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State of the Industry with Emil Martinez (Part 2)
Episode 224th January 2024 • Supply Chain LEAD Podcast • Supply Chain LEAD Podcast
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Host Mike Graen continues Season 3 of the Supply Chain LEAD Podcast by finishing up his conversation with Emil Martinez - Managing Partner Retail GTM NA at Tata Consultancy Services - to discuss the state of the industry. In this Part 2 episode, Mike and Emil discuss topics including:

  • OSA's impact on shopping experience
  • Leveraging OSA technology
  • Retail technology evolution & industry planning

Transcripts

Mike Graen:

Welcome back to the Walton Supply Chain Center

Mike Graen:

focusing on on shelf availability. My name is Mike

Mike Graen:

Graen, we pick up and finished part two of our discussion with

Mike Graen:

Emil Martinez, who is the General Manager of TCS

Mike Graen:

Consulting, talking about all things retail, as it affects

Mike Graen:

2024. Join us and as we get started favorite quotes, I think

Mike Graen:

he will you came up with this, maybe we came up with it

Mike Graen:

together. But a number by itself is meaningless, unless you

Mike Graen:

compare it to something. So somebody says I'm 15%, higher

Mike Graen:

than I was, I'm 15%. Increase.

Mike Graen:

What I don't know if that's good or bad, right? So this compares

Mike Graen:

I target which is 95%, to how you're doing. Now, how in the

Mike Graen:

world, do you get these numbers? Because I just said you can't

Mike Graen:

use your internal systems, which is, how much do I have versus

Mike Graen:

how much I'll sell? There's a couple different ways to do

Mike Graen:

that. One is algorithms. And I'll cover these really briefly,

Mike Graen:

Matt, because I think the purpose of the day is really to

Mike Graen:

cover this in more detail. But I got an item to sell in 1216 1515

Mike Graen:

1211 said it goes to zero, or two items that go to zero. I

Mike Graen:

can't tell you anything, but I can almost predict that product

Mike Graen:

is no longer available on the sale. Okay, it's not on a shelf,

Mike Graen:

because you don't go from selling that many to zero,

Mike Graen:

unless there's a some kind of seasonality thing. So algorithms

Mike Graen:

are a good way. And obviously, you send retail coverage like an

Mike Graen:

Acosta or Crossmark, or advantage in to look at that

Mike Graen:

they go yep, it didn't, it's, it's not on the shelf anymore, I

Mike Graen:

put it back on the shelf. And then you measure this thing,

Mike Graen:

which is after they made that intervention, we are now

Mike Graen:

measuring what's called recovered sales, which is I took

Mike Graen:

an action, I got it back on the shelf, it took off again, those

Mike Graen:

algorithms can actually measure on shelf availability for you

Mike Graen:

every single day. Secondly, is there's companies out there,

Mike Graen:

this happens to be one called field agent. But there's going

Mike Graen:

to be companies out there that we will talk about here in a

Mike Graen:

second that will do in store audits, they will literally take

Mike Graen:

customers, shoppers, or who will go in stores and collect

Mike Graen:

information in the store that can help you to say, is it on

Mike Graen:

the shelf? Or is it just in stock, which means probably it's

Mike Graen:

in the background. This is one of the projects that amo and I

Mike Graen:

are working on. This is a badger robot. This is a robot that

Mike Graen:

literally goes in the store undocks and autonomously goes

Mike Graen:

and scans a shelf, you see it turn the light on. And it's

Mike Graen:

basically scanning a shelf and telling you what's available,

Mike Graen:

what's not available. What are the auto stocks, what are the

Mike Graen:

incorrect items? What are the pricing issues. So shelf

Mike Graen:

scanning robots play a big role.

Mike Graen:

RFID clearly plays a big role. It literally allows you to count

Mike Graen:

things extremely quickly, and be able to tell you exactly what

Mike Graen:

you have on the sales floor for a customer.

