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SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters
13th January 2019 • Top Traders Unplugged • Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
00:00:00 01:06:14

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Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can discuss.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:25 – Weekly recap of performance

08:40 – Top tweets

24:05 – Question 1: CR Capital; Thoughts on Winton retreating from TF

30:55 – Question 2: Bill; Do you add to positions as the trend progresses

34:35 – Question 3: George; Why don’t you include short-term TF systems in a robust TF system

44:40 – Question 4: Nick; How would I know if I’m curve fitting my systems

53:10 – Question 5: Richard; Several questions about: historical data distributions; long-term trend following efficacy and related concerns

01:03:00 – Benchmark performance update

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