The topics include:
Mentioned in this episode:
Suburban Eastern Australia, an environment that has, over time,
Speaker:evolved some extraordinarily unique groups of homosapiens.
Speaker:Despite the reputation of their homeland, some are remarkably thin skinned.
Speaker:Some seem to have multiple lifespans, a few were once thought
Speaker:to be extinct in the region.
Speaker:Others have been observed being sacrificed by their own.
Speaker:But today We observe a small tribe akin to a group of meerkats that gather together
Speaker:atop a small mound to watch, question, and discuss the current events of their city,
Speaker:their country, and their world at large.
Speaker:Let's listen keenly and observe this group fondly known as the
Speaker:Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove.
Speaker:Happy International Women's Day, everybody.
Speaker:My name is Shea, and if this is your first time joining us, this is
Speaker:a podcast called the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove, where we discuss
Speaker:news, politics, sex, and religion.
Speaker:Joining me tonight, as always, is the Iron Fist, aka Trevor, and Joe, the tech guy.
Speaker:It's a pleasure to be on.
Speaker:Thank you, Shea.
Speaker:Evening all.
Speaker:Um, thanks Shea for that introduction.
Speaker:Do you want me to keep going or do you want to keep going?
Speaker:I think, I think I'll handball it to you.
Speaker:Okay, yep.
Speaker:So in honour of International Women's Day, Shea kicked us off.
Speaker:Uh, welcome dear listener.
Speaker:Yes, the Iron Fist and the Velvet Glove podcast, news and
Speaker:politics, sex and religion.
Speaker:So, it's, uh, International Women's Day, um, shaded some volunteering with the
Speaker:floods, we'll hear about that, we've got, um, oh, Peter Dutton, Clive Palmer, Scott
Speaker:Morrison, up to their usual mischief.
Speaker:God, I'll be glad to see the back of all of them.
Speaker:And, um, we've got some feedback that I got from Twitter, and depending on how
Speaker:much time we've got left How much we delve into more Ukraine stuff, and whatever else
Speaker:Joe and Shea come up with in the meantime.
Speaker:So, Shea, International Women's Day, did you do anything to celebrate?
Speaker:Anything special?
Speaker:Uh, I worked.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Uh, so I didn't do anything special.
Speaker:Mm hmm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:I haven't really worked out how to commemorate it yet.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Whether it should be a cupcake or a bra burning.
Speaker:Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker:I don't think there was any Well, I don't know, there might have been some
Speaker:functions around town where businesswomen gathered together or ladies, I don't
Speaker:know, but I don't know what was on, but um, you've been doing some volunteering
Speaker:with the floods, is that right?
Speaker:I have, yeah.
Speaker:Like you took a week of holiday and you went and mucked out mud somewhere?
Speaker:That's right.
Speaker:So, um, I took a week of holiday and I spent a little bit of time at the
Speaker:Gold Coast and then I was supposed to go, um, to Sydney for the Mardi Gras,
Speaker:uh, which was something that was, had been on the bucket list for a while.
Speaker:But, uh, when I got back to my apartment, which is in Ashgrove,
Speaker:which you may have seen on the news.
Speaker:The devastation was pretty bad, so I decided I was needed here and that
Speaker:the Mardi Gras could wait and that I'm sure they could celebrate without me
Speaker:and I could come maybe next year and I signed up to do some volunteering.
Speaker:So this is like the Mudd Army, just go online?
Speaker:Yeah, the Mudd Army.
Speaker:So first, um, it seemed like Um, it'd be on on Thursday, but then there was
Speaker:this forecast of this dangerous storm, so it all got cancelled until Saturday.
Speaker:So by Saturday, um, most of the volunteering was around community
Speaker:places, so I went to a softball court and helped them move things, shift
Speaker:things, find things, and then went on to the Strikers Soccer Club to help
Speaker:them sort of gurney and scrub there.
Speaker:Their walls.
Speaker:Mm-Hmm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So pretty muddy at the end.
Speaker:Pretty muddy.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:It was absolutely covered in shit at the end.
Speaker:Not actual sewage, but yeah.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:It, it, I kept saying like, it smells like island.
Speaker:'cause my grandparents own a farm in Ireland and Right.
Speaker:That's what you could smell.
Speaker:You could smell the mud and the Yeah.
Speaker:The wetness and the dampness.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah, yeah.
Speaker:So, yeah.
Speaker:And I was really, really impressed by, um, the spirit of the volunteers.
Speaker:I think, um, even though we didn't have clear structures, it was really well
Speaker:coordinated, um, and the people who were just like obvious leaders just showed
Speaker:up and just started directing people.
Speaker:Um, but yeah, I just did also observe that I think the goodwill of
Speaker:Australians is starting to run out.
Speaker:The frustration of not having appropriate planning, much consideration
Speaker:around resilience, obviously.
Speaker:No one's talking about climate change.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:So people were mumbling these sorts of things as they're mucking away.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Did she say climate change?
Speaker:Oh, yeah.
Speaker:Did she drop the seam on?
Speaker:Oh, she did.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Well, I'm glad.
Speaker:She's still approving coal mines, but she at least knew about climate change.
Speaker:This is, yeah, hypocrisy yet again.
Speaker:If I rename this podcast, it'll be the Exposing Hypocrisy Podcast, because,
Speaker:yeah, I mean you can have a position on something which sometimes might be right
Speaker:or wrong, not that there is with climate change, but when you do one thing and
Speaker:say another, it's um, it's often what is happening in our political system, yeah,
Speaker:yeah, so, I saw her on the news tonight because In Brisbane, we've had this
Speaker:restaurant that basically got unmoored.
Speaker:It was like a floating restaurant, and it ended up washed on the side
Speaker:of the Brisbane River after the last flood, and this time it got picked up
Speaker:again and I thought that had happened.
Speaker:and got washed again to the other side of the river.
Speaker:And Anastasia Palaszczuk was on the news going You know, somebody
Speaker:needs to do something about this.
Speaker:We really need to start making some decisions about this place.
Speaker:It was like, Anastasia, you are the Premier, isn't that your job?
Speaker:Why do we have to keep reminding them?
Speaker:Fuck, it's frustrating.
Speaker:Excuse my French.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:The people who are in government, Peter Dutton wants to start a
Speaker:GoFundMe and it's like, I know.
Speaker:You are the government.
Speaker:That's for other people to do.
Speaker:You should be rustling up government money from whatever funds are
Speaker:available that are seemingly untouched.
Speaker:There are four billion dollars sitting in the Future Emergencies
Speaker:Fund, or whatever it is.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:But, you know, that's what you do.
Speaker:You lean into that, pull some money out, and splash it around.
Speaker:Like, it's so easy.
Speaker:You can just say, here, I've reached into the fund, I've provided this
Speaker:money, and we're going to do all this.
Speaker:Why wouldn't she?
Speaker:Why wouldn't she?
Speaker:Just, they're such hopeless organisers.
Speaker:Liz Moore was saying that they'd been applying for emergency flood relief
Speaker:funding to build infrastructure, you know, build a levee or whatever.
Speaker:Um, and they got taken off the list because they weren't a marginal seed.
Speaker:Yes, yeah, so Sorry, sorry, the second part was an assumption.
Speaker:But the first part is true.
Speaker:They were taken off the list.
Speaker:Yeah, I've got two customers in, Liz Moore.
Speaker:I managed to speak to one of them and yeah, they've been through so many
Speaker:floods, they're completely crushed.
Speaker:And they, you know, it's like three and four metres deep in the centre of town.
Speaker:Even if you had a higher mezzanine level to put things on, it still got flooded.
Speaker:And you know it's going to happen again.
Speaker:And it's, you know, it's more of a sizeable country town, and that whole
Speaker:CBD is just flat and subject to flooding.
Speaker:And, and Oh, I just feel so sorry for people.
Speaker:I couldn't do it.
Speaker:I'd have to just cut my losses.
Speaker:What's that?
Speaker:Gimpy and Marabar too.
Speaker:Yes, Marabar though!
Speaker:I've got another customer in Meriburra, and they're in the CBD,
Speaker:but Meriburra had the temporary levee.
Speaker:Did you see that?
Speaker:Uh, I saw it last time round when the water came up the storm drains
Speaker:and got up behind the levee.
Speaker:Yeah, they fixed that, and this time it worked quite effectively.
Speaker:And so, um, if you're able to find a picture of it, throw it
Speaker:up later, Joe, um, from Google.
Speaker:It's a metal structure and plastic, and they put it up in the street
Speaker:and protect most of the CBD.
Speaker:So My customer in Maryborough, Main Street, would have been
Speaker:flooded, but, um, rescued.
Speaker:But, Lisbon was a different matter, you know, it's so big, and, um, and, uh, one
Speaker:of my other friends was saying, you know in Christchurch, Shai, like how they have
Speaker:regular earthquakes, and things like that.
Speaker:In New Zealand, The government does the insurance because no insurer
Speaker:would insure earthquake in, say, Christchurch, so the government doesn't.
Speaker:And I think that's the case in some areas in America where it's flood
Speaker:prone, where the government steps in and provides some sort of insurance.
Speaker:at a reasonable rate and just wears the loss because you just have to.
Speaker:Um, either that or just help an entire town relocate.
Speaker:I don't know how you would do it.
Speaker:So yeah, there's a picture, um, of that structure, which they whacked up.
Speaker:The first time they did it in the floods a few months ago, it failed
Speaker:because water sort of came up through the stormwater or something, but
Speaker:this time it worked quite well.
Speaker:And, um, that couldn't be done in, um, Lismore because
Speaker:it's just too high in Lismore.
Speaker:It's like three meters.
Speaker:So, um, yeah, very interesting, that sort of thing.
Speaker:So And of course tonight, if you're in Sydney, you're being,
Speaker:um, you're very wet as well.
Speaker:I'm so glad I didn't make that trip to Sydney.
Speaker:I would have been stuck somewhere watching it.
Speaker:So they've, um, so yeah, they're in trouble down there.
Speaker:So at least, you know, the silver lining to all of this natural disaster is
Speaker:people are thinking this isn't normal and Clearly, climate is acting in a peculiar
Speaker:way that it hasn't acted before, and maybe something really is going on, so
Speaker:it is getting people to, um, come across.
Speaker:Yeah, I mean, the fact that we got almost a metre of rain in
Speaker:three days, um, my local rain gauge, uh, Mount Glorious had 1.
Speaker:8 metres.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Incredible amount, yeah.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, uh, Bromman says, New Zealand has earthquake commission, it can only
Speaker:provide fairly basic assistance in the event of natural disasters, so, hmm,
Speaker:okay, yeah, I just, yeah, I just feel sorry for these people in Lismore,
Speaker:it's tough, so, yeah, and smelly, and And their stories, oh my god.
Speaker:Another customer in Woolloomba.
Speaker:And just the stench, and ugh, and not being able to redo your business, so.
Speaker:Anyway, I cut my finger two weeks ago carving, um, uh, a zucchini, and five
Speaker:stitches later it's still healing.
Speaker:So I'm going nowhere near mud, particularly laced with sewerage, so.
Speaker:Not that I would have anyway, so I applaud you, Shane, for your, um, good work.
Speaker:I did the Mud Army in 2011, but by the time, like, the Council put us on
Speaker:buses and sent us out to this suburb I'd never been to before, but kind
Speaker:of the area they sent us to really pretty much had done everything they
Speaker:needed to do, so there really wasn't anything for us to do at that point, so.
Speaker:I kind of wasn't with the Mun Army.
Speaker:I technically was part of the Labour Party's community sort of action thing.
Speaker:Yeah, because I signed up for the Mun Army, but it all got too Hard.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Yeah, I heard they were oversubscribed.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Meanwhile, Tom the Warehouse Guy says the Accident Compensation Corporation regime
Speaker:in New Zealand is quite revolutionary.
Speaker:It is a system that works very well in New Zealand.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:So, Accident Compensation Corporation working well.
Speaker:New Zealand Earthquake Commission maybe not so well.
Speaker:Anyway, I know they have resorted to government insurance in New Zealand.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:You'd have to be careful because otherwise insurers will just
Speaker:be taking the easy way out.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So, you'd have to make sure that it wasn't gamed.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:You know, I think Well, the CEO of Suncorp came out and actually really said some
Speaker:things that I wish some of our government leaders had said, which is, we spend 97
Speaker:percent or something on, um, cleanup.
Speaker:And we spend like 3 percent on mitigation and prevention.
Speaker:And it was just like so straight up.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:That, you know, the consumer's going to wear this, premiums are
Speaker:going to go up, like, do something.
Speaker:Yes, and people were complaining, we've got this money in these funds
Speaker:and it just doesn't get spent.
Speaker:Even though Liz Moore asked for it and they get knocked back, yeah.
Speaker:So, plenty of ammunition for Labor to work with.
Speaker:In the upcoming election, whenever that is.
Speaker:You know, I'm getting quite philosophical about this election.
Speaker:I'm Are you?
Speaker:Yeah, in the sense, I'm actually quite cool with the Morrison victory now.
Speaker:Because I really think if he wins, despite all of this, then you just
Speaker:know that it's the end of the world.
Speaker:The situation is truly hopeless.
Speaker:If he can pull this off, then everybody has to understand there's a major problem.
Speaker:I could have been rolled either way.
Speaker:So, I'm quite philosophical about him actually.
Speaker:Part of me wants him to win now, just so that there'll be a revolution
Speaker:if he actually wins, I would think.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So, anyway, either way, I'm okay now.
Speaker:That's my philosophy on it.
Speaker:International Women's Day, um, had its roots sort of in socialist,
Speaker:leftist sort of movements, and um And a little bit to do with Soviet
Speaker:Russia as well, anyway, as how they settled on the date, 8th of March.
Speaker:So, definitely a left wing sort of origin to International Women's Day.
Speaker:And, you know, do we still need it?
Speaker:Um, I saw this tweet where this guy, Darren Gilmore, tweeted, um, So, New
Speaker:South Wales girls in public schools get free tampons and sanitary products.
Speaker:32 million dollars from the first year.
Speaker:And wait for it, 28 million per year after that.
Speaker:WTF?
Speaker:What do the boys get?
Speaker:This person responded, they get to never have to bleed out of their penis
Speaker:every month or push a baby out of it.
Speaker:I think there's still a place for International Women's Day based on that.
Speaker:Yes, I think there is.
Speaker:Um, let's go to, I've got this, Essential came out with some stuff.
Speaker:Let me just, uh, find, no, not that, share, anyway, share
Speaker:this screen, uh, share screen, hang on, uh, that one, share.
Speaker:So, essential poll, to what extent do you agree or disagree with
Speaker:the following statements about gender equality in Australia?
Speaker:And the dark blue is strongly agree, the light blue somewhat agree,
Speaker:orange somewhat disagree, and red strongly disagree, and grey is unsure.
Speaker:So blue agree, red and orange disagree.
Speaker:And first one is, gender equality, meaning that men and women are
Speaker:equal, has come far enough already.
Speaker:And you've got about 50 percent roughly, what's that, um, 48 percent
Speaker:of people think that, um, gender equality, meaning that men and women
Speaker:are equal, has come far enough already.
Speaker:Next one, gender equality has already been mostly achieved,
Speaker:and again, that's about 49%.
Speaker:And work to achieve gender equality today benefits mostly well to do people.
Speaker:That was 59%.
Speaker:Um, there should be laws that require equal salaries for men
Speaker:and women in the same position.
Speaker:That's big.
Speaker:That's 80%.
Speaker:And, um, although there's been significant progress on gender equality,
Speaker:there's still a long way to go.
Speaker:And that's 70 odd percent.
Speaker:Okay, let's deal with, there should be laws that require equal salaries for
Speaker:men and women in the same position.
Speaker:Well, it would be for jobs where there's a minimum wage.
Speaker:But there's a lot of jobs that aren't, hey?
Speaker:Like Hmm.
