So, this is directly off of a website.

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In other words, to enter into this category, the item acquired should, over time, be worth the same

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or more.

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Gold and other metals are stores of values, silver, platinum, whatever.

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As their shelf-lifes are essentially perpetual, for investors, interest-bearing assets such as

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the US Treasury bonds, T-bonds, qualify as well because they retain their value while generating

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income.

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I would argue that they retain their value for now.

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We do not know that that will happen in the future.

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But again, it's a perspective of time.

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And this is actually, I think, one of the key differences between the Keynesians and the

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Austrians.

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An Austrian, I think, views it over a longer timeframe versus a Keynesian who, I just don't,

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I don't think they have the same perspective.

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Maybe I'm not accurate in that, but as in this very example here with the Treasury bonds,

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Treasury bonds haven't been around that long.

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The United States was formed in 1776, and so that's only 275 years ago or whatever.

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I don't know.

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250, I don't know.

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Something like that.

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I cannot do this math in my head.

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It's late at night and I'm not going to worry about it.

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But regardless, in the terms of time, it's really not been that long.

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All right.

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That's only about six or seven generations of people.

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The person that I take my name from, in fact, was born in 1775, the year before the American

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Revolution.

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And they were my great, great, great, great, great, great, or so either six or seven greats.

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I can never remember.

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Grandfather.

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Now, that may seem like a long time, but in the grand scheme of world history, it's certainly

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not.

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It's not.

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So anyways, I don't know how long Treasury bills have been around offhand.

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I do know it's been less time than that.

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And to say that they're a store of value, I would argue they're a temporary store of

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value, which maybe means they're not a store of value.

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We don't know what they'll be in the next 50 years.

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In fact, I think arguably they will not be a store of value in 50 years.

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Now, time will tell.

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Milk, on the other hand, is a poor store of value because it will decay and become worthless.

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That makes perfect sense.

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Milk goes bad even if it's pasteurized after just a couple of weeks.

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That's not a store of value.

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That's just an item that you buy with your store of value.

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That is a currency.

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Is gold a store of value?

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Well, it is a metal.

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It's a precious metal.

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It's called a precious metal.

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And we have a long history, 5,000 years, of it being a store of value.

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So I would absolutely argue that gold is a good store of value.

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So there we go, right off the bat.

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What are the assets of a good store of value?

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It's got to be durable.

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It can't be perishable like milk.

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It can't be easily destroyed.

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Lumber, even though it may be valuable, is probably not a good store of value

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because if it's caught on fire and burns, it's destroyed.

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Certainly, a commodity like wheat would not be a store of value

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because no matter what you do to it, it will eventually go bad.

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You would essentially, I think if you froze it, it would be OK for decades.

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But even if you take a bucket of wheat and, for example, keep it out of the sun

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in a semi-cool place, after 20 years, it's still not going to be as good

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as when you first packaged it up.

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So typically, a commodity like that is not going to be a good store of value.

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Now, gold is considered a commodity.

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Even though these days it's not used as a currency, it's fungible.

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So fungible is something that people kind of stumble over sometimes.

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Fungible means that it's interchangeable with other items of the same thing

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that are the same quality and the same quality.

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So in other words, if I took a one gold, one ounce gold piece from the United States,

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and a one ounce gold piece from South Africa, for example, because they make a Krugerrand,

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which is world famous, those should be interchangeable in value.

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And we do find that with gold, fairly reasonably.

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It must be verifiable.

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You've got to be able to identify it.

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You've got to be able to verify it as authentic.

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Now, people would say that this is true with gold.

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I would argue that somebody who is a novice could be deceived, certainly.

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And one of the things that actually happened in ancient times,

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I know a little bit about the Roman usage of gold, for example, I've done some research there.

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The emperors would start clipping what they call clipping gold.

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They would take a piece and just for sake of this discussion, let's say it was an ounce,

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and they would shave a little bit off of it.

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So maybe it was seven eighths of an ounce.

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So they took off an eighth of an ounce.

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That's called clipping.

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And they would do that.

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Another thing that they did is they would actually, it wouldn't be pure gold.

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So you might make the core or something simpler, copper.

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Copper is certainly not as expensive as gold.

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I might make the center of that coin copper and then gold around it, make it that same weight.

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Bingo, there you go.

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That looks like a gold piece.

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And unless I melt it down, I won't know that difference.

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That was the kind of things that the emperors did to raise money during hard times for an

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as an example.

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Now, I don't happen to have any examples of that offhand, but I promise you both of those things,

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and maybe it wasn't copper, but they did dilute the coins, essentially.

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Both of those things happened during the Roman time period.

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And I'm sure there were other places where it happened as well.

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Because, oh, the king's running low on his treasury.

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I need to, oh, in fact, I remember this same thing went on Britain, England.

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There was a series of this type thing that went on during the 14th and 15th centuries,

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if I'm not mistaken, because of the wars that were going on with France.

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They started doing some of this kind of stuff to the coinage, even though that was

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certainly at the start, it was gold and silver, and it was set weights and should be very standard

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currency, there was actually laws about it.

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Let me see if I can find this real quick.

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Here's what I was talking about.

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And I was off on the centuries, I apologize, although I was correct about France.

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So actually, this happened under Henry VIII.

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Which I believe he had a number of issues going on, but 1544 through 1551 was called

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the Great Debasement, which saw the amount of precious metal and gold and silver coins

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reduced and in some cases, replaced entirely with cheaper base metals such as copper.

