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Pricing Trends for Small Businesses in 2024
Episode 115th January 2024 • The Pricing Lady • Janene Liston
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In this episode of Live with The Pricing Lady, we take a look at pricing

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trends for small businesses in 2024.

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A lot has happened in the past few years and change is happening so quickly.

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So it makes sense to stop and take a look at what's going on.

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So you know what to focus on in the year to come.

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Sit back, relax and enjoy the episode.

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Hello, and welcome to Live with The Pricing Lady, the podcast.

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I am Janene, your hostess.

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First, let me welcome you to the show and wish you a very happy new year.

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I hope you were able to spend the holidays resting and relaxing, spending a bit

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of time with friends and family, waving goodbye to 2023 and saying hello to 2024.

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May this year be filled with lots of love, laughter, happiness, and

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of course, great business success.

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In today's episode, we're going to be talking about pricing trends for 2024.

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We'll take a look at the state of affairs and what's been happening

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and globally in the marketplace.

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Then we'll take a look at what the pricing trends are that I see coming this year

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and where I think you can benefit the most by focusing your attention for this year.

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Before we get into that, I want to share with you a few things that

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are happening in my business of what you can expect from me in 2024

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because I am making some changes.

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So first of all, each month this year, we're going to focus on

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a different topic related to pricing and business or mindset.

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And this month, January, our focus topic, now this should be no surprise

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to any of you who follow me, but our focus topic is the customer.

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And why is it the customer?

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Because pricing is rooted in a deep understanding of customer.

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That's right.

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If you follow me, you know that I say that all the time.

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It is absolutely true.

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And so that is where we're going to begin our journey in 2024.

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The next thing that I want to share with you is that we are replacing

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the web classes that I used to do with the Price Point Events Series.

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So this is a live event that we'll have a few times a year, and

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we're going to be taking a look at those focus topics as well.

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And you can join these price point events where we'll have live Q and

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A, maybe a little bit of coaching.

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And of course you will get some content and some tips and tactics that you can use

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on those topics that we'll be covering.

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The first one is this month.

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And so you will get a link in the show notes for that.

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Keep an eye out for it.

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Next, I will be conducting a few pop up masterclasses this year.

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These are going to take, we're going to take some of the lead magnets that

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I have, some of the guides and tools and downloadables that I have, and

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we're going to dig into using them together in these pop up masterclasses.

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So the first one is actually going to be in February and

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it is on the pricing toolkit.

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This is something I can only highly recommend you to join me for, especially

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if you're not big on the numbers or you don't understand profit, you're going

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to wanna join me for that, so be sure to look for that in the show notes as well.

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The last thing I wanna let you know about is that I will be

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bringing you new or more.

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Yes, new and more cohort based courses.

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Now, if you follow me, then you know that the FairPrice formula, which

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is my price setting course, I moved it last year to the Maven platform

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and now run it as a cohort based course has been absolutely amazing.

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And so I've decided to move some other very prominent and very,

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let's say important Courses over there.

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One of them is called the Customer Compass, and this is

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all about doing customer insight interviews that will be running in.

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So actually we have this.

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The end of January, we had the Fair Price Formula part one,

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which is the price setting.

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And then we have the Customer Compass coming up in February.

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The dates will be in the show notes.

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And then I'm also going to be bringing parts two and three of the fair price

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formula, which is price communication and managing prices out later this year.

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So be sure to keep an eye out for all of that.

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So that's what I wanted to share with you on what to expect from me in 2024.

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Now let's get into the good stuff so that you can understand some of the trends

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and things that are happening across the globe and what it means for your business.

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So I want to start this by talking about the state of affairs.

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Now, I've used a couple of reports to pull some figures and numbers in here.

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You'll find links to those in the show notes as well.

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Now, generally, if we're looking across the globe, what we see is the following.

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We see people are spending more money, but they are buying less.

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Now, why is this the case?

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So by less, I mean they're purchasing fewer things, right?

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So by paying more, spending more money, but buying fewer things.