Speaker:Um, but if you can prove that So it's very difficult where, uh,
Speaker:you negotiate your own salary.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:But certainly if you are on a You could make the case that if you were getting
Speaker:paid less than a male counterpart, that it was due to, uh, discrimination.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:And I'm fairly sure that a employment tribunal would find that persuasive.
Speaker:Unless there was a good argument in terms of, you know, um,
Speaker:experience or something like that.
Speaker:But the problem with any of these where you negotiate your salary is, you
Speaker:know, you could be getting paid 10%, 20 percent less than any of your colleagues,
Speaker:whether they're male or female.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So I've never been in a large organisation, um, except when
Speaker:I read my articles, really.
Speaker:But people don't tend to share their salary with each other, their knowledge.
Speaker:Is that right?
Speaker:It seems to be not the done thing, but probably people should.
Speaker:Yeah, I mean, uh, I was reading legally in the States, you're not
Speaker:allowed to ban your employees from talking about how much they earn.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:However, most states are at will states, so they can fire
Speaker:you and just make up an excuse.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:That's anything other than you were discussing your salary.
Speaker:That's in the US.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Over here I've not seen anything and I'm, I've not read anything in my
Speaker:contract that says I'm not allowed to.
Speaker:But it's certainly not done.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:I've, I've had conversations mostly with people who've left.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:As to how much they were earning.
Speaker:Yes, that seems to be the way, when people are leaving, they tend to reveal.
Speaker:Mm hmm.
Speaker:Particularly if they feel that maybe a colleague was, who
Speaker:they like was being underpaid.
Speaker:And they might say, hey, by the way, I was getting X amount,
Speaker:you might want to ask for more.
Speaker:Ask for that.
Speaker:But it's probably something where people should seriously think about, talking to
Speaker:their colleagues and swapping information.
Speaker:What have you got to lose, other than the embarrassment that maybe you
Speaker:are paid less and you'll soon know and you can do something about it.
Speaker:Like, I would have thought it makes sense that people should proactively
Speaker:in a workplace, um, interrogate their colleagues and say, look, I'll show you
Speaker:mine if you show me yours, type of thing.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Have you ever done it?
Speaker:Me?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Negotiated my pay.
Speaker:Well, have you, have you been?
Speaker:No, only as a collective.
Speaker:I've been as part of enterprise bargaining agreements.
Speaker:So I already know who's getting what and we're all getting the same.
Speaker:In the chat room, have you ever?
Speaker:You know, proactively talk to colleagues to check what everyone's getting paid
Speaker:and swapped information so that you make sure you're getting what you deserve.
Speaker:So, I think it'd be a good, I think it's something people
Speaker:should be encouraged to do.
Speaker:Yeah, so.
Speaker:Um, Bronwyn put up a st uh, let me just show you that one.
Speaker:I'll get rid of that screen, put that back up.
Speaker:Um, another depressing statistic for you, which was released today.
Speaker:Apparently one in five Australians believe that women who accuse men of
Speaker:sexual and physical abuse are lying.
Speaker:Hmm, one in five who accuse men of sexual physi Yeah, do you know what?
Speaker:My problem is, Bronwyn, I worked a little bit in family law and I saw
Speaker:abuse allegations used as a weapon in family law I was really suspicious
Speaker:that that was just being put on.
Speaker:I've heard of that just amongst friends as well.
Speaker:Yeah, I mean, if it was, um, outside of a divorce proceeding.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:I wouldn't be suspicious.
Speaker:But certainly in a family court proceeding, yeah.
Speaker:Uh, I, I have heard that some lawyers are saying, oh yeah, make an allegation,
Speaker:it makes it easier, um, just to push harder around access for the kids.
Speaker:Yeah, and just And, and I can believe that there are unscrupulous, unscrupulous
Speaker:lawyers who would advise their clients.
Speaker:Mm, yep, or hint at it, but I think they're So why do you
Speaker:think they're making them up?
Speaker:What's the basis of that?
Speaker:Oh, in the family court system is as a leverage to say, well, you shouldn't get
Speaker:custody because you're a Uh, oh, I, well, um, that's more sort of, um, you're an
Speaker:improper person to be a, um, a custody of the child, so, and, and the mother can't.
Speaker:Yeah, I see.
Speaker:The, and the mother can't.
Speaker:I see, I see why someone might make an allegation, but I just don't
Speaker:understand how we can presume or like what did you see that made you
Speaker:think this person was making it up?
Speaker:This would be in cases where, where they're family friends,
Speaker:and so we know the guy in the.
Speaker:Uh, Trevor, and uh, Landon Hardbottom.
Speaker:That's all.
Speaker:See you next time.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Husband who was supposed to be a really good bloke and then set them all on fire.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:You know, like we've seen this repetitive story of like, bloke wouldn't do that.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Actually did.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:But then, you know, like in one case, for example, the female was a drug
Speaker:addict who had gone out, who was, had moved out and was living with a bikey.
Speaker:And the bikey was Throwing the stepkids into the swimming pool who couldn't
Speaker:swim, like crazy stuff, like it was a really, truly dysfunctional stuff,
Speaker:and she was making these allegations.
Speaker:There was, there was one where we'd known the guy a long time.
Speaker:You know, you're right, it might not, it could have been true, but it's certainly
Speaker:the case where you've got vicious people who are seeking any leverage.
Speaker:It's an opportunity.
Speaker:So, and when you balance that like on sort of probability, so you have one, one
Speaker:anecdote there, did you see that a lot?
Speaker:That type of thing a lot?
Speaker:Would you say?
Speaker:Look, I wasn't one case enough to support that.
Speaker:Off the top of my head, I couldn't say whether it's two or three personal cases
Speaker:and maybe two or three professional cases.
Speaker:Certainly the professional ones, who's to know?
Speaker:Because I don't know the guy, it's just a client who's come in
Speaker:and I haven't really known him.
Speaker:But, um, it's an easy allegation to make, yeah.
Speaker:Um, uh.
Speaker:Is it?
Speaker:Yeah, and, and Brodman says, Trevor, I've also heard stories of women who
Speaker:are trying to protect their kids from abusive exes and the family court still
Speaker:forces their kids to see their fathers.
Speaker:Um, and that's true too, Brodman.
Speaker:That is true.
Speaker:Uh, and I've heard of cases where the fathers, for example, are abusive and
Speaker:the women have to still give the father access and hand their kid over because
Speaker:if they don't, they might end up losing custody and the father will get custody.
Speaker:So they have to comply with the access orders, even though they're
Speaker:deeply suspicious, oh wait, not more than suspicious, they know
Speaker:that the father is a bad egg, so it does happen the other way as well.
Speaker:That's true.
Speaker:Um, so anyway, the original statistic was, um, was Brodmann's about a
Speaker:fifth don't believe it, and in an ordinary case that seems high.
Speaker:Just if they're a family court matter, I tend to just, just know
Speaker:that they get bitter, these things.
Speaker:Like, I'll tell you one story about how bitter these things are.
Speaker:And if they aren't?
Speaker:And then if they aren't?
Speaker:If they aren't what?
Speaker:Are you, um, likely to believe them?
Speaker:If they're, I wouldn't even know.
Speaker:Family court law matter and she's raising the allegation say, like, let's take the
Speaker:example of we've had three Uh, sexual assault cases against footballers in a
Speaker:matter of years, like, they're, certainly the media retellings of them is they're
Speaker:particularly bad, they sound really, really awful, and um, We have these,
Speaker:like, all these Facebook comments saying this girl's just looking for some money.
Speaker:You don't get money from footballers by making rape allegations.
Speaker:It seems really obvious to me from where I'm standing is that certainly
Speaker:the NRL has a big culture problem that they are not dealing with
Speaker:and actually shielding men from.
Speaker:And yet, when these women raise their concerns, even though it seems like
Speaker:They're not gonna get any justice.
Speaker:They still do.
Speaker:It doesn't seem to be anything to be gained.
Speaker:And yet people still say, I don't believe it.
Speaker:So there is an implicit bias, there is a cultural problem in Australia.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:There would be.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Mm, yep.
Speaker:Um, and so, yeah, I guess it definitely, it definitely happens.
Speaker:Hear, hear an allegation.
Speaker:It, it definitely happens.
Speaker:The question is how much, like, is it say minuscule or is it not?
Speaker:I don't know.
Speaker:The false allegations are supposed to be about 5 percent
Speaker:depending on who you're asking.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:I think more worrying is the, uh, I was reading an article today, I
Speaker:think in Independent Australia, uh, talking about the presumption of
Speaker:innocence being, uh, argued against.
Speaker:Um, and saying that, no, that isn't right.
Speaker:We need to have a presumption of innocence.
Speaker:Um, certainly the Title IX cases in America, where merely the allegation
Speaker:will get you thrown off campus.
Speaker:And there is no presumption of innocence, there is no, uh, beyond reasonable doubt.
Speaker:And, yeah, there was, there was a horrible story of, um, the guy who woke up, In
Speaker:bed with a young woman and realised that she had made claims against a
Speaker:number of his, um, former classmates.
Speaker:And he rushed down to make the allegation on her before she
Speaker:made the allegation on him.
Speaker:Mm, yeah.
Speaker:Because, because they both fell into bed drunk.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And he said, you know, it was pre emptive.
Speaker:If I hadn't done it to her, she'd have done it to me.
Speaker:We were both unable to consent.
Speaker:We were both that drunk.
Speaker:Yeah, and, yeah, that would happen in family court stuff as well, where
Speaker:there'd be a, you accuse me of this, well, I'll accuse you of the same thing
Speaker:as well, you know, and, um, in order to get domestic violence orders and things,
Speaker:so, um, I mean, things get bitter.
Speaker:I'll tell you this story where this, uh, friend of mine was doing family
Speaker:law, and he, was negotiating on behalf of the husband and he said to the
Speaker:husband, look, we're really close here.
Speaker:You could have just agreed to, um, what they've offered here, or, you know, you
Speaker:can spend 5, 000 with me arguing about it, you know, over essentially 5, 000.
Speaker:I mean, do you want to give me the 5, 000 or do you want to
Speaker:give your, your ex the 5, 000?
Speaker:You know, do you want to pay 5, 000 in legal fees or just Give
Speaker:up and give her the 5, 000.
Speaker:And the guy pulled out his checkbook and wrote a check for 5, 000 for the
Speaker:lawyer and handed it over to him.
Speaker:Without any further word.
Speaker:It's pretty nasty out there.
Speaker:So, um, yeah.
Speaker:Yeah, well I've been puzzling about this Believe thing because, um, around
Speaker:the time of our Um, last podcast together, I'd been suffering from
Speaker:abdominal pain for about 24 hours.
Speaker:And I'd been to the doctor the day before, or the day of the podcast.
Speaker:And the doctor said to me, she asked me about the level of pain.
Speaker:And I said, six out of 10.
Speaker:Um, she was like, ah, stop eating airplane food.
Speaker:It could be a bowels, could be your ovaries.
Speaker:Go home, put a heat pack on it.
Speaker:See ya.
Speaker:Didn't examine me.
Speaker:Didn't, didn't do a urine test, basically just asked me if I was, if
Speaker:I was pregnant and that was it, right?
Speaker:So Wednesday, I'm basically, unless I'm in the fetal position, I'm in pain.
Speaker:So I present to emergency.
Speaker:And I appreciate the context of if a woman presents to emergency
Speaker:and abdominal pain, maybe, maybe people will take it more seriously.
Speaker:But I had the real experience of being believed by the second doctor.
Speaker:It was totally different, the way she responded, and it just got me thinking
Speaker:about when we say being believed, we don't actually want men hung up by their ankles.
Speaker:We're saying, when you take us at our word, you respond accordingly.
Speaker:You examine me, you find out where the pain is, you investigate it.
Speaker:Could it be this?
Speaker:Let's do an ultrasound, that type of thing.
Speaker:Let's get to the bottom of it, not just You've been eating too much plain food.
Speaker:Go home.
Speaker:Was the first doctor a male or a female?
Speaker:The first doctor was a female.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:The second doctor was a female.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:So there was an agenda bias.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:But there was an extension in their response.
Speaker:Well, possibly.
Speaker:I think it was more about me being overweight.
Speaker:I thought there might have been some bias there.
Speaker:About maybe I just experience abdominal pain because I'm overweight.
Speaker:I'm not sure.
Speaker:So, are you thinking there was anything in terms of gender
Speaker:in relation to this incident?
Speaker:Well, I was really curious, having had this experience, so I jumped on
Speaker:the QUT library search, and there is just so much of this stuff.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Like, women present with something, they're not taken seriously, it turns
Speaker:out to be serious, sometimes they die.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:And that happens more than with men.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Well.
Speaker:Tell me, Trevor, have you ever presented to the doctor with
Speaker:abdominal pain and they told you to put a heat pack on your testicles?
Speaker:No.
Speaker:And waited out?
Speaker:No?
Speaker:What about you, Joe?
Speaker:Well, I was going to say my Crohn's was misdiagnosed for two years.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:My GP believed me, but the specialist didn't.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:And, and when, when I went off and got a second opinion and came
Speaker:back and said, yeah, the second opinion is I've got cancer.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Uh, the specialist said, um, why did you get a second opinion?
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:You're gonna have to hide those.
Speaker:Um, we've got a troll on the chat.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Sorry.
Speaker:I'm just in the process of doing that.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:, tell, finish your story if you like Jay, and we'll, um, yeah.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Or we'll hide the chat, maybe.
Speaker:How do we do that until you've got it fixed?
Speaker:Uh, captions, uh Maybe I've got it.
Speaker:You've got it?
Speaker:Well, I thought I had it.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:I'll leave it with you.
Speaker:Um, but yeah, you were misdiagnosed.
Speaker:Um, I don't know.
Speaker:Shah, you're telling that story and I don't know Okay.
Speaker:So, when you went online, there's just a massive amount of cases, comparatively,
Speaker:of women being Not believe abdominal pain, rather than men, it seems.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Especially, um, heart attacks in women.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Because they show up differently from men.
Speaker:I believe shoulder pain is the classic symptom for heart attacks in women.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:They get less.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:It's not picked up as quickly.
Speaker:Mm hmm.
Speaker:So just back to this, um, Uh, the screen, I'll share it
Speaker:again, just the central poll.
Speaker:Um, Work to achieve gender equality today benefits mostly well to do people.
Speaker:Well, the not well to do, meaning the lower working classes, who might be
Speaker:on some sort of minimum wage or award wage, I would have thought, where it
Speaker:doesn't matter whether you're male or female, surely you are paid the same in
Speaker:those industries, I would have thought.
Speaker:So, it probably is in the industries where there is no minimum wage, where
Speaker:it is a flexible by negotiation type thing, where there is a disparity, still.
Speaker:And so that probably is where the work that's done today
Speaker:benefits mostly the well to do.
Speaker:Because I would have thought legislatively, the less well
Speaker:to do are already covered.
Speaker:Maybe I'm wrong, but, um, that's how I read that, um.
Speaker:All right, so, uh, do do do do do, there is a law, I can't, um, but
Speaker:basically there's a federal legislation, Workplace Relations Act 1996, Sex
Speaker:Discrimination Act 1984, um, says that you must get equal pay for equal work.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:So, say in a law firm, for example, you might have two
Speaker:lawyers, one male, one female.
Speaker:One male being paid 10 grand more than the female, there'd be arguments over
Speaker:what type of work you were doing and other things, but Yeah, I guess if the
Speaker:female has more experience and is clearly doing more difficult work and is being
Speaker:paid less, she would have some claim of some sort, but yeah, it's a common
Speaker:story, and I guess if I was part of a large organization, I would be Asking my
Speaker:colleagues, um, around the lunch table and saying, Hey guys, let's all just
Speaker:reveal our wages and make sure we're getting what we think we should get.
Speaker:So, I'm keen to know in the chat room, has anybody done that?
Speaker:And are you motivated to give it a go as a result of this?
Speaker:So, um, good.