Mike Graen:

Other people use this, this happens to be an example from an

Mike Graen:

online shopper that this young lady is actually purchasing

Mike Graen:

customer's product for our customer. If they find it, they

Mike Graen:

scan the item. If they don't, they scan the label and go no

Mike Graen:

pick, I don't have. And the last one I want to share is is fixed

Mike Graen:

cameras. Alright, so fixed cameras, shelf edge cameras that

Mike Graen:

do that. So just to set up that the day that we're going to have

Mike Graen:

here today, we've got a bunch of people, we've got two companies.

Mike Graen:

One is called bops and one's called retail insight that

Mike Graen:

really have a specialized capability to do forecasting,

Mike Graen:

and to do algorithmic kinds of of opportunities, especially if

Mike Graen:

you have a high velocity items. These are items that you

Mike Graen:

definitely need in your toolbox.

Mike Graen:

For things that are more situational trax retail is going

Mike Graen:

to be sharing later on how their trax system actually shows the

Mike Graen:

ability to be able to see what's in the shelf using their trax

Mike Graen:

platform, which is an in store data capture. We've actually got

Mike Graen:

the top three in my opinion, folks who are doing shelf

Mike Graen:

scanning robots, Badger, Brain and Simbe are all going to be on

Mike Graen:

later on today, talking about their solution and being able to

Mike Graen:

provide you updates on how their solution can work. We've got

Mike Graen:

Williot and Carcoding that are both experts in the low

Mike Graen:

frequency and high frequency RFID space. That definitely

Mike Graen:

would be great contacts for you if you're interested in more

Mike Graen:

about RFID.

Mike Graen:

At the date of this recording, we do have SCS and Magnatech

Mike Graen:

also going to be doing fixed cameras. Now, just to be clear,

Mike Graen:

and be transparent. We're recording this in December. Some

Mike Graen:

of the folks that we just put on the screen with with some of the

Mike Graen:

providers may change or we may add some folks too. So don't be

Mike Graen:

surprised if that doesn't match up with the rest of the agenda.

Mike Graen:

But for right now, Matt, these are the ones that we've got for

Mike Graen:

the rest of the day and it's gonna be exciting to have them

Mike Graen:

be part of this conference.

Matt Pfeiffer:

Yeah. So excited to have so many of them solution

Matt Pfeiffer:

providers stepping up to sort of sort of share their story

Matt Pfeiffer:

talking about their capabilities. Emil back to you

Matt Pfeiffer:

give us a little bit more insight into why product

Matt Pfeiffer:

availability is so important right now in the retail industry

Matt Pfeiffer:

from your own perspective.

Emil Martinez:

So from my perspective, and you know,

Emil Martinez:

having been around the industry this long, you know, for those

Emil Martinez:

of you that have been in the industry or in the industry, you

Emil Martinez:

fall into this pattern, everything becomes, you know, a

Emil Martinez:

new experience and observation, you walk into a store, you shop

Emil Martinez:

online, you sort of gain this perspective, you're part

Emil Martinez:

industry, participant and part your consumer. Yeah, so you're

Emil Martinez:

sort of shaped by your experiences, but in my mind, it

Emil Martinez:

falls into three buckets, it's critically important to the

Emil Martinez:

shopping experience. So you know, each of us I think, as we

Emil Martinez:

embrace, you know, our purchase behavior, we have a

Emil Martinez:

consideration set for each of our areas, there's a set of

Emil Martinez:

retailers who when we have a specific need, we look to 123,

Emil Martinez:

maybe it's four or five at the at the max, you know, that we

Emil Martinez:

see as the predominant solution set for whatever that problem

Emil Martinez:

is, or that opportunity is we're looking for, you know, so making

Emil Martinez:

sure that shopping experience is easy, clean, you know, capable

Emil Martinez:

is affected by whether the product is in stock and

Emil Martinez:

available. At the end of the day, the shopping experience a

Emil Martinez:

disappointment, like go to one of my key consideration sets,

Emil Martinez:

and they don't have that product available. For me, it's now

Emil Martinez:

complicated my experience. The second piece is perception. You

Emil Martinez:

know, if it happens enough times, I likely changed my

Emil Martinez:

consideration set. You know, as Mike showed the slide that the

Emil Martinez:

dog uses to chose retailers over the course of time, you know,

Emil Martinez:

there's a reason that evolution occurred. And that occurred,

Emil Martinez:

because over the course of time, shoppers, perception changed,

Emil Martinez:

about who their consideration set was, and where they were

Emil Martinez:

going to spend their dollars, you know, so in my mind, if

Emil Martinez:

you're not on shelf and available, you are changing the

Emil Martinez:

perception of the shopper, because I can no longer fulfill

Emil Martinez:

my needs, simply and easily from that perspective. The second

Emil Martinez:

piece is, you know, it drives the future thought process. So

Emil Martinez:

if I'm a retailer, and I want to be on that 2030 to 2040, you

Emil Martinez:

know, decade of who the top shoppers are on shelf

Emil Martinez:

availability, in my mind, whether that's physical or

Emil Martinez:

digital, you're the fusion of the two, which I obviously is

Emil Martinez:

where we are some some folks call it digital, you know,

Emil Martinez:

fusing the two words together, at the end of the day, the

Emil Martinez:

synchronization of that thought process is the difference maker,

Emil Martinez:

at least one that's within your control, to put you in a

Emil Martinez:

position to be on that list of retailers that are excelling,

Emil Martinez:

you know, in the next decade, and the decade after that, the

Emil Martinez:

moment you lose that point of contact with the consumer, you

Emil Martinez:

lose start to lose the consumer, Doug referred to it as you're

Emil Martinez:

done. You know, let's let's take that done. And you know, connote

Emil Martinez:

what that really means. What that really means is, me as the

Emil Martinez:

consumer, us, the consumer, the shopper stopped going to that

Emil Martinez:

store to fulfill your needs, and you go somewhere else, to

Emil Martinez:

fulfill those needs. That's the death knell for any retailer,

Emil Martinez:

whether they're physical or digital. When the shopper now

Emil Martinez:

considers you irrelevant, you're out of the game. On shelf

Emil Martinez:

availability, the availability of product for purchase and for

Emil Martinez:

fulfillment or consumption is the game. It's that zero moment

Emil Martinez:

moment of truth, whether you want to think of that from a

Emil Martinez:

marketing perspective, or from a fulfillment perspective. At the

Emil Martinez:

end of the day, that zero moment of truth is the game. If you're

Emil Martinez:

in stock, you've now fulfilled an opportunity for a shop or if

Emil Martinez:

you're out of stock, you've now disappointed them and made them

Emil Martinez:

go somewhere else.

Matt Pfeiffer:

As we wrap up this conversation and invite

Matt Pfeiffer:

folks to go and check out some of the capabilities

Matt Pfeiffer:

presentations from some of the companies that you've mentioned,

Matt Pfeiffer:

that are partnering with us in the Solution Summit. Mike offers

Matt Pfeiffer:

some closing thoughts, in particular, why you're so

Matt Pfeiffer:

optimistic about the future with respect to on shelf

Matt Pfeiffer:

availability? Yes. It's something that the industry has

Matt Pfeiffer:

been wrestling with for a very long time. But there is so much

Matt Pfeiffer:

innovation right now. And it seems like there's a willingness

Matt Pfeiffer:

on the part of retailers to to invest in that innovation. So

Matt Pfeiffer:

talk a little bit about your optimism as you offer some

Matt Pfeiffer:

closing thoughts and then able ask you to do the same thing.

Mike Graen:

Yeah, I think there's a couple of things,

Mike Graen:

Matt, the first thing is, there was a there was a perception a

Mike Graen:

while back, that brick and mortar is dead, we're never

Mike Graen:

going to have brick and mortar, it's all going to be delivered

Mike Graen:

in the Amazon truck. And it couldn't be farther from the

Mike Graen:

truth right? There will always be this combination of omni

Mike Graen:

channel online retailer only plays like Amazon today, but

Mike Graen:

they're getting what's interesting is they're opening

Mike Graen:

the store. So I think they understand that there's a

Mike Graen:

correlation between the actual shopper doesn't want to wait

Mike Graen:

days or two days to show up at the door. They want to be able

Mike Graen:

to get what they want when they want it. So brick and mortar is

Mike Graen:

not dead is clearly very, very important.