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And this is a really important trend because it means that for most

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industries, the market share, the size of the market is actually shrinking.

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So fewer people are making purchases.

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Yeah, because they're buying less.

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So they're being more, let's say discerning with what they purchase.

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Now because of inflation, mostly, is why they are actually spending

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more on what they do purchase.

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Now what we've seen in the past couple of years is what

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we call compounded inflation.

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Because inflation itself has been quite high in many countries across the globe.

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What we see is that from 2021 to 2020, well, now we're in 2024, at least

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through the end of 2023, we see that inflation has compounded and typically

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in many countries across the globe, people are paying 15 to 18% more for

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the goods and services that they were buying in 2021 than they are now.

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And that is really important.

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That's where that spending more typically comes from, because

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things have gotten, not everything and not everywhere, but things in

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general have gotten more expensive.

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And although inflation is higher, well, let's say, let me put it this way.

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Although, you know, the, let's say predictions.

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Maybe not the right word.

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But the expectations for inflation is that it won't be increasing as much.

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It still will probably, in many countries, be increasing 2-3%, and that is going

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to compound on top of the 15-18%.

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So it will still feel, even though it's not as big an increase compared

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to what we were paying before, it will still feel quite significant.

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Yeah.

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And that is going to shift people's behavior even further.

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Yeah.

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Wages in comparison to inflation across the globe, and this is generally

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speaking as well, most of them have not kept pace with inflation.

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They have actually fallen comparatively.

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So that means that people have about, or a little bit less money to Spend for

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things that are much more expensive, which is why we see this trend of

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people purchasing fewer things, right?

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So that's to give you a background understanding.

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Now why is this so important to the topic of pricing?

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Well, as I said at the beginning, the market size has shrunk.

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And a lot of times what people do when they're selling less is they

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panic and they say, let's discount our prices so we can sell more.

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And in this case, it's really hard to sell enough additional volume.

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Because you've got a couple things.

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You've got a very competitive environment and a shrinking environment, right?

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So everybody's trying to hold on to their market share on the one hand and

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on the other hand, they're trying to make sure that their profits are high

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enough and it just, you know, it has this really, I'm sorry, they're trying

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to make sure that they're not losing market share in a shrinking market that's

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more competitive and that just leads to a lot of, let's say, unhealthy pricing

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behavior and you want to be careful, that you don't get into that trap as well.

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So, basically, overall, we see less being purchased and a lot of people

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are paying more for those purchases.

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So what does this really mean?

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It means that people will probably continue to buy fewer things.

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Yeah, they're going to be more discerning with what they spend their money on.

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And what's really interesting, and so one of the reports I'll link to is called

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the NIQ 2023 mid year Outlook Survey.

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And one of the things that they did in this report is they kind of, they gave

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us an idea of what people are spending about the same on, more of their

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money on, or less of their money on.

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So when they're trying to decide, you know, where to spend what money they have,

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these are the things that we're seeing.

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So in general, people are spending about the same amount of money as they did

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before on things like, or maybe it's not the same amount of money, but the

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same amount of their income, right?

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They're spending about the same on things like health care visits on financial

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services on in home entertainment.

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So I'm guessing by in home entertainment that they mean things like, you know,

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live streaming and online gaming, things like that and transportation.

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That's a good thing to think about.

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There's people are spending a similar amount of their

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income on things like that.

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Now, people are spending less of their income on things like, let's

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see, eating out, takeaways, out of house entertainment, so like going

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to the movies or going to a football game or something like that clothing,

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and home improvements and decor.

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Yeah, so those things people generally are spending less of their,

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let's say, disposable income on.

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And then the things that people tend to be spending more of their income on these

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days are fresh foods, health and wellness, utilities, savings and Investments

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are costing more, funnily enough.

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And Education.

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Now why, why might I be sharing this with you?

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I find this really interesting because depending on what industry

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you're in that could be really important information for you to know.