Speaker:I did see an interesting argument that said, when we compare men and women,
Speaker:it always seems to be around salary.
Speaker:Um, um, women are more likely to have flexible working agreements
Speaker:or flexible working arrangements generally around the kids.
Speaker:Um, but whether we should value flexible working arrangements more
Speaker:than salary, you know, we're, we're, we're placing a male lens on this.
Speaker:The definition of success is pay.
Speaker:Uh, maybe, maybe we need to shift the The discussion and say, actually, why aren't
Speaker:we saying we should have, yeah, rather than working a 60 hour week, we should
Speaker:be advocating for a fixed 35 hour week.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:I mean, the argument is, I guess, women would say, oh, we have to,
Speaker:we leave the workforce for extended periods of time to have babies.
Speaker:That interrupts with our career.
Speaker:So our career development is hampered.
Speaker:And so we reach 35 or 40 and our male colleague who hasn't been
Speaker:interrupted has progressed through management or higher levels because
Speaker:of that lack of interruption.
Speaker:And the counter argument to that is, yeah, well, you've got to stay at home and enjoy
Speaker:time with your kid and, um, and quality of life style component to all that.
Speaker:Is that what you're saying, Joe?
Speaker:Is that where you're heading?
Speaker:Um, yeah, effectively.
Speaker:I mean, for the people who choose to do that, I certainly
Speaker:think there's a value to that.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Um, having, yeah, having been a father, been a, uh, Part of that, I used to
Speaker:look after my daughter on weekends.
Speaker:Um, it wasn't something that I would choose to be doing, but I know equally
Speaker:that there are people who would love to be a stay at home dad, and would
Speaker:consider that, um, uh, A benefit.
Speaker:Yeah, better than earning a huge amount of money.
Speaker:Yeah, so, um, So it's tricky and good comments in the chat room.
Speaker:Can't get to all of them at this stage.
Speaker:Um, but thank you for those comments and yeah.
Speaker:Alright, I think that was all.
Speaker:In terms of gender equality, do you have anything else to add in terms
Speaker:of International Women's Day at all?
Speaker:I just wanted to add the victory that I found, which I'm going to read out
Speaker:because, uh, otherwise I'll put words in that aren't supposed to be there.
Speaker:Um, so it's a current victory for women, so, um, it's this
Speaker:thing called the Stellar Count.
Speaker:It surveys 12 publications, national, regional, newspapers, journals, magazines.
Speaker:And assesses the extent of gender bias in the field of book reviewing in Australia.
Speaker:And the good news is, for the first time since the count started in 2012,
Speaker:women authors have received over half of the reviews of the publishers counted.
Speaker:55 percent reached in 2020.
Speaker:Though they're not sure exactly why this is happening, uh, it's estimated that
Speaker:65 percent of authors are women and 61 percent of women are frequent readers.
Speaker:The Stellar count brought statistic visibility to gender bias in expert
Speaker:commentary on authors and Because of that visibility, we're starting to see a shift.
Speaker:So, soon women will be experts in literary commentary.
Speaker:Okay, so the authors of the reviews were more than 50 percent women.
Speaker:Is that what it was, rather than the reviews were of female authors?
Speaker:are 65%.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:The 61 percent of women are frequent readers, so both the audience and the
Speaker:authorship is predominantly female and now it's starting to show up in that
Speaker:their books are being reviewed and there's real value in having your book reviewed
Speaker:because then people bring those reviews into bookshops and say, have you got this
Speaker:or, you know, it generates conversation and then they sell more books.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Just a final point on this.
Speaker:I forgot to mention.
Speaker:Um, final point, um, I forgot to mention was, but actually going
Speaker:back to that one before I forget.
Speaker:Would it be true that a lot of, okay, guilty of gender
Speaker:stereotyping here, for example.
Speaker:I think we should.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:That's what's cool about this podcast is we can actually discuss it.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:In my house, for example, you know what I'm reading here, like it's
Speaker:obvious from, it's all to do with the podcast, there's no fiction.
Speaker:My wife is reading fiction, uh, a lot, and on her Kindle, so,
Speaker:um, in the same way that women seem to like True crime podcasts.
Speaker:They also like novels and Yes, they will talk amongst themselves as to the
Speaker:novels They're reading and share and what they're about and swap authors
Speaker:and it's quite a social thing You know, you often hear of women's book clubs.
Speaker:You very rarely hear of men's book clubs So, it might be just a gender thing that
Speaker:women are into a type of literature, fiction, that is particularly handy to
Speaker:have reviews from a female point of view as to whether the fiction is good or not.
Speaker:I don't know.
Speaker:It could be to do with the subject matter as much as anything.
Speaker:Yeah, I'm guessing.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:I haven't considered that.
Speaker:For those who've read Mills and Boone.
Speaker:Or aware of Mills and Boone?
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Uh, they, they're romantic fiction.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Um, otherwise known as mummy porn.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Barbara Cartland.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:I, I'm, I'm guessing the majority of the readers are not male.
Speaker:No.
Speaker:Whereas I'm going to say war, uh, biographies.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Are more likely to be male readers.
Speaker:Correct.
Speaker:But, you know, there's obviously very You don't know if that's correct, Trevor.
Speaker:You don't know the stats.
Speaker:No, but, I think, correct in that, I agree with your assumptions.
Speaker:Those assumptions sound correct to me.
Speaker:I don't know how you'd be able to pull those demographics.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:I'm sure Amazon's got plenty of I'm sure Amazon's got plenty of
Speaker:I'm sure they'd be able to, yeah.
Speaker:Um, yeah.
Speaker:Now, the other thing I wanted to mention, just, um, on International
Speaker:Women's Day stuff, and whether there's equality We talked about this, um, a
Speaker:few months ago, maybe a year ago, I've lost track, but at least in Queensland,
Speaker:if you look at our major institutions, our parliament, our police force, our
Speaker:judiciary, all headed up by women.
Speaker:Um, so, there's a lot of, the Chief Justice, the Premier, the Police
Speaker:Commissioner, the High Court Chief Justice, there's a lot of sort of
Speaker:powerful, Governor General, yes, a lot of powerful positions actually.
Speaker:Held by women, so that is something to bear in mind when looking at
Speaker:the whole equality issue and trying to figure out how far we've come.
Speaker:Yeah, and we've had some great women in the public eye in the past year.
Speaker:I mean, Ash Barty, like such a show of good sportsmanship, you
Speaker:know, like that's what she is.
Speaker:And it's really beautiful to see, you know, that expression of leadership in
Speaker:a different way, especially in tennis.
Speaker:Yeah, and previous Chief Health Officer as well was, um, yeah, so.
Speaker:Previous Chief Health Officer is now our Governor.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:So, um, so just bear that in mind when we're thinking of equality issues.
Speaker:And, um, okay, just, um, what else have I got here?
Speaker:Next topic.
Speaker:Um, oh, just while we're on, while we're just on essential poll, um.
Speaker:Um, might as well throw this one up as well.
Speaker:I'm going to talk more about Ukraine if we have time, but just
Speaker:a quick diversion to Ukraine.
Speaker:Which political party do you think is better equipped to understand
Speaker:and react to the current conflict between Russia and the Ukraine?
Speaker:Um, Australians were asked.
Speaker:24 percent said Liberal, 24 percent said Labor, 33 percent said no
Speaker:difference, and 19 percent don't know.
Speaker:That's a reassuring statistic, at least there was no major leaning towards the
Speaker:Coalition being the better government in dealing with the Ukraine crisis
Speaker:from an Australian point of view.
Speaker:So, that was, that was heartening, at least, so.
Speaker:Well, we didn't have Tony Abbott threatening to shirt front Putin.
Speaker:No, but, um, Morrison would if given half a chance, um, um.
Speaker:Do you think he would?
Speaker:He seems so gutless, he can't even, you know, hold his ground with
Speaker:the premiers, let alone Jesus.
Speaker:Yeah, he would talk about it, so, um, but, you know, I was talking to my, one
Speaker:of my neighbours, who's a very smart guy, a very, um, you know, sort of a medical
Speaker:specialist type, and we briefly diverted onto Ukraine, and he said something like,
Speaker:You know, I think Morrison was right when he spoke about a breakdown of the rules
Speaker:based international order, and, uh, it was sort of a bit glowing about Morrison
Speaker:in relation to, um, about this issue.
Speaker:So, I'm still a bit worried about what some people might be falling for it.
Speaker:So, anyway, we'll see.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:It is the worry.
Speaker:Um, okay.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:So, Joe, you're in the Peter Dutton electorate.
Speaker:Unfortunately, yes.
Speaker:So you would have a keen interest in any news items that
Speaker:might refer to Peter Dutton.
Speaker:I might well be.
Speaker:Yes, and did you see, well I know you did, the Friendly Geordies, dear listener, put
Speaker:out quite a long segment for them, like a 20 minute odd YouTube expose of Just
Speaker:some people associated with Peter Dutton.
Speaker:Now we've got to be careful here with our language, um, because we don't want to be
Speaker:the subject of a defamation proceeding.
Speaker:But anyway, raised a number of allegations about contracts and people
Speaker:who were associated with Peter Dutton.
Speaker:And he clearly had got a lot of information from people on
Speaker:the inside, sharing emails.
Speaker:There were screenshots of confidential messages and documents and
Speaker:clearly somebody has ratted out.
Speaker:That's a draft.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:People with white substances on, on smooth counters lined up with powder and
Speaker:stuff that looked awfully suspicious.
Speaker:So It was quite an in depth exposé and raised a lot of issues and,
Speaker:and have you seen anything in the mainstream media about it at all?
Speaker:And the answer would be no, nothing.
Speaker:Um, there was For someone who is quite possibly the next leader of the Liberals
Speaker:There's a suspicious amount of silence.
Speaker:Even if they're completely unfounded allegations, you'd
Speaker:expect to hear something.
Speaker:Exactly.
Speaker:You would, wouldn't you?
Speaker:He was interviewed on Radio National this morning.
Speaker:Not a peep out of her.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:She didn't put a thing to him.
Speaker:And he was on Insiders on Sunday.
Speaker:This all came out on, like, Friday, and he was already booked for Insiders.
Speaker:Not a single question on it.
Speaker:What's going on?
Speaker:Well, you wonder, is this the same as Barnaby Joyce and his affair?
Speaker:Which apparently was an open secret in Canberra.
Speaker:All the press knew about it, but they all decided it wasn't in the
Speaker:public interest that a Family Values man was banging his secretary.
Speaker:And you know what?
Speaker:I can get that to some extent.
Speaker:But this is to do with government contracts.
Speaker:Um, so it's more than just his integrity as a, you know, a father or a personal
Speaker:thing like the Barnaby Joyce one was, it's about government money and, um, and it
Speaker:obviously warrants questions even to say.
Speaker:Well, you've seen this allegation from Friendly Geordie's that blah, blah,
Speaker:blah, what have you got to say about it?
Speaker:Nothing.
Speaker:So, um, it's a really, dear listener, go and just Google,
Speaker:just go onto the YouTube and the Friendly Geordie's YouTube channel.
Speaker:It's still up, um, it was, you know, quite recently.
Speaker:It might be taken down at some stage, but the interesting thing is that, you know,
Speaker:he hasn't demanded That they take it down for, um, with a threat of defamation.
Speaker:And he might have been taking due note of some other defamation cases.
Speaker:That's right!
Speaker:Like that!
Speaker:Strikes in defence?
Speaker:Ben Roberts Smith is the plaintiff!
Speaker:Yes!
Speaker:Oh my god!
Speaker:You have to keep reminding yourself that he is the plaintiff.
Speaker:He brought that action on.
Speaker:And just a conga line of former colleagues coming out, coming
Speaker:out saying terrible things.
Speaker:And the same with, of course, um, what is it, Christian Porter?
Speaker:Oh yes.
Speaker:So, you know, maybe that is not so stupid.
Speaker:He won that one.
Speaker:And he had to pay costs, of course, but you know, you
Speaker:always pay costs when you win.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:I'm sorry.
Speaker:Humiliating back down, I think was the phrase.
Speaker:But, you know, full credit to Friendly Geordies.
Speaker:Like, you're watching it and you're going, you guys have got balls to run this.
Speaker:Definitely.
Speaker:Fearless, ballsy move.
Speaker:Um, you have to sort of tip your hat to them, and maybe even go onto their
Speaker:Patreon account and throw them a few dollars, because that's the sort of
Speaker:stuff that, you know, he almost single handedly got rid of Berejiklian, and
Speaker:And the deputy, um, Barilaro, in New South Wales, like, you know, he caused
Speaker:an enormous ruckus down there with what was going on, um, And just, you know,
Speaker:just a YouTuber, um, is doing more than mainstream media to dig up this stuff.
Speaker:So, um, some of the comments I saw on Twitter, Well, a satirical comedian
Speaker:on YouTube is one of the most fearless investigative journalists in the country.
Speaker:Who holds those in power to account, you know we have a real
Speaker:problem with the mainstream media.
Speaker:And another one which was, um, this is where we have got to in Australia
Speaker:when a part time comedian can expose major government corruption.
Speaker:Um, where the fuck are the investigative journalists in this country?
Speaker:So It reminds me of the Moonlight State, have you seen it?
Speaker:Yeah, it is.
Speaker:Yeah, it is a bit like that.
Speaker:Yeah, you're going, so where's the ABC Four Corners report
Speaker:at digging all this up?
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:And even if they didn't know about it, because obviously
Speaker:he's been given documents.
Speaker:So somebody has perhaps used him as the first port of call, but that,
Speaker:I think outlets should be following up and asking at least the question
Speaker:of Dutton to say, well, there's this allegation, what have you got to say?
Speaker:Um, the fact that the insiders.
Speaker:They must do a deal with him.
Speaker:He must say, I'm coming on your program, but I'm only, I'm not going
Speaker:to answer these questions, or I'm only going to handle these questions.
Speaker:Don't have him on.
Speaker:Don't let him on.
Speaker:If, if you can't ask whatever questions you want to ask, tell him to piss off.
Speaker:He's the one who's trying to, you know, get re elected.
Speaker:Yes, and, you know, try and potentially become the next Prime Minister.
Speaker:Well, he can face the hard questions.
Speaker:That's a, the thing about the ABC, they get such a hard time from this mob.
Speaker:Um, they don't use the power when they've actually got it.
Speaker:He's wanting publicity at the moment, like he's, he's talking about the
Speaker:ADF with the floods and he's talking about China and talking about
Speaker:there's all the chance he can get.
Speaker:He wants oxygen and don't let him have it if he's not prepared
Speaker:to answer any questions.
Speaker:So, um, there we go.
Speaker:Um, um, so there was one article in, um.
Speaker:Uh, Victoria Fielding in Independent Australia, she said, um, Not only does
Speaker:Dutton hold the powerful position of Minister for Defence, but he is also a
Speaker:contender for leader in the Liberal Party, should Morrison choose to step down.
Speaker:This scandal, therefore, has all the ingredients you would think
Speaker:the mainstream media would need.
Speaker:To make it top priority for journalists to follow up.
Speaker:Um, Senior Minister, check, high profile candidate, stood
Speaker:down, seemingly for no reason.
Speaker:Um, Allegations of government contracts being used to enrich Liberal Party donors.
Speaker:Um, Has all these features, and, so it's quite explosive.
Speaker:And while the Sydney Morning Herald and the Courier Mail reported
Speaker:Ryan Shaw's decision to step down from his Lilly candidacy.
Speaker:Uh, there hasn't been any follow ups since Friendly Geordie's
Speaker:video went live on Friday.
Speaker:So, no media outlets, um, have mentioned the allegations made in the video.
Speaker:So, despite these allegations being evidenced with a series of damning,
Speaker:leaked photos and emails, it's true, there is supporting documentation
Speaker:that looks pretty legit, it's, it's not just friendly Geordies making
Speaker:shit up with no evidence, um, that's where we've got to, so, um, Clive
Speaker:Palmer, uh, headline from the Chaser.
