This week, Andy and I are talking with Macke Raymond, the director of the Center for Research on Education Outcomes (CREDO) regarding CREDO’s As a Matter of Fact: National Charter School Study III, which is the third installment of a multi-decade study examining the academic progress of students enrolled in charter schools compared with those enrolled in traditional public schools.
Here is a link to our conversation where you can listen to the podcast. And for those of you who would prefer a video recording, we provide a link to YouTube as well.
This week some of the topics we discuss include the following:
Notes:
Hey, Andy.
Andy:Hey, Jed.
Andy:How are you?
Jed:I am doing well.
Jed:Excited that we're going to have our first guest here at Wonky Folk.
Andy:I know, and this is like a poor man's version of Smartless.
Andy:We have a mystery guest.
Andy:We'll get to that in a second.
Andy:So for folks who, this is your first time or you've never watched this podcast, or
Andy:you've been in the Taylor Swift concert and lost your memory, and so you need
Andy:to be refreshed, this is Wonky Folk.
Andy:And with Jed Wallace of Charter Folk and a leading charter consultant.
Andy:And I'm Andy Rotherham of Bellwether.
Andy:And today though, this will be a Wonky Folk that's going to go deep on charters.
Andy:And the reason is because there was a big study that just recently came
Andy:out, about charter schools, the third in a series and it's by CREDO
Andy:at Stanford and it's important.
Andy:And so Jed and I tried to figure out like who would be a really good person
Andy:to have on, who incidentally will also be our first guest ever on Wonky Folk.
Andy:And we were trying to figure out, who would be a great person to have on to
Andy:discuss this study and its implications.
Jed:And so we chose no another, and we were delighted to have an
Jed:accepted invitation from Macke Raymond, who is the leader.
Andy:We figured go straight to the go, straight to the source.
Andy:So who better than the lead investigator and the leader of CREDO who's been
Andy:on this issue in doing these studies for well more than a decade now.
Andy:So, Macke, thank you.
Jed:Welcome Macke.
Macke:With that kind of buildup, it's have to be downhill from here.
Andy:Now we're excited.
Andy:I wore my, I don't know if you can see on the screen, I wore my charter shirt that
Andy:I only wear for like, really important discussions of things like charter
Andy:schools that are generally really tortured conversations and that's why we're excited
Andy:that you're here, because you really do a nice job of sort of cutting through
Andy:the rhetoric on all sides and getting to the facts of what's actually going on.
Macke:Well, I'm delighted to be here.
Jed:So I'm playing straight man to Andy Rotherham.
Jed:That's a good one.
Jed:But Macke, delighted to have you here for sure.
Jed:I'm going to take the first question because I do think we're going to focus on
Jed:a lot on charter school issues, but what's great also are the implications for your
Jed:study as it relates to public education more broadly, all sorts of decision
Jed:points, about what society is doing in terms of our commitment and our policy
Jed:making as it relates to public education.
Jed:So we'll go in a lot of different directions, but I want to start with
Jed:kind of the heart of the matter and what are the takeaways from your
Jed:standpoint, the most important ones that we should be looking at, as it
Jed:relates to the performance of charter schools over a multi-decade timeframe?
Jed:There are very few studies that have such a longstanding look at things.
Jed:And also you've been through ups and downs.
Jed:You've been at your moment when the charter school world
Jed:was so frustrated with you.
Jed:And there have been also this moment of like, "Hey, can you please do more?"
Jed:And it's always a struggle to get the quality data and now
Jed:you've been able to do it.
Jed:So just very intrigued to hear what your thoughts are about the
Jed:most important thing we should be thinking about given that multi-decade
Jed:frame that you bring to the work.
Macke:Sure.
Macke:So great way to start.
Macke:Thank you.
Macke:So as I look across all of the data from all three of the studies, the
Macke:thing that really stands out for me is the fact that there are so many, many
Macke:schools in our sample that demonstrate improvement over time in a timeframe
Macke:where that wasn't the case for the nation.
Macke:And so when I think about what the charter proposition does for schools,
Macke:I think it creates the right kind of incentives for the adults in schools
Macke:to do the right thing by kids.
Macke:And that is, for me, the largest takeaway.
Andy:So, go ahead, Jed, please.
Jed:Well, I wonder there are so many different findings that
Jed:you have within your story.
Jed:This idea of a sector that's grown to serve millions of kids, to be
Jed:able to improve at that scope, it just seems pretty un unprecedented.
