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Why I am in Crytpo
Episode 198th December 2021 • Generation Bitcoin • McIntosh
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Hey everyone, no one on this podcast is a financial advisor.

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And all information presented on this podcast is for informational purposes only.

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Now that we have the legal stuff out of the way, let's jump on in.

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Welcome to the Generational Wealth with Cryptocurrency podcast.

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I'm your host McIntosh.

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And today we're going to talk about why I'm in cryptocurrency.

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All right, guys, we have got lots of news this week.

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I do want to talk about briefly about why I'm involved in cryptocurrency.

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And my reasons will probably not be exactly your reasons, but I hope to give you some

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idea of why you would want to be involved in crypto, maybe some food for thought.

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So before we actually jump into all that, I do want to go ahead and talk about maybe

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the biggest news of the week and involved over the weekend.

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I think it was Friday.

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I don't know.

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We had a lot of news together after a while, but over the weekend, we had a big dip in

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the crypto market.

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Some might call it a crash and that crash, that dip has caused quite a bit of panic.

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And I want to talk about that for a few minutes.

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I was very happy when one of our listeners, who happens to be a friend of mine, contacted

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me shortly after all this kind of went down and said, hey, I was nervous, I think maybe

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scared a little bit, but I bought the dip, so to speak.

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Don't know if that was her exact words, but that's what she did.

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And that is the right attitude.

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Now I personally didn't have any money to buy the dip.

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I had already done my DCA, my dollar cost average for the month and I just didn't have

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any left.

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So I had no way of doing that.

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If I had any money, that's when I would have done it.

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Let's see.

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So it looks like the 3rd of December, starting at about noon and then it went, yeah, starting

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at about noon on the 3rd, so that was Friday, I was correct.

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So starting about noon on Friday, the market started going down and it was Bitcoin before

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this started going down.

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So we were at 57,634 then, and it went all the way down to a mind-boggling 41,900 on

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Bitstamp, which happens to be where the chart is that I'm looking at.

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So that's pretty similar to what we saw on all the exchanges.

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There was a very big long wick during that 4-hour timeframe, that last 4-hour timeframe,

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and it went right back up, it kind of looks like maybe a firecracker that has a really

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long tail to it, which is good.

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It kind of indicates that, obviously, well, we went really far down, but then they bought

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it up.

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Bulls stepped in and bought the bottom, so to speak.

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Now for the couple of days after that, yes, it has been rising.

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We are back up at this point.

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Today, it actually almost touched 52,000, if I'm not mistaken.

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It's down a little bit right now at 50,600.

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So we definitely took a dip.

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There's no doubt about it.

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There's all kinds of chatter about, is this the top?

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Are we now in the bear market?

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I don't believe so.

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But I said that last week.

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I said it probably the week before.

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I still do not believe that we're in a bear market.

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The fundamentals are still there.

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During this dip, we had an incredible amount of buying from whales, people who have large

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amounts of Bitcoin.

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One of the questions that came up, of course, is what caused this?

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The analysis shows, most likely, that it was caused by people being over-leveraged.

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What does that mean?

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When somebody uses leveraged trade, they put in a certain amount of coin or money and they

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multiply that with what they call leverage.

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So leverage could be 1x, meaning no leverage, 2x, 3x, 5x, 10x.

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It goes as high as 100x, which is crazy ridiculous, meaning for every $1 move it's 100 times magnified.

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Which sounds great if the price is skyrocketing, but it's terrible when it goes the other way

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against you because you get liquidated, your trade gets cashed out, you lose all your money

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very quickly.

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So they think that this crash, in large part, was caused by a large number of liquidations.

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Now, I saw one source and I don't have it, so I can't speak to the veracity of this.

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I can't tell you that this is true or not, but this kind of thing would precipitate this.

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So somebody apparently sold $180 million worth of Bitcoin at the same time.

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The market had been kind of going sideways for several days, if I recall correctly.

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It was just kind of in this real tight band, so it was kind of bouncing up and down.

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It wasn't going up, but it wasn't going down.

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And basically, they dumped $180 million of Bitcoin on the market and depressed the price.

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Bitcoin is a huge market, but that much of it at one time on one exchange, yes, that's

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going to depress the price.

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And that actually started a liquidation event of people who were over-leveraged, people

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who were on the edge.

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And then when they got liquidated, so they lost their bets, so to speak, that started

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a cascading effect that went on for basically eight hours.