Mike Graen:

Number two, we've mentioned a lot of things about on shelf

Mike Graen:

availability, let's just be really clear, you still have to

Mike Graen:

have the right items, the right is sorban. It has to be priced

Mike Graen:

correctly, it has to be able to you know, as Walmart, you know,

Mike Graen:

saving people money so they can live better. And they're

Mike Graen:

actually adding the to saving people, time and money. That's

Mike Graen:

the whole line pick up in store and actually delivered to your

Mike Graen:

home, etc. The retailers who are continuing to reinvent the way

Mike Graen:

they can take care of their customers are going to win in

Mike Graen:

the long run. So from my perspective, that's huge. It's

Mike Graen:

not the Alonzo football is not the only factor by any stretch

Mike Graen:

of the imagination, but it is an important one. Because if you

Mike Graen:

consistently disappoint your customers, after the third time

Mike Graen:

to go after that printer cartridge in the store, then you

Mike Graen:

don't have it, forget it, I'm buying it online, and I'm not

Mike Graen:

ever gonna go back to that store to look for those things. Again,

Mike Graen:

it is an absolutely important thing. From my perspective.

Mike Graen:

Number two, I think the other big piece of this is in a

Mike Graen:

retailer, like an apparel company, a gap, Adidas 100%

Mike Graen:

apparel kind of companies, you got to really benefit here

Mike Graen:

because technology, like RFID can be a single sensor or a

Mike Graen:

signal said signal that can tell you whether you're available or

Mike Graen:

not available, etc. The challenging environments are the

Mike Graen:

Walmarts. And the cost goes in the Sam's Club, because I've got

Mike Graen:

some products that really lend themselves very nice to things

Mike Graen:

like RFID, apparel, and general merchandise and sporting goods.

Mike Graen:

I've also got food products, lettuce, and watermelons and

Mike Graen:

canned vegetables, etc. So for those solution providers, or

Mike Graen:

those retailers, the challenge becomes, I gotta have a multi

Mike Graen:

sensor solution. It's got to be computer vision, AI, RFID, 2d

Mike Graen:

barcodes, a whole bunch of stuff working together to be able to

Mike Graen:

answer the same question. It's more, for sure. But it's really

Mike Graen:

based upon the categories that you've got. So the last thing

Mike Graen:

I'll tell you is we've done a lot of work already historical

Mike Graen:

work, if you're interested, we've piqued your interest,

Mike Graen:

obviously, you're invested in today to find out what the

Mike Graen:

solution providers out there, go call them up, contacted them,

Mike Graen:

they all have some great solutions, you know, the you'll

Mike Graen:

have to figure out for yourself, which one's the right one for

Mike Graen:

your business model. But there's a lot of great content that's

Mike Graen:

already out there on conversations on real retail,

Mike Graen:

and you have a on shelf availability platform, on

Mike Graen:

shuffle, www.on, shelf availability.com, there's free

Mike Graen:

resources out there, we definitely encourage you to take

Mike Graen:

advantage of those tools in addition to the virtual summit

Mike Graen:

that you're having for today.

Matt Pfeiffer:

Emil, any closing thoughts from you?

Emil Martinez:

So I don't know how I follow that Mike, just

Emil Martinez:

traverse the universe there with that with his closing comments.

Emil Martinez:

But you know, I think at the end of the day, you know, there's

Emil Martinez:

really three things that I would, you know, make folks stay

Emil Martinez:

mindful of. One is that data is at the center of all of this,

Emil Martinez:

that, you know, when when you really think about assembling

Emil Martinez:

what Mike just described, you know, that intersection of many

Emil Martinez:

different technologies working together, you know, it becomes

Emil Martinez:

sort of a supply chain of data. You know, it's how you bring

Emil Martinez:

these data sources together to fuel common business practice,

Emil Martinez:

right? At the end of the day, you know, 30 years ago, I coined

Emil Martinez:

the phrase, when I was in a prior life, you know, the data

Emil Martinez:

without action is overhead, right? At the end of the day,

Emil Martinez:

we're collecting all this information for a specific

Emil Martinez:

reason, because it enables us to do things more efficiently, in a

Emil Martinez:

in a more complete, you know, and correct fashion. So data is

Emil Martinez:

at the center of all of this. The second piece is, you know,

Emil Martinez:

as we think about the intersection of physical and

Emil Martinez:

digital and this sort of supply chain of data, you know, we're

Emil Martinez:

sources of inflection points that Mike described in his

Emil Martinez:

closing comments, you know, we need to think about how new

Emil Martinez:

technology becomes a piece of this puzzle. So things like AI,

Emil Martinez:

you know, enabling these things to be done in an in a fused

Emil Martinez:

fashion. So this isn't about taking people out of the

Emil Martinez:

process. It's about making people better, right? None of

Emil Martinez:

us, you know, if we went back 100 years ago, when they, they,

Emil Martinez:

you know, they started enabling large physical equipment to dig

Emil Martinez:

holes. were complaining that it was displacing people from

Emil Martinez:

digging the holes, we were celebrating the back, we could

Emil Martinez:

dig the holes faster, right? It made the human condition better.

Emil Martinez:

So the fusion of AI and these technologies with what we do

Emil Martinez:

make us all better. So we need to work to combine those pieces

Emil Martinez:

of the puzzle. Yeah, and the last piece of the puzzle to me

Emil Martinez:

is to embrace the change. You know, at the end of the day, you

Emil Martinez:

know, the retailers who and the CPG firms who say to themselves,

Emil Martinez:

the consumer is shifting, I'm going to move without the ball

Emil Martinez:

to where they need me to be, you know, kind of to use a sports

Emil Martinez:

analogy, you move without the ball, you'd be in a position to

Emil Martinez:

score, those who move without the ball to where the consumers

Emil Martinez:

are going to be and meet them where they're going. Those are

Emil Martinez:

going to win whether they're CPG firms or retailers

Emil Martinez:

So at the end of the day, it's leverage data, it's infuse the

Emil Martinez:

technology with the people, you know, we're never going to

Emil Martinez:

replace the art portion of this with full science, where we can

Emil Martinez:

augment it with the technology and the science. And the third

Emil Martinez:

piece of the puzzle is, you know, embrace the change. You

Emil Martinez:

know, at the end of the day, you know, we've got no choice, we

Emil Martinez:

can complain about the change, we can lament about the change.

Emil Martinez:

Yeah, but at the end of the day change is what makes us better.

Emil Martinez:

It's what makes progression, you know, in the industry happen,

Emil Martinez:

you know, many folks would have screamed and yelled about, you

Emil Martinez:

know, scanners before they were here. And unfortunately, or

Emil Martinez:

fortunately, I'm old enough to remember when there weren't

Emil Martinez:

scanners and every single one of the stores, who would not who

Emil Martinez:

would want to go to a grocery store today or to any retail

Emil Martinez:

store without scanners. Right? It makes us better. So all I

Emil Martinez:

would leave the audience with is when we think about on shelf

Emil Martinez:

availability, think about where we can go with this, think about

Emil Martinez:

where the future this value proposition is, and what that

Emil Martinez:

opportunity to aren't with you, whether you're a CPG firm or a

Emil Martinez:

supplier, or whether you're a retailer or potentially someone

Emil Martinez:

servicing them, like a, you know, a sales agency, the end of

Emil Martinez:

the day, this change offers new opportunity. And I've suggested

Emil Martinez:

everyone should embrace it, because it's coming, whether we

Emil Martinez:

like it or not.