Speaker:Saying um, how do we compete with this?
Speaker:And the headline was Anti vax Aussie billionaire battling
Speaker:COVID buys Hitler's car.
Speaker:It wasn't the car's fault that he was owned by Hitler.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:He didn't end up buying it.
Speaker:Clearly he was trying to.
Speaker:Who falls for this guy?
Speaker:Who are these numbskulls who could possibly fall for Clive Palmer's shtick?
Speaker:Who possibly would fall for anything he says?
Speaker:Um Well, the amount of money he's throwing at advertising.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Did you see the advert?
Speaker:Somebody had rearranged the, um, the letters on a UAP advert?
Speaker:I've seen a bit of that.
Speaker:Oh, there was one here that, uh, they changed the ad to say, um You
Speaker:can totally trust the bloke who just bought Hitler's car to look after
Speaker:your interests, was that the one?
Speaker:Uh, and the, well, they changed the United Australia Party to I'm just trying to
Speaker:remember what it was, but it was, here we go, Free Us From United LNP Failure Party.
Speaker:Right, yep, same.
Speaker:Anyway, life Palmer.
Speaker:Actually, I was having an interesting conversation on the weekend with my
Speaker:brother, and he just thinks throwing, the throwing of lawsuits and all this stuff
Speaker:is really just undermined democracy.
Speaker:So, it doesn't matter whether people take him seriously or not.
Speaker:No.
Speaker:But, but, the fact that he managed to get Which is interesting.
Speaker:The fact that he managed to get, what, three or four percent or something
Speaker:in the last election, he felt, or he claimed that that enabled him to Stop a
Speaker:Labor government and maybe he's right.
Speaker:I don't know, but the fact that he could rustle up a hundred people
Speaker:who would vote for him Who would think that he had in any way could
Speaker:possibly represent their interests?
Speaker:I just don't know how anyone could think that way.
Speaker:So You see him claiming that they'd already had Three or four prime ministers.
Speaker:Yes, because the former name of the Liberal Party was Something
Speaker:like The United Australia Party?
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Well, there was a United Australia Party that had had
Speaker:three or four Prime Ministers.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:And he changed the name of his party to be the United Australia Party.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Therefore, they were his Prime Ministers.
Speaker:Such a shameless bullshitter.
Speaker:Such a shameless bullshitter.
Speaker:But didn't he come out and say the Hitler car thing is misinformation?
Speaker:Well he said, he said, I never bought Hitler's car.
Speaker:But the point was You tried to buy it.
Speaker:What, are you prepared to say you never tried to buy it?
Speaker:You never investigated buying it?
Speaker:But he says, I never bought it.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:So, yep.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:I see that they've had a big falling out with the anti vaxxer party.
Speaker:Really?
Speaker:They're both?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Kidding.
Speaker:Why's that?
Speaker:I'm not over.
Speaker:Uh, apparently they were only in it for themselves, to push
Speaker:their own political agenda.
Speaker:Oh, that's what the anti vaxxers No, no, no, this is what Clive
Speaker:was saying about the anti Oh!
Speaker:Yeah, apparently there was some sort of alliance between the
Speaker:UAP and some anti vaxx party.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:And they have had an acrimonious breaking up.
Speaker:Oh dear.
Speaker:Oh dear.
Speaker:Alright, um, you send a link, um, Joe, about Robert Reich?
Speaker:Rightch?
Speaker:Rightch?
Speaker:Yes, Robert Reich.
Speaker:Yeah, so, um.
Speaker:He was Secretary for Labor under Bill Clinton.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:And Time Magazine named him one of the 10 most effective Cabinet
Speaker:Secretaries of the 20th century.
Speaker:So He wrote an article basically saying that only the right has become more
Speaker:extreme over the last 50 years, and he says, how did we get so divided?
Speaker:And he said that he started in American politics 50 years ago, and he figured he
Speaker:was just left of centre at that point.
Speaker:And 25 years later, he was in Bill Clinton's cabinet, and the left to right
Speaker:spectrum had stretched much longer.
Speaker:Um, the biggest change was how much further the right had moved.
Speaker:Ronald Reagan had opened the political floodgates to corporate and Wall Street
Speaker:money, bankrolling right wing candidates and messages that decried big government.
Speaker:I agree with him 100 percent there.
Speaker:There's a big cultural shift occurred in the world with Ronald Reagan and
Speaker:Margaret Thatcher at the same time, with this sort of decrying of big government.
Speaker:He goes on, Bill Clinton sought to lead from the centre, but by then the
Speaker:centre had moved so far right that Clinton gutted public assistance,
Speaker:enacted tough on crime policies that unjustly burdened the poor and people of
Speaker:colour, and he deregulated Wall Street.
Speaker:All of which put me further to the left of centre, even though my
Speaker:political views had barely changed.
Speaker:Today, the spectrum from left to right is the longest it's been in
Speaker:my 50 years in and around politics.
Speaker:The left hasn't moved much at all.
Speaker:We're still against the war machine, still pushing for civil and voting
Speaker:rights, still fighting the power of big corporations, but the right
Speaker:has moved far, far rightward.
Speaker:Donald Trump brought America about as close as we'll ever come,
Speaker:or we've ever come, to fascism.
Speaker:He incited an attempted coup against the United States.
Speaker:He and most of the Republican Party continue to deny that
Speaker:he lost the 2020 election.
Speaker:They're getting ready to suppress votes and disregard election
Speaker:outcomes they disagree with.
Speaker:So don't believe the fear mongering that today's left is radical.
Speaker:What's really radical is the right's move towards fascism.
Speaker:So that rings a bell with you, Joe?
Speaker:Yeah, I have seen articles that have argued that Barry Goldwater,
Speaker:who was basically the father of the House for the Republicans,
Speaker:would now be considered Democratic.
Speaker:Because the right, yeah, the right wing of the party has moved so far right.
Speaker:That, you know, what was, what was a right wing view 30 years ago, 40 years
Speaker:ago when he was father of the house, um, is now considered a left wing.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:It's, yeah.
Speaker:And it's not that much different here.
Speaker:Morrison came out and said, oh, an Albanese government, they're
Speaker:the most left wing, um, potential government we've seen since Whitlam.
Speaker:What?
Speaker:Honestly, look at the policies.
Speaker:There's not a piece of paper between them.
Speaker:Almost, it seems.
Speaker:I can't They haven't promised anything.
Speaker:Let alone anything left wing.
Speaker:Like, they're just agreeing on everything.
Speaker:It's hard to You know, it's only through faith and just the The name
Speaker:Labor Party that you have a suspicion that perhaps they might favour the
Speaker:left in some views if they actually get elected, but just based on their
Speaker:promises, there's not a lot to go with.
Speaker:And you know, Morrison's claiming that, you know, they're socialists
Speaker:and they're the most left wing Labor Party since Whitlam.
Speaker:What a joke!
Speaker:It's just, they're incredibly right wing, they haven't
Speaker:targeted taxation of the rich.
Speaker:Redistribution in any way.
Speaker:So, um, anyway, or even re nationalisation of formerly, um, state owned assets.
Speaker:Yeah, nothing of a classic Labor sort of bent, uh, left bent at all
Speaker:in this current Albanese model.
Speaker:They're incredibly right wing.
Speaker:So, um.
Speaker:Maybe the social housing has any promise in housing?
Speaker:I don't know, I haven't heard of any particular promise, so I don't know,
Speaker:um, so yeah, so yeah, I agree with Robert Wright that, uh, the right has
Speaker:moved right and I would argue the left has moved to the right, um, and, yeah.
Speaker:So he's done a couple of documentaries, one of which is up on Netflix.
Speaker:Right, and good.
Speaker:Yeah, yeah, um, interesting discussion, um, uh, basically, uh, talking socialism
Speaker:as in social democracy, uh, and talking to some, um, entrepreneur who
Speaker:said, yeah, um, so I own ten times as much as, oh yeah, an average worker.
Speaker:But I'm not spending 10 times as much, you know, that, that money going to the
Speaker:workers would go back into the economy, coming to me, it is adding zero value to
Speaker:the economy and was basically arguing for higher taxation on the rich and feeding
Speaker:it back into the economy via putting it in the pockets of people less well off
Speaker:because they don't save it, they spend it.
Speaker:Mm.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Okay, um, I haven't in a long time thanked the Patrons, and I had
Speaker:a couple new ones lately, so I'm gonna run through the Patrons.
Speaker:Dear listener, if you'd like to become a Patron, go on to ironfistvelvetglove.
Speaker:com.
Speaker:au And all of our old episodes are there, and there's also a link
Speaker:to donate, so you can do that.
Speaker:There's also a Speakpipe link, if you want to leave an audio
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Speaker:uh, two weeks time I'll be down there, boy I'm glad I didn't go looking at
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Speaker:Savvas Louise, good on you, thank you very much, if you would like to donate.
Speaker:Yeah, go to the website and you'll see the links and it's much appreciated
Speaker:because there are quite a few expenses with hosting of all of this stuff,
Speaker:the restream that we're using for the chat, and the different subscriptions.
Speaker:Roughly adds up to about 80 per episode, so.
Speaker:If I don't do an episode every week, I start to lose money.
Speaker:That's how tight it is.
Speaker:All right.
Speaker:Um, Where are we up to?
Speaker:8.
Speaker:37.
Speaker:Let's talk.
Speaker:Remember I asked last week, I said, if you want to argue with me about something,
Speaker:then get on and ring us up and argue with me, and nobody did at the time.
Speaker:Nobody really did except Um, your friend Joe called in and Dom, and he, he didn't
Speaker:want to argue, he just wanted to agree.
Speaker:And, uh, anyway, on Twitter, um, so I was spending more time on Twitter, I
Speaker:haven't actually been posting anything, I've just sort of been watching stuff.
Speaker:So it's at IFVG underscore podcast, if you'd like to follow and
Speaker:eventually we'll start posting things.
Speaker:But, got some feedback from At Skeptical Aussie, um, who is the inventor of
Speaker:the Bullshit Detector, according to their Twitter profile here, and,
Speaker:um, She writes, I've been listening to your podcast where you asked a
Speaker:caller if he disagreed with anything.
Speaker:One thing I disagree with is, I think your discussion on China is too polarised.
Speaker:John, question mark, was too hard on them.
Speaker:I think she is, um, referring to Paul from the old days there.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:And Trevor is too naïve.
Speaker:Ouch!
Speaker:Ouch!
Speaker:So we'll say Paul was too hard on them and Trevor is too naïve.
Speaker:Hmm.
Speaker:It is also not true to say that the relationship This is China and Australia.
Speaker:Took a dive because of Morrison's comments about SARS CoV 2.
Speaker:China became quite authoritarian towards us when Gillard cooperated
Speaker:with the US over their presence here.
Speaker:Later, Turnbull took a hard line against China over Huawei,
Speaker:and they were quite angry.
Speaker:There is quite a bit of evidence of Chinese interference
Speaker:in Australian politics.
Speaker:And evidence of intimidation in Australia in places such as universities.
Speaker:So we can trade, but let's not be naive, eh?
Speaker:So, um, maybe I shouldn't ask for feedback, because I got really
Speaker:annoyed by this one, I have to say.
Speaker:Skeptical Aussie.
Speaker:Really?
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:Inventor of the bullshit detector.
Speaker:Like, if you just said I disagree and, and then made your
Speaker:argument, I could handle that.
Speaker:But calling me naïve, ouch.
Speaker:So, look, of course I'm on the record on this podcast talking about China
Speaker:a lot, but I think what you find is, what I'm saying is, I'm showing
Speaker:the other side's point of view.
Speaker:I'm saying you have to look at this from the Chinese point of view.
Speaker:Now that doesn't mean I think that China is a bastion of freedom and goodness, it's
Speaker:just that you've got to look at it from their point of view and when assessing
Speaker:their actions, um, put yourself in their shoes and ask whether what they're doing
Speaker:is, is expected for a major power in their position, from their point of view.
Speaker:That's what you've got to look at.
Speaker:And compare it for consistency with other major powers.
Speaker:And if you give a green light to the USA to behave in a certain way But
Speaker:you don't give the same green light to the Chinese to act in the same
Speaker:way, then you're being hypocritical.
Speaker:Like, that's essentially what I'm always banging on about, I would
Speaker:have thought, when it comes to China.
Speaker:So, I mean, I don't want to live under a Chinese government, but I don't want
Speaker:to live under a USA government either.
Speaker:So, um, it's the same when we talk about Russia and Ukraine, which I'll
Speaker:get to later on and we have done before.
Speaker:It's like, Russia has a point in all of this.
Speaker:That doesn't mean they should invade the Ukraine, but they've
Speaker:got some legitimate points.
Speaker:Um, China's got points, but they shouldn't invade Taiwan either.
Speaker:So, um, and China is a superpower.
Speaker:It'll do what superpowers do.
Speaker:It'll throw its weight around whenever it perceives it should
Speaker:in its own self interest.
Speaker:And China has some legitimate complaints about how Australia has treated it.
Speaker:And a lot of the time with what China has done, if I was in charge of
Speaker:China, I'd be doing the same thing.
Speaker:So, anyway, um, so I've argued that, um, when the Morrison government was
Speaker:talking about, um, COVID cropping up in China, and the Morrison government
Speaker:essentially said, we should be sending people into China with weapons inspector
Speaker:like powers to find out what goes on.
Speaker:And, um, essentially Maris Payne, um, and Scott Morrison ran that line.
Speaker:So.
Speaker:I've said that's important and, uh, Skeptical Aussie, Inventor of the Bullshit
Speaker:Detector, says, um, It is also not true to say the relationship took a dive because
Speaker:of Morrison's comments about SARS CoV 2.
Speaker:Well, um, Nikki Sava, political journalist, like, she's written books.
Speaker:She wrote the biography of Morrison.
Speaker:She seems to me to be a smart operator, um, I would have thought
Speaker:she knows what she's talking about.
Speaker:She wrote, The tipping point is acknowledged by many experts to
Speaker:be the day in April when Foreign Minister Maris Payne, without warning
Speaker:or the cover of supportive allies, Announced Australia would take the
Speaker:lead in pushing for an international inquiry into the origins of COVID 19.
Speaker:It was popular domestically.
Speaker:People whose lives and jobs had been disrupted were rightly furious with China.
Speaker:A few old China watchers vented at the time, believing there was too
Speaker:much politics and too little strategic thinking behind the government's push.
Speaker:They saw it as the latest in a series of actions, some warranted,
Speaker:others gratuitous, that would certainly invite retaliation.
Speaker:So, that was Nikki Savva, I think I mentioned that in episode 282,
Speaker:and um, there's a timeline here.
Speaker:Huawei was banned in August 2018.
Speaker:The weapons inspector comments were made in April 2020.
Speaker:The tariffs were imposed less than one month later, in May 2020.
Speaker:So if you wanna, you know, all these things add up in terms of the
Speaker:relationship, but, Essentially, the tariffs were imposed less than four
Speaker:weeks after, or about four weeks after, the weapons inspector comment was made.
Speaker:So, I think you can quite rightly say, um, as Nikki Sarvadis does, that it was, um,
Speaker:a significant factor and a tipping point.
Speaker:Okay, just in relation to Gillard, she says here, um, skeptical Aussie, that
Speaker:China became quite authoritarian towards us when Gillard cooperated with the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:over their presence here.
Speaker:I wasn't sort of aware of anything like that, so quick Google search and
Speaker:one of the first sites I found said, Well done Julia Gillard, you won't hear
Speaker:these words very often in the run up to this year's Australian elections, but
Speaker:Julia Gillard deserves credit for her successful visit to China this month.
Speaker:The signing of a strategic partnership between China and
Speaker:Australia was the linchpin of Gillard's successful trip to China.
Speaker:This deal includes provisions for an annual leaders dialogue.