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Now, what I have seen is the statistics that roughly $2 billion worth of trades were liquidated

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during that timeframe, longs, what they call longs, people going long on Bitcoin, oh, it's

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going to go higher.

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If it goes higher, I make more money.

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So this is just another example, and there's a long history of these in the market.

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You need to be very, very careful when you're trading, especially when you're trading with

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leveraged assets.

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I'm not going to be a person to sit here and tell you not to use leverage when you're ready,

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but people not being ready is what precipitated all this.

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So we end up roughly $10,000 lower, come back out of it, we're still not back, and we're

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certainly not near the top.

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So why are you so bullish, McIntosh?

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Because I understand that people are still holding.

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There's statistics, there's data that shows that people are not selling.

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Institutions are coming online.

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There's news every day about institutions buying more Bitcoin.

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It's basically gotten to be a non-event.

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So there's all of these things, and I'm not going to go through all of them, but there's

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all of these reasons why I believe that this is on the top.

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But if it is, so what?

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What did I say a few weeks ago?

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I said, be prepared when the top happens.

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Be prepared for the bear market that will follow.

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Now this actually, what we do see going on, some people argue, and I tend to agree with

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this, that this plays into a longer, what they call a longer cycle.

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Because traditionally, we've had a four-year cycle.

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It's starting to look like this may lengthen out.

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If we get back above our all-time highs, 68, 69K, and the cycle continues, the bull market

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continues, then it most assuredly will be a longer cycle.

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Now whether that's a month, two months, three months, a year remains to be seen.

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But that would not be a bad thing.

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That ultimately means we'll end up at a higher price, and it ultimately means, it should

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mean that when we do enter that bear market, that it's a shallower market.

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That's a shallower fall.

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Remember, back in 2017, we fell, or 2018, during the end of that bull market, we lost

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in some cases, very near 90% of like, ETH and Bitcoin.

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The altcoins, the other altcoins were even worse.

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I don't think we're going to go that far down, especially if this market lengthens out.

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It does not mean there won't be buying opportunities.

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I would, you know, we may revisit 50K with Bitcoin, maybe, I don't know.

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Time will tell, but it will be a buying opportunity when it happens, not a reason to panic.

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Okay, so that's some of our news.

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I do want to kind of jump into the meat of this.

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Why am I in crypto?

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It's a good question.

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I've been involved in crypto for quite a while.

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I got involved back in 2013, originally.

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Well, I've been in continuously since 2013, essentially.

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For a long time, I was what they call a system administrator, managing systems, servers,

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in data centers, now on the cloud, that kind of thing.

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And I heard the buzz around Bitcoin probably, I would suspect, in late 2012, certainly in

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early 20...

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Well, I think I bought my first Bitcoin like in January, February, somewhere in that first

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quarter of 2013, it was probably 2012.

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And the technology behind it fascinated me.

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I didn't understand, maybe we, none of us did, well, there was information there.

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I didn't understand all the implications behind Bitcoin, because Bitcoin was the only thing

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available at that time.

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I just liked it from a technology standpoint.

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I thought it might do well, you know, it had already gone up quite a bit at that point.

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I wasn't making a whole lot of money at the time, though, so I bought a little bit, played

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around with it, ultimately kind of just didn't really do a whole lot, unfortunately.

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I wish now, of course, that that were not so, but it is what it is.

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I got a lot more active a few years later when I had more money.

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I was very involved in the 2016-2017 bull run.

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And of course, in 2018, when the market fell apart, I've explained before, you know, I

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kind of froze, I didn't know what to do, I didn't have good guidance at that time.

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And I just froze.

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I didn't sell my assets, which was in some cases was good.

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I had things outside of basically everything outside of Bitcoin and Ethereum did not weather

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that downturn.

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Fortunately, most of my assets were in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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So even though I went a span of basically several years, my assets did OK.

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Now, I missed a huge opportunity.

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I could have been buying, buying, buying during that time.

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But to be honest, I guess I didn't have the faith or I would have been doing that.

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I didn't have the belief in what was going on.

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And I got busy with life.

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I had other things going on.

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Well, you know, I certainly kept up with things.

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And when things started getting going, I kind of pulled up the accounts and dusted things

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off and got going again.

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But I got involved, I guess you could say with the right people.

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And I got my head on a little more straight this time.

