A formidable storm system is currently manifesting over the Southern Plains, heralding significant meteorological developments. As we delve into the intricacies of today’s weather forecast, we highlight the potential for severe storms, encompassing damaging winds, hail, and the possibility of isolated tornadoes, particularly affecting regions from eastern Texas to Louisiana and southern Arkansas. Furthermore, we anticipate a shift in the storm risk to the east on Tuesday, which will extend into the Northern Plains and upper Midwest, where winter weather conditions are expected to deteriorate travel standards through Wednesday. This episode meticulously examines the state-by-state weather updates, emphasizing the severe weather threats and winter storm advisories that may impact travel and safety. We encourage our listeners to remain vigilant and consult their local National Weather Service offices for the most current alerts and safety recommendations.
Takeaways:
Today marks the onset of a significant storm system impacting the Southern Plains region.
A slight risk for severe storms exists across eastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern Arkansas.
Winter weather advisories are now in effect for the Northern Rockies and upper Midwest.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to develop in Louisiana, bringing risks of damaging winds and tornadoes.
Travel conditions are expected to deteriorate due to winter weather in central North Dakota.
A series of systems will bring rain and mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest midweek.
The Storm Prediction center highlights a slight risk for severe storms from eastern Texas into Louisiana and southern Arkansas with damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes possible mainly this afternoon and tonight.
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The risk shifts east on Tuesday farther north.
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Winter weather impacts build from the Northern Rockies into the Northern Plains and upper Midwest through Wednesday.
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Expect periods of snow, gusty winds and deteriorating travel, especially under winter weather advisory.
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Storm watches in the Pacific Northwest A series of systems brings increasing rain and mountain snow mid week.
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Rivers may respond where rain is persistent.
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Let's run through the states.
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Arkansas Showers and thunderstorms expand today, becoming strongest late afternoon into tonight across southern and western Arkansas with a slight risk of severe storms.
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Colorado Overnight winter weather advisories for the San Juans ended around midnight.
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Slick spots may persist on high passes early today.
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Fog low clouds impact some Western Slope valleys this morning.
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Gradual improvement later midweek brings a lighter round of mountain showers.
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Louisiana Severe storms and heavy rain become more likely this afternoon and tonight across northwest and north central Louisiana.
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Forecast guidance notes potential for a few tornadoes, damaging winds and pockets of 1 to 3 inches of rain.
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Greatest confidence along and north of I20.
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Minnesota confidence increases in a winter storm Tuesday into Tuesday night for parts of west central and central Minnesota.
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Mississippi Organized thunderstorms likely tonight into early Tuesday, especially across northern and western counties.
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Risks include damaging winds and a few tornadoes, plus hail to quarter size.
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Timing favored 8pm to 5am Montana multiple winter weather advisories continue today for the Rocky Mountain front, Little Belt, Big Belt, Bridger Castle Ranges and parts of northeast east Central Montana Expect 4 to 10 inches in the mountains.
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Locally higher ridges, lower elevation, light snow or light icing in spots and gusty winds to 40-55 mph, creating difficult pass travel and slick bridges.
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North Dakota A winter storm watch goes into effect tonight into Tuesday for portions of central and southeast North Dakota with potential for 4 plus inches of snow, increasing winds and reduced visibility impacts likely for Tuesday travel.
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Oregon Light showers taper today.
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A ridge brings a brief lull, then the first in a series of systems arrives Tuesday with widespread rain and Cascade snow.
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Snow levels dip near just below pass level at times midweek.
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Travel through the Cascades will be slow with intermittent winter driving.
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Coastal small craft hazards and a beach hazard statement for sneaker waves were posted into this morning.
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Texas Strong to severe thunderstorms develop this afternoon and evening from east Central into northeast Texas, then shift east overnight.
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Damaging winds, hail a few tornadoes and locally heavy rain are possible.
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Greatest risk generally along north of the I10 corridor into the Ark.
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La.
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Tex.
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Washington a weakening front brings spotty light rain today.
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A stronger system arrives late Tuesday into Thanksgiving with widespread lowland rain and mountain snow.
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Snow levels rise to approximately 5,500 to 6,500ft by late Wednesday.
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Rivers, especially the Skokomish, are monitored for rises, though current guidance trends lower.
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All other states have no significant updates in the last 24 hours.
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Source Links are in the show notes below.
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We'll continue to track tonight's southern severe threat and the northern winter storm setup.
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Check your local NWS office today and keep alerts on if you're in the risk areas.