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Overspending by Henry VIII to pay for his lifestyle and to fund foreign wars with

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France, and some of my ancestors in Scotland are cited as reasons for the policy's introduction.

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The main aim of the policy was to increase revenue for the crown at the cost of taxpayers

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through savings and currency production with less bullion being required to mint new coins.

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So bullion would be like a block of a gold bar.

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That's a bullion bar.

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I think is what they're called, and it's a gold bullion anyways, and they use that to mint coins.

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During debasement, gold standards dropped from the previous standard of 23 carats to as low as 20

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carats, and the more pure it is, the higher the carat is.

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While silver was reduced from 92.5 sterling silver to just 25%.

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So silver itself actually took a dramatic drop.

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Gold, not as much, interestingly enough.

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But that is an example of some of the things that even with said,

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even with gold and silver coins, currencies, these hard metals, whatever, precious metals,

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it can still happen.

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So these are not necessarily verifiable by the average person, was kind of how we got here.

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I don't know, I would point that out.

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So in my opinion, in that aspect, this is not that great.

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I think I skipped portable.

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Portable, the goods must be easy to transport and store.

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They must be able to be protected against loss or theft and must facilitate trade even over long

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distances.

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In this respect, a cow is genuinely less suitable than a gold bracelet as a store of value.

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That's certainly true.

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So if I got a gold bracelet and I got a cow and I need to take them both 500 miles, it's going to

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be a lot easier to do that with a bracelet.

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Even if I can get the cow that far, the poor cow is probably going to be as thin as a rail

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because it's walked 500 miles.

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Now, I would say I was looking up the average, well, right now, gold, Troy ounce, $1,700.

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A gold bar is like 400 ounces and that works out to $681,000, quite a bit.

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And it's a package that's actually only about seven inches long.

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It's like three and a half inches wide and like an inch and a half thick.

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Now, I may not have a lot of money, but I'm going to go ahead and go ahead and go ahead

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and I may not have that quite right.

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I've got the figures in here somewhere, but it's close enough.

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So it's actually a fairly small package.

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So that's good if I'm trying to transport it, but it's also extremely heavy.

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If you throw a bunch of gold bars into a wagon, those horses are going to have a hard time

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pulling it, for example.

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Plus you've got an issue.

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Now I've got a huge amount of money essentially in one spot and I've got to protect it because

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people are going to try and take that.

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So I would argue that maybe it's not so portable in a sense of being protected from theft and

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that kind of thing.

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Divisible, must be easy to subdivide.

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It's a mixed bag.

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Obviously they did subdivide it down to very small amounts as we talked about with the Egyptians,

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but that could only be done essentially by government or by certainly a higher level,

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you know, the king or whatever, because you're minting currency at that point and you're

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having to measure out very specific amounts.

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So it's not something somebody can just do in their house.

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Establish history.

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Well, gold has 5,000 years of established history.

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There's nothing actually.

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There's nothing actually that has a longer history as currency.

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So that's certainly end of discussion.

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Now this listed one that I like, maybe not.

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I'm going to go ahead and throw this out here.

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A store of value must be resistant to censorship.

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Resistance to all forms of censorship is a new attribute.

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That's certainly true.

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That has started to become increasingly important in our modern digital age with invasive,

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but low noise surveillance at all times.

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How difficult can it be for a third party, such as a business or a state,

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to prevent the owner of the property in question from keeping or using it?

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That's what we mean by censorship.

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Goods that are resistant to censorship are ideal for living under those

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regimes that are trying to impose strict capital controls or declare various forms

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of peaceful trade illegal.

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Now, you could make an argument that gold was fairly resistant to censorship.

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However, I would point out, certainly in the case of the United States, there is a period of time,

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I want to say it was in the 1930s, I want to say it was Roosevelt, Franklin Roosevelt.

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Now I may be mistaken about that, but the US, they confiscated gold from people.

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They said, you can't own gold, and they took it away.

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Here it is, 1934, the Gold Reserve Act of 1934.

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It was signed by Roosevelt in January of 1934.

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This act transferred ownership of all monetary gold in the United States to the US Treasury

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and prohibited the Treasury and financial institutions from redeeming dollars for gold

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up until that time, I could take a US dollar to the bank and get gold.

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After that time, I could not, plain and simple.

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While they didn't, to my knowledge, go door to door taking gold from people,

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you could not use your gold for anything.

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So this to me certainly was a form of censorship.

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So you could absolutely say that gold, it could be censored by a government.

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All right.

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So those are the attributes of a good store of value.

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Now there's not going to be any store of value that's going to be able to perfectly fill all

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of those.

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They're going to have varying aspects.

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Some are going to be better at some things than others.

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One of the questions is, is modern money, fiat, is it a store of value?

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So let's go ahead, before we dive into Bitcoin, I actually want to talk about that

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because as a currency, my US dollar should be a store of value.

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So let's go back through these things.

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Is it portable?

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Well, a dollar in my wallet is certainly portable.

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$100 in my wallet is certainly portable.

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Yes.

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Is it fungible?

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Can I go to China and change my US dollar to a Chinese yuan?

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As far as I know currently right now, you can.

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The last time I did, I took a trip to China three years ago or so.

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I certainly did.

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So unless that's changed in China specifically, that's still the case there.

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It's certainly the case in basically the modern world.

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So yes, it's fungible.

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Is it verifiable?

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Can I easily identify it and I verify it as authentic?

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Well, that's a little bit of a mixed bag.