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And I understand a lot more about what's going.

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Some of this is just frankly experience and some of it's hard experience.

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I mean, it just is.

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You will lose money if you're in this market long enough.

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You cannot go, you know, from zero to a million dollars without some bumps along the way.

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Sorry, I wished I could tell you otherwise.

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But anyways, we've done a lot better this time.

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And I have a good plan so that when the bear market comes, when we reach the top, you know,

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I know what I'm going to do and I'm not really going to tell you what I'm going to do because

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what I do may be different than what you should do.

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We've discussed, we have several options, you know, you may choose to sell at the top

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and then buy back in.

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If you can time it, that's difficult.

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You can choose to hold.

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You could just choose to do what I did, hold, go all the way through the bear market and

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then start buying again.

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I do not recommend that.

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What I do recommend if you're going to hold is that even as it goes down, because frankly

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we don't know how long or deep this bear market is going to be, just keep buying.

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You buy Bitcoin, you buy, and I would buy solid assets, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano maybe,

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maybe some of these others.

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You've got some very strong level two assets that are coming on things like Polygon, you

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know, some, some networks and tokens like that, that are actually doing things.

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So I'm going to just discount things like Shiba, things like Flokeinu, things like what

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is it Dogecoin until they have something that they're doing, they will most likely do what

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all of the other tokens did during the last bear market, they will disappear.

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So I would keep that in mind.

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But what I would do is I would be buying these assets when they're at these bargain basement,

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you know, fire sale prices.

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You could have gotten Bitcoin for $3,500 like less than two years ago, which is ridiculous

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because here we are at 50,000 thinking the world is sending.

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I mean, think about that.

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It's kind of crazy.

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So do yourself a favor, and if you're not going to sell and then buy back, what I would

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do if I were to do that, I would sell and buy back and then I would dollar cost average

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so to speak.

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I would keep buying at those bargain prices.

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Build your wealth.

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You can, you can build true wealth during that downturn.

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You can make money during a bull market.

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You can build true wealth during that downturn.

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Keep that in mind.

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All right.

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So that's kind of the history in a nutshell, but that doesn't really explain why I'm in

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crypto.

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I'm in crypto because I believe in what it allows.

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Max Keiser is maybe not my most favorite person in the world, honestly, but he says it's unconfiscatable

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wealth.

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The government can't take it away from you, whatever government that may be.

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And I'm not talking necessarily about the US government.

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I'm talking about any government.

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You have the keys.

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The keys can be in your head and nobody can take that away from you.

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And it's not a physical item necessarily.

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So you can leave, go somewhere else, reconstitute your Bitcoin, so to speak, and move on with

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your life.

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So that's a very freeing thought, especially when times are uncertain.

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So that's one reason.

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I believe that crypto in general, Bitcoin, Ethereum specifically, I believe that they're

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inflation hedges.

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Right now, a lot of countries around the world are going through periods of inflation.

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The United States is certainly, I've mentioned in the news just recently, it was announced

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were six and a half percent.

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It's a lot higher than that.

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Go look at house prices.

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People think house prices are going up because of demand and that's part of it, but it's

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not.

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It's because of inflation.

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Assets go up based on inflation.

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That's just the way of it.

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So houses are going up, land is going up, right?

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Even vehicles are going up.

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A vehicle really isn't an asset, but it's considered to be that.

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Okay, so that's another reason.

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I do see this as a way to build my wealth.

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We have a traditional IRA type account.

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We have other investments, but this is a wealth building tool for me because I believe over

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time.

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Historically, Bitcoin has certainly shown it's gone up.

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I don't think that's going to stop.

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I don't think it's going to go to zero.

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I don't think Bitcoin tomorrow is going to drop to $30,000 tomorrow.

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And if it does, two weeks after that, it may be at 60 and people will have another episode

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about is it risky?

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And maybe I should have done that one first, but this volatility makes people think that

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it's risky, but just zoom out, just zoom out.

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Look at the long-term view.

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Is it going up?

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Is it going up and to the right?

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Well, of course it's going to the right.

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It's going up though.

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Yes, it dips.

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Yes, it jogs.

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Yes, it does all these crazy things, but that's because it's trying to find its true value

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and its true value is dependent upon other factors such as inflation in the United States

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or in other countries around the world.

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As long as there's inflation, Bitcoin is going to go up.