Jed:But there are all sorts of sub stories, there are concerns.
Jed:"Hey, we are doing as well with white kids.
Jed:Hey, we've got our challenges as it relates to special education."
Jed:What's the right way to present the study in its totality?
Jed:What's the right metaframe while also maintaining, or encouraging the
Jed:movement to keep enough integrity to keep focused on the things
Jed:that still aren't good enough yet.
Andy:And Macke, when you answer that's a really important question, particularly
Andy:that last part, like for charter proponents, but also just for folks.
Andy:I feel like some folks may be feeling like they're joining
Andy:a play in the third act here.
Andy:Just talk a little bit about the study, the method, how you do it with the virtual
Andy:twins, and talk about this study, what's the timeline we're looking at, thing
Andy:like help readers also understand what specifically we're talking about here.
Macke:Okay, I'll start by answering Andy's first and then Jed, I
Macke:may have to circle back to you and get the question refreshed.
Macke:So, I also have to say, as a scholar of education policy in the United States,
Macke:I want to put on the table that our team doesn't pick, as an advocate, any
Macke:particular policy or program to endorse.
Macke:We let the data tell us what the answers are.
Macke:And so when we set out to examine the performance of charter schools, we
Macke:wanted to know really what was the impact they had on student academic
Macke:learning and progress over time.
Macke:And so our entire method is focused on what do kids learn.
Macke:And in order to do that study there's a lot of concern that you don't get
Macke:to compare charter schools to district schools head to head like that because
Macke:they might not have the same kids.
Macke:So we developed a methodology where we created a very complicated matching
Macke:methodology, I'll spare you all the details, but what we end up with is
Macke:we end up with essentially twins, the only difference between the twins
Macke:is that one student is enrolled in a charter school and the other is the
Macke:other example is students who enroll in district schools that the charter school
Macke:students otherwise would've attended if they hadn't gone to the charter school.
Macke:So very, very tight geographic comparisons and very tight demographic comparisons.
Macke:Based on that, we've been doing this for a really long time and we've seen the
Macke:results go from really strong negative and statistically significant, which is
Macke:what we came up with in 2009, the first time we did the study, to now in the 2023
Macke:study, in both subjects reading and math, students in charter schools are learning
Macke:more than they are than their peers in traditional district schools are learning
Macke:in the space of a year, and we think that trajectory over the three studies
Macke:that we've done, is evidence of the fact that schools themselves are improving in
Macke:little bits and little bits and little bits, and over time, they actually have
Macke:created these greater gains for students.
Macke:That's an incredibly important finding.
Macke:It's not just a charter school finding, it's an education finding,
Macke:and we're really excited that we were able to see that in the data.
Andy:Jed's question.
Jed:Yeah, I started at C C S A in 2009, and we already knew from a variety of
Jed:other data sets that we had some serious quality issues in the movement and
Jed:two mandates get better in advocacy.
Jed:But the other one find a way for us to begin to nudge the entire
Jed:charter school sector toward greater performance and your study really put
Jed:in repose, just how important that was.
Jed:So my question for you now, going back to the one I've asked before, there are,
Jed:there's the meta story, this incredible story of a multi-million student sector
Jed:actually being able to improve itself.
Jed:But there are sub stories as well.
Jed:Where maybe it's not as good or maybe there are sub stories are even better
Jed:than the meta story, but, How do you think we both keep the focus on the, I
Jed:think, very positive meta story that's happened while also have the integrity
Jed:to keep pushing ourselves in those areas.
Jed:And everything gets so politicized, it seems to me like charter detractors,
Jed:all they want to do is focus on our problems and charter advocates
Jed:can err in the other direction.
Jed:What's the right way to keep the mix here?
Jed:Macke.
Macke:Well, I think I can give you the thumbnail answer by pointing
Macke:to the title of this third study.
Macke:We have named this study as a matter of fact, the National
Macke:Charter School Study three.
Macke:And the reason that we did that was because of all of the thousands and
Macke:thousands of times when we have heard some small slice of opinion or position
Macke:about schools that are in the charter sector that just don't hold up under
Macke:scrutiny, they don't hold up to the data.
Macke:And so what I would say is, along with Andy's t-shirt, it's not
Macke:just a completely vanilla story.
Macke:I mean, there's very, very strong positive news that we see in the study that we
Macke:have brought forward, and we really want to celebrate that, particularly
Macke:in this post covid world where the need for evidence-based strategies for
Macke:student success has never been higher.