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If you're in, let's say, Gastronomy industry, you know, eating out and

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takeaway, you know, people are not doing that as much as they were before.

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That means you may need to think about some other paths for your

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business, some other pricing strategies to entice people to come back.

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There's lots of different ways that you can do that, but knowing

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that in your industry, this is sort of the trend that's happening.

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That can be really helpful because it can help you understand

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what to be doing differently.

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Now,

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Another thing that the state of affairs, of affairs means is that some competitors

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are going to panic and drop their prices.

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And this has a couple of impacts.

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One, it's going to be painful or at least appear to be painful for you.

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Yeah, because we have this assumption that the lowest price always wins.

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It does not.

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But that is the assumption, the thinking that most people have.

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So your first response might be like, Oh my God, I have to drop my prices.

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I would sit on that overnight, think about it and make a decision

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a day or two later about it.

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Because what it can lead to is it can lead to price wars.

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And price wars are actually not good for anybody.

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Not for you, not for your competitors and not for the customer.

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And you might find that odd for me to say, the reality is when the customer

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has fewer choices to choose or fewer options to choose from, then it's

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actually not beneficial to them.

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That's one thing.

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And the second thing is if they bought from you in the past but they switched

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to someone else and then you lower your prices and they lower their prices and

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you get into a price war, one or the both of you will end up going out of business.

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And then if the customer needs support from what, for what they bought from

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you, that option is no longer there.

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So you can see how it's obviously not great for you or your competition because

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of profits and, and margins, but then it's also not good for the customer.

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I think that people will be seeking more personalized experiences.

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Whether it be through a product or a software or service, I think they're going

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to want to, They're going to connect with and want to spend their money on things

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that feel more personalized towards them.

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And I think that that's a trend that we're definitely going to see.

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And of course, that will impact your pricing.

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You'll also see Increased brand loyalty, but I have to caveat

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this to say as long as they feel is still good value for money.

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Yeah.

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So if people really love what you have to offer and they feel it's still

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good value for money, then they will continue to be loyal to you and your

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brand because you've built that trust.

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And as long as you maintain that trust, they will hold on for that.

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They will hold on to that, and that's really important.

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So those are just some of the things that I think that we will see come out of

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the state of affairs that we're having.

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So now let's talk about some of those pricing trends, because these are

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really important to think about in the context of what is going to be

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happening in your market, but also what you want to be doing in your business.

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So the first thing, and I think many of you probably see this

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coming, but the use of AI.

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There's no doubt that that is also coming into pricing.

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It already has in many ways.

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And when we get into large multinationals or mid sized businesses where they're

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using a lot of data and analysis of numbers and figures, you know,

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on you know, thousands of SKUs were Thousands of part members.

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If you don't know what an SKU is, then of course that's already,

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you know started but for smaller businesses I see this trend of using

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AI as well and I see it in two areas.

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In one area is of course in doing your market research and understanding

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The Marketplace and The Competition.

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You probably have, you know, once or twice, I'm guessing you'd gone into

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something like ChatGDP and, and typed in there to see what would come out.

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Right?

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Now you have to be careful.

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Well, let me, before I get into the, that, let me, let me say the other thing.

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So market research is one aspect where we use AI in pricing.

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Now, the other area where AI will come into pricing is when consumers are looking

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at what's available to them, right?

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So they may also be using AI to research pricing on different products

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and services and things like that.

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So what's really important to understand that a lot of the AI tools that are

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available right now are not going to be giving you data that is up to date.

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So, for example, I even went in today and I typed something into ChatGPT

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to see what would come back to me.

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And I, I use the free version currently.

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And I said, you know, I typed something in there.

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If you're looking at pricing trends and they came back to me and said, actually,

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all the information we can give you is only going to be updated up through 2022.

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And so they didn't give me any information back except for to say,

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yeah, we can't really give you any up to date pricing information.

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And that's really important for you to know when you're using it

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and for you to understand that when your customer is using it, they may

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be looking at older data, right?

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So it's important for you to consider that when you're thinking

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about AI in your business.