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As long as the Ethereum network is growing in usage, and let me tell you something, don't

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listen to these people who tell you, well, Ethereum's got too high fees and therefore

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it's going to stop growing.

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Baloney.

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The reason why the fees are high is because it's so popular and that is being worked on.

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I've talked about that in the past.

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It too will come to pass.

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Those will be resolved as we move into Ethereum too.

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Ethereum as an asset is so far ahead of these other altcoins, it's not even close.

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Go look at a market cap chart.

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I was looking at one earlier and I don't know the numbers off the top of my head, but it's

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just like 5X above the next asset, the next token.

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So that's just FUD.

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Don't listen to it.

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The Ethereum network is not going to shut down.

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So as long as it continues to grow, it's going to continue to gain in value.

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All right.

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What else?

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Why else am I involved?

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I'll tell you why.

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Well, I'll tell you two more reasons and I'll stop there.

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We could probably do this all night.

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I'm going to tell you one and then I will wrap up with probably my most important one

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and it may be strange to you and that's okay.

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Bitcoin specifically, you cannot print Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin has to be mined.

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There's a set number of Bitcoin.

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There will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin and so on and so forth.

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Unlike any economy in the world right now, I don't know of a single country at this point

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who's tied to a gold standard.

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They print money, which literally means they go print money.

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I mean, that's not, that is exactly where that's coming from and it's worthless and

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it's based on, in my opinion, a reality that is no longer there.

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And at some point over the next few years, we're going to have economies reset, maybe

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basically every economy in the world, every major economy.

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And that's going to be a very tough period in my opinion.

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And if I can avoid that, or if I can at least soften that, then I'm doing what's best for

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my family and I.

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Final reason.

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So I'm somebody who tries to help other people and I've done that in a number of ways in

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my life and it's not relevant to this discussion, but I want to help people.

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There is a proverb that goes back to the 1800s that says, if you give a man a fish, he's

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hungry again in an hour.

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If you teach him to catch a fish, you do him a good turn.

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If you teach a man to fish, you'll keep him fed.

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He can be fed for his lifetime, essentially.

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If I give him a fish, he'll be hungry again, you know, later that day.

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And a lot of charity is done, certainly for the right reasons, but it doesn't teach the

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man to fish, it gives them a fish.

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One of the issues that we've got in the world today is that a lot of people have no ability

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to save.

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The percentage is like 20 to 30%.

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They have no access to banking.

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They're called the unbanked.

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I go to the bank, put money in the bank, they take care of it, it's insured, so on and so

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forth.

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There's a lot of value to that.

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Somebody who doesn't have a bank in their town, in their village, or even in the city

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nearest them, they don't have that same ability to save.

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You can only put so much money under your mattress.

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You don't have access to any type of, you know, interest bearing accounts or, or whatever,

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to have ways to make money off of your money that you save.

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If you're in a country that's inflationary and you're saving money, it makes it that

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much more difficult.

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Bitcoin and these other assets like Ethereum help to solve this.

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We're seeing this with the Lightning Network.

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We're seeing this in places like El Salvador, Africa.

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People are gaining the ability to save money and ultimately this will be life changing.

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And that is actually what I'm most excited about.

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It levels the financial playing field.

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Now, somebody in America who's maybe, I don't know, has a, has a white collar, so-called

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white collar job, yes, they're going to make a lot more money than somebody in Sub-Saharan

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Africa who lives out in a small village.

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But giving those people the ability to save money at least gives them a start.

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And that is actually the thing, the single thing that makes me the most happy, if that

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makes sense.

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And I am looking to become involved in some of these projects that are helping people

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to do that.

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Things like the Lightning Network.

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Not because I can make a lot of money off of the Lightning Network, but because I can

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help build a resilient system that allows people to cheaply and easily send money wherever

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through a peer-to-peer transaction, so person-to-person without an intermediary, can be done from

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a cell phone and also gives them the ability to access, you know, to save, save those satoshis

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in that case.

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I do believe that that's teaching someone to fish, not giving them fish.

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And that's much more helpful.

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So those are the reasons that I'm involved in Crypto.

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Now, your reasons may be different.

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I hope those gave you some food for thought, though.

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Let's move on to the news.

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Don't want to go too long tonight.

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And there was a lot of news, Wednesday night, last Wednesday, the Badger DAO, so DAO, Digital

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Autonomous Organization, was hacked.