Macke:This is good news for everybody, but we also want to be completely honest about
Macke:the fact that there are still pockets within the charter school landscape
Macke:where there are students that are not learning as much as they should.
Macke:There are pockets where schools are not performing as well as they
Macke:should and we need to be completely transparent about that, as researchers,
Macke:because that's what the data say.
Andy:Yeah, I want to talk about those pockets, I
Andy:appreciate the t-shirt call out.
Andy:I think something that will surprise people in our extensive market
Andy:research, people think people are coming to this podcast for
Andy:the education policy discussion.
Andy:It's actually our fashion choice, as it turns out, is what's
Andy:actually driving listenership.
Andy:Yeah.
Andy:Which was a surprise to us as well.
Andy:So you talk about those pockets, like dig in both in terms of like
Andy:types of schools, types of kids.
Andy:What are some things we should be attentive to?
Andy:Because I do think one of the things I've respected about these studies
Andy:since the stars, as you said, they don't flinch on the bad news, these aren't
Andy:exercises in messaging and so forth.
Andy:And so I think that's what makes them valuable and credible over time.
Andy:But talk about what we did see some places here where there's obviously
Andy:a lot of room for improvement.
Macke:Sure.
Macke:So let me just say, across the entire student population that we studied,
Macke:we saw that there were particular student groups that did not learn
Macke:as much as they would have had they gone to traditional public schools.
Macke:I would call out here Native American students, even though they constitute
Macke:a small percentage, the learning gains that they post are just not anywhere
Macke:near what they need to be in order to prepare those students for the life
Macke:that they will eventually inherit.
Macke:The same is true for students who have special education needs.
Macke:They are just not getting the kind of education in charter schools.
Macke:And this has been a persistent finding across the studies that
Macke:we've done, not just these national studies, but when we drill down
Macke:into particular areas, particular geographies, we see this as well.
Macke:So this is sort of a collective finding for the entire movement.
Macke:And then finally, the one that just continues to distress
Macke:are the student results.
Macke:For students that are enrolled in virtual charters, the learning that they get
Macke:there is so far dramatically under their peers in traditional district schools,
Macke:that we just have to call it out.
Macke:There's just no way around it.
Andy:Yeah, that's been an ongoing issue.
Andy:Talk about that, if a virtual school proponent were here to try to give
Andy:them their due and steelman their argument, they would say: "Well, like
Andy:there's a lot of variants and kids don't go to virtual schools because
Andy:they were doing well previously.
Andy:They go because they're struggling and they're looking for a fit.
Andy:And so they're trying this thing."
Andy:Talk about, why do you think that is?
Andy:And to the extent you agree with this, why do even the strongest arguments
Andy:from virtual supporters fall short?
Macke:Well, I want to say, I'm gonna be drawing on not just this study, but our
Macke:earlier study of virtual charter schools.
Macke:And there we partnered with Mathematica, and also with the Center
Macke:for Reinventing Public Education.
Macke:So we brought a larger body of knowledge to that study than we
Macke:were able to do in this study.
Macke:The results continue to be concerning because a lot of the
Macke:claims, just are not substantiated.
Macke:The claim that the students all come to virtual schools because
Macke:they have had X in the past and that X has actually changed over time.
Macke:When we first started talking about this, it was that they were bullied.
Macke:Then it was because they had some particular categorical learning
Macke:challenge, then it's now because they're in post-traumatic stress.
Macke:The argument continues to be it's a student-based problem and
Macke:therefore we should be off the hook.
Macke:And I just want to say, If you're a charter school, your job is to figure
Macke:out how to meet kids where they are and bring their learning forward, and
Macke:I don't care whether you're talking about a Native American population,
Macke:whether you're talking about Hispanics or E L L or Special Ed or white
Macke:kids in suburbia, I don't care.
Macke:Your job, as a charter school, the reason that you've been given a charter is to do
Macke:exactly what I just said, take kids from where they are and move them forward.
Macke:And so after all of the time that we've put into virtual education, the fact
Macke:that we have gotten results this time that are even worse than last time,
Macke:and this is before the pandemic hit.
Macke:I'm just boggled.
Macke:I'm boggled why this is a conversation we continue to have.
Jed:I think that my experience in this is that, if you can come up
Jed:with minimum performance expectations that apply to charter schools.
Jed:The vast majority, there are some that are in prisons and there are some that
Jed:are working with certain populations of alternative students where maybe that
Jed:we need to have something very specific and different, but across the vast swath
Jed:of schools, it is possible to identify minimum performance expectations that
Jed:would apply to absolutely all schools.
