Shownotes
The salient point of this podcast episode revolves around the significant impact of Hurricane Melissa, which has made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 storm and is progressing northeastward towards the Bahamas. We meticulously delineate the potential hazards arising from this weather event, notably the elevated risk of rip currents and rough surf along the southeastern coast of the United States, particularly Florida. Additionally, the episode elaborates on various weather alerts, including a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, as well as a potential severe weather risk in eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia. We also address the imminent arrival of a moderate atmospheric river in the Pacific Northwest, which is expected to bring substantial rainfall. Furthermore, we discuss FEMA's recent allocation of over $1 billion in federal funding to enhance safety measures in the host cities for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Hurricane Melissa has emerged as a formidable force, having made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, with its trajectory now directing it towards the Bahamas. Although the United States currently has no active watches, the ramifications of Hurricane Melissa are being felt along the southeastern coast, particularly in Florida, where the risk of rip currents and rough surf is markedly elevated. The National Weather Service has issued warnings to coastal residents and beachgoers to exercise caution due to these dangerous conditions, emphasizing the importance of heeding safety advisories during such severe weather events.
In addition to the impact of Hurricane Melissa, the Weather Prediction Center has highlighted a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, extending into the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. This is attributed to the influx of rain that is expected to saturate these regions today. Concurrently, the Storm Prediction Center has indicated a marginal severe weather risk for eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia, suggesting the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms later in the evening. The confluence of these weather patterns necessitates vigilant monitoring and preparedness among local residents.
Furthermore, looking towards the Pacific Northwest, a moderate atmospheric river is anticipated to commence its influence on Friday and Saturday, with the Weather Prediction Center flagging a marginal flood risk for Western Washington. This is in alignment with forecasts from the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, which anticipates several days of precipitation associated with this atmospheric river event. As federal funding has also been allocated to support the infrastructure for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup, the coordination between emergency management partners and local authorities has never been more crucial. Maintaining situational awareness and readiness is imperative as we navigate through this dynamic weather landscape.
Takeaways:
- Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Cuba and poses risks for Florida's coast today, especially due to rip currents.
- A marginal flash flood risk has been issued for the Southern and Central Appalachians today, necessitating caution for residents in these regions.
- FEMA has announced over $1 billion in federal funding aimed at securing host cities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- California is facing red flag warnings due to Santa Ana winds and low humidity, prompting pre-deployment of firefighting resources.
- The Pacific Northwest will experience a moderate atmospheric river, leading to potential flooding in Western Washington later this week.
- Several states, including Connecticut and New Jersey, are under marginal flood risks due to expected heavy rainfall in the upcoming days.
Source
[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]
[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]
[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]
[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]
[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]
[CW3E AR Outlook (Oct 28) | https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/28Oct2025_Outlook/28Oct2025_Outlook.pdf]
[FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/print/txt/node/705701]
[NWS Los Angeles | https://www.weather.gov/lox/]
[NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]
[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]
[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]
[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]
[NWS Wilmington | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.2026&lon=-77.8815]
[NWS Topsail Beach hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NCZ106&lat=34.3696&local_place1=Topsail+Beach+NC&lon=-77.6288&product1=Beach+Hazards+Statement&warncounty=NCC141&warnzone=NCZ106]
[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]
[NWS Charleston | https://www.weather.gov/chs/]
[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]
[NWS Wakefield Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/akq/brief]
[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]
[NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=sew&product=afd&site=nws&version=1]
[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
Transcripts
Good morning.
Speaker A: ,: Speaker A:Overnight, Hurricane Melissa made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 and is racing northeast toward the Bahamas.
Speaker A:While no US watches are posted, swells from Melissa drive a high risk of rip currents and rough surf along parts of Florida and the Southeast coast today.
Speaker A:Farther north, the Weather Prediction center highlights a Day one marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians into the Ohio Tennessee valleys with rain filling in today.
