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Episode 26, Part 2 - Fullcast & SBR: Win-Loss Truths and Why ICP Discipline Matters
10th March 2026 • The Growth Workshop Podcast • Southwestern Family of Podcasts - Southwestern Family of Companies
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We dive into the heart of revenue performance: why deals truly win or lose. Guy shows how engagement, multithreading, buyer personas, and source data reveal patterns CRM alone can’t. Alan and Dannii translate these insights into practical change: qualification discipline, deal hygiene, better ICP focus, and the behaviours that separate consistently high performers. This is a data‑to‑action masterclass for CROs and RevOps leaders.

Transcripts

Speaker:

Hello and welcome to the Growth Workshop Podcast.

Speaker:

In this podcast, we'll be sharing insights and hearing from other industry leaders

Speaker:

to get their thoughts and perspectives on what growth looks like in modern business.

Jonny Adams:

Quick fire question for each of you then.

Jonny Adams:

So if you think about we need to hit a goal, hit a target, we are isolating

Jonny Adams:

the sales velocity metrics as such.

Jonny Adams:

How long does it take to start changing those metrics within an organization?

Guy Rubin:

We've got a number of case studies that showed

Guy Rubin:

transformation within three quarters.

Guy Rubin:

You start to see those changes really quickly.

Guy Rubin:

There's some real low hanging fruit, right?

Guy Rubin:

Once we absolutely turn the television from black and white

Guy Rubin:

to color, you can't go back.

Guy Rubin:

So when you start to uncover where the low hanging fruit is, where the

Guy Rubin:

option, where the obvious issues are.

Guy Rubin:

A lot of the time, again, depending on who the sales leader is and how

Guy Rubin:

open the organization is and whether they've got a change agent there to

Guy Rubin:

execute is absolutely everything.

Guy Rubin:

As you rightly said, Jonny, the number of times I've gone in three months later and

Guy Rubin:

nothing has changed in the data now once they hear it a second time they start to

Guy Rubin:

realize actually, if we spent a little bit of money actually focused on this,

Guy Rubin:

the exponential results on the backend.

Guy Rubin:

Apart from cash, just the valuation, the impact on your business, if you

Guy Rubin:

can get growth from in the teens up to 25, 30, 40%, you can have a

Guy Rubin:

massive impact on valuations as well.

Guy Rubin:

So once the penny drops with the leadership team that actually this

Guy Rubin:

stuff is real and it can be affected they start to, to run at pace.

Guy Rubin:

And we, and consistently, we find after three quarters that sales efficiency

Guy Rubin:

number really starts to skyrocket.

Guy Rubin:

That's brilliant.

Alan Morton:

Yeah.

Alan Morton:

The question just the question just takes me right back to a story from a couple

Alan Morton:

of years ago now with global IT services business that we were working with like

Alan Morton:

many in that space, it actually had an incredible journey in terms of, from

Alan Morton:

founding through to, unicorn and beyond.

Alan Morton:

And long ago we realized that size doesn't necessarily equal maturity.

Alan Morton:

Lots of organizations do a great job of positioning themselves in

Alan Morton:

the right place at the right time and capitalize, and frankly, they're

Alan Morton:

brilliant at being bought from and then clearly as the tailwinds sometimes

Alan Morton:

drop, they need to learn how to sell.

Alan Morton:

So we went in and looked at, and I wish we'd had Fullcast at that point because I

Alan Morton:

think it would've surfaced a lot quicker.

Alan Morton:

But very quickly what we were able to see is that there was a drop off in

Alan Morton:

conversion rate over a certain deal size and I think all of us as revenue leaders

Alan Morton:

will recognize that there's often a point where the complexity or the size of a

Alan Morton:

deal, that there's a bit of a noticeable drop in terms of our conversion rates.

Alan Morton:

As we dug into that, what we saw behaviorally is that where the

Alan Morton:

conversion rate was standing up, it was down to some very simple behaviors.

Alan Morton:

Proposals were being presented.

Alan Morton:

They weren't being sent at as simplistic as that seems.

Alan Morton:

So just identifying that as a lever.

Alan Morton:

We worked with the team to make sure that over a certain size there was the

Alan Morton:

scrutiny, the accuracy, and that proposals were being presented and not sent.

Alan Morton:

And in that situation.

Alan Morton:

In the quarter, they saw an uptick in their conversion rate just from that

Alan Morton:

very simple behavior, which seems very obvious because I just pity these

Alan Morton:

poor little orphan proposals that were being sent out into the world.

Alan Morton:

And to your point, Dannii, some of the tooling rounds.