Jed:And if the, if the movement and, and, and policymakers have the fortitude to
Jed:simply enforce those, we will address, if we have disproportionate problem in
Jed:virtual schools, you will see that those schools will face a reckoning or improve.
Jed:And it's important for us to do that.
Jed:I guess my question for you, Macke, is where do you think societal opinion is on
Jed:the use of standardized tests, generally, are we wavering in our commitment?
Jed:Is it harder for you to get the data that you need to do these kinds of tests?
Jed:What's the future here?
Jed:Are we going to be able to sustain enough focus on student learning such
Jed:that your kind of studies can continue?
Jed:And what does that mean for society more broadly if the answer is no?
Macke:Society more broadly.
Macke:Let's talk about the future of CREDO.
Macke:Both of these things align in this question because the work that we've
Macke:done for the last 20 years, requires that we be able to access student level
Macke:data of a preponderant number of students in each of the places that we study.
Macke:So states necessarily need to be educating the majority of students.
Macke:In public schools, in environments that are tested on a regular basis.
Macke:A number of those assumptions are starting to not necessarily hold true.
Macke:So we see in the most recent enrollment data that there are a lot of students
Macke:who are electing not to be involved in the public sector for education.
Macke:We see a lot of legislative activity that suggests that we're going to
Macke:see more and more students taking advantage of alternative pathways to
Macke:education, whether it's homeschooling or micro schools or private schools
Macke:or whatever, through the ESA programs.
Macke:So that in addition to a sort of a, shall I say a softening of the commitment
Macke:to testing students on a regular basis that we see in a number of states.
Macke:We're not convinced that the record about what kids know is
Macke:going to continue into the future.
Macke:And I think that's a real threat to the kinds of performance expectations that
Macke:we need to be able to place on schools, especially now, and so I have the concern,
Macke:not just for my team, but for the nation as a whole that, while we have a active
Macke:conversation about whether testing is good or how to make testing better, I would
Macke:like to make sure that we don't lose the signal that we do get from testing until
Macke:we have something better to replace it.
Andy:So, yeah, I agree, and on the virtual school question, it seems
Andy:like this is the kind of schooling that works well for a real subset
Andy:of kids, but has been scaled quite a bit and is serving more kids than it
Andy:probably is going to serve optimally, and that may be one of the reasons
Andy:that we're seeing these results.
Andy:Because you do see virtual school can work for some kids, but the scale it's
Andy:at and then the bellwether charter deck a few years ago, this was a very clear
Andy:finding, both on virtual schools and also states that had a lot of virtual
Andy:schools, their achievement was getting depressed overall as a result of it.
Andy:So you do see this.
Andy:I want to go back though to this question on Native Americans,
Andy:because I think it's fascinating.
Andy:You have the tribes are actually starting their own charter schools
Andy:and a real area of concern has been native kids in district schools we're
Andy:more than 90% of them go to school.
Andy:Like I think people can think that the BIE schools and so
Andy:forth are a larger section there.
Andy:Most of these kids are in district schools and there's been a move that
Andy:they're not being well served there.
Andy:So how do you address that and put them in schools that are going to be
Andy:more culturally affirming, be better and yet we're seeing these results.
Andy:So talk a little bit more about that Mackey, like what are your
Andy:hypotheses for why we're seeing that?
Andy:How should advocates be thinking about that?
Macke:So I think it's a really important sector of concern for
Macke:the charter school community.
Macke:My sense is that the models that have been introduced in the Native
Macke:American serving schools that we see, are not culturally affirming.
Macke:I would also say they're not necessarily sustainable in the
Macke:environments in which they're placed.
Macke:And so I think that there's a fundamental mismatch between the schools that enroll
Macke:Native Americans in charter schools.
Macke:I should note that the schools that have Native American students, there are
Macke:very few where the Native Americans are themselves the majority of the students.
Macke:So we're still seeing the same problem that you just mentioned for the district
Macke:schools, where we're seeing small slices of the student population be
Macke:Native American and slotting into other charter schools, across the country.
Macke:And I think there it's very easy for students to get missed and to
Macke:not be the center of attention.
Macke:So the reservation and tribe based charter schools are trying
Macke:to do a different thing, which I applaud and I'm looking forward to
Macke:learning more about as time goes on.
Andy:That's great.
Andy:That's really interesting.