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We do have counterfeit money, but they do enough stuff these days that

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people typically don't get caught with that or get caught by ending up with counterfeit money that

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they take to the bank and, oh, the bank says this is counterfeit.

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They have better ways than I do of determining if it's counterfeit.

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So I think we'll give that a pass and say, yes, it's verifiable.

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Is it divisible?

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Can we subdivide it?

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Can we take a dollar and break it down into quarters, dimes, nickels, and pennies?

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Yes, down to a cent level.

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Does it have an established history?

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That's a great question.

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The United States has a history of using paper money.

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Certainly, it goes back actually quite a ways.

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Now, modern paper money started in 1913 with the setup of the Federal Reserve.

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Paper money has been around a long time.

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The Chinese actually invented paper money.

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And I don't remember the timeline, but it was prior to, it was like 500 years ago,

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500 BC or something, somewhere around there.

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Established history, not that long, not for the United States,

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not really for any modern country that I'm aware of.

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They all kind of started around that same time from what I understand.

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So prior to that, we were using, now we may have been using checks or whatever,

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but there was gold in the bank to back that up, if that makes sense.

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I hope I'm stating all that correctly.

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I believe I am.

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And is it resistant to censorship?

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Well, cash certainly is, actually.

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That's one of the things that the US government honestly doesn't like about it.

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They feel like it's too anonymous.

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So you could argue it was resistant to censorship.

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So fiat in some ways is a good store of value.

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But one of the things that I didn't bring up during all of this was the volatility of it,

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was inflation, because it wasn't in this list that I was going through.

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Gold, as I mentioned already, has a long history of being an inflation hedge, essentially.

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Like I mentioned, short timeframes, probably not best to look at gold as an inflation.

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So if I buy it now and then I'm going to sell it 10 years from now,

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it may or may not be a very good inflation hedge.

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If I would have bought it 100 years ago, or my family did and I sold it now,

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it would be a great inflation hedge, actually.

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Now, is money a good inflation hedge?

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I hope y'all all know the answer to this, because this is what I've been preaching about

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for weeks. Money, fiat, of any form really, but specifically in this case, the US dollar,

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has lost 90, what was it, 96% or so of its value since 1913, when the Federal Reserve was created.

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So no, it's not a good inflation hedge, which in my book is part of being a good store of value.

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It's not stable. It's stable when you look at it over a month or maybe even most years,

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but it's not, well, not the last year. Seven. whatever percent inflation,

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but it's not, certainly not stable over the long haul.

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And see, again, the Austrian view is we're looking at the long view, I think, versus a Keynesian view

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of 20 years. I don't know. All right. So I would argue that fiat is not a good store of value

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based on those criteria, even though they say, I'm going to read what this, and I copied this again

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off of a webpage somewhere, probably some Keynesian's website. Anyways, despite this

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issue with inflation, many economists are still going to say that money, fiat is a good store of

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value because it happens, this erosion of value, this deflation of money happens over a quote,

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a long period of time. I don't understand why people have forgotten the ability to think

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beyond 10 years. I don't. I just don't. It doesn't make sense to me.

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As I get older, yes, I have the ability to look back now in my life over five decades

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and some change. Now, do I remember the first few years? Certainly not, but I can look back over

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a long period of time, but a lot of economists are not, they're not 20 years old.

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So I don't understand how they can be so narrow in their view.

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Well, it's okay if you have a little inflation. We'll target 2%. Well, it'll be 3.6% or whatever

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average over the last 30 years, but that's okay. It's over a long period of time.

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My youngest child will get out of high school in about eight years.

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So if the world is still around,

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let me do some quick thinking. And he has reasonably good health. He may live to see 2,100.

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That's an accurate statement. He won't be 120 or something crazy like that. He could live to see

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2,100. Now, as a parent, I want to be able to pass some, maybe not all, but some of my assets

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to my children. Two things, I don't want the government taking most of it and I don't want it

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losing its value because as I look at 2,100 right now for that child, that's 80 years from now,

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right? Well, it's slightly under 80 years from now. And if I put money in a bank account and

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I put money in a bank account and then expect that to be worth anything in 80 years, I'm making a

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mistake because it won't be. But why can I think about that but not an economist, not a Keynesian

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economist? I just, sorry, that's a little rant of mine, but I just, I don't understand the thinking.

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Are we trying to make the world better for our children or do we not care? So, I'll put up my

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hand and say, I care. All right. I want to take another look. So, we've talked about gold. We've

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talked about fiat. We're going to talk about Bitcoin as a store of value. And we're going to

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go through that and then we're going to kind of compare. I don't think that money is in the

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running here for the reasons I just said. When we get done, we're going to compare Bitcoin with gold.

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Bitcoin is a store of value. Scarcity, very limited supply. Gold has the same thing, by the way.

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They still mine gold. They'll be mining gold for the foreseeable future. Oh, by the way,

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some of us are a little worried about kind of the shape of the world.

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You should look into gold mining. It's not an easy, nice process. I think we grew up with the idea

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that the snow white and the seven drawers and drawers would go down in the mine and they would

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dig out gold nuggets or whatever. That's not the way gold is mined industrially. It's strip mined.

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They dig a big hole in the ground. They dig a big hole in the ground. They dig a big hole in the

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ground. A really big hole. Then they just keep digging. All right. I'll just throw that out.

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There's a reason not to use gold as a currency. In fact, to not be mining gold, maybe. All right.

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Sorry. Back to our list. Oh, is it portable? Is Bitcoin portable? Absolutely. Absolutely.

