Artwork for podcast Top Traders Unplugged
TTU136: Trend Following... C'est la vie ft. Philip Seager, Head of Absolute Return at Capital Fund Management
3rd March 2023 • Top Traders Unplugged • Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
00:00:00 01:09:55

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Today, we are joined by Philip Seager, Head of Absolute Return at Capital Fund Management (CFM), for a conversation on how they incorporate trend following in their investment strategy. We discuss their research on how trend following has performed historically and how they use the data in their trading and the role trend following play in their portfolio construction. We also discuss the right way of doing research when it comes to quant based strategies and how they differentiate themselves from other trend followers, how they keep risk stable and forecast gaps in markets, how you should use trend following in a multi-asset portfolio and how they estimate capacity, the risk of investing in a replicator strategy and much more.


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Episode Timestamps:

02:05 - Introduction to Capital Fund Management

05:32 - Their investment philosophy

12:27 - Periods of under-performance

19:13 - Trend following - a small piece?

24:58 - Do Trend Followers have a dual mandate?

31:32 - Their research process

36:22 - Enhancing a trend program

37:46 - Using machine learning

40:47 - Different types of trend followers

46:56 - Controlling the risk

51:20 - Dealing with drawdowns

54:44 - Achieving convexity

57:03 - Looking in hindsight

00:58:26 - Addressing rebalancing, capacity and fees

01:05:38 - Trend following disagreements

01:08:29 - Thanks for listening

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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