Mike Graen:

Emil, just one more thing, that beautiful summary of

Mike Graen:

where we are. I'll tell you the one thing and what's interesting

Mike Graen:

is he just mentioned the scanner mountain, you know, I've talked

Mike Graen:

about this before the UPC, as we know, it just celebrated its

Mike Graen:

30th year anniversary. Again, it was originally I'm tired of

Mike Graen:

pricing every single thing, I'll just put a UPC on it and scan

Mike Graen:

it. It's actually celebrating its 30th year and in 2027, there

Mike Graen:

will be new capability that will eventually eliminated it will go

Mike Graen:

by the wayside too, right. It's called the Chidi barcode. And

Mike Graen:

you can think about that as kind of like a QR code, the ability

Mike Graen:

to store other information other than the item number, the

Mike Graen:

specific manufacturer item number, you can set you can sort

Mike Graen:

What was that product dated, when exactly was that product

Mike Graen:

made available to the customer, potentially serializing it so

Mike Graen:

you've got two TVs you can say one is different than the other

Mike Graen:

one. This one's available because it's on the shelf ready

Mike Graen:

for a customer to pick up. This one that's hanging in the

Mike Graen:

ceiling as a demo is not available. There's the same UPC

Mike Graen:

but you can distinguish two available not the 2d barcode

Mike Graen:

look up sunset sunrise 2027 by Gs one. It's a game changer

Mike Graen:

because that's where the industry is going. And there's

Mike Graen:

going to be a lot of potential use cases for for basically

Mike Graen:

eliminating something that's been around for 30 years, it's

Mike Graen:

going to get replaced, and it's going to get better and it's

Mike Graen:

going to take time to get there. But these things will continue

Mike Graen:

to evolve and more and more data to Emil's point will be a key

Mike Graen:

unlock for a lot of retailers.

Emil Martinez:

Yeah, Mike, I'm not sure if I'm off of mute at

Emil Martinez:

the moment.

Emil Martinez:

Matt, if you can hear me take me off mute for a moment.

Mike Graen:

You're not me if you have.

Emil Martinez:

Not on mute. Okay, sorry. I'd have a little

Emil Martinez:

mute button up there on the screen in front of me. Sorry

Emil Martinez:

about that. So the you know, one of the things that I think is

Emil Martinez:

interesting about your comment and about everything we've been

Emil Martinez:

talking about is there's a book of a million years ago that was

Emil Martinez:

published that I read when I was earlier in my career, I think it

Emil Martinez:

was called the discipline of market leaders. And the only

Emil Martinez:

quote I remember from it is that the company that doesn't plan

Emil Martinez:

for its own demise will experience it. And I think what

Emil Martinez:

we've been talking about here is planning for the industry. In

Emil Martinez:

that similar fashion. You're not planning for your demise, this

Emil Martinez:

isn't a negative thing. It's a taking advantage of growth and

Emil Martinez:

progression and opportunity. And your example of the barcode is a

Emil Martinez:

great example. It's not that anyone is disappointed in the

Emil Martinez:

barcode, it's that we can do better. There are new

Emil Martinez:

opportunities for us to embrace and we need to embrace them. And

Emil Martinez:

yeah, at the end of the day, we should plan for our own demise.

Emil Martinez:

But in a positive fashion. We're looking at a sunrise to these

Emil Martinez:

opportunities, not a sunset, to the pieces we're leaving behind

Emil Martinez:

we're building aren't Nielson used to say that we all we all

Emil Martinez:

we all stand on the shoulders of those who came before us. So the

Emil Martinez:

2d barcode stands on the shoulders of the of the barcode

Emil Martinez:

that came before it. And of the people who used to be the

Emil Martinez:

checkers in the old movies we watch and, you know, and so on,

Emil Martinez:

so forth. And at the end of the day, we're all better off for it.

Mike Graen:

Well, thank you for joining that conversation with

Mike Graen:

Emil Martinez. I hope you got a lot out of the content of that

Mike Graen:

material. Join us next time as we welcome back to the podcast a

Mike Graen:

good friend by the name of Myron Burke. Myron has spent his

Mike Graen:

career in retail and technology. He is the current CEO of

Mike Graen:

Divergent Technology. And we're going to be focusing our efforts

Mike Graen:

on talking about all things which is serialized item

Mike Graen:

information. What is that you ask? We're gonna find out next

Mike Graen:

time. Please come back and join us. Take care!

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