Andy:Talk about one other subset of kids, you know, a big push you hear in the charter
Andy:world politically, and something Jed and I have actually talked about on this podcast
Andy:is, how do you build a suburban political strategy and how do we keep charters right
Andy:now are still disproportionately sort of a function of urban politics and haven't
Andy:really penetrated the suburbs, as much as how do you build a broad based movement,
Andy:yet some of the results that you find seem to raise questions about that as a sort
Andy:of efficacy strategy in terms of actual, as you said earlier, actual teaching and
Andy:learning, leaving aside the politics.
Andy:So how should we think about those results?
Macke:So the suburban results that we see are literally in
Macke:comparison to suburban schools.
Macke:And so when we don't see a necessary advantage to going to a charter
Macke:school in that specific achievement context, that might not be a bad thing.
Macke:Let me just say, we would always want to see charter schools doing
Macke:strong academic progress for kids and when you look at most of the
Macke:suburban schools, you will see that.
Macke:What you'll see though is that they're not quite as strong as the schools that
Macke:they otherwise would've attended, and that's why we get the result that we do.
Macke:Having said that, there are a large number of cases that suit a charter school
Macke:presence in suburbia where you have huge schools, at the high school level, where
Macke:you have a particular run of schools from elementary to middle to high school
Macke:that may not actually provide a kind of flexibility that families are looking for.
Macke:Those are contexts in which charter schools can actually enter and be very
Macke:successful because they're offering choice, they're offering flexibility,
Macke:they're offering the opportunity for a different education environment,
Macke:and what we see, in places where the suburban education has been really
Macke:high flying, but really high stress, that's the place where the charter
Macke:conversation has become very vibrant.
Andy:That's interesting and I've always thought the customization and
Andy:sort of choice and options part is a key thing in the suburbs, it's almost
Andy:like a Maslow's hierarchy of schooling, and so if like your basic schooling
Andy:needs are being taken care of, then you start thinking about, "I might want
Andy:core knowledge, I might want arts."
Andy:And that sort of customization is a key selling.
Andy:And actually, I think over time makes public education more resilient because
Andy:instead of trying to keep people in who want something else, you're giving them
Andy:lots of choices and people feel more bounded invested in the entire project.
Macke:I think that's a great point.
Jed:Macke, can you talk about the composition of students
Jed:who are in virtual settings?
Jed:My intuition is that we would have a larger percentage of those
Jed:students be Caucasian than in other classroom based settings.
Jed:And that could be skewing the results as it relates to white kids.
Jed:But is my intuition wrong here or not?
Macke:No, you're right.
Macke:And for those of you who would like to really like totally geek out, we
Macke:have a website of all of the results of our study that are available
Macke:for you to go and poke around with.
Macke:And if you look at the demography of the charter school landscape, the
Macke:demography of virtual charter enrollees is substantially more White than
Macke:charters or their district schools.
Macke:Lower proportions of Black students by a great deal.
Macke:And lower proportions of students in poverty.
Macke:And so there is a sort of an evolving archetype of what a typical virtual
Macke:charter school student looks like.
Macke:I will warn that there are contexts across the country where that is not the case.
Jed:Yeah.
Jed:It's my sense that this is one of the responsibilities that is going to fall
Jed:on charter school advocates, which is to continue to advocate for this
Jed:kind of data being available and for schools to be held accountable to it.
Jed:I think we find ourselves in a challenge because I think there have been all
Jed:sorts of instances where data has not been used wisely and not used fairly.
Jed:And so anytime you end up defending something like that, you run the risk
Jed:of undercutting your own credibility.
Jed:But more for the long term, for the long term.
Jed:There's have to be some voice and Andy maybe you've got other ideas
Jed:about where else, we can get some spine to keep this kind of testing
Jed:data available in the landscape.
Andy:Jed, that's a great question and you would think like in general
Andy:people would want as much information and as much transparency, but
Andy:as we know, that's not the case.
Andy:Um, and so I do think we're under a lot of pressure here.
Andy:We're seeing even like post pandemic, it's been a struggle to get test score
Andy:data released in a lot of places.
Andy:And I think in some of those places, and we talked about a few weeks
Andy:ago, New Jersey, I think one of the reasons maybe that it told a pretty
Andy:good story about charter schools and a less good story about traditional
Andy:public schools and there's obviously politics around all of that.
Andy:So I think this is a big problem and it's something that everybody
Andy:needs to pay attention to because without good data, this just becomes
Andy:brute force sort of politics.