Speaker A:The Storm Prediction center also notes a marginal severe risk late tonight into early Thursday for eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia.
Speaker A:Out west, eyes turn to the Pacific Northwest.
Speaker A:A moderate atmospheric river is set to arrive Friday into Saturday with WPC flagging a day three marginal flood risk for Western Washington.
Speaker A:CW3E's outlook aligns on multiple days of AR conditions.
Speaker A: federal funding to secure the: Speaker A:An operations and coordination note for EM partners nationwide.
Speaker A:Let's run through the States California Santa Ana winds and very low humidity bring red flag warnings today for parts of Los Angeles, Vic Ventura and San Diego county mountains valleys.
Speaker A:Cal OES says the state has pre deployed firefighting resources in Southern California ahead of dangerous fire weather.
Speaker A:Connecticut heads up for Thursday WPC's Day 2 outlook places the I95 corridor including Southwest CT in a marginal flash flood risk as a coastal low lifts through the Northeast.
Speaker A:Delaware Similar setup for Thursday.
Speaker A:A coastal low could bring periods of heavy rain.
Speaker A:WPC keeps DE in a marginal flood risk.
Speaker A:Florida Indirect impacts from Hurricane Melissa continue high rip current risk, rough surf along portions of the east coast and small craft hazards continue across segments of the coastal waters, especially keys to First Coast.
Speaker A:Kentucky WPC highlights a Day one marginal flood risk spreading into the Ohio Tennessee valleys.
Speaker A:Periods of rain today could overwhelm poor drainage spots, especially near the Cumberland and Eastern Bluegrass.
Speaker A:Maryland Prepare for Thursday rain with a marginal flood risk along the I95 urban corridor per WPC.
Speaker A:Expect slick commutes and localized ponding.
Speaker A:Massachusetts WPC Day 2 has a marginal flood risk brushing the southern New England urban corridor Thursday.
Speaker A:New Jersey Thursday WPC keeps the NYCNJ metro in a marginal flood risk as a coastal low tracks north.
Speaker A:New York Thursday brings periods of heavy rain with a marginal flood risk focused along the i95 corridor and western Long Island.
Speaker A:Expect ponding, slower travel and brief visibility reductions.
Speaker A:North Carolina 2 notes today coastal flood advisory, high rip current risk around Wilmington and adjacent beaches and a marginal severe risk late tonight into early Thursday east of I95 per SPC.
Speaker A:Pennsylvania planned for Thursday rain with a marginal flood risk along the southeast urban corridor, per wpc.
Speaker A:Localized street flooding possible in heavier bands.
Speaker A:Rhode Island Southern New England sees Thursday showers with a marginal urban poor drainage flood risk.
Speaker A:South Carolina Rip currents and rough surf continue for some beaches.
Speaker A:NWS Charleston highlights ongoing rip current statement and hazards.
Speaker A:Tennessee Rain overspreads the state today with WPC flagging a Day one marginal flood risk into the Tennessee Valley and adjacent Appalachians.
Speaker A:Isolated flash flooding possible in poor drainage or hilly terrain.
Speaker A:Virginia SPC outlines a marginal severe risk late tonight into early Thursday for southeast va. Isolated damaging gusts possible.
Speaker A:Eastern VA also sees periods of rain today with ponding in low spots.
Speaker A:Washington Prepare for a Friday Saturday atmospheric River WPC's Day 3 shows a marginal flood risk for western Washington.
Speaker A:NWS Seattle notes increasing rain and mountain snow later in the week.
Speaker A:West Virginia WPC keeps the central southern Appalachians in a Day one marginal flood risk.
Speaker A:Steady rain today could cause localized issues in hollows and along small streams.
Speaker A:All other states have no significant updates in the last 24 hours.
Speaker A:We'll stay on Melissa's Offshore impacts.
Speaker A:The Appalachians rain today and the Pacific Northwest AR is lining up for late week.
Speaker A:Stay safe.
