The benefits of cash flow forecasting go well beyond producing another spreadsheet.
A useful forecast shows us where the business may be heading, where pressure could appear and when we may need to act.
It can help business owners make better decisions, give investors greater visibility and support more informed conversations with lenders.
Most importantly, it gives us the chance to act before a cash problem becomes an emergency.
Cash flow forecasting gives us a view of the ups and downs that may lie ahead.
That does not mean the forecast will be perfectly accurate.
It gives us a pragmatic view based on the information we have today.
In this episode, we look at why that matters, who benefits from a forecast, how it can improve decision-making and who should take responsibility for producing and maintaining it.
“Cash flow forecasting is a tool that gives you a pragmatic projection of where your business is heading.”
A good cash flow forecast gives us greater visibility and control.
It helps answer questions such as:
The value is not simply knowing what might happen.
The value is having enough warning to decide what to do about it.
For the business owner, a cash flow forecast acts like a financial roadmap.
It gives us something to compare reality against.
If the business is broadly following the forecast, that gives us some confidence that the plan is working.
If the actual numbers begin moving away from the forecast, we can investigate why.
Perhaps customers are paying more slowly.
Maybe sales are lower than expected.
Costs may have increased.
Or a project may be consuming more cash than originally planned.
Finding out early gives us more choices than discovering the problem after the bank balance has already collapsed.
Good business decisions need context.
Looking only at today's bank balance does not always provide it.
You might currently have plenty of cash in the bank.
But that money may already be needed for tax, wages, suppliers, loan repayments or a large project next month.
Equally, the bank balance might look uncomfortable today even though a strong period of customer receipts is approaching.
A forecast allows us to combine what has happened, what is happening now and what we reasonably expect to happen next.
That wider perspective can improve decisions around:
Sometimes the immediate future looks fantastic.
Cash is coming in. Sales are healthy. The next two or three months appear comfortable.
But what if that is a one-off?
Perhaps a large customer payment has temporarily improved the position.
Maybe a seasonal spike will not continue.
Perhaps a major cost has simply been delayed.
Forecasting gives us the perspective to distinguish a genuine trend from an anomaly.
That is another reason we should not manage the business using only the latest bank balance or most recent month of trading.
A cash flow forecast can also be useful when speaking to banks, lenders or investors.
They want to understand how money is expected to move through the business and whether future commitments appear manageable.
A sensible forecast can help demonstrate that you understand:
For investors, it can provide more visibility into the financial implications of existing plans and new projects.
For lenders, a forecast may form part of the wider information used to assess liquidity and repayment ability.
It does not guarantee funding. Different lenders and investors will make decisions using their own criteria and the wider circumstances of the business.
What the forecast does is help us have a more informed conversation.
One of the less obvious benefits is that the process makes us think.
Producing a forecast forces us to ask questions about the future.
What are we planning to sell?
When will customers pay?
Which costs are coming up?
What projects are we taking on?
What happens if something changes?
This turns forecasting from a finance exercise into a business-planning exercise.
The numbers become a way of expressing the business story.
“Knowing your finances is really key.”
There is no single answer for every business.
In a larger organisation, the finance team will normally lead the forecasting process.
But they should not necessarily work in isolation.
People elsewhere in the business may hold important information about:
A useful forecast combines financial expertise with what is actually happening across the organisation.
In a smaller business, the owner may take the lead.
If you have an accountant who understands your business, they can also help build and maintain the model.
The important point is that somebody owns the process.
You do not need to create every forecast manually from scratch.
Planning tools can make it easier to organise assumptions, update figures and see how changes affect future cash.
You can explore BudgetWhizz for business planning and cash flow forecasting.
Software can help with calculations and organisation.
It cannot decide what your business story should be.
That thinking still belongs to us.
A warning in the forecast is useful information.
It gives us time to investigate.
Depending on the situation, we might:
The earlier we see the pressure, the more options we usually have.
For practical actions to strengthen the business, see our cash flow management strategies.
A cash flow forecast will rarely turn out exactly as planned.
Customers behave differently. Costs change. Projects move. Unexpected things happen.
That does not make forecasting pointless.
The aim is not perfect prediction.
The aim is better preparation.
A rough but sensible forecast that gets reviewed and updated can be far more valuable than a beautifully detailed forecast that nobody looks at again.
If you want to work through the forecasting process itself, see our guide to cash flow forecasting and predicting future cash.
If you are starting with the fundamentals, see why cash flow matters in business.
Cash flow forecasting gives you greater visibility over future cash, helps identify possible shortages or surpluses, supports decision-making and gives you time to take action before problems become urgent.
It can support funding discussions by showing expected cash movements, future commitments and the financial impact of your plans. It does not guarantee finance, since lenders and investors will consider the wider application and their own criteria.
In larger businesses, the finance team will normally lead the process with input from other parts of the organisation. In smaller businesses, the owner, accountant or another financially experienced person may take responsibility.