Speaker:This is welcome news, signalling a bolstered political link in what
Speaker:is already China's, Australia's largest trade relationship, worth
Speaker:almost 130 billion annually.
Speaker:The deal was hailed by politicians and policy commentators on both sides of the
Speaker:aisle in Australia, winning support from former Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser
Speaker:and Opposition Leader Tony Abbott.
Speaker:On military to military dialogue, Gillard hinted that there will also
Speaker:be policy level dialogue, which will happen between our military.
Speaker:So this is all about building trust and confidence and transparency
Speaker:for the future, blah, blah, blah.
Speaker:So, I hardly think that that adds up to, um, China becoming quite
Speaker:authoritarian towards us when Gillard cooperated with the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:over their presence here.
Speaker:Um, The other part was Turnbull took a hard line against China over Huawei and
Speaker:they were quite angry and that is true.
Speaker:And um, as I said, that was the correct decision.
Speaker:Like Australia had to say to China, um, look, we can't have you controlling
Speaker:our telecommunications system.
Speaker:How are we going to keep a secret from you?
Speaker:But we didn't have to boast about it and to tell other countries to do the same.
Speaker:We could have politely said, sorry guys, love your stuff, but we just can't do it.
Speaker:But what did we do?
Speaker:We said, we can't do it because we don't trust you, and by the way,
Speaker:we're going to run around the world telling everybody else not to as well.
Speaker:Like, that's the point about Huawei.
Speaker:Barely sure it was one of the other five I's that told us not to.
Speaker:Yeah, you think America told, I think, I thought the rest of the world was a
Speaker:little bit surprised when we did it.
Speaker:But, um.
Speaker:Um, in any event, we did way too much boasting over that, and we should have
Speaker:just laid low and ducked for cover when dealing with the superpower.
Speaker:That's what you do when you're a small nothing country.
Speaker:Um, yeah.
Speaker:So talking of such things, have you heard about what's going on
Speaker:with all the Ukrainian programmed, um, devices in Russia now?
Speaker:Ah, Ukrainian programmed devices in Russia, no?
Speaker:So they're failing now, are they?
Speaker:Well apparently, um, electric car charging ports.
Speaker:Had a backdoor maintenance access, and they now say fuck you Putin or something.
Speaker:Oh, is that right?
Speaker:So you go to plug in your car, and of course it's only the rich and
Speaker:powerful who have electric cars.
Speaker:Yeah.
Speaker:So as they go to plug in and charge their car, the little LCD screen, um, comes
Speaker:up with fuck you Putin on the screen as they plug in their cars to charge it.
Speaker:But I did see where Mastercard and Visa and PayPal have effectively disconnected
Speaker:Russia from their systems, and so one, that affects ordinary Russians.
Speaker:It was Apple Pay and Google Pay and the queues at the metro where people
Speaker:can't swipe on and swipe off anymore.
Speaker:Exactly.
Speaker:I'm going to talk about it later, but it's really important because, you know,
Speaker:I talked about de dollarisation around the world, and this is just pushing.
Speaker:Russia and China to move to a system where they're, um, able to
Speaker:operate separate to the dollar and to American financial institutions.
Speaker:But we'll get back to that.
Speaker:Still going on with, uh, this, um, feedback.
Speaker:Um, so yes, there is Chinese influence in Australian universities.
Speaker:Don't deny that, but in a whole episode Episode 227 about the Four Corners
Speaker:report titled Red Flags, and essentially, if you had swallowed the entire Four
Speaker:Corners report, where they had a conga line of security experts come along, I
Speaker:sat in front of it and I was watching this and I was going, who are these
Speaker:people who are these commentators?
Speaker:Google their names, and nine times out of ten, they work for some arms manufacturer,
Speaker:or they're some colonists for a right wing think tank, like the Four Corners report
Speaker:on Red Flags, which was about Chinese involvement in Australian universities,
Speaker:was just shocker with right wingers.
Speaker:So, you know, the naïve approach would have been to swallow that, the
Speaker:um, what's the opposite of naïve?
Speaker:The sophisticated approach would be to Actually go and look up
Speaker:every name that appeared in there and investigate who they were.
Speaker:So, um, So, yeah, um, so I think I spent a lot of time, we've
Speaker:talked about the history of China.
Speaker:It's a hundred year embarrassment at being occupied by foreign
Speaker:powers following the Opium Wars.
Speaker:And it's resolved to never allow that to happen again.
Speaker:And it's legitimate concern of being invaded by Western powers.
Speaker:And the hypocrisy of the West in the double standards it applies.
Speaker:And Australia's fawning obsequiousness to the USA.
Speaker:So, I've pretty much, I reckon, parroted the views of former
Speaker:diplomats in the John Menendew blog.
Speaker:So the John Menendew blog, go and look at it.
Speaker:Under the heading of China, and there are so many former diplomats,
Speaker:people with real world experience, and I don't think I've said anything
Speaker:that would be in disagreement with what those guys have all said.
Speaker:Because they're all pretty much unanimous about What a shitty
Speaker:diplomatic job we've done, now we've caused this problem ourself.
Speaker:And, you know, if you're going to call me naive, call Paul Keating naive.
Speaker:Like, he went into the press club and basically said the same
Speaker:thing, even more forcefully.
Speaker:Um, sorry Joe, you want to chip in?
Speaker:I was going to say the Many Do blog recently has been very,
Speaker:very apologetic for Putin.
Speaker:Right.
Speaker:Even putting up after He'd invaded an article saying, Oh no, no,
Speaker:Putin's never going to invade.
Speaker:He's, he's just, um, sabre rattling.
Speaker:He just wants some, um, uh, do you, yeah, some, some justice.
Speaker:Right, yes, yes.
Speaker:And I'm thinking it was an incredibly naive view.
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:They seem to be pushing a strangely pro Putin line.
Speaker:Right, um.
Speaker:It struck me as very naive.
Speaker:Yeah, a lot on the left actually, uh, in relation to the build up to the, um, to
Speaker:the invasion, had been so suspicious of US intelligence, because we've seen it
Speaker:all before in that it's been bullshit, and that they basically said, There's
Speaker:no way that Putin's going to invade, because the US intelligence is telling
Speaker:us that it is, and they're always wrong.
Speaker:Where really, they should have been more circumspect, and have gone, Well, we can
Speaker:never trust these guys to get this right.
Speaker:To the left, it looked like a beat up, and, uh, in the end
Speaker:they were proved wrong, because Putin, of course, crossed over.
Speaker:So, uh, a number on the left did jump the gun and were too,
Speaker:too cavalier in declaring Putin would never do what he did.
Speaker:Um, based on the fact that they didn't want to agree with U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:intelligence, I think.
Speaker:So, anyway, just getting back to my present argument with Skeptical Aussie.
Speaker:So, um, um, so, you know, the points you've raised, I think, are wrong.
Speaker:Uh, in relation to, what did you raise there?
Speaker:In relation to, um, um, weapons inspector stuff.
Speaker:In relation to Gillard.
Speaker:And, um Huawei was the way that we did it, not the fact that we did it.
Speaker:Um, I think I'm pretty much in agreement with the John Menendee
Speaker:blog list of, um, diplomats.
Speaker:And I've pretty much parroted what they've said, as well as Paul Keating.
Speaker:So, um, might be wrong, but I hardly think it's naive, so.
Speaker:I think you need to adjust your bullshit detector, or perhaps
Speaker:point it at yourself, I think.
Speaker:So, anyway, that was that one, and then there was another feedback,
Speaker:which this one was from Paul.
Speaker:Paul's been on the podcast before, and, um, so, um, So at least Paul
Speaker:didn't call me naive, and um, Don't you think her, like, I just think
Speaker:her point was, is that somehow along the lines of you just explaining or
Speaker:critically analysing the situation, she thinks you're somehow condoning it.
Speaker:Yeah, that is part of the problem, is that, if just because you're giving
Speaker:the other But then There's only three podcasters I know, apart from you, who
Speaker:have been brave enough to try to explain the other perspective, and I think the,
Speaker:um, clap back or slap back has been, yeah.
Speaker:Pretty, pretty negative.
Speaker:Yeah, so I don't want everybody going the same way.
Speaker:We don't want to be discussing this or Yeah Considering that
Speaker:it's interesting, isn't it?
Speaker:Yeah, just because you're giving the other side doesn't mean you agree with it.
Speaker:You're just saying Yeah.
Speaker:Um, it's possible for both sides to be wrong.
Speaker:And, um That's right.
Speaker:It's, it's contributing factors.
Speaker:There's context to everything, so it's not just all good guy, bad guy.
Speaker:I mean, that's the naive view, I would have thought.
Speaker:That's right!
Speaker:Uh, okay.
Speaker:So, Paul said, um, uh, I would have come onto the podcast to challenge your view
Speaker:of making media partisan, to agree with you on alternative sources of information,
Speaker:and hopefully to contribute some thoughts.
Speaker:So, we were talking about looking at different sources of information.
Speaker:And I was talking about what sources I thought were good, mentioning John
Speaker:Menjublog and Crikey and a few others.
Speaker:And I mentioned that, you know, if you can't find a middle ground and you
Speaker:can only find a right wing version, then look for the left wing version.
Speaker:Um, um, So I was trying to encourage people to look for the independent.
Speaker:Media organisations who, and, and people are independent because their income is
Speaker:not reliant on the answers they give, and that's not many, like newspapers
Speaker:are going and media, mainstream media has to satisfy either the Advertisers
Speaker:or the owners or both and therefore these are rich and powerful people
Speaker:generally so they're not going to advocate policies that are contrary to
Speaker:the interests of the rich and powerful.
Speaker:So if somebody is in a position where they can say something and they're not
Speaker:going to be financially disadvantaged because of it then they're likely to
Speaker:be honest and Someone like Sam Harris, I was referring to, with his own sort
Speaker:of Patreon thing, basically had enough happening that he could speak fearlessly.
Speaker:Mind you, there's also audience capture, where if you find your audience is
Speaker:largely right wing and they're the big payers, you can be tempted to do more
Speaker:and more right wing positive commentary, hoping to get a right wing audience
Speaker:and make more money, a la Dave Rubin.
Speaker:So There's all these nuanced factors to take into account, so Paul
Speaker:writes, I would absolutely have come on to the podcast to challenge
Speaker:your view of making media partisan.
Speaker:Well, fuck Paul, I didn't suggest making media partisan.
Speaker:I wrote to Paul because we email and he has lunch and he's one of
Speaker:our beer sponsors and I like Paul.
Speaker:I said, sure, but I wasn't saying we should make media
Speaker:partisan, just that it often is.
Speaker:It's often lazily repeats the accepted narrative.
Speaker:If you can find neutral sources, then try and get a bit of both.
Speaker:If you can't find neutral sources, then try and get a bit of both sides.
Speaker:And you said, okay, but you seem to me to be suggesting that journalists
Speaker:actually ignore what the Prime Minister does or says if it doesn't form some
Speaker:critique of him or if it's not news.
Speaker:To me, that seems partisan in that it means the journalists already have a
Speaker:constructive narrative and if the PM doesn't fit into that, they ignore him.
Speaker:And Paul, what I'm talking about there was when the Prime Minister turns up at
Speaker:a hairdressing salon and starts washing somebody's hair, you as a journalist
Speaker:are supposed to make a decision.
Speaker:That that's not news, and that's not being partisan.
Speaker:That's just being, I'm not going to be part of your public relations exercise,
Speaker:so I'm not going to report this.
Speaker:But when you start talking, then that's news.
Speaker:So um, um.
Speaker:Yeah, so we had a bit of to ing and fro ing over email there, so um, so yeah,
Speaker:in terms of feedback, I was accused of being naive and um, and then Paul
Speaker:sort of misinterpreted what I said, so I do want feedback, but just keep
Speaker:it coming, and um, but you don't put words into my mouth, like I wasn't
Speaker:saying the media should be partisan.
Speaker:Clearly it is in many respects.
Speaker:Try and find media that isn't, and from the media's point of view,
Speaker:don't do a hair washing segment.
Speaker:It's just not news, and it's not, you're not being partisan by ignoring it.
Speaker:So, there we go.
Speaker:Right, um, what have we got in the chat room here?
Speaker:Um, we're up to, we're up to an hour and a half, and I've got, um,
Speaker:I've got a huge bit on Ukraine.
Speaker:Which most people are probably sick of by now, but the true
Speaker:believers might like to hear.
Speaker:And I think what I'm going to do is probably finish the podcast now, the
Speaker:live stream, and say our farewells, and then I think I'm going to record.
Speaker:Um, an extra hour or so on Ukraine, because I've got lots of clips and
Speaker:things, um, essentially looking at, um, the whole sort of NATO, um, encroachment
Speaker:up to Russia, and the number of people, distinguished people, who a long time ago
Speaker:said, this is going to cause a problem.
Speaker:And so, I think I need to get all that out of the way and done and dusted,
Speaker:so I think I'll do that as a added.
Speaker:I'll tack it on to the end of this podcast.
Speaker:So if you're watching the live stream, make sure you download the
Speaker:actual podcast and skip forward an hour and a half and, um You know
Speaker:what, James says let's hear it.
Speaker:You know what, James, I might come on live in about 20 minutes and do it.
Speaker:Once I've, um, I might do that.
Speaker:I might come on live and just go solo rant on Ukraine to add to it.
Speaker:I'm not sure.
Speaker:Keep a look out.
Speaker:I might be there if you, if you're keen.
Speaker:So.
Speaker:But it will go for a while and I'm conscious of Joe and Shea's
Speaker:time and that it'll just be me ranting in a one way stream.
Speaker:So, um, so yeah, so let's finish off this podcast and I'll tack it on if
Speaker:you, if you bail out now, make sure you listen to the, uh, audio version
Speaker:and, uh, You never know, I might come on in 20 minutes and just do it anyway.
Speaker:So we'll see.
Speaker:Alrighty.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Thanks Shea.
Speaker:International Women's Day.
Speaker:Done and dusted.
Speaker:Thank you.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Thanks Joe.
Speaker:Yep.
Speaker:Thanks Joe.
Speaker:Good night.
Speaker:All right.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:We'll talk to you next week.
Speaker:Bye.
Speaker:Oh, dear listener, here we go.
Speaker:This is something unusual.
Speaker:Episode 330, Part B.
Speaker:So, if you're out there and you've hung around, let me know.
Speaker:Joe will probably join in, um, in a moment, so Yeah, so episode 330 did
Speaker:all the other stuff on International Women's Day and I figured that not
Speaker:everybody wanted to hang around for the Ukrainian stuff and I put it at the end.
Speaker:So I'm going to run through now my thoughts on the latest on Ukraine and
Speaker:the things that I've found as I've been reading and give the update.
Speaker:So here we go.
Speaker:If you're in the chat room, let me know and because I'm a bit worried
Speaker:whether it's actually working or not.
Speaker:So, okay.
Speaker:So, um, uh, at this stage, so we're recording now, 8th of March, 2022, and
Speaker:the question is, what is Russia demanding?
Speaker:And I saw an article from Reuters.
Speaker:Uh, this is the 7th of March and essentially Russia has told
Speaker:Ukraine it's ready to halt military operations, quote, in a moment if
Speaker:Kiev meets a list of conditions, the Kremlin spokesman said on Monday.
Speaker:So Dmitry Peskov said Moscow was demanding that Ukraine cease military action, change
Speaker:its constitution to enshrine neutrality, acknowledge Crimea as Russian territory.
Speaker:And recognise the, um, the Donbass region as independent states.
Speaker:So it was the most explicit Russian statement so far in
Speaker:terms of what it wants to impose.
Speaker:And Peskov told Reuters in a telephone call that Ukraine was aware of the
Speaker:conditions and they were told that this can be stopped in a moment.
Speaker:So there's no reaction from the Ukrainian side as yet.
Speaker:On the issue of neutrality, Peskov said they should make amendments to the
Speaker:constitution according to which Ukraine would reject any claims to enter any bloc.