Andy:So Macke, I kinda want to ask you related to that though.
Andy:Like I follow these since the beginning.
Andy:I remember the 2009 study and you got a lot of grief because there's
Andy:certainly in the charter world, there was a sort of hear no evil
Andy:speak, no evil, see no evil faction.
Andy:That was like, what, you know, essentially kind of argued you were like turning your
Andy:guns on the wrong lines or something.
Andy:And I think what gives these study credibility again, as we said
Andy:earlier is how it arcs over time and the results have changed.
Andy:But how like it seems like we're still heavily anchored on, I still hear a
Andy:lot about the 2009 results when you listen to advocates, it's like they're
Andy:like frozen amber or something, and like this one and the last one for
Andy:that matter didn't seem to get quite as much attention, which is striking if
Andy:you just step back and are like, we've created this enormous cohort of schools.
Andy:If you think about sort of the history of public education, this is one
Andy:of the more ambitious experiments and innovations historically that
Andy:we have seen in this country.
Andy:And these results keep coming in and they're changing.
Andy:It's an evolving story.
Andy:You would think they'd be more interest and curiosity, and yet I just didn't
Andy:see a lot of attention, maybe it's the old adage, if it bleeds, it leads.
Andy:And so good news, or somewhat good news.
Andy:Didn't get the attention, but I'm just one observer and you
Andy:were at the epicenter of it.
Andy:How did you experience, like, is there a changing appetite around like, you
Andy:know, what kind of news, the level of information, like what's, what's going on?
Macke:So I want to make a distinction between folks who are
Macke:actually engaged in the crafting of policy and the public media.
Macke:And I think the statement that you just made applies pretty
Macke:broadly to the public media.
Macke:We have learned from our past studies that a lot of this is a slow burn that
Macke:particularly as we continue to talk about or place op-eds in particular places other
Macke:news vehicles start to pick up on it.
Macke:So I'm a little bit surprised at the media reaction this past week, but
Macke:I'm not ready to pack the tent yet.
Macke:On the policy leadership side though, I have to say, t's been a
Macke:very different reaction this time.
Macke:Most of our state partners require us to do briefings with them before
Macke:the report is released, and of course we would want to do that anyway.
Macke:And the conversations that we've had in those settings have been
Macke:much more constructive, I would say, than we've seen in the past.
Macke:We've been asked to be much more available to share the results
Macke:and to discuss without making any policy recommendations, discuss the
Macke:implications of what we've learned.
Macke:And so lots of folks in the policy arena are handing us off so that
Macke:they can create a community of folks who know the findings.
Macke:And I, I look at that as a very positive development.
Andy:Yeah, that's actually, there's like a robust set of folks doing that,
Andy:that's extremely encouraging just in terms of how issues evolve that and
Andy:is that bipartisan and is that, are you seeing like, say a little bit
Andy:more about that because like, that's probably the most encouraging thing we've
Andy:talked about in this whole discussion.
Andy:If that's happening in a number of places.
Macke:So, one of the things that's happened over the long term that we've
Macke:been doing this research and as you spoke about keeping these data relationships
Macke:going, is that I think we've actually worked ourselves into, I wouldn't call
Macke:it allies necessarily, but at least respected colleagues in a number of
Macke:places that you would not normally think we would have any kind of traction.
Macke:And so there are quiet conversations that are going on in places that you
Macke:wouldn't expect, and surprising to me, lack of conversations in some of
Macke:the places where you would expect it.
Macke:So we're tracking this sort of one day at a time as it comes and really
Macke:trying to make sure that the focus is on looking at what the evidence says
Macke:and what it portends for future decision making for K12 in the public space.
Jed:I like that.
Jed:Focus on what this portends.
Jed:Because I've had conversations with several advocates whose
Jed:state sectors are just nailing it.
Jed:And it could very well be that you can make a big deal about
Jed:the results that are here.
Jed:But they also know they are sobered by their own data about what's happened
Jed:to charter schools during Covid.
Jed:And a lot of those supports that charter schools were using to generate these
Jed:kinds of results were the exact supports that were most affected by the pandemic.
Jed:And so our folks are saying, don't make too much hay about
Jed:it right now, cuz our data might not look as good a year from now.
Jed:Do you have anything that you've seen as it relates to this data and heading into
Jed:Covid that would help us understand what might be a coming, because everybody's
Jed:got their guess on what's gonna happen with charter schools through the pandemic,
Jed:but do you have any inclinations there?