Alan Morton:

Oh yeah, we can track where people are looking, it's like, why are you

Alan Morton:

tracking where people are looking?

Alan Morton:

You should be having a conversation and answering questions and

Alan Morton:

surfacing objections and dealing with the objections in real time.

Alan Morton:

So, actually.

Alan Morton:

How quickly can some of those levers be impacted?

Alan Morton:

That's a specific example of where an organization in quarter was able

Alan Morton:

to make a significant difference to their conversion rate, just

Alan Morton:

because they were able to isolate a behavior that made the difference.

Alan Morton:

As I say, I wish we'd had Fullcast at the time, we'd have got there a lot

Alan Morton:

quicker in terms of isolating that behavior, but it's those types of things.

Alan Morton:

There's so much low hanging fruit out there we find in a

Alan Morton:

lot of these organizations.

Jonny Adams:

Dannii.

Dannii Mathers:

Yeah and actually even when you were given that

Dannii Mathers:

story, Alan, I was just thinking it's, and even down to the simple

Dannii Mathers:

things of measuring that change.

Dannii Mathers:

Okay.

Dannii Mathers:

Typically we were we were sending them so how many were we sending and then

Dannii Mathers:

how many of those were we converting?

Dannii Mathers:

Just even tracking those data points creates such a more of a momentum across

Dannii Mathers:

the organization because then people see, oh, we've gone from this to this.

Dannii Mathers:

But I, and I dunno why, but organizations, and maybe it's because there's always so

Dannii Mathers:

much pressure and we've gotta do more, we've gotta do more that we're not taking

Dannii Mathers:

that moment to step back and, okay, what moving the needle look at the levers.

Dannii Mathers:

Where can we get more like low hanging fruits and where's that kind

Dannii Mathers:

of line in the sand we're measuring from now till that moment in time.

Dannii Mathers:

I dunno why these figures don't get recorded, but it's just they change

Dannii Mathers:

your behavior without that data proof to create more evidence, to create more

Dannii Mathers:

adoption throughout an organization.

Alan Morton:

Yeah, completely.

Alan Morton:

It's, it just time after time we'll see organizations that, there's the

Alan Morton:

simplest measures and actually when we talk about win-loss win rates but

Alan Morton:

actually just thinking about the simple conversion metrics, upper basic funnel.

Alan Morton:

Often there isn't that visibility in place for multiple reasons.

Alan Morton:

Some of them are valid, but over the years, I guess the con, the consistent,

Alan Morton:

conviction I've developed is sometimes it's just because of lack of focus.

Alan Morton:

And actually often sales teams not recognizing how valuable it is for

Alan Morton:

them to have that data so that they're disciplined enough to be tracking, but to

Alan Morton:

your point, with the technology that's out there at the moment, we shouldn't have to

Alan Morton:

rely on people manually inputting data.

Alan Morton:

We should have those numbers to hand at the moment.

Alan Morton:

So that's, I think a great use case for technology is surfacing the data

Alan Morton:

so that we can have the insights and then we can take the corrective action.

Jonny Adams:

So, chapter two, win-loss analysis.

Jonny Adams:

So what we're gonna do on this one, we are gonna keep this.

Jonny Adams:

To the point, straight up and then we're gonna go to chapter three.

Jonny Adams:

So Guy gonna come to you to start off with chapter two, win-loss analysis.

Jonny Adams:

Just start with a definition just so we've got clarity across

Jonny Adams:

what is a win-loss analysis.

Jonny Adams:

And then if you could match it up with what would the report help us understand?

Jonny Adams:

And again, Alan, Dannii gonna come straight to you for like, how we how we

Jonny Adams:

use some of that insights in the business.

Guy Rubin:

The challenge most organizations have in doing proper

Guy Rubin:

win-loss analysis is once again they just rely on what happens to be in Salesforce.

Guy Rubin:

Okay the reason we can deliver the depth of insights that we're able

Guy Rubin:

to is because our engine is able to connect to all these disparate sources

Guy Rubin:

and we can look at the data at source.

Guy Rubin:

For example I built Ebsta on the principle of of the relationships drive revenue.

Guy Rubin:

And one of the cornerstone data points that we lean into

Guy Rubin:

a lot is our engagement score.

Guy Rubin:

So when we look back historically at the deals that have closed won and the deals

Guy Rubin:

that have closed lost, because we're connected to mailboxes and calendars and

Guy Rubin:

call recordings, we can actually score the engagement you had with every stakeholder

Guy Rubin:

involved in every sales process that took place over the last 12 months.