Speaker:And he said, we have also spoken about how they should recognise
Speaker:that Crimea is Russian territory.
Speaker:So essentially, here's what Russia wants.
Speaker:If the Ukraine says that we'll never be part of NATO, and if they
Speaker:agree that Crimea, which has already been annexed, stays with Russia.
Speaker:And if they agree to give up the Donbass region, then it's all over.
Speaker:And I would have thought Ukraine should agree to that.
Speaker:I mean, for all of the death and carnage that's going to occur in that
Speaker:country, um, agree you're not going to join NATO, agree that you've given
Speaker:up on Crimea, and agree that you now give up on the Donbass, I would have
Speaker:thought as a deal you should strike.
Speaker:So, I mean, uh, there's nothing wrong with compromise.
Speaker:When there was the, um, the Cuban crisis, there was a, there was
Speaker:a, there was a compromise there.
Speaker:I mean the Russians agreed not to put the missiles on Cuba and in return Kennedy
Speaker:agreed to remove the missiles from Turkey.
Speaker:Now that last piece was kept secret for a while, didn't come out to save face
Speaker:for Kennedy, but it was essentially.
Speaker:Kennedy agreed to pull the missiles out of Turkey in return for, um, the
Speaker:Russians agreeing to stay out of Cuba.
Speaker:So, um, I would have thought, from the Crimean point of view, in terms of
Speaker:lives lost and the situation they're in, that, um, if it's simply a matter
Speaker:of agreeing they'll not be part of NATO, giving up on Crimea and Donbass,
Speaker:and they can have their country back, that's what they should do.
Speaker:Anyone disagree in the chat room?
Speaker:Um, so, if you've just joined, you haven't missed much.
Speaker:Um, John, just the, the demands from Russia, which I'll just explain.
Speaker:Okay, what has, uh, Trump been saying lately, just before I
Speaker:get into the meatier topics?
Speaker:Um, so, um, he's continuing his reactionary nostalgia tour, and you get I.
Speaker:V.
Speaker:I.
Speaker:84 minute address to 250 Republican Party's biggest donors at the
Speaker:Four Seasons in New Orleans.
Speaker:Presumably that was the Four Seasons Hotel and not the Four
Speaker:Seasons Landscaping in New Orleans.
Speaker:Hopefully they got that right this time.
Speaker:Anyway, the most striking, uh, was his suggestion.
Speaker:This is the former president and the wannabe president in
Speaker:the next election, Donald Trump.
Speaker:He said the US should put Chinese flags on its F 22 aircraft and bomb the shit out
Speaker:of Russia and then we say China did it.
Speaker:We didn't do it, China did.
Speaker:And then they start fighting with each other and we sit back and watch.
Speaker:I mean, this is, this is, um, what the former president is saying.
Speaker:I mean, you can't even joke about that, can you?
Speaker:I mean, if he's, you can't even joke about it.
Speaker:In the chatroom, Martin Featherston says, Moving missiles is a bit different
Speaker:to letting a belligerent neighbor slice off pieces of your country at a whim.
Speaker:It is, but do the calculation, Martin.
Speaker:Like, if you were in charge of Ukraine and you could stop the fighting and the
Speaker:killing, That's going to happen over the next weeks and months, in return
Speaker:for that, would you do it or not?
Speaker:That's, that's the question.
Speaker:So, um, anyway, um, so, um, So looking at the history and the context
Speaker:leading up to this whole crisis with Ukraine is quite interesting.
Speaker:And, oh, you know, it's interesting, isn't it?
Speaker:Like, you're a humble podcaster, you don't know anything about
Speaker:Ukraine, and then, you know.
Speaker:A month later, you think you know everything about it, um, and it's a
Speaker:bit of a risk that it's a bit like the COVID people who think they, uh, COVID
Speaker:experts, um, and ivermectin experts.
Speaker:And, um, really, you know, when it came to COVID and technical expertise of
Speaker:vaccines and the competing drugs, et cetera, my approach to that was, who
Speaker:are the most authoritative experts in this field and what are they saying?
Speaker:And the people who are coming out with what seems to be crazy
Speaker:non conformist ideas, do they really have any qualifications?
Speaker:And the studies that they're talking about, do they, do they have any?
Speaker:On the face of it, legitimacy.
Speaker:And that's how I kind of weighed up what was the truth
Speaker:in terms of COVID vaccinations.
Speaker:And my approach with this Ukrainian issue and the lead up to it is a little
Speaker:bit the same, is that when talking about, um, the encroachment by NATO
Speaker:and the effect that that had on Russian Western relations, who's talking about
Speaker:it and what are their qualifications?
Speaker:Are they just a Republican politician?
Speaker:Or are they a mouthpiece for, um, the military industrial complex?
Speaker:Or are they an expert who's been involved in, um, Russia Western relations
Speaker:for most of their life at university level or in diplomatic circles?
Speaker:And, you know, you give them far more weight to that later category than you
Speaker:do to, you know, current Republicans.
Speaker:So, um So that's what, um, my approach is when looking at this
Speaker:is, who's saying this stuff?
Speaker:Does it, on the face of it, make sense?
Speaker:If there's a competing argument that also makes sense, well, what's
Speaker:the credibility, the expertise of the people making the statements?
Speaker:So, um, so, um, Tom the Warehouse Guy, in what circumstance
Speaker:would the US nuke Russia?
Speaker:Russia can invade any non NATO country it likes.
Speaker:Um, uh, we'll come back to that.
Speaker:Um, and there's a little bit of a danger here because, for example, when we talk
Speaker:about what's happened with the Ukraine, um, and we compare it to, say, the Cuban
Speaker:Missile Crisis, or we compare it to um, other sort of similar situations, there's
Speaker:a there's an argument of whataboutism.
Speaker:Oh, you're just, you're just using Whataboutism, but, um, Whataboutism
Speaker:isn't necessarily, um, bad.
Speaker:So, those who use Whataboutism are not necessarily engaging in an empty or
Speaker:cynical deflection of responsibility.
Speaker:Whataboutism can be a useful tool to expose contradictions,
Speaker:double standards, and hypocrisy.
Speaker:So there's a line of thought that the left should not implicate
Speaker:the USA in the Ukraine disaster.
Speaker:That it's just an evil Putin and an evil Russia and blaming the
Speaker:USA as being a Putin apologist.
Speaker:But I like the John Pilger line in response to this and he says, The invasion
Speaker:of a sovereign state is lawless and wrong.
Speaker:A failure to understand the cynical forces that provoked the invasion of Ukraine.
Speaker:insults the victims.
Speaker:So I think it's definitely worthwhile to look at the forces that led up
Speaker:to this and, um, and understand them because otherwise it can happen again.
Speaker:So, um, so I've got a number of clips to show and some of them are
Speaker:a bit lengthy, but hey, we're on a bonus, uh, couple of hours here.
Speaker:We've got all the time in the world.
Speaker:If you're flooded in Sydney, you've got nothing else to do, maybe.
Speaker:Is it Netflix?
Speaker:Um, so, um, I'm going to play you now a clip from Vladimir Pozner about how the
Speaker:United States created Vladimir Putin.
Speaker:This actually link came to me from one of our new patrons, whose
Speaker:name escapes me at the moment, but thank you very much for the link.
Speaker:You know who you are.
Speaker:And the first question is, well, who the hell is Vladimir Pozner?
Speaker:And, um Um, um, he's a French born, Russian American journalist and
Speaker:presenter, so he's best known in the West for his television appearances
Speaker:representing and explaining the views of the Soviet Union during the Cold
Speaker:War, so he was memorable as a spokesman for the Soviets, in part because he
Speaker:grew up in the United States and speaks fluent English, Russian, and French.
Speaker:And he himself describes his role at that time as propaganda, so he
Speaker:was a propaganda person for Russia.
Speaker:After the Cold War, Posner moved to the United States to work with Phil Donahue
Speaker:before returning to Moscow to continue working as a television journalist.
Speaker:Since 2008, he has hosted the eponymous show Posner on Russia's Channel One
Speaker:where he interviews public figures.
Speaker:So he's clearly in the thick of Russia.
Speaker:He's previously worked as a Russian propagandist.
Speaker:But take all that in mind as you listen to him.
Speaker:There'll be other people who have a more neutral, um, background to them if you
Speaker:like, um, but let's just, um, find that clip because it's a good Um, it's a good
Speaker:start up before we get into the other clips and look, it probably goes for
Speaker:about six minutes or so, but there was like a 90 minute talk that he was giving.
Speaker:Um, so this comes from, it's on YouTube, he was speaking here in
Speaker:2018, so four years ago and he was speaking at Yale's program in Russia.
Speaker:Um, East European and Eurasian Studies, so he's speaking at Yale University,
Speaker:and um, um, this, um, so yeah, from four years ago, and it was like a 90
Speaker:minute episode, and I've found the best sort of six to eight minutes of it,
Speaker:so here we go, let's play this, and I'll be back at the end of this bit.
Speaker:That's where it all began, because the Russian reaction, and specifically
Speaker:this is 1998, so uh, this is Yeltsin.
Speaker:Late Yeltsin, was, you promised not to do this, so how do we
Speaker:trust you if you make a promise?
Speaker:I would also like you to perhaps try to, um, solve a little problem, it's
Speaker:kind of a math, not, not mathematical.
Speaker:Take the time from when Gorbachev came to power, March 1985, To
Speaker:2007 when Putin has been in power for seven years, that's 22 years.
Speaker:I ask you to find a single thing in foreign or domestic policies done
Speaker:by the Soviet Union whilst that existed, and then Russia proper.
Speaker:That might in any way, anger, irk, disappoint.
Speaker:The United States.
Speaker:Let me answer that for you.
Speaker:Nothing.
Speaker:Not one thing during that period.
Speaker:Now what did Russia get as a result of that?
Speaker:First, the enlargement of NATO.
Speaker:So that was number one.
Speaker:Then the bombing of Yugoslavia.
Speaker:That was done by NATO, and NATO is, after all, dependent mostly on the
Speaker:United States, let's face it, right?
Speaker:Uh, the UN did not condone this.
Speaker:So the bombing of Yugoslavia, that's, uh, from March 24th, 99 to June 10th, 99.
Speaker:Then, uh, Kosovo, and recognition of Kosovo, although it had been
Speaker:part of Serbia for centuries.
Speaker:And there were people in Russia who said, You're letting the gin out of the bottle.
Speaker:Because if you do this, then there are other countries that will do the same.
Speaker:And Russia did the same.
Speaker:Visa Diapresia, to begin with.
Speaker:Okay?
Speaker:Uh, Yeltsin was very angry.
Speaker:He made a speech, he said, and of course this is very Yeltsin
Speaker:like, he said, We're not Haiti!
Speaker:You can't treat us like Haiti.
Speaker:We're a great country.
Speaker:We have a great past, and Russia will come back.
Speaker:Russia will come back.
Speaker:He was really, really angered.
Speaker:Didn't say the politically correct thing, but he spoke his mind.
Speaker:Then finally, 2000, the year 2000, Mr.
Speaker:Putin.
Speaker:is not elected, although elected, um, to the presidency.
Speaker:And one of the first things he does is to ask for Russia to become a member of NATO.
Speaker:Why not be a member of NATO?
Speaker:NATO was created to defend Europe, and perhaps not only
Speaker:Europe, from Soviet aggression.
Speaker:From a country that you couldn't predict.
Speaker:There is no more Soviet Union, and there is no more Warsaw Pact.
Speaker:Why can't we create an organization where we're part of it, said Mr.
Speaker:Putin, and act together to protect from some kind of aggression?
Speaker:He was told, go take a walk, basically.
Speaker:What about some kind of Partnership, we're becoming part of the European Union.
Speaker:Again, and this is all documented.
Speaker:Everything I say, except when I say my opinion, is documented.
Speaker:You can look it up.
Speaker:And he said, no, you know, you're too big.
Speaker:Your country's too big.
Speaker:You can't.
Speaker:Uh, and all the while, Russia was being reminded that It's no longer
Speaker:really that important a country.
Speaker:Now, one of the things you must keep in mind is that much like the Americans, the
Speaker:Russians believe that they have a mission.
Speaker:That their country was selected by destiny.
Speaker:Now, you know, my being French, I laugh at that.
Speaker:I laugh both at you and at them, because we French know that we're the
Speaker:best, and we have no, no, we have no mission, you know, we're the, that's it.
Speaker:But, seriously speaking, that's a fact.
Speaker:And, so the sense of losing this, this, this um, aura of greatness, of
Speaker:being told, we don't care about you.
Speaker:The, uh, the reaction of the average Russian to that was one
Speaker:of, you're, you're insulting me, you're not, you don't respect me.
Speaker:And so the anger, gradually, and the anger focused on Gorbachev.
Speaker:Many, many Russians figured you sold the country.
Speaker:You don't stand up to these men, to these, to the United States.
Speaker:And then the same thing for Yeltsin.
Speaker:You'd be surprised how unpopular Gorbachev and Yeltsin are today in Russian.
Speaker:Maybe 5 percent support them.
Speaker:Precisely for that reason.
Speaker:Well, there are some others as well that have to do with
Speaker:economic things, but nonetheless.
Speaker:So now here we have Putin, who as you know, as soon as 9
Speaker:11 happens, calls up Bush Jr.
Speaker:W.
Speaker:And offers his help.
Speaker:And yes, and does help in Afghanistan.
Speaker:And if you want to have your soldiers, your military people in, in Central
Speaker:Asia, right on our borders, be my guest.
Speaker:And in Georgia, absolutely.
Speaker:So it's not just words.
Speaker:You know, we, we want to fight terrorism together.
Speaker:And, uh, gets nothing in, in, in exchange.
Speaker:So finally In 2007, in Munich, um, speaking to the 20, the group
Speaker:of 20 in Munich, Putin says this.
Speaker:This is February 10th.
Speaker:I think it is obvious that NATO expansion does not have any relation with the
Speaker:modernization of the alliance itself or with ensuring security in Europe.
Speaker:On the contrary.
Speaker:It represents a serious provocation that reduces the level of mutual trust.
Speaker:And we have the right to ask, against whom is this expansion intended?
Speaker:And what happened to the assurance of our Western partners made after
Speaker:the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact?
Speaker:Where are those declarations today?
Speaker:No one even remembers them.
Speaker:But I will allow myself to remind this audience what was said.
Speaker:I would like to quote the speech of General Secretary Mr.
Speaker:Boerner of Brussels on May 17th, 1990.
Speaker:He said at the time, quote, The fact that we are not ready to place a NATO army
Speaker:outside of German territory gives the Soviet Union a firm security guarantee.
Speaker:Where are these guarantees?
Speaker:And do you know what the answer was?
Speaker:The answer was, yes, but that was guarantees given to the
Speaker:Soviet Union, and you're Russia.
Speaker:Well, what kind of a reaction would you expect?
Speaker:Um, last year, I think it was, making a foreign policy speech, Putin said,
Speaker:our mistake was that we trusted you too much, and your mistake was that
Speaker:you tried to take advantage of that.
Speaker:That is the situation today.
Speaker:Now, it may seem to you that I'm blaming the United States.
Speaker:I don't want the word blame used.
Speaker:It was a mistaken political decision.
Speaker:It was not the Russians.
Speaker:It was this decision that finally led to this change in Putin's attitude towards
Speaker:the West and in particular towards the United States, which is why I say how U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:policy created.
Speaker:Putin, the way he is today.
Speaker:And the really, if you will, um, um, dangerous thing is that Russian
Speaker:leadership, I should be more precise and say Vladimir Putin, does not trust
Speaker:the West, does not trust the United States, which makes it very difficult
Speaker:to move away from where we are today.
Speaker:There you going.
Speaker:So that was, um, four years ago.
Speaker:So it's really interesting.
Speaker:Some of the clips I'm gonna show you are from people speaking a long time ago, uh,
Speaker:relatively compared to what's going on now and how, how prescient their words are.