Macke:So we don't have the kind of longitudinal student level data that
Macke:we have used in these studies, but during the pandemic we actually did
Macke:do a fair amount of research about what was going on in charter schools.
Macke:And we zeroed in on three states, three very different states, I should say.
Macke:And what we found was that, many of the things that we had believed
Macke:before about what made charter schools different were evident in spades.
Macke:And what I really mean here is, what we saw was a much faster responsiveness of
Macke:school teams to the changing conditions of the schooling that they faced, that they
Macke:literally turned within a few days to an alternative learning model and insisted
Macke:on learning as they went along and continuous improvement as they went along.
Macke:That was something that we didn't see in any of the comparative
Macke:examples that we delved into.
Macke:I also think that there was a real commitment that they identified themselves
Macke:without being prompted to being first responders and took on that mindset, and
Macke:so when we talked to school leaders and when we talked to educators and we talked
Macke:to parents, we got this consistent message of these guys are frontline fighters.
Macke:And I would say that throughout the pandemic, I think universally
Macke:we're gonna see learning loss when we get those data and actually can
Macke:nail down what that looks like.
Macke:I think we're going to see learning loss no matter where we look.
Macke:But what I would say is I think both, the magnitude of that I
Macke:anticipate would be smaller.
Macke:And I think the resiliency of those teams to get back on track is probably higher.
Macke:Those are my predictions.
Andy:Interesting.
Andy:And you square out that we've got some very preliminary
Andy:data in the their findings.
Andy:And so that's what you're sort of grounding that, as
Andy:well as what you're saying.
Macke:Well, and through some of the formative assessment providers that we
Macke:partner with, we can see some of those interim results starting to come through.
Macke:So I don't want to get too far out in front of the data, because frankly there's
Macke:not enough of it to be able to say things with sort of with the kind of authority
Macke:that these other studies provide.
Macke:But the early indicators are pretty encouraging.
Andy:So let me ask you a question about just the funding of this project and
Andy:what of portends Macke,.You've been able to do this for a long time and it seems
Andy:like maybe the real risk was after 2009 people just like throw in the towel and
Andy:stuff and instead you've been able to keep these studies going, and as you
Andy:said, and we'll put in the show notes.
Andy:There's studies of particular states, there's studies of cities, it's a
Andy:treasure trove of data on charters.
Andy:And we've had over the last 20, 25 years, a problem in the sector of funders will
Andy:quickly lose interest in something, move on often before the results are even in.
Andy:I mean, like the Gates Small Schools Initiative is sort of Exhibit A, but
Andy:you also saw that around some, around teacher evaluation, some other things.
Macke:Small interval challenge.
Andy:Yeah, exactly.
Andy:You've been able to like, keep with this and keep it going, which is, you
Andy:know, enormously important because the learning does happen over time,
Andy:this is not sort of a point in time thing, it's an overtime thing.
Andy:So talk about like, how have you been able to do that and
Andy:what should we be doing more of?
Andy:What are the broader implications for the field, even beyond
Andy:charters and so forth of this kind of work you've been able to do?
Macke:So it's a wonderful question.
Macke:And when we put the results of the three studies together and we
Macke:saw the upward trend across all of these three studies that emerged.
Macke:For us, it wasn't a wow, look at that charter schools are really pushing it
Macke:here and they're doing really well.
Macke:Obviously we were happy to see that result and we are happy to
Macke:bring those findings forwards.
Macke:But for me, the real insight there was policy takes a really long time to mature.
Macke:And it takes an endurance that I don't know is well matched to the context.
Macke:And so you asked about the funders, I have to give credit to the legislatures that
Macke:continue to endorse the policy over time.
Macke:I give credit to the school teams that continue to battle on when they're faced
Macke:with the kind of political uncertainty that they've faced over time, and I really
Macke:appreciate the authorizers who have been diligent about applying new standards
Macke:in increments so that, the incentives work in the directions that they do.
Macke:So for me, what we've got here is we've got a collective mix of a lot
Macke:of different stakeholders who are in it for the long haul and are willing
Macke:to stand tough over the long haul.
Macke:And that, for me is the big insight of that trend line that we see.
Andy:It's ironic though, right?
Andy:Because it's happening on an issue that is particularly
Andy:contentious, has become partisan.
Andy:I Think like a naive hypothesis would be this would be the kind of
Andy:issue where that wouldn't happen.