Your bank balance only shows the cash available now. It does not show bills, tax, wages, customer receipts or other cash movements expected in future periods.
No. Forecasting involves estimates and assumptions. The aim is to create a reasonable view of future cash and keep updating it as better information becomes available.
Review it regularly enough to remain useful. The right frequency depends on the business and how quickly conditions change, but the forecast should be treated as a working management tool rather than a one-off exercise.
The biggest benefits of cash flow forecasting come from what we do with the information.
It helps us see what may be coming, identify warning signs and make decisions while we still have choices.
It can give business owners greater control, provide useful information to investors and support better conversations with lenders.
But a forecast only becomes valuable when we use it.
Get close to the numbers, keep the forecast alive and let it help tell the story of where your business is heading.
If you need help building or managing your cash flow forecast, you can contact us for an initial chat.
You can also explore BudgetWhizz for practical business planning and forecasting.
Our free online business calculators can also support your wider financial planning.
For more practical finance and tax guidance, visit the I Hate Numbers YouTube channel, or listen and follow on Apple Podcasts.
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This week, the I Hate Numbers podcast looks at why cash flow forecasting is critical to your success. I'm going to be looking at the benefits of cash flow forecasting and ask you that very important question. Who should handle your cash flow forecasting, and how should you go about it? Now, cash flow forecasting will show you the ups and downs in your business.
::And if you want to know what action to take, this is certainly one tool that I highly recommend. And infer it, insist upon, in your business. Now, a few budgeting tips here and there will help you remain profitable in the long run. And they can even help you achieve success. But beyond those tips, one of the most certain ways for you to reach your goals is through cash flow forecasting.
::Cash flow forecasting is a tool that gives you a pragmatic projection of where your business is heading and it puts you in a perfect, a wonderful position to take action in whatever the situation presents itself. Of course, there are obvious additional benefits, it builds confidence and helps you make better decisions.
::Now, the cash flow forecast toolkits in the main three ticker entities. The owners of the business, that's you, the banks who provide the funding and investors also largely inject funding, providing expertise as well. It offers a fair amount of visibility and control over your business's finances. A good projection, even though it's rough and ready, can build confidence in all of those entities above.
::Owners can see if they're on track. If not, they'll know when and, more importantly, how to take action. For instance, investors can see the current standing of a business. A cash flow forecast may persuade them to put more funds into your venture and help jumpstart any new ventures, any new initiatives, any new projects.
::Banks, meanwhile, will use a cash flow forecast to assess the liquidity of your business, and the health of this forecast can be the difference between you getting the funding and not getting the funding. A cash flow forecast can also help you renegotiate any rents you have with your bank. Evidence of a cash flow forecast that's robust, means in the bank’s eyes, the risk of default is much less, and they're more likely to look upon that loan favourably.
::This improves not only your cash flow, but your financial stability. I mentioned earlier in the podcast about cash flow forecasts helping you make better decisions. Now, both good and bad decisions come from the top, and as the business leader you are, you want to make as many good decisions as you can regarding your business, yourself, and for your team.
::Should you take any action? It's critical to know how money moves around in your company. Here's the thing: you can't always rely on most recent or current data. Cash flow forecasting will take into care a lot more information from the recent months, the past 10 years, and the final report will give you a better idea of what's going on with your business.
::Right now, you may think the road ahead for the next three months looks perfect, looks wonderful. What would you do, though, if that was an anomaly, a one-off, an aberration? What if you can't rely on the same numbers for the next course or the one-off amount? Forecasting will help you gain a much needed perspective.
::But at the same time, it forces you to think strategically about your next move. Now, the very important question, who should handle your cash flow forecasting, and how do you go about it? Now, luckily, there are lots of good tools out there. Myself, my sister company, Numbers Knowhow, we developed an online planning tool called Budgetwhizz, which takes the heavy lifting out of your cash flow forecasting.
::Now, ideally, the job of producing a cash flow forecast should be your finance team that lead it. It should be not done in a isolation though, but in a smaller business, other people can get involved inherently. If you've got an accountant, they should be able to manage that process for you, manage your cash flow and build a forecasting model.
::If not, drop us a line, and we'll be happy to step in and support you and help you produce your own cash flow models. Now, if you've got finance experience, you could do it already, right? You're the one who's sharp end in the driver’s seat of your business. You're the one who's got the information that you can use to put it to good use.
::Now, as your business grows, as it develops, you'll want to assign the task of cash flow forecasting to a wider finance team. Now to round up, knowing your finances is really key. Getting close to your numbers, letting your numbers work for you, express the words of your business story is an important consideration.
::Now, if you see warning signs of failing cash flow forecasting, it can help. If you see warning signs of failing cash flow, then forecasting will step in and help you. It will let you know what's wrong and ways of taking action to prevent the same thing from happening all over again. I hope the points of this podcast resonating with you.
::If you've got any questions, you'd like to find out more, then please drop us a line until next time, folks, happy forecasting.