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It's digital. I can send it from one corner of the world to the other in a fraction of a second.

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Is it fungible? I can interchange any Satoshi, which is the smallest unit of Bitcoin,

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with any other Satoshi of equal value because they're all equal.

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It is absolutely fungible down to a level right now that's about, I think like one sat is roughly

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one five thousandth of a dollar. So they're much less than a dollar, a cent, excuse me.

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Is it verifiable? Can you verify a Satoshi as authentic? Yes, you can. The way that you do that

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is that you run a Bitcoin node and you can verify every transaction that's ever happened,

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including yours. Absolutely verifiable. Is it divisible? Yes. One Bitcoin is divisible down

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into a hundred million Satoshis, which as I said, roughly at the current prices is something like

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5,000 sats to a dollar. Very, very divisible. Does it have an established history?

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It's the oldest cryptocurrency around, but some might argue at 13 going on 14 years now,

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that's not long enough. I can see that point. It's still in the early stages, no doubt.

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Does it resist censorship? Yes. Is it private? No. Can you resist censorship with it? Yes. Those

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are two different things. So without going into a whole lot of depth there,

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the government cannot come take my Bitcoin. The reason why is in the end, your Bitcoin wallet

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wallet comes down to 12 word seed phrases and you can store those in your head or in a locked safe

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that only you have access to or whatever. And they cannot force it out of you if you so choose.

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So there's the comparison. I'm going to mention a few other things. Bitcoin, of course, unlike gold

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and unlike money is volatile at this point. We have price swings. We're down 70, 67, 70%

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right now from our all time high. There's no doubt about that. As Bitcoin becomes more of a global

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reserve currency, I believe that we will see that volatility flatten out. I believe that there will

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be a point and I'm pulling numbers completely out of my hat, but let's say Bitcoin is worth

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$2 million. It's not going to fluctuate half a million dollars over the course of a week.

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As it becomes more and more accepted, as it becomes the legal tender for different countries,

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that change. Now the US dollar may change versus Bitcoin, but Bitcoin won't be changing.

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It will not be so volatile. Correlation with markets, you don't want your store of value

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to be correlated say with the stock markets, financial markets. That right now is not true.

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So those last two things for Bitcoin, its volatility and its correlation with markets

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are just not true. Because people view it as a speculative investment right now and it will

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remain that way, I believe, probably for about 10 more years. Now I could be off on that. It

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may happen sooner. It may happen 20, 30 years from now. I do not know. That's just my thoughts.

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All right. Of course, so now let's compare gold and Bitcoin directly. Bitcoin is digital. Gold

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is not. Now I love having a piece of gold in my hand. On the other hand, I can send Bitcoin

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around the world with no intermediaries instantaneously, and I can do that anonymously

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and I can do that with privacy.

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Gold, you of course have to physically transport it. You have to worry about security or you have

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to put it in the care of a third party, a custodian. Now I'm not a fan of custodians.

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Bitcoin is absolutely limited to 21 million. There will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin.

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Gold, on the other hand, we do not know how much there is. Now there's been a significant

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supply of gold being dug out of the ground over the last however many centuries

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that's remained fairly stable. But at some point, well, you may find a big reserve of gold that

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would dilute the market. That's true. Probably not going to happen, but it is true. You could

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also run out. That's also unlikely. I think you're going to have over time a pretty steady supply

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of gold if we continue to dig it out of the ground the same way we have been.

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Gold, you can definitely not divide it up as much. Bitcoin, I should say, doesn't have the same

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regulations on it. Now Bitcoin, obviously crypto in general, Bitcoin is a bit of a wild west.

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But I would argue that gold is very regulated. Maybe that's not the best thing. I don't know.

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All right. Gold simply isn't practical for small transactions. I'm not going to take gold into the

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store and buy Bitcoin. I'm not going to take gold into the store and buy bubble gum at five cents

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or whatever they've inflated it to these days. It's not going to happen. Bitcoin, on the other

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hand, because Satoshi's, there's so many Satoshi's in a Bitcoin, I can go in there, oh, that's five

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cents. Well, here's however many Satoshi's that comes out to. So it is absolutely

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absolutely dividable and able to be used for those smaller amounts. So here's kind of where

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I land on this. I don't think personally we'll ever go back to gold as a currency. Now some people

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will argue, well, we could have paper currency that's backed by gold. And I would argue, oh,

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you mean like the United States did before 1933 or 1913 or whenever it was, or certainly 1971,

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72, when Nixon took us off the gold standard. We were already off it, but that's when it officially

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happened. Why would I trust my government, who's got a history of almost a hundred years

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of not doing that, to suddenly start doing that? They're not going to. See, one of the things I've

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realized over the last few years is that the governments are not going to change, at least

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the United States. I can't speak for other countries. I'm not going to try to. The United

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States is not going to change. We're not suddenly going to become a Democratic nation or a Republican

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nation, a right nation or a left nation. We're just going to continue with politicians who line

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their pockets, who don't get anything done, and who we're just going to go right down this path

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until we have a choice. Do we hyperinflate the currency or do we default? Neither case is really

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good. We spend more money every year than we bring in, even though we have extremely high taxes.

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We've done this for a long, long time, but the left nor the right cares because they want their

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project, and they want their project, and they want their project, and they want their project,

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and nobody's willing to cut anything. Once you start a project, that project will get funded

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for now until eternity. We're not willing to face the reality that we have a political,

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I was going to say a political war machine. Maybe that's an accurate statement that sucks up,

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if I remember correctly, $800 billion a year. I may be off on that figure, but it's a lot.