Andy:It might happen on stuff that's a little, where there's a little bit more of a
Andy:different kind of foundation, different kind of political and policy arrangement.
Andy:So I think it's a super encouraging story because it is a little bit of, if you can
Andy:make it here, you can make it anywhere.
Andy:If we can keep, if we can keep this kind of subsystem kind of working in
Andy:terms of policy and learning on an issue like this, like that's hugely
Andy:encouraging on other issues that we think about, like standards, accountability,
Andy:even school finance, other, other issues where the politics are a
Andy:little bit different to start with.
Macke:Yeah, I think that's great.
Macke:I also don't want to minimize how much effort it took to keep the game going.
Macke:So, let me just say, a lot of feet on the line standing in the fire.
Macke:So, and guys, I'm really sorry, but I have my annual meeting
Macke:with the boss in four minutes.
Andy:That's alright.
Andy:It's a great note to end it on, the mixed metaphor of feet in the fire.
Andy:But no, that note you just ended on how much hard work it was.
Andy:I mean, just.
Andy:I know I speak for Jed when I say this to speak for us.
Andy:Extremely grateful to you for this work.
Andy:This is, this, this is really substantial.
Andy:My team knowing that the two of you are giving that kind of praise, my team's
Andy:going to get really excited to hear this.
Andy:Thank you.
Andy:I'll pass that on.
Jed:I think that multi-decade view is becoming one of the most important
Jed:and it's the only view that helps us suss out what's really going on.
Jed:So for everyone that's doing it, you know, we should offer special
Jed:thanks and Macke you, no one's doing it to the level that you are.
Jed:So thank you for that and thanks for being with us here.
Macke:All right, Andy, it's good to see you, Jed.
Macke:I'll see you next week, right?
Jed:Yeah, for sure.
Jed:For sure.
Jed:Look forward to seeing you in Austin.
Jed:Good luck with with your meeting here in a few minutes.
Andy:You can tell your boss that we either loved it or hated
Andy:it, depending on what will help you, what will help you the most.
Andy:We found sometimes, sometimes it's our praise or our criticism
Andy:sometimes helps people more.
Andy:I
Macke:I'll report back.
Jed:See you back.
Andy:Hey, that was great.
Andy:What a good first guest like really substantive and important issue.
Jed:Yeah, I've learned so much from Macke over all our decades of work together
Jed:that to see her continuing to unearth things that no one else is finding.
Jed:It's just really great.
Jed:And I don't sense her own personal desire to keep going waning at all.
Jed:It's just, can we keep the soci societal conditions together such that this really
Jed:important work can be brought to light, or these findings can be brought to light.
Andy:But I think it's encouraging.
Andy:Look, she's obviously, she's someone who's disposed towards
Andy:reform, I mean that's clear.
Andy:But the fact they've been able to do this work, shoot it straight over the
Andy:years, talk about the good and the bad, even in this study, it's not all good.
Andy:It's such an encouraging thing when there's so much pressure on
Andy:everybody to just pick a side.
Andy:And you're seeing people on charters who are like, they're not really against
Andy:charters, but the politics the way they are, they're definitely throwing their lot
Andy:in with people who are against charters.
Andy:And then likewise, you've got people in the choice community who have never
Andy:like really stopped to question a lot, that they're just always are for choice.
Andy:And to see someone like Macke who does bring real nuance to it, to see her be
Andy:able to produce this work and succeed at it like she has, it's really encouraging.
Jed:And this last report had 2 million virtual twins.
Jed:It's 4 million data sets.
Jed:They're students who's who are being looked at, right?
Jed:So I think that's a part of what the credibility is for her.
Jed:Hey, it's having done it over many, many years.
Jed:But also to have a scope of statistical undertaking that just
Jed:becomes very difficult to refute.
Jed:So hopefully, those policymakers who are getting those individual briefings from
Jed:her will take this stuff to heart and keep the resolve necessary to allow further
Jed:studies like this to happen going forward.
Andy:Yeah.
Andy:Well look, just speaking as a guy who only has two twins, I can't
Andy:even get my head around that.
Andy:That is a lot of twins.
Andy:Well this was great Jed.
Andy:I look forward to seeing you in a couple of weeks.
Andy:I hope you enjoy Austin.
Andy:I know you're off to there.
Jed:Yeah.
Jed:Looking forward to conference and looking forward to talking
Jed:on the other side of it.
Jed:So take good care to them, Andy.
Andy:You as well.
Andy:See you soon.
Jed:Okay.
Jed:Bye-bye.