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So does that mean it's bad information?

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No, it just means that it's not up to date information.

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So you have to figure out how can I take, if I use AI generated information,

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how can I take that and make sure it's up to date when I do use it?

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Because you don't want to base your pricing on outdated information

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if you can avoid doing so.

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As a result of using AI, especially of consumers using AI, and

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even your competition, right?

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We will see more price transparency.

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Now, in some ways you can't imagine probably prices being more

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transparent because it feels like they are pretty transparent already.

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But it will come even more so to the forefront and that will

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have an impact on your business.

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What does that mean you should do?

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Well, I think for the most part you just need to be aware of who

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else is in the market both directed and indirect competitors and how

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they could be influencing what your customers or clients are seeing.

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I think we will see a Focus on differentiation.

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And this is good news.

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Now, if you follow me, you know that I I'm a big proponent, especially for

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small businesses of differentiation.

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If you can make yourself the expert or make your product, the perfect

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product for X, Y, and Z, You know, for this test target customer group, then

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you put yourself in a better position to be able to capture more value.

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Focus on differentiation and that can be done in many different ways.

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You can differentiate based on the customer experience, based on

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being a purpose driven business, based on the values of your

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business, based on sustainability.

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There are lots of ways to differentiate.

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You can even differentiate by being a low price leader.

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I don't generally recommend that, especially for small businesses.

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And that's another episode.

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But there are lots of ways to differentiate.

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So the question for me and, or for you is, what are you going to

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differentiate yourself based upon?

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And especially when we come to small, young businesses, the instinct

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is to do what I say is to cast a wide net and create a product or a

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service that anyone can benefit from.

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What most people find three to five years down the road in their business is that's

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a really hard business model to work with.

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When you cast a wide net, you put yourself out there as a generalist,

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and then it's really hard to connect on a strong level with anyone.

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So most small businesses, you're going to be in a much better position.

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If you can Focus on a niche and meeting the needs of that target customer group.

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It doesn't mean you won't sell to others.

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It just means that you can optimize a lot of what you do

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in your business for that one.

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And once you get some momentum there, then you can figure out

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how to serve and communicate with those other target groups.

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So focus on differentiation.

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This is along the same lines, kind of a follow up maybe, but

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I wrote it on here so I'm gonna, I'm gonna put it out there anyhow.

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Niche to capture value.

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So one of the fancy ways that we talk about price getting

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better prices is a value capture.

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So that's a fancy way of saying I'm gonna get better prices.

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And, of course, if you can niche down and be exactly what this target customer

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group needs, and they feel that in your communication, they believe in

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that value that you're bringing them specifically, then you can generally

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command better prices than the other guy.

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And even if it's just that you communicate the value better.

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Then you're going to already be in a better competitive position.

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I think that in 2024, we're going to see people being much more

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intentional with price adjustments.

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And we may even see some businesses and many businesses

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make price adjustments mid year.

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With the way that, you know, price has increased over the past couple

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of years and the way that businesses have adjusted, you know, some of

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them have, you know, left the prices the same, but changed the packaging.

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Or they've, you know, restructured how their programs and offers look.

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It kind of exhausted some of that, and so it may be that they've feel

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it's appropriate and it, you know, not just at the end of the year but

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midyear to make some press adjustments.

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And I think people are gonna be much more intentional.

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Intentional about what they do.

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Why do I think that?

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I think because people are starting to understand because there's such a

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pinch on finances, people are starting to understand better that what they

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do with their pricing, has a huge influence on their profitability.

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And that seems like such an obvious thing.

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If you're a well let's say if you understand profit in your

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business and if you understand pricing, this is going to seem.

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It's so obvious, but I know a lot of people out there don't.

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And what I see is people are coming to me and saying, Janene, I need

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help to understand this better.

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And through that process of understanding the financial part

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of their business better, they're making more intentional decisions

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about what to do with their pricing.

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And that is a trend that is definitely coming in this year.