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If I'm not mistaken, the military is the single biggest item in the budget,

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but we're not going to cut our military spending. If we do, it'll only be a token cut,

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and we're not going to cut... I don't know. I'm just...

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It's like I'm standing there watching this train coming, and I know the train's coming,

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and I can't do anything about it. I can't stop the train.

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I just got to figure out what's going to happen when that train hits.

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When we get to that point, like I said, they're not going to cut the budgets back.

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Everybody's got their little pet projects. We're all too busy fighting each other over it anyways.

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What's going to happen when that point is reached? We may have already reached it,

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and we just don't know it, and then we're down the path of either we default,

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which we've never done in our history, if I'm not mistaken, certainly in modern history, or we

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hyperinflate. I don't know which would be worse. All right. Yeah. Good times.

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To get back to the discussion, I apologize. To get back to the discussion, though,

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even if the government said, we will start backing money with gold, I wouldn't believe it.

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I don't. I have no reason at this point to believe it. We have an established history

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of not doing that, so why would they suddenly start doing it? Would that be better? If they

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actually did it, would that be a good thing? Absolutely. I just don't think it will happen.

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As an investment, is Bitcoin or gold better? I have no problem with people buying gold.

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I do not think that gold will become the world reserve currency again.

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I don't think that even the United States will back their money with gold again.

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I don't think that's going to happen. I think that Bitcoin has a better chance of becoming a

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reserve currency than gold. Gold has too many issues. I've got to transport it. It's heavy.

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I've got to secure it, et cetera, et cetera. All those things that I just talked about.

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Bitcoin, on the other hand, aside from its volatility, and aside from its following the

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market, which those two things are somewhat related, if it truly becomes a reserve currency,

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those two things are no longer true, and it's almost this perfect thing

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as a world reserve currency and as a currency for different countries.

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See, El Salvador can use Bitcoin as a currency. So can the United States. So can Russia.

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So can the Ukraine. So can all of the EU.

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The question is, will they? The governments don't want to give up this control that they have

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over the fiat money system, but the fiat money system will probably fail on them,

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and then they won't have a choice. They'll have to give up control. I would argue gold cannot be a

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replacement for the US dollar, for world reserve currency, whatever. I would argue that it probably

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will not except, maybe in a few small cases, even with a gold-backed paper currency that's backed

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by gold, I don't think that that's going to become widespread again. And I think Bitcoin has the best

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chance. All right, let's wrap this up. I've been talking for almost an hour and I got to get this

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wrapped up. I think over the last few weeks, we've explained Austrian versus Keynesian economy

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fairly well. I hope so. We've compared these two. In my opinion, of course, Austrian economics is

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kind of, it's the way that we should be going. Now the reality is, is that modern governments

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don't operate in that aspect. And that's why we're in the situations that we are

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with large amounts of debts. One of our supporters don't want to let the cat out of the bag,

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but they actually ask a question about debt and we'll dive into that in just a second.

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That's something that we're going to explore down the road. But in my opinion,

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the Keynesian economics of the last hundred years is the reason we have massive amounts of debt.

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And governments operating under an Austrian economic system would be better off.

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If I have any control, and I just said, I don't feel like I do, but if I did, I would be advocating

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for this Austrian economics. The only thing I can do is prepare myself for what happens

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when these systems fall apart as they invariably will. Let's talk about our supporters. In terms

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of support, it's been a good week. I appreciate that. I was looking through the stats tonight,

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of course, as I was preparing for this, and I saw something very interesting. I had not seen,

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that I recall, I had like at one point, I think it was actually Christmas day, I had like five

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people streaming stats at the same time. So there was like five different names with each one coming

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in. I thought that was very interesting. Really cool that that many people were actually watching

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it or listening, I should say, at the same time. But for this week, in business cycles and government

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intervention, last episode, hypersensitivosaurus, I hope I said that right, 99 stats. Thanks for

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all the work you're doing as people like you that rekindle my interest in economy and finance,

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and your summary of all your knowledge saves me a lot of time. I appreciate it. PS,

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Austrians for the win. Thank you. Appreciate that. I appreciate the kind note. I certainly

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appreciate the sats, and thanks for your support. Mere Mortals podcast came in, and with 12,199

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sats, which if I'm not mistaken, was our biggest boost in the week. I really appreciate that,

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Kyrin. I'd love to hear an episode diving into debt McIntosh. So this is the one I was talking

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about. I'm confused as to how all this money is owed. Kyrin, I'm just going to tell you outright,

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I'm confused too, but maybe together we can figure it out, at least a little bit.

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Imagine if we took a snapshot of everyone and every entity's assets right now and tried to

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sort it all out. How much of that USA's 31.6 trillion is owed to Australia, and how much of

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our 0.9 trillion to you? That's an interesting question. We'll see what we can figure out about

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that. How much is imaginary money that is simply owed back and forth? I would argue it's all

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imaginary, but people call me crazy. What countries or types of people would essentially become slaves

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until repaying if there was no more fiat ability to manipulate the money? That is a very good

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question. I'm going to try and explore that because that actually is one of my concerns.

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I think I'm going to say this, and then I'm going to take on and do some more research.

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I'll take the United States. We owe $31 trillion. If we hyperinflate the dollar

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10 times, and then we use those dollars to pay back the debt, technically we would not owe the

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debt, but our dollar would only be worth one-tenth of its value. So a dollar would be worth a dime,

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which if you've got, say, $100,000 in the bank account and all of a sudden it becomes $10,000—I

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think I did that right—of spending power, then that's not good for the saver, obviously.