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Unfortunately, this is part of the growing pains of Crypto.

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Now, I don't know exactly what the Badger DAO is.

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It's an organization that they're put together for a purpose.

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I had no money in this.

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I don't, you know, I don't really know a whole lot about what they're involved in.

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This says that they're a decentralized, of course, automated organization focused on

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developing infrastructure and products in order to simplify the overall use of Bitcoin

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across Ethereum, along with many other blockchains.

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I don't know what that means.

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I'm sorry, I don't.

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But people stole $120 million of cryptocurrency, and that's a lot of money.

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A lot of it actually came from an organization called Celsius, which was another service.

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And I don't know, I don't know exactly.

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But the vast majority of this actually was Celsius money, I believe.

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This was a hack that was done through the interface, through the, you know, through

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the web interface.

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And I don't, I'm just giving you the bare details.

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I don't really understand all the ins and outs of this.

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Unfortunately, this is the kind of thing that happens.

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It is a reason why you should always be careful.

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Don't put a bunch of money into anything that doesn't have a long track record.

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And I would always, I mean, we've talked about this.

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I would always split up my pool, so to speak, my money, don't have everything in one place.

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This could happen.

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I don't know if these people will get their money back.

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I don't know.

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It's interesting because because of the transparent nature of the blockchain, they know where

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the money went.

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They know what wallets it went to, but you can't, that's kind of the end of the road.

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You just, you don't know.

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So I don't know that they'll get this back.

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So I would be, you know, just, just be careful.

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Got to be careful out there, but that was some of the news this week.

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That was the earliest news Friday.

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We already talked about kind of, we had the big drop over the weekend fidelity, who's

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one of the largest money asset managers, I guess, in the world launched a spot, a Bitcoin

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spot ETF and mutual fund in Canada because they can't do it here in the United States.

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Interestingly enough.

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Now, I understand that US citizens can actually access that, but it's certainly not as easy

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as if it were here in the United States.

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We got an Ethereum update that actually happens tomorrow night, I believe.

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So this would be the next update after EIP 1559, which was the change that went in that

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started burning ETH basically, which has gone really well.

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So this is, this is the next major update to Ethereum that will be taking place tomorrow

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night.

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Also, Vitalik recently, Vitalik was the creator of a, basically the creator of Ethereum brains

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behind it, so to speak, there was a number of people involved, but he wrote the initial

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white paper, so on and so forth.

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So he has actually kind of road mapped out what it's going to take to get to ETH 2.0.

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Again, this is going to increase our scalability, lower gas fees, higher throughput, etc, etc.

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It doesn't give dates and times, but these are the things that are definitely in our,

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in the future for ETH and by future, I mean, we're going to have major steps happen next

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year getting there towards this.

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I think you'll see specifically with Ethereum, Ethereum has always had this idea, you know,

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they're constantly improving the code and that is basically directly contradicting what

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Bitcoin does where they literally only upgrade every few years, right?

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We just had the big SegWit upgrade, which I think was the first one in four years for

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Bitcoin.

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It's quite a contrast.

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Arguments can be made either way.

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I think as long as these roadmaps, as long as these improvements are done thoughtfully

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with lots of testing and you know, I think it will be, it will be okay, but it is a different

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thought process.

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So I will make a link to that article as well in the notes.

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All right.

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So next Cardano had a major development with the release a couple of days ago on the test

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network of what they call Sunday Swap, which is at the first DEX decentralized exchange

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on Cardano.

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So that was a big deal for them.

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The token has actually gone up of course, since then, as you would expect Cardano needs

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Cardano has been lagging, I guess, because I don't know, because they're just being very

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methodical.

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I think over the long run they will do very well.

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Of course, they're one of these top assets already in terms of value, but I do think

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that that will continue to go up, but they need to get stuff out there and this is a

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first step.

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So it was good to see that I'll make a link to an article about that in the notes as well.

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And then finally, I did want to link to this isn't necessarily news, but this is an article

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that I came across.

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It's actually on vice.com.

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It's not really a place that I frequent, but I just kind of happen to come across this

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and I want you to actually read this to protect yourself.

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This person lost $400,000, almost everything that they had on a single Robinhood bet, meaning

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trade apparently.

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They did everything wrong and it's very interesting to read through this article and kind of put

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yourself in their head.