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The last thing I wanted to put in here as a price change is that people are going

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to be more strategic with discounts.

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Now, you know that unnecessary discounts, especially if you follow

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me, you already know this, are a nasty little habit that you have.

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And whether it's hard times or good times, I think you should always be

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very strategic with the discounts that you choose to give or not.

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Why are people going to be more strategic?

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Well, first of all, remember at the very beginning, I said

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that the market is shrinking.

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So there are fewer buyers out there.

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And that means that your prices are probably, you know, if you offer

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discounts, you're probably not going to get as much volume as you think you will

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as a result of lowering those prices.

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So simply because the market is already shifting.

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You will see.

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less impact when you do offer discounts.

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Let's put it that way.

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Second of all, I think companies are aware or maybe even more aware

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that they can, based on their own discounting habits, create discount

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dependency with their customers.

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What do I mean by this?

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So if you give discounts twice a year, once in June and once December every

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year, then, and do that repeatedly, then people will come to expect that

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from you and they will change their buying habits to adjust for that.

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Maybe not for everything and maybe not for everyone, but you kind of train

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customers, okay, I should wait until June because then this will be on sale.

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So you create a dependency on the discounts.

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And so I think people are going to be a bit more strategic with their discounts so

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they can avoid creating that dependency.

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And the last reason I think they're going to be more strategic

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about their discounting is the negative impact it has on value.

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So a lot of what I've talked about in the previous pricing trends with

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capturing more value by niching, focusing on differentiation, being

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more intentional, those are all, with your price adjustments, those are all

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value, let's say buffering tactics and discounts can have a real negative

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impact on people's perception of value.

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If you always said this is the price and this is what it's worth and then

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you're suddenly granting, you know, big discounts, then of course that's

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going to call quite into people's mind the question is the value really there?

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And so you can destroy the value perception of your offer with poorly

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implemented discounting strategies.

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So that's another reason I think people are just going to be more

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strategic about what they choose to do when it comes to discounting.

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So with all of that said, it all begs the question, Dear

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Janene, what should I do in 2024?

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Well, I think on a very general level, because of course, without knowing

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anything about all about your business specifically, it's hard for me to say,

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but you can never, ever, in my opinion, go wrong by refocusing on value.

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Refocusing on value, making sure that you understand the value

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and you can communicate it well.

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So what does that mean?

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Number one, you want to go back and talk to customers, do some more customer

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interviews, or if you have a large community, you can do some surveys, but

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find out what has changed and shifted for them in the past few years so

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that you know what they really value.

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And you can bring that into the context of what you choose to do with your pricing.

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Second of all, figure out how you can adjust your value to match that.

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Right?

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So maybe you need to restructure your offer, refocus on value.

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You're going to go out there and talk to your customers.

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Then you're going to figure out how to adjust the value.

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Now that can be adjust the packaging, adjust what you offer, when

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you offer it, how you offer it.

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It can also be just adjusting the communication.

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So sometimes you don't need to change your offer.

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You just need to focus on a different message that aligns with what's

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important to the customer now.

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Of course, as long as that's what you're delivering along the way.

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And I would say focus on boosting your own value communication skills.

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So being able to talk value without feeling like you're, you know,

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defending, defending, defending all the time, being able to help customers

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think through the value without it feeling like you're interrogating them.

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How to talk about value, how to bring up the topic of value, how to

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have those conversations, one to one with customers, but then also how to

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communicate value on your website.

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If you know, that's where they're making the purchase.

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Talk to customers, adjust the value and hone those communication skills.

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That's it for this episode of Live with The Pricing Lady, the podcast.

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It's been my pleasure to have you here with me, and you will find lots of links

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in this episode in the show notes below.

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One thing I'd like to let you know.

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Is it, I have two courses coming up.

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I have the Fair Price Formula at the end of January and the

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Customer Custom Compass, sorry, coming up at the end of February.

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So be sure to check the show notes for that.

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I would love to have you join me for those courses.

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Have a great day and as always, enjoy pricing everyone.

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