Artwork for podcast Top Traders Unplugged
SI29: Can Value Investing be applied to Gold? and Trend Following as a forecasting tool ft. Jesse Felder
31st March 2019 • Top Traders Unplugged • Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
00:00:00 01:17:23

Share Episode


In this episode, we’re joined by special guest, Jesse Felder, from The Felder Report & the SuperInvestor Podcast.  Jesse describes his journey into the markets, if he uses Trend Following strategies in his portfolio, why he thinks we’re in a Bear Market, and in the middle of a major ‘topping process’, what he thinks about Passive Investing, his go-to timing tools, and if Value Investing can be applied to non-equity markets such as Gold.  We also ask Jesse: does he use the VIX index for hedging? What is a normal day is like for him?  Jesse tells us why he considers Trend Following a good forecasting tool, gives us his thoughts on predicting versus reacting to price moves, and also lets us know what he’s currently reading.


EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:50 – Weekly review of performance

05:20 – Jesse reviews his background/influences

08:00 – Jesse describes his process

12:45 – Question from Francois: Would Jesse discuss his view we’re in/entering a bear market?

19:30 – Jerry asks Jesse’s opinion on passive indexing

25:40 – Niels asks how float reduction impacts passive investing

28:00 – Jerry asks if ZIRP impacts valuation-based investing

30:10 – Niels asks Jesse how a transition to an inflationary environment will impact investing

34:40 – Moritz asks if/how Jesse applies the value approach to all asset classes

36:50 – Moritz asks if Jesse trades the VIX or otherwise hedges tails

Book reference: The Tao of Capital by Spitznagel

40:10 – Jerry asks Jesse’s thoughts on TF as a tool benefitting diversification

42:00 – Jerry asks Jesse’s opinion on the market not broadly recognizing the evidence supporting Trend Following

47:20 – Jerry/Jesse/Niels discuss forecasting and TF

50:00 – Question from George: Why is knowing what’s happening fundamentally better than just responding to price (i.e. trend following)?

56:20 – Niels asks Jesse’s view on Tesla

01:00:20 – Moritz asks how Jesse spends a typical day

01:01:30 – Niels asks what Jesse is reading now

01:03:20 – Moritz asks about Jesse’s interests/hobbies

01:04:40 – Niels asks about following Buffett/Munger and shifts in markets today

01:08:45 – Niels asks if Jesse applies analog analysis to markets

01:11:50 – Niels asks Jesse’s recommendations on things to read/listen to to learn about investing

01:14:00 – Benchmark performance update

Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved


PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy




More from YouTube