Speaker:So, you know, the theme of what he was talking about
Speaker:was the encroachment by nato.
Speaker:Um, and, um.
Speaker:Essentially, you know, one of the things here is, what Russia is asking for in
Speaker:relation to NATO is not that unreasonable America would have to agree, because
Speaker:if America was right about the Cuban Missile Crisis, then Russia is right
Speaker:about not wanting Ukraine to join NATO.
Speaker:So, you can't, you can't say the USA was right in Cuba.
Speaker:And, um, uh, Russia is wrong about wanting NATO to stay out of the Ukraine.
Speaker:It's being inconsistent.
Speaker:So, this is the whole, the whole point is that Russia has a point.
Speaker:And, now, you know, according to international law, was Cuba able,
Speaker:legally, to put missiles on its country?
Speaker:Yes.
Speaker:Is, you know, is Ukraine By international law, legally able
Speaker:to put NATO weapons on its soil?
Speaker:Yes, but at least the USA has to acknowledge by its own actions that it
Speaker:knows that there should be a border zone of neutrality between warring parties.
Speaker:Otherwise, it's uneasy.
Speaker:Imagine how they'd be if there were missiles on the Mexican border
Speaker:at Juarez, somewhere like that.
Speaker:Pointing at the US.
Speaker:They'd be apoplectic.
Speaker:They would not allow it to happen.
Speaker:So, that's what this podcast pointing out the double standard.
Speaker:This doesn't mean that it's right for Russia to go and invade Ukraine,
Speaker:but you have to view it from the Ukrainian point of view as well.
Speaker:Okay, so, um, And, you know, the interesting thing to come out of that was
Speaker:his argument that essentially Putin was Um, Russia essentially, he said, between
Speaker:1985 and 2007, 22 years, did nothing that the West could complain about, in terms
Speaker:of its actions on the, on the world stage.
Speaker:So, now, is Vladimir Pozner biased?
Speaker:You know, maybe, but in his speech he was saying, look, I'm telling you the
Speaker:facts, and when I'm giving you my opinion, I say it's my opinion, but if I don't
Speaker:say it's my opinion, then it's a fact.
Speaker:So, you know, somebody tell me if he's wrong.
Speaker:Was there something done by Russia between 1985 and 2007 that would have
Speaker:given, um, the Western powers, uh, a reason to complain, or did they keep a
Speaker:pretty squeaky clean role in the world?
Speaker:So, it's an interesting, uh, question.
Speaker:Idea, isn't it?
Speaker:That's a long time and at the end of which Russia says we want to
Speaker:join the EU We want to join NATO.
Speaker:We want to be part of Europe and the West says no, you can't And we're just
Speaker:gonna build up more weapons against you.
Speaker:Put yourself in the Russians shoes.
Speaker:Okay, so So that was Vladimir Pozner and
Speaker:Just sideline, you know, think about our relationship with China
Speaker:and, you know, what have they done other than not buying our stuff.
Speaker:Is not buying our stuff an act of aggression?
Speaker:Anyway, there's an article by Caitlin Johnston.
Speaker:So Caitlin's one of the ones I think on the left who fell into
Speaker:a bit of a trap where she was basically saying, oh, I don't want
Speaker:to put words into her mouth, but.
Speaker:Pooh poohing the idea that Putin would invade Ukraine because she was so anti
Speaker:the US intelligence and I think she probably went too hard on the fact that
Speaker:Putin would never invade because she just didn't want to believe US intelligence.
Speaker:Anyway, um, I think she's made some mistakes in that department, but
Speaker:she gets a lot of things right.
Speaker:And she wrote an article that is really looking at this idea of
Speaker:Did it really matter to Russia whether NATO was encroaching or not?
Speaker:And um, she says that, well first of all, she quotes Chris Hedges, who
Speaker:I think I quoted last week, or last time I spoke about Soviet Union, or
Speaker:Ukraine, um, yeah Chris Hedges was the guy who was a former New York Times,
Speaker:um, reporter in the Middle East for Decade or so, like, highly respected.
Speaker:He had said, After the fall of the Soviet Union, there was near universal
Speaker:understanding among political leaders that NATO expansion would be a
Speaker:foolish provocation against Russia.
Speaker:How naive we were to think the military industrial complex would
Speaker:allow such sanity to prevail.
Speaker:So, Caitlin Johnston argues that, um, what she calls the imperial narrative
Speaker:managers, um, meaning, you know.
Speaker:The mainstream Western dialogue or narrative at the moment has been falling
Speaker:over themselves, working to dismiss and discredit the abundant evidence
Speaker:that Russia's invasion of Ukraine was due largely to Moscow's fear of NATO
Speaker:expansion and the refusal of Washington and Kiev to solidify a policy that Ukraine
Speaker:would not be added to the alliance.
Speaker:So she lists a few of them here.
Speaker:So there's Michael MacFarlane.
Speaker:Um, mass media's go to pundit on all things Russia, and he says, Putin's
Speaker:horrific invasion of Ukraine has nothing to do with NATO expansion.
Speaker:Stop.
Speaker:Please.
Speaker:Yeah, or there's New Jersey Congressman Tom Malinowski who
Speaker:says, The mask is totally off Putin.
Speaker:In case anyone has any doubts, this has nothing to do with NATO expansion.
Speaker:It has everything to do with his belief that Ukraine has no right to exist.
Speaker:The very idea of Ukraine is offensive to him.
Speaker:What?
Speaker:There is the security editor, or the editor of Just Security called Ryan
Speaker:Goodman, who writes, If you think the Russian invasion has much to do with
Speaker:NATO enlargement, this analysis provides many fact based reasons to think again.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:And she says that, um,
Speaker:they're working hard to present a narrative that the invasion has
Speaker:nothing to do with NATO at all.
Speaker:It occurred solely because Putin is an evil madman who hates freedom
Speaker:and wants to destroy democracy.
Speaker:And most Western analysis goes no deeper than this.
Speaker:But she says the problem with this propaganda effort, that NATO has nothing
Speaker:to do with the Reasons for Putin invading.
Speaker:The problem with that argument is, how come so many Western experts have
Speaker:spent years warning that NATO expansion will lead to an attack on the Ukraine?
Speaker:So, I'm going to run through a bunch of characters here who have all been
Speaker:predicting this in one way or another.
Speaker:And the first one is John Mearsheimer.
Speaker:So, I'm going to be playing a clip from 2015, seven years ago, and
Speaker:now, he's an American political scientist, an international relations
Speaker:scholar, he belongs to the realist school of thought, he is the R.
Speaker:Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor at the University of Chicago.
Speaker:So that's John Mearsheimer, let's find, uh, uh, that clip, okay, here we go.
Speaker:But I actually think that what's going on here Is that the West is leading Ukraine
Speaker:down the primrose path and the end result is that Ukraine is going to get wrecked.
Speaker:And I believe that the policy that I'm advocating, which is neutralizing Ukraine
Speaker:and then building it up economically and getting it out of the competition
Speaker:between Russia on one side and NATO on the other side, is the best thing
Speaker:that could happen to the Ukrainians.
Speaker:What we're doing is encouraging the Ukrainians to play
Speaker:tough with the Russians.
Speaker:We're encouraging the Ukrainians to think that they will ultimately become part of
Speaker:the West because we will ultimately defeat Putin and we will ultimately get our way.
Speaker:Time is on our side.
Speaker:And of course the Ukrainians are playing along with this.
Speaker:The Ukrainians are almost completely unwilling to compromise with
Speaker:the Russians and instead want to pursue a hardline policy.
Speaker:As I said to you before, if they do that, the end result is that their
Speaker:country is going to be wrecked.
Speaker:And what we're doing is in effect encouraging.
Speaker:That outcome.
Speaker:I think it would make much more sense for us to neutral, to work
Speaker:to create a neutral Ukraine.
Speaker:It would be in our interest to bury this crisis as quickly as possible.
Speaker:It certainly would be in Russia's interest to do so.
Speaker:And most importantly, it would be in Ukraine's interest to
Speaker:put an end to the crisis.
Speaker:Thank you.
Speaker:There we go.
Speaker:That was 2015, seven years ago.
Speaker:Next one coming up is Stephen F.
Speaker:Cohen.
Speaker:This one will be from 2010, going back 12 years.
Speaker:Who's Stephen F.
Speaker:Cohen?
Speaker:His academic work concentrated on modern Russian history since the
Speaker:Bolshevik Revolution and Russia's relationship with the United States.
Speaker:After completing his PhD in Government and Russian Studies at Columbia
Speaker:University in 1968, he became a Professor of Politics at Princeton University.
Speaker:Later that year and remained on its faculty until 1998 when he became
Speaker:Professor of Politics Emeritus.
Speaker:He then taught at New York University until his retirement in 2011
Speaker:when he became Professor Emeritus of Russian and Slavic Studies.
Speaker:So, Stephen F.
Speaker:Cohen, and this is what he's got to say.
Speaker:So NATO represents on the part of Russia a lack of trust.
Speaker:You break your words to us.
Speaker:What can, to what extent can we trust you?
Speaker:Secondly, it represents military encirclement.
Speaker:If you look, if you sit in the Kremlin and you look out at where NATO is and
Speaker:where they want to go, it's everywhere.
Speaker:It's everywhere on Russia's borders.
Speaker:But there's something even more profound.
Speaker:That's a taboo in the United States.
Speaker:NATO expansion represents for the Russians American hypocrisy and a dual standard
Speaker:and they see it this way and I can't think of any way to deny their argument.
Speaker:The expansion of NATO is the expansion of the American sphere of influence.
Speaker:Plain and simple.
Speaker:Where NATO goes, our military force goes.
Speaker:Where NATO goes, uh, our arms munitions go, because they
Speaker:have to buy American weapons.
Speaker:Where NATO goes, Western soldiers go who date their women.
Speaker:Uh, they bring along their habits and all the other things.
Speaker:It's clearly Undebatably, indisputably, an expansion of
Speaker:America's sphere of influence.
Speaker:So there has been a tremendous expansion of America's sphere of
Speaker:influence since the mid 1990s, right plunk on Russia's borders.
Speaker:All the while, every administration, American administration, saying
Speaker:to Russia, including the Obama administration, you cannot have a sphere
Speaker:of influence because that's old thinking.
Speaker:Well, I mean, the Russians may be cruel, but they're not stupid.
Speaker:In other words, what they say is, we can now have the biggest sphere of influence
Speaker:the world's ever seen, and you don't get any, not even on your own border.
Speaker:In fact, we're taking what used to be your traditional sphere of influence,
Speaker:along with the energy and all the rest.
Speaker:It's ours now.
Speaker:Again, this idea of a winner take all policy.
Speaker:This is the enormous, uh, resentment in Russia.
Speaker:The relationship will never become a stable cooperative relationship
Speaker:until we deal with this problem.
Speaker:Alrighty, and another one here, this isn't a clip, this is a Stephen M.
Speaker:Walt, columnist at Foreign Policy, and the Robert and Renee Belfer Professor
Speaker:of International Relations at Harvard University, writing in 2015, said, The
Speaker:solution to this crisis for the United States and its allies, the solution for
Speaker:this crisis is for the United States and its allies to abandon the dangerous
Speaker:and unnecessary goal of endless NATO expansion and do whatever it takes to
Speaker:convince Russia that we want Ukraine to be a neutral buffer state in perpetuity.
Speaker:We should then work with Russia, the EU and the IMF to develop an
Speaker:economic program that puts that unfortunate country back on its feet.
Speaker:That was back in 2015.
Speaker:There's another interesting character in this, uh, George Kennan,
Speaker:some of you might have heard of.
Speaker:Um, he was an American diplomat and historian.
Speaker:Uh, lived from 1904 to 2005.
Speaker:So 101 years he lasted.
Speaker:So he was best known as an advocate of policy of containment of Soviet
Speaker:expansion during the Cold War.
Speaker:He lectured widely and he wrote scholarly histories on the relations
Speaker:between the USSR and the United States.
Speaker:So during his, uh, during the 1940s, uh, his writings inspired the Truman
Speaker:Doctrine and the US foreign policy of containing the Soviet Union.
Speaker:He wrote, uh, the Long Telegram from Moscow during 1946.
Speaker:And a subsequent article, The Sources of Soviet Conduct.
Speaker:And he argued that the Soviet regime was inherently expansionist,
Speaker:and that its influence had to be contained in areas of vital strategic
Speaker:importance to the United States.
Speaker:And those, uh, writings of his provided the justification for the Truman
Speaker:Administration's new anti Soviet policy.
Speaker:So Kennan played a major role in the development of the definitive
Speaker:Cold War programs and institutions.
Speaker:Notably, the Marshall Plan.
Speaker:Soon after his concepts had become US policy, Kennan began
Speaker:to criticise the foreign policies that he'd helped articulate.
Speaker:And by 1948, Kennan became confident that positive dialogue could
Speaker:commence with the Soviet government.
Speaker:His proposals were discounted by the Truman administration and
Speaker:Kennan's influence was marginalised.
Speaker:And in 1950, he left the State Department except for a brief
Speaker:ambassadorial, he was briefly the ambassador in Moscow for the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:and he was a longer stay as ambassador for the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:in Yugoslavia and became a critic of U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:foreign policy.
Speaker:So, um, in 1998, um, so we're going back now, 24 years.
Speaker:Right after the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:Senate approved NATO expansion, and he said at that time, I think it
Speaker:is the beginning of a new Cold War.
Speaker:I think the Russians will gradually react quite adversely, and it
Speaker:will affect their policies.
Speaker:I think it is a tragic mistake.
Speaker:There was no reason for this whatsoever.
Speaker:No one was threatening anybody else.
Speaker:This expansion would make the founding fathers of this country
Speaker:turn over in their graves.
Speaker:Of course there is going to be a bad reaction from Russia.
Speaker:And then, the NATO expanders will say, that we always told
Speaker:you that is how the Russians are.
Speaker:But this is just wrong.
Speaker:So, um, that was George Kennan, um.
Speaker:I just wanted to go back to, I forgot to say, in relation to Vladimir Pozner.
Speaker:He was the guy who was previously a propaganda guy for the Russians.
Speaker:And there was a bit in his, um, speech where this Ukrainian guy asks a question.
Speaker:And to me it was sort of the question that Ed might have asked.
Speaker:Remember Ed, our Russian, um, commentator in the last episode.
Speaker:And I think it's worth hearing.
Speaker:Um, that as well.
Speaker:So let me just, um, find, um, this one.
Speaker:So, back to Posner and the, uh, Yale lecture that he was giving
Speaker:and a question from the floor from somebody from a Ukrainian.
Speaker:I've been following you for many years, your work, um, going back to telebridges,
Speaker:uh, with Phil Donahue and, uh, uh, certainly, uh, some of us remember, uh,
Speaker:those days, uh, back in the Soviet Union.
Speaker:Um, I'm from Ukraine, uh, just for the record.
Speaker:Um, so, uh, I, uh, certainly shared your view about a lot
Speaker:of things that you speak about.
Speaker:Uh, today, however, I'm struggling a little bit, um, to accept your point
Speaker:of view, um, and I can't get rid of a feeling that, um, it's almost like a
Speaker:legal defense, uh, that is trying to Uh, explain the bad behavior of a person,
Speaker:uh, by the external circumstances.
Speaker:Um, I'm certainly not naive, uh, or idealistic about the policymaking in any
Speaker:country, including the United States.
Speaker:Um, and certainly I do agree that mistakes were made.
Speaker:Um, not being an expert in this field, it's difficult for me to really know
Speaker:the exact chronological sequence of the events, so it's difficult to argue what
Speaker:was the cause and what was the effect.
Speaker:Uh, of what you're describing.
Speaker:Uh, however, in your presentation today, uh, I think you, uh,
Speaker:certainly presented, uh, Mr.
Speaker:Putin as a positive, peace loving person.
Speaker:And I'm not sure that I agree with that assessment.
Speaker:Um, I made a point of up to 2007.