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That would be hyperinflation. If we did default on our money, on our debts, I should say,

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it's like going into bankruptcy. The debtors lose that money.

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So that would be bad for the people who are owed the money, which if I'm not mistaken,

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for the majority of that debt, if not all of it, that I'm talking about, the $31 trillion,

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that's UST bills. Now I want to look into that and make sure I'm saying all that correctly,

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okay? So the people who owed the T-bills, the people who had bought the T-bills, they'd be

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worthless. So T-bills are bonds, so people who own those bonds, they'd be out their money.

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So that's what would happen there. So it wouldn't directly impact the average person

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except for that savings aspect. If I hyperinflate and my money's only one-tenth of what it used to

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be, then everybody's savings is diminished. Everything is diminished. How do you deal with

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that? I'm doing good to get, say, a 5% raise every year. If I'm lucky, well,

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well, are they just going to jack it up 10X? I don't think so. So the wage earner will end

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up losing in that as well. A lot of people will lose. Spending versus savings episode.

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Mayor Mortals again. Thank you, Karen. I appreciate all that. I love these questions,

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by the way. I do. It gets me thinking about different things and gives us a topic. We will

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talk about debt in general. I've talked about debt off and on over the last two years, but

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we'll do a specific episode on that. I'm good with that. I'm going to take a break from

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the Austrian talk for a few weeks, at least, maybe. Spending versus savings,

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$5,500 from Karen again, Mayor Mortals. I'm starting to see the Keynesian viewpoint

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as a common pitfall in human thinking, which is trying to control volatility, change, or variation

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and make everything linear and smooth. Ultimately, this leads to bigger and worse outcomes

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like huge forest fires from stopping the small ones and the Holodomor from trying to feed

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everyone equally. The Holodomor was something that happened. I had to look this up.

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I had heard of it. I did not know the name of it. It was a famine, essentially, that happened in the

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Ukraine during the time of the early Soviet Union. You can go look that up if you want more in depth

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about that. H-O-L-O-D-O-M-E-O-R, Holodomor. Karen, that's actually exactly how I view it,

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very much. That's how they view it. They think that it could be perfect. We'll have a little

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recession here, but we'll tamp it down and whatever. That's just not reality. It's living

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in a fantasy world, a utopia, in fact. That's just not possible. Because of that thinking,

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I agree that actually leads to worse things. I think that's absolutely true, at least in my view.

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The It's a Dilemma, Security, Speed, and Decentralization podcast, user 5170931939050220

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from Fountain, 99 sats, no message. Thank you very much, sir. Appreciate it. Or ma'am,

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thank you very much. Gerard13 sent 99 sats as well, no message. Appreciate that. Glad

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y'all enjoyed those episodes, that episode. And then the What's Buzzing with Hive episode,

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our friend Hypersensitivosaurus, I'm going to get that right yet, who we heard from earlier,

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apparently listened to a couple of episodes, and boosted this, which I don't have the boost

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amount. I think it was 99 sats. As someone who has been active on Hive since the early days,

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it was fun to discover an interview with Brian of London. Keep up the good work. Meanwhile,

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I trust Brian will do the same for Hive. I happen to know that Brian is very much active on Hive.

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He and I intersect through the podcast 2.0 ecosystem, if you want to call it that.

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And so I see his post on Mastodon, and he is certainly busy.

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All right, that is it. And that is awesome. A lot of streaming this week and appreciate that. Of

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course, like I said, I just never have time. I do not have time to go through those. I'm sorry.

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I wished I did. Oh, and one other thing, because this is our first episode of

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2023. I'm going to run through real quick, basically the top supporters. I'm not going

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to do the top 10. I'm going to go a little deeper. And I'm not going to give out their sat totals,

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but this will be in order. Mere Mortals or Kyrin, he actually posts under two different

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accounts. I assume it's all Kyrin. But anyways, they were our top supporter. Kyrin, of course,

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I really appreciate that. You've been a supporter of this podcast for a long time. And obviously,

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I say this basically every episode, you should check them out if you haven't already. They run

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a great podcast over there, Self Help, Book Reviews. I think right now he's actually looking at

Speaker:

Tess of the D'Urbervilles, all kinds of different books. He's just recently reading some Greek stuff,

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if I'm remembering correctly. Jenny Jams, second, Signs of New Growth, third, Petar, fourth,

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Defunct Mode, Lyceum. And Lyceum, I think yours might actually be off a little bit. You might be

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a little bit higher. I think yours was the one that had the 1776 post that did not make it.

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I'm sorry, it's either yours or Martin's, and I can't remember at this point. Pooch, user 5-30-369-602-54-36824.

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I swear the fonts get smaller every year. Is next. And now Excel has gone crazy on me.

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5 times 9 is 45, and user 5175386301288162, and then our friend Borsen Gelber from Germany,

Speaker:

and Brian of London actually, and then RDG3, and Captain Egghead, and Takurip, and Wist 6,

Speaker:

and we'll stop there. So those were our top boosters for the year, boosters and streams.

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I think that's a combination of both. I will say this, I have the numbers for the total.

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I'm going to go ahead. I've debated. I don't know. To be honest, I don't really like revealing this

Speaker:

kind of stuff. It's just kind of my nature, but I just want y'all to know kind of where we're at.