Guy Rubin:

So when you start to put that on a graph and you compare that to the deals that

Guy Rubin:

closed one and closed last, guess what?

Guy Rubin:

The deals that were more engaged and were more multi-threaded and

Guy Rubin:

other ones that are winning more.

Guy Rubin:

But by how much and when does it matter and which personas matter

Guy Rubin:

at which stage of the sales cycle?

Guy Rubin:

So these are all signals that we can then surface and help the sellers and the

Guy Rubin:

leadership team understand what they need to set up as their gates and triggers as

Guy Rubin:

they progress through the sales cycle.

Guy Rubin:

Other data points that we touch on when we talk about win-loss

Guy Rubin:

analysis we're interested in in, for example, the attribution.

Guy Rubin:

So what source is delivering the best outcome?

Guy Rubin:

And at the moment we're seeing anything that's got relationships related to it.

Guy Rubin:

Part emotions, community motions are working really well where

Guy Rubin:

you're building relationships, you're building credibility.

Guy Rubin:

The sales velocity on deals that are coming from those sources are

Guy Rubin:

really growing and going higher.

Guy Rubin:

Funnily, interestingly enough, the AEs as well we're seeing are getting a

Guy Rubin:

really efficient outcome with the deals that they're self sourcing, 'cause they

Guy Rubin:

know what a good deal looks like and they're able to sniff it out as they go.

Guy Rubin:

On the other side of things, we're seeing the sales efficiency from

Guy Rubin:

things like BDRs and generic kind of marketing activities like events.

Guy Rubin:

Not all events, but the kind of the big events.

Guy Rubin:

In person dinner's great, right?

Guy Rubin:

Turning up at a trade show, very expensive, not getting a great return

Guy Rubin:

on the leads that are coming through.

Guy Rubin:

And the biggest concern there isn't necessarily the the quality of the

Guy Rubin:

leads, although the win rates are usually in single digits from those sources.

Guy Rubin:

The biggest issue is the volume that they're able to get through.

Guy Rubin:

So with AI powering our BDRs, we can see 30, 40, 50% of the volume of

Guy Rubin:

leads now that are coming into the business are really low quality and

Guy Rubin:

being generated through this kind of AI supported, outbound function.

Guy Rubin:

And it's, and what it's doing is only the very best sellers are keeping

Guy Rubin:

diligent and are being disciplined about only focusing on the real deals.

Guy Rubin:

While everybody else is, you know, I've just been ramped.

Guy Rubin:

I'm a new seller.

Guy Rubin:

I've been given a bunch of leads, I'm gonna start working my way through

Guy Rubin:

them without really understanding that actually not all leads are equal.

Jonny Adams:

I, always just enjoy when you talk Guy.

Jonny Adams:

'cause I'm always like, oh yeah, that thing.

Jonny Adams:

And the great thing is I don't have to answer the insights these two do.

Jonny Adams:

So, um, just thinking, Dannii, you're a, you're a Chief Revenue Officer, Okay.

Jonny Adams:

And an organization of your choice, you, you've got that amazing insight

Jonny Adams:

like, one thing that you do with that insight to, to power your business

Jonny Adams:

forward, which bit would you cling onto?

Dannii Mathers:

I'd almost feel like, wanna, what he was saying, what guy

Dannii Mathers:

was saying, I want to pick it up and then drop, mic drop 'cause so much

Dannii Mathers:

of that information is just it really has, again, with the, with AI tools as

Dannii Mathers:

well helping, helping shape, helping shape in a way that it's preventative.

Dannii Mathers:

So I think when you have access to all these, of this raw intelligence,

Dannii Mathers:

it really helps with the prevention.

Dannii Mathers:

So things like if I was a revenue revenue leader, understanding more

Dannii Mathers:

about being more targeted with ICP because you immediately see those trends

Dannii Mathers:

that information is widely available, which gives sellers more focus because

Dannii Mathers:

they can see it in, in the data.

Dannii Mathers:

As a, even as a leader you, you get to see flags far easier.

Dannii Mathers:

So rather than waiting till you get to deal reviews and then

Dannii Mathers:

you've got sellers telling you, this is why this isn't happening.

Dannii Mathers:

You almost don't need that at that point in time because you, these

Dannii Mathers:

risks have been flagged far earlier on due to the data intelligence.

Dannii Mathers:

So I just think now that the risks that appear in pipeline, they almost

Dannii Mathers:

shouldn't be there because these preventative tools help us become much

Dannii Mathers:

more effective, much more efficient, whether that's with stakeholder

Dannii Mathers:

management, whether that's with ensuring you've got the right ICP, doing things

Dannii Mathers:

in the, in, in the right timely order.