Speaker:And up to 2007, Putin did nothing internationally.
Speaker:That would speak of an aggression.
Speaker:Nothing at all.
Speaker:It all happened after 2007.
Speaker:It happened in 2008, with Georgia, with the war.
Speaker:Officially it wasn't Putin, it was Medvedev, but you know,
Speaker:so, uh, no big difference.
Speaker:And then all the other things that you're talking about.
Speaker:But up until 2007, until that Munich speech, when he said, Enough is enough.
Speaker:You have to respect us.
Speaker:You have to take into consideration.
Speaker:Our interest, the world is not unipolar, it is multipolar, and
Speaker:you will have to keep that in mind.
Speaker:Incidentally, that's why he's so popular in Russia.
Speaker:Not because, um, he contributed to people's living much better, although they
Speaker:did, but he was lucky because the price of oil was high and so that certainly helped.
Speaker:But because people saw him as someone who stood up.
Speaker:to the American bully, and told him off.
Speaker:Alright, so, um, so yeah, so that's Vladimir Pozner, we've done John,
Speaker:um, and he was a journalist slash propagandist, who admits he was a
Speaker:propagandist, but we've dealt with Mearsheimer, Cullen, Walt, George
Speaker:Kennan, all sort of very academic, also within the, um, foreign policy world.
Speaker:Here's another one, William Burns, um, he's now CIA director, um, he
Speaker:was the CIA director and he wrote a 2008 memo, 14 years ago, to the then
Speaker:Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.
Speaker:Ukrainian entry into NATO is the brightest of all red lines for
Speaker:the Russian elite, not just Putin.
Speaker:In more than two and a half years of conversations with key Russian players,
Speaker:from knuckle draggers in the dark recesses of the Kremlin, to Putin's
Speaker:sharpest liberal critics, I have yet to find anyone who views Ukraine in
Speaker:NATO as anything other than a direct challenge to Russian interests.
Speaker:There's also this one, John Matlock, served as US Ambassador.
Speaker:to the USSR from 1987 to 1991.
Speaker:Um, and he wrote, uh, just last month, 14th of February, 2022, about
Speaker:the Ukraine conflict, calling it, quote, an avoidable crisis that was
Speaker:predictable, actually predicted, willfully precipitated, but easily resolved
Speaker:by the application of common sense.
Speaker:Um, let me just see this bit here.
Speaker:Um,
Speaker:And he goes on to say, In 1997, when the question of adding more members to
Speaker:the NATO, I was asked to testify before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Speaker:In my introductory remarks, I made the following statement, quote,
Speaker:I consider the administration's recommendation to take new members
Speaker:into NATO at this time misguided.
Speaker:If it should be approved by the United States Senate, It may well
Speaker:go down in history as the most profound strategic blunder made
Speaker:since the end of the Cold War.
Speaker:Far from improving the security of the United States, its allies, and
Speaker:the nations that wish to enter the alliance, it could well encourage a
Speaker:chain of events that could produce the most serious security threat to this
Speaker:nation since the Soviet Union collapsed.
Speaker:That was in 1997.
Speaker:So, Katelyn Johnson in her article continues, So many people who've worked
Speaker:hard to gain an understanding of the Russian government have been warning
Speaker:for years that NATO expansionism would lead to a disastrous conflict, strongly
Speaker:emphasising Ukraine as a powder keg where that conflict could Ignite.
Speaker:Yet, we're being asked to believe that what we're seeing in Ukraine has nothing
Speaker:whatsoever to do with NATO expansion and is due rather to Vladimir Putin simply
Speaker:being evil and wanting to ruin everything.
Speaker:So, I don't know.
Speaker:If experts have been warning for many years that NATO expansion would provoke an
Speaker:attack, And the guy launching the attack is specifically citing NATO expansion
Speaker:as a driving motive for his actions.
Speaker:It seems like maybe it's sorta kinda got something to do with NATO expansion.
Speaker:Which would be great news, because it would mean the US and its allies
Speaker:Actually have a lot more power to end this war than they've been letting on.
Speaker:And no good reason not to do so immediately.
Speaker:So they were all sort of links and um, mostly from, uh, Kaitlyn Johnston.
Speaker:So Mia Shimer, Cohen, Walt, Kennan, Burns, Matlock, I got from her.
Speaker:Stumbled across, um, a clip from Joe Biden.
Speaker:In 1997.
Speaker:This is an interesting one.
Speaker:Um, when you look at him here, his face, he looks different.
Speaker:And, so Joe Biden, 25 years ago, talking about Ukraine.
Speaker:I think the one place where the greatest consternation would be caused
Speaker:in the short term, for admission.
Speaker:Having nothing to do with the merit and preparedness of the country to
Speaker:come in, would be to admit the Baltic States now in terms of NATO Russian, U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:Russian relations.
Speaker:And if there was ever anything that was going to tip the balance were it
Speaker:to be tipped, in terms of a vigorous and hostile reaction, I don't mean
Speaker:military, in Russia, it would be that.
Speaker:So the way I look at the calculus here, Joe Biden, a younger version,
Speaker:and in the same time he had this to say about, um, Russia.
Speaker:If they needed help from China.
Speaker:Our conversation was a gone off, was repeated with Leavitt.
Speaker:They talked about they don't want this NATO expansion, they know it's
Speaker:not in their security interest and on and on and said, well, and if you do
Speaker:that, we may have to look to China.
Speaker:And I couldn't help using the colloquial expression from my
Speaker:state by saying, To Zaconoff, lots of luck in your senior year.
Speaker:Um, you know, uh, good luck.
Speaker:And if that doesn't work, try a rant.
Speaker:Um, and uh, I'm serious.
Speaker:I said that to them, and these were, uh, and, and, and they know,
Speaker:I knew, they knew, everybody knows.
Speaker:That that is not an option.
Speaker:And everybody knows, every one of those leaders acknowledges
Speaker:and needs, and they resent it.
Speaker:But they need.
Speaker:They need to look West, and the question is whether this is designed to completely
Speaker:shut them out, but not entirely.
Speaker:There you go, Joe Biden saying to Russia, you won't be able to turn to China.
Speaker:Of all the clips I've played where people were very prescient and almost like
Speaker:fortune tellers with good credentials, he was way off the mark there.
Speaker:So, um, so that was a younger version of, um, of, uh, Joe Biden getting it
Speaker:right in saying that admitting the Baltic states was a risk and getting
Speaker:it wrong when, uh, the Russians suggested they might turn to China.
Speaker:And he suggested good luck with that.
Speaker:It'll never happen.
Speaker:Um, well, it's happening now.
Speaker:Um, we'll talk about that in a little bit.
Speaker:Um, look, uh, it's just, I came across one other clip.
Speaker:This one was from Nelson Mandela.
Speaker:Um It's kind of relevant.
Speaker:I'll throw it in now.
Speaker:And if there is a country that has committed unspeakable atrocities in the
Speaker:world, it is the United States of America.
Speaker:They don't care.
Speaker:They don't care for the human, for human beings.
Speaker:57 years ago, when Japan was retreating on all fronts, They decided to drop the
Speaker:atom bomb in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Speaker:Killed a lot of innocent people who are still suffering from
Speaker:the effects of those bombs.
Speaker:Those bombs were not aimed against the Japanese.
Speaker:They were aimed against the Soviet Union.
Speaker:To say, look This is the power that we have.
Speaker:If you dare oppose what we do, this is what is going to happen to you.
Speaker:Because they are so arrogant, they decided to kill innocent people in
Speaker:Japan, who are still suffering from that.
Speaker:Who are they now to pretend that the police may not work?
Speaker:Okay, now, uh, we mentioned earlier in the podcast just briefly that Apple Pay
Speaker:and Google Pay are no longer working on the Moscow Metro system, leading to long
Speaker:queues as people fumble about for cash.
Speaker:So this, uh, tweet that said, I like how we are meant to see this as a,
Speaker:as an own against Russia instead of the terrifying realisation.
Speaker:That a group of unelected tech oligarchs increasingly control most
Speaker:country's entire infrastructure.
Speaker:There is something to that.
Speaker:If you look at that and you're saying, isn't that fantastic, Apple
Speaker:and Google are playing their part.
Speaker:It is a worry that an unelected group.
Speaker:of oligarchs, tech oligarchs, have more power than sovereign governments
Speaker:and can wield pressure like this to achieve potential political aims.
Speaker:It is a worry and, um, you know, people wondered why China created
Speaker:its own internet companies.
Speaker:Um, they're, they're big enough and smart enough and they've learnt enough from
Speaker:what's happened around the world to, to actively consider the alternatives.
Speaker:When this sort of thing happens, so that they're not beholden to
Speaker:American multinational companies.
Speaker:Um, Sanctions.
Speaker:Let's briefly talk, continue with sanctions then, because Apple and,
Speaker:Apple Pay and Google Pay are sort of imposing a sanction, if you like.
Speaker:Um, bear this in mind.
Speaker:Sanctions and Malcolm Fraser.
Speaker:Um, this was from a very old article in Crikey.
Speaker:Um, when the USSR invaded Afghanistan in 1980, Malcolm Fraser
Speaker:was savage in his condemnation.
Speaker:Um, And he unsuccessfully demanded Australian athletes
Speaker:boycott the 1980 Moscow Olympics.
Speaker:But when it came to blocking wool exports to the Soviets, including
Speaker:from his own property, Fraser was far less enthusiastic, and he refused to
Speaker:follow the Carter's administration's block on wheat exports to the USSR.
Speaker:I didn't know that.
Speaker:I remember him actively campaigning to stop athletes from participating, and I
Speaker:think swimmers like Tracy Wickham were torn, I don't think she actually went
Speaker:in the end, but, you know, athletes were told, don't go and, um, we're
Speaker:going to boycott the Soviet Union.
Speaker:Meanwhile, he's still happy to sell his wheat to them.
Speaker:I did not know that until now.
Speaker:Ah, um, also, um, just thinking about Caldwell and China, um, this
Speaker:speech was made in 1965 by Caldwell.
Speaker:The government justifies its action on the ground of Chinese expansionist
Speaker:aggression, and yet the same government is willing to continue and expand trade
Speaker:in strategic materials with China.
Speaker:We are selling wheat, wool, and steel to China.
Speaker:The wheat is used to feed the armies of China.
Speaker:The wool is used to clothe the armies of China.
Speaker:The steel is used to equip the armies of China.
Speaker:Yet the government, which is willing to encourage this trade, is the
Speaker:same government which now sends Australian troops, and in the words
Speaker:of the Prime Minister, to prevent the downward thrust of China.
Speaker:The government may be able to square its conscience of this matter, but it
Speaker:is logically and morally impossible.
Speaker:So, again, we have the same stuff happening with our current government.
Speaker:Where they are banging on endlessly about the threat of China, yet are
Speaker:happy for us to sell iron ore to China.
Speaker:Gee, I just have this feeling that iron ore might be a valuable thing
Speaker:for a government to have if it was looking to wage war against us in
Speaker:the future, if you were genuinely thinking that they were a threat.
Speaker:How, you know, why would you still be sending iron off to China?
Speaker:So, it's the sort of whole pig iron bob type thing again, isn't it?
Speaker:Doesn't get mentioned much.
Speaker:Um, right.
Speaker:You might remember I did a, um, a review of Super Imperialism, which was by
Speaker:Michael Hudson a few weeks ago, which was looking at currency and how The U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:government is getting a free ride because the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:dollar is the world's default currency and essentially, they
Speaker:print as much as they like.
Speaker:They lend it at low interest to their companies who go overseas
Speaker:and buy assets of other countries.
Speaker:Those other countries, in order to protect their own currency, are forced to buy U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:bonds and recycle the money back to the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:So, um, that's what that episode was about, and, and he's been talking
Speaker:about, at some point, um, uh, China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, these countries
Speaker:that are, uh, sort of ostracized from the system, may create their own Uh,
Speaker:Currency Exchange, which bypasses the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:dollar, and when that happens, and if it catches on, um, dark days ahead for the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:who will lose a significant advantage that they've been enjoying.
Speaker:So, um, uh, he wrote an article which said, America defeats Germany
Speaker:for the third time in a century.
Speaker:So, um, let me just go on here, uh, he's saying that there's basically
Speaker:The US government is controlled by three ranches of oligarchies.
Speaker:You've got the military industrial complex, so the people making
Speaker:weapons and arms and fighter jets and all that sort of stuff.
Speaker:Incidentally they're very clever those groups, they put factories, um, in all
Speaker:sorts of strategically placed electorates.
Speaker:So that's one group, military industrial.
Speaker:There's the oil and gas group.
Speaker:And then there's the banking and real estate groups.
Speaker:So, they're the ones who the politicians are worried about pleasing when
Speaker:they're making their decisions, and um, so the military industrial
Speaker:group are obviously quite happy with what's happening with Ukraine.
Speaker:Their shares are booming, they expect to sell more stuff.
Speaker:Um, and the price of oil is also going to go up, so they will be happy, um, in
Speaker:the oil, um, and gas and mining sector.
Speaker:Yeah, um Let me just scroll through here, um,
Speaker:just looking at, um, the oil and gas.
Speaker:So Biden has been demanding for over a year that Germany prevent the Nord Stream
Speaker:2 pipeline from supplying its industry and housing with low price gas from Russia and
Speaker:turn to much higher priced US supplies.
Speaker:U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:officials first tried to stop construction of the pipeline from being completed.
Speaker:Firms aiding in its construction were sanctioned, but finally, Russia
Speaker:itself completed the pipeline.
Speaker:U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:pressure then turned on the traditionally pliant German politicians, claiming that
Speaker:Germany and the rest of Europe faced a national security threat from Russia
Speaker:turning off the gas, presumably to extract some political or economic concessions.
Speaker:Germany refused to authorise Nord Stream 2 from officially going into operation.
Speaker:A major aim of today's Cold War is to monopolise the market for US
Speaker:shipments of liquefied natural gas.
Speaker:Already under Donald Trump's administration, Angela Merkel was bullied
Speaker:into promising to spend 1 billion.
Speaker:Building new port facilities for U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:tanker ships to unload natural gas for German use.
Speaker:The Democratic election victory in November 2020, followed by Ms.
Speaker:Merkel's retirement, led to cancellation of this port investment.
Speaker:This left Germany without much alternative to importing Russian gas.
Speaker:So the most pressing strategic aim of NATO confrontation with Russia
Speaker:is soaring oil and gas prices.
Speaker:Above all, to the detriment of Germany, so it creates stock market gains for U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:oil companies and the higher energy prices will take the
Speaker:steam out of the German economy.
Speaker:Let me just scroll through.
Speaker:The long term dream of U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:nuke old warriors is to break up Russia, or at least restore it to its Yeltsin
Speaker:Harvard poised magic kleptocracy.
Speaker:So you gotta remember when the Soviet Union broke up, Yeltsin was in charge.
Speaker:U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:companies went in and made hay and bought up lots of stuff, so they
Speaker:wouldn't want to return to that.
Speaker:Um, um, I just want to get to the bit about currency.
Speaker:Here we go.
Speaker:The U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:confiscation of Russian monetary reserves following the recent theft of
Speaker:Afghanistan's reserves So, you aware of that, dear listener, like, the US
Speaker:just took the Afghanistan government's central bank reserves and said, I think
Speaker:it was like 7 billion, and said, well we're going to take half of that and
Speaker:give it to the survivors of the victims of the World Trade Center bombing.
Speaker:Just unilaterally decided to take it and use it as they please.
Speaker:It's money belonging to the Afghanistan people.
Speaker:Anyway, so they've confiscated Russian monetary reserves, um,
Speaker:Afghanistan reserves, um, not sure how the confiscation of the Russian
Speaker:monetary reserves happened, but anyway, um, there's also previously
Speaker:been Bank of England's seizure of Venezuelan gold stocks held in London.
Speaker:Um, this is going to accelerate the international de dollarisation process.
Speaker:Which has already been started