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This is where we're at. Total, and this was since February, March, actually, since I started using

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Satoshi Stream. So this doesn't actually reflect the entire thing, but the reality was prior to

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this, there wasn't a whole lot of activity. There were some. So this isn't all-inclusive,

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but certainly for most of last year, I earned 119,894, and so I ended up with, because Satoshi

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Stream takes out as well, their percentage, it's like a percent or two, 110,494 Sats.

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152 boosts and 4,158 stream pays. So that is awesome. So I truly, from the bottom of my heart,

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appreciate that. We are going to continue to build this podcast. I posted, I think,

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some of the ideas. I did post some of the ideas I had for the upcoming years, for the upcoming year.

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And I do plan on, assuming I can come up with capital, essentially, expanding things out.

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I want to put up a chat room. I want to redo the website. I've already told y'all we're already

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working on, the first thing I want to do is get my own Lightning node back and actually run it here

Speaker:

at my house. That is coming along. Got to get that little server taken care of, which hopefully

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tomorrow, actually, it will be, and I'll be able to go home with that. So lots of things. Oh,

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and I would certainly want to continue to implement features like chapters. It's actually a big thing

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for me, which means I have to move my site. The current host, we're going to have to move my site

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which means I have to move my site. The current host will not do that. All right. I believe I

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had an episode every week this year. We are, of course, on episode 89. We're closing in on 100.

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I think I figured out that in March, I'll hit 100. Looking forward to that.

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And news. You know what? I'm going to go over a little bit of the news. We're running really long.

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I don't want to, I want to be respectful. I'm going to run over a little bit of the news.

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I did want to mention, if you are interested in what I talked tonight about Bitcoin being a

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store of value, Bitcoin being a future currency, if you want to call it that,

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it already is a currency actually, certainly in El Salvador. But as an example,

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the Bitcoin standard by Safedin Amoos, you can get it on Amazon. He probably has it on his website,

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whatever. I don't get a dime if you buy it. That's fine. I don't have it listed on my website,

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an affiliate leak or anything like that. I've bought it. I've read it. It's a good book.

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It's worth the read. It's not technical. It's well thought out, historical research and analysis.

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So it's probably more, I would like to think I'm well thought out and researched. It's kind of what

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you would hear on here. I'll put it that way. But certainly his spin on it, he is a better scholar

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than I am and certainly has a lot more time to do this than I do. So worth that read.

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He has fascinating stuff about the history of money in there. It's crazy the things that people

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have done to be able to store a value, a form of currency. So again, as I always say, follow me

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on Twitter. I post all the new stuff on there. I actually came across something very interesting

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very interesting. I do want to mention tonight. I'll skip over a lot of the other stuff.

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So I posted this tweet three hours ago. I had never had this happen before.

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Y'all are finding out about this same time. I have a thing on there that says this tweet

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links to an Iran state affiliated media website. That is true. I did not note it.

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I did not notice this, but I'm going to read it because I actually know that this was posted

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most other, a bunch of other places. This is actual news, but you know,

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Twitter thinks I need to know that this was from Tehran and blah, blah, blah. So hey guys,

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this is a Tehran website. So take this with a grain of salt. I'll also tell you that it was on,

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it was a UK website, one of the newspapers. The reason why I didn't use that one is because it

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was where you had to pay. Telegraph, the UK Telegraph actually. They cite the UK Telegraph

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or whatever, the Telegraph newspaper. So I'll get to the punchline here because like I said,

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we're going on. The UK nuclear plants face a shutdown over windfall tax.

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Now to set the stage really quickly, of course, the UK has some of the highest electricity rates

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in the world right now. They're out of control. They've gone up like 10X in some cases in the

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last year for a number of reasons, lack of natural gas, shutdown of coal plants, whatever.

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According to the Telegraph report on Sunday, citing French grid operator Electricité de France,

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EDF, which runs the stations and owns all five of the serving nuclear plants across the UK,

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said that the new levy, which comes into effect on January the 1st,

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will make it harder for the operator to run two different stations. I'm going to skip through

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a lot of this. They've got a tax on oil and gas generators that was raised from 25% to 35%,

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imposing an overall tax rate of 75% on profits from UK operations.

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Look, this is silliness. The country desperately needs power and they're fixing to shut down two

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nuclear power plants because of taxes. I cannot believe that any reasonable government would

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not understand that. I do think this is very relevant. The percentage of 25 to 34-year-olds

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living with parents or relatives in the United States in 1970 was 11%. In 2020, it's 29%. I bet

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it's higher now. Right, because we're doing so much better than we were in 1970. Christine,

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I think, Lagarde, the ECB, the European Central Bank president, said, the recession we feared is

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likely to be short-lived and shallow. If you live in Europe, I would start putting aside food because

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you're probably going to need it before this thing is over because she has about as good a track

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record as Jim Cramer here in the United States. If you don't know who Jim Cramer is, go look him

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up. MSNBC, if I'm not mistaken, picks stocks, does a really good bad, a good job of it, does a really

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bad job of it, I should say. All right, skip, skip, skip. Italy's going to tax 26% on cryptocurrency

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profits over €2,000 in 2023. Italy's in a lot of trouble. They need revenue, I get that. At least

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they said over €2,000, so I don't know. I don't know if that's good or bad, whatever. It's just the

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news. There's some stuff on here about the month. Bank of Japan, they're setting new records for

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bond purchases. Japan's in trouble. Japan, in my opinion, is the canary in the coal mine.

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Central banks are buying up gold. I talked about this last week. I'll skip it.

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And I'll stop with this. The New York Times had an opinion piece.