Dannii Mathers:

I just think you've, yeah, you've got insight to help drive.

Dannii Mathers:

So yeah if I was a CRO, I'd be so excited to see that because you're

Dannii Mathers:

not just looking at one point in time, you're looking at this holistic view of.

Dannii Mathers:

What Shouldn't be entering your pipeline in the first place.

Dannii Mathers:

And going back to your point where we're seeing this flood of real messy leads

Dannii Mathers:

coming in, and this is where I think that really great, real great sellers

Dannii Mathers:

are gonna have that advantage because they're still using these robust processes

Dannii Mathers:

and some of the traditional methods that we know work when it comes to doing

Dannii Mathers:

outreach, as opposed to, I've just got a hold of this tool for the first time.

Dannii Mathers:

Everyone tells me I should use it, and it's expecting a big result

Dannii Mathers:

and getting very little returns and wonder, wondering why we've just

Dannii Mathers:

got to be better with the data.

Alan Morton:

I've literally just come off the back of a conversation with

Alan Morton:

a management team, a referral that came in to us from a partner and we're

Alan Morton:

probably not the right fit at the moment.

Alan Morton:

But I said to them.

Alan Morton:

very clearly off the back of a very brief conversation that you know, the

Alan Morton:

challenge that it sounds like they're having is they've fallen into the BDR

Alan Morton:

trap and actually, this is an organization I'm sure will be very successful.

Alan Morton:

But they're outside of our ICP at the moment.

Alan Morton:

So actually, qualify out it, it has to be the mantra still for all of us and

Alan Morton:

it's the hardest thing for sellers to do because we are optimists and we love

Alan Morton:

to see hope and we love to see that there's potential but actually their

Alan Morton:

situation was when you very quickly look at the average deal size that they

Alan Morton:

have, and then when you look at the deal volumes that they're gonna be doing.

Alan Morton:

A BDR motion is not the right one, where the least skilled least experienced,

Alan Morton:

least commercial individuals calling up high into an organization to get the

Alan Morton:

time and the attention of some of the most time poor, challenging stakeholders

Alan Morton:

that you're gonna need to engage with.

Alan Morton:

We see that all the time.

Alan Morton:

And again, thinking about that structure so that people aren't being blindsided

Alan Morton:

by the inbound, which isn't the right fit, and that you have the right people

Alan Morton:

focused on the outbound and the self gen, which is more likely to convert.

Alan Morton:

I think again, it goes back to having that visibility that is actually the track

Alan Morton:

that you're most successful AEs are on.

Alan Morton:

Where they're seeing anything that comes into them as the cherry on the cake.

Alan Morton:

They're not seeing it as the cake.

Alan Morton:

And I can't tell you the number of, over the last 15, 18, however many

Alan Morton:

years that I've been doing this, that the key thing that sits underneath

Alan Morton:

it is shifting to a proactive culture and capability set within a sales

Alan Morton:

organization where people aren't reliant and being distracted by the noise

Alan Morton:

that's landing on them is the key thing.

Alan Morton:

And unfortunately, to your point at the moment, and to your point Guy, we've

Alan Morton:

got that problem's being exacerbated by a lot of that messy creation of

Alan Morton:

leads at the top of the funnel, which is distracting people when they really

Alan Morton:

should be focusing on what works as opposed to the noise that isn't gonna

Alan Morton:

get one where they need to get to.

Jonny Adams:

I think it's a, a great debate, when loss analysis.

Jonny Adams:

I'm gonna have to chime in just once in this conversation.

Jonny Adams:

We're working with one of the largest financial service

Jonny Adams:

organizations at the moment.

Jonny Adams:

And they used a fantastic partner to do an experiential environment

Jonny Adams:

to effectively take their sellers through the journey of what it feels

Jonny Adams:

like to win and what it feels to lose.

Jonny Adams:

So I think not only can we take the data and insights from the win-loss

Jonny Adams:

analysis, but how does it make you feel?

Jonny Adams:

I think back, approximately 23 years ago, I remember it fondly when

Jonny Adams:

England won the the Rugby World Cup.

Jonny Adams:

Sir Clive Woodward, who was the manager at the time, talks a lot

Jonny Adams:

about how they did loss analysis, but they never did win analysis.

Jonny Adams:

And he brought that to the team and look what they did.

Jonny Adams:

They won it.

Jonny Adams:

The Rugby World Cup.

Jonny Adams:

So I think there's a lot to take away about breaking belief barriers

Jonny Adams:

and enabling a team to feel and not just look at the data, try and

Jonny Adams:

solve, but how do you feel if you lose, how do you feel if you win?