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They did everything wrong, but as a trader, as somebody who's been involved in made trades,

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I understand where they're coming from and I use these type things to help keep me in

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the right frame set.

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When a big event like what just happened happens, do I have either the liquidity in place to

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take a massive downswing because these things happen.

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It happened in March of 2020.

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What a year and a half ago during the start of COVID, because of COVID, everybody's like,

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oh, this is going to affect everything and the market dropped like a lot.

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It does happen.

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I will tell you one of the things that may cause another severe drop and honestly, just

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to go back to the market for just a minute, I think we will go back up.

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We very likely may dip back down again before we go up.

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We've got things that are there.

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The US stock market hasn't been doing very well.

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You've got the Evergrande situation in China, which has gotten worse.

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They are saying that we have no money left, essentially.

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The things are not in a good situation and frankly, at any minute, something could happen

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and it could trigger another one of these.

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You always have to be careful.

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If you just don't have a huge amount of liquidity, you need, and by liquidity, I mean like a

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pool of assets that you can take that drop, that $10,000 Bitcoin drop and not your trade

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not get delevered or liquidated or you can use stop losses.

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Oh, if I drop, let's say I'm sitting at 51, if I drop below 47 or 50 or whatever that

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level is that you're setting, it automatically gets you out of the trade.

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Those are called stop losses.

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If you don't have those things in place, you will get wrecked.

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So reading through articles like this, and I'm going to post this article in the notes.

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I'm not going to read through it.

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It's a long article, but I would highly recommend that you click through it and read this.

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It's well worth the 10 minutes or whatever that it's going to take you to read because

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I'm afraid there's a lot of people out there like that.

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Well, maybe this isn't that long an article.

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It probably won't take you five minutes to read, but I'm not going to read it on here.

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It's too long to read.

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It's very worthwhile while reading though.

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So I would strongly encourage you to do that.

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Okay.

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So that's the news for the week.

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I hope everybody's doing okay.

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I hope you did the right thing and bought the dip that you didn't get liquidated.

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I tweeted, I said, I'm actually going to bring this up.

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When this happened Friday night, it was actually early Saturday morning, I think at that point.

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So I tweeted this, I said, well, first of all, I said, bang, there went 99% of the leverage.

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Maybe now we'll go up.

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And that leverage was actually holding the market back.

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I believe that.

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So it's not a bad thing in terms of the market.

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It's bad for people when they get deleveraged, when they get liquidated like that.

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And right after that, I said, if you were liquidated, I'm sorry.

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It hurts.

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I've been there, which I have been.

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I've lost.

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I've been liquidated before.

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I've lost.

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I've lost trades.

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I said, learn from the experience.

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It doesn't mean that crypto is bad.

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It means crypto is extremely volatile.

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And I said, if you ever leverage again, ensure you use appropriate stops or have enough liquidity

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to take the dip.

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So keep that in mind.

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If you're not comfortable trading, don't trade.

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Certainly don't trade anything that you can't afford to lose.

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Do not be trading your entire portfolio.

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And don't come to me for trading advice.

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I'm not going to give it.

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I don't because if you ever make a wrong trade, you could come back and blame me and I'm just

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I'm not up for that.

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It's not my gig.

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I do trade and I've done okay.

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But that's not the point.

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The point is these are long-term assets that will set you free if you give them enough

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time.

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So first of all, you need to be treating them as investments.

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And one final thing, I hope you noticed last week, this was last minute, but I got some

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new toys.

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I got Christmas a little early.

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I added a couple of software compressors to my setup and Native Instruments is the maker

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of these.

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And oh my goodness, it was really easy to set up.

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And I could not believe you may not care what I sound like, but it was like night and day

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when I turned these things on.

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So I will be using them from here on out.

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I really, really like them.

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They're basically based upon some vintage studio compressors that were used quite frequently

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and probably still are in some studios for vocals.

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I'm very frankly self-conscious about the way I sound and it really helps what I hear,

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what I listen to myself.

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So y'all get to come along for that.

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I hope you enjoy it.

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All right.

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So anyways, that's that.

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We'll wrap things up.

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Thanks for being here.

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I hope this has been helpful.

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I would love to hear from you on Twitter, which I just mentioned.

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I'm at McIntoshFinTech and you can reach me by email at mcintosh@genwealthcrypto.com.

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Of course, the Generational Wealth website is at genwealthcrypto.com.

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Now go out and make it a great week.

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