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Signal, which is some messaging app, is bad because the people who build it are morally

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committed to preserving the privacy of its users. I think I'm just going to get a copy of the Bill

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of Rights and post it in every tweet that I post. Could you do that? Could you maybe like minimize

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that down to however many characters? I don't know these people. What are they teaching these

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people in journalism school? Sorry. There we go. By the way, cold snap, really cold temperatures,

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in Texas and a lot of the Bitcoin miners helped out by shutting down their machines temporarily.

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They had made agreements to do that. When, when Texas stayed online, they had made agreements

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to get paid for that time period. It stabilized the system, but Bitcoin uses too much money,

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electricity. All right. There we go. That's enough. That's it. You guys can follow me on

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Twitter. I post more stuff, but I'm at 82 minutes, which is the longest I've done in a long time.

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I really appreciate everybody. It's been a good year in a lot of ways. It's been a hard year,

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to be honest. And I posted, I will say this to wrap things up. I boosted, messaged, whatever,

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the guys at the podcasting 2.0 podcast, Adam and Dave. And I said something to the effect of,

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actually, I'll just read the tweet or the boost because I don't want to mess this up. I think

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this is very important. I actually put some thought into it. Well, I said something like this,

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I can't find it, but I said something along these lines. I said, I appreciate the hard work that

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those guys have done because the reality is if they hadn't done their work, I would have started

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a podcast a couple of years ago, just like I did our year and a half, however long it's been.

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But I would not have made it this far. And the reason why is my podcast is far too small

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to get ad support. That's the reality of it. I never would have had any chance to make any kind

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of money other than podcasting 2.0 streaming sats, boosting that kind of thing. And I really

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appreciate that. However, I said, you know, that's actually not the thing. I said,

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what they've done is they have created a feedback loop. So they've made it very easy for me to hear

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from my listeners, people like Kyrin, where he came and talked about the debt that we were just

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discussing earlier. And we'll have a show about that. That's a feedback loop. I'm getting feedback

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from my listeners. And now I'm going to go out and actually change my show, if you want to put it

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that way, because of that. And I appreciate that. I appreciate it. There's a lot more value to it

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than the monetary value. And I do appreciate the monetary value, the sats, but there's a lot more

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value to it than that. So that's really what value for value is all about. And of course,

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we're a value for value show. We don't have sponsors. We don't have advertising.

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And I depend upon the listeners to support this show. And it doesn't necessarily have to be

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streaming sats. Now apps like Fountain make it very easy to do that. But you can also

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support the show by helping out. I really want to do a rewrite of the website. Once I've moved,

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I've got to move off the platform we're on. So I'm working on that part of it. But once I've done

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that, I will really want to rewrite the website. And I don't necessarily, if I do it, it will take

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six months. Now that doesn't mean it's a tremendous amount of work. It just means that's the amount of

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time I can allocate to it over a six month period. It would take me that long. That would be

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something that people could help with. Transcripts are something I do every week. It takes about 30

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minutes from start to finish. And it's something that would be a tremendous help for me if somebody

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would step in and say, hey, I would love to help with that. Now it would also, I use Lambda Labs.

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They're cloud servers that have high speed, these very high powerful GPUs on them.

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And I use software, open source software. I believe it's open source. Maybe it's not. Anyways,

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I use software that transcribes it very efficiently on those servers. So it's actually faster than

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real time and very, um, without, with very few errors. So I have a process from start to finish

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that I can go through in about 30 minutes and transcribe that out and have it posted to the

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to the webpage, uh, for the, the web host podcast host, I should say, and then also on my webpage.

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So it's available for Google or whatever to get indexed.

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It costs about 30 cents a week for me to do that. I can pay for that. Or I mean, honestly,

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if somebody wanted to support the show by taking that over, I can go through the process with them

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and they could pay for it. Um, and it's not a huge amount unless you leave that sucker running for

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hours and hours, which you would certainly want to make sure that you don't do. It's like a dollar

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10 an hour is what the unit costs. And it literally takes like 15 minutes or less to transcribe it

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and get the files off. So anyways, those are other ways that you could participate. And as we

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continue to build this community into 2023, I would ask that if you are interested to step forward,

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reach out to me on Twitter, Mastodon, whatever email. All right. If you, where were we at? So,

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um, certainly you can support it through using one of the podcast 2.0 apps like Fountain.

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Uh, they're fixing to roll out a big update that I think you'll find very interesting. I've been in

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the beta testing on that and it'll help out a lot there. Also, I believe in the process of working

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on the lit, the live item tag or whatever. Uh, so that when we go live, which is something I would

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love to do this year as well, you would be notified of that, whether that's my podcast or one of the

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other podcasts, obviously, if you want an app like that, you could go to podcasting 2.0 or the new

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podcast apps.com. I should say website. They have a whole bunch of them there. You can try different

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ones. If you like the content, I would love it if you would tell your friends about the generational

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wealth cryptocurrency podcasts. Thanks for being here. Everybody. I hope you've enjoyed it. I hope

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it's been helpful. I hope you've appreciated this series. I've, I have loved it. And, but to be

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honest right now, I'm glad it's done with it has been stretching and there's a lot more I want to

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learn specifically about Austrian economics. I'm not really going to spend time going any more in

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depth on Keynesian economics. I don't have any interest in it. I think it's flawed and wrong and

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I just don't want to learn about it. Don't have any reason to, so you'll hear more about it down

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the road. Well, that's about it. So you got those different ways. You can reach out to me. You guys

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