Alan Morton:

I love that story by the way, but I just want to remind

Alan Morton:

you, I am Scottish so if we could talk as little as possible about

Alan Morton:

the England rugby team winning the World Cup that would be appreciated.

Jonny Adams:

I was looking at your eyes, if you're listening to something

Jonny Adams:

audio, I was definitely looking at Alan.

Jonny Adams:

This has been awesome so far.

Jonny Adams:

Next topic of this amazing report.

Jonny Adams:

So seller coaching, what does it mean and what do we get to see?

Guy Rubin:

What we're really trying to do is highlight what good looks like

Guy Rubin:

at every stage of every sales cycle.

Guy Rubin:

Okay?

Guy Rubin:

So we talked earlier about ICP, we surveyed just over 200 CROs and we

Guy Rubin:

found that two thirds of them are reviewing their ICP once a year or less.

Guy Rubin:

And I think it it's an area that needs a lot more attention

Guy Rubin:

than it's getting at the moment.

Guy Rubin:

Really understanding the types of deals that are working and

Guy Rubin:

the signals that we're able to access now versus in the past.

Guy Rubin:

Now we talk about, in the past we might talk about an industry matching ICP or

Guy Rubin:

a size of business or their tech stack.

Guy Rubin:

We can now go much further and look at where is the company in their cycle.

Guy Rubin:

Have they just done a raise?

Guy Rubin:

Yeah.

Guy Rubin:

You know who have they just employed?

Guy Rubin:

Have they made a change at the board?

Guy Rubin:

And all of these things can allow an opportunity to fall into or out of ICP.

Guy Rubin:

And so we do a lot of, we try and look back at the historical data

Guy Rubin:

through the win-loss analysis and try and understand the efficiency

Guy Rubin:

of in certain ICP attributes.

Guy Rubin:

And then once we've done that, when we're looking at the seller coaching,

Guy Rubin:

we can start to see what proportion of the pipeline that they're working

Guy Rubin:

on actually matches that ICP.

Alan Morton:

Love that.

Guy Rubin:

Then we jump into then we're really interested in

Guy Rubin:

looking at their qualification methodology and their approach.

Guy Rubin:

Okay.

Guy Rubin:

And you won't be surprised to hear that the sellers that are qualifying out

Guy Rubin:

more are the ones that are winning more.

Guy Rubin:

Okay.

Guy Rubin:

And we see this magic happen every time, every organization we go into, you build

Guy Rubin:

the leaderboards of the sellers and you see what proportion of the deals are

Guy Rubin:

progressing from one stage to the next.

Guy Rubin:

And where they're seeing, where they're seeing slippage in the sales cycle.

Guy Rubin:

And the sellers that have got the discipline to invest the time and

Guy Rubin:

energy and see slippage in those very early stages 'cause they won't allow

Guy Rubin:

the deal to leave those early stages until they got the right buy-in from

Guy Rubin:

the right stakeholders, they've asked the right questions, they know about the

Guy Rubin:

critical events, the budgets, and so on.

Guy Rubin:

We see this magic happen late stage where very little slippage, very

Guy Rubin:

little attrition and the deals flow through the later stages.

Guy Rubin:

While the less experienced sellers are spending far too much of their time, late

Guy Rubin:

stage, trying to push these deals through, when in fact they should never have

Guy Rubin:

qualified them through in the first place.

Guy Rubin:

And they're under pressure from managers to hold onto deals because

Guy Rubin:

maybe they haven't got enough coverage to hit their quota.

Guy Rubin:

And that it's not serving them down, down the road.

Guy Rubin:

So when we're talking about player coaching or seller coaching we're

Guy Rubin:

really building leaderboards and understanding where everyone's

Guy Rubin:

strengths and weaknesses are.

Guy Rubin:

Because there's a, there's almost a Chinese menu of issues that

Guy Rubin:

sellers are gonna have, right?

Guy Rubin:

And every single one of 'em has got slightly different issues.

Guy Rubin:

Maybe you're really good at the MEDD, but very bad at the PICC, right?

Guy Rubin:

Or perhaps you are very good at at multithreading, but not

Guy Rubin:

with the right stakeholders.

Guy Rubin:

All of these things come out as you start doing the analysis, and

Guy Rubin:

you can start building leaderboards of where they need attention.

Guy Rubin:

Now again, we don't do the change, but when we hand that information

Guy Rubin:

over to SBR, they're able to actually build programs of work that, that

Guy Rubin:

actually affect change and is much more bespoke to the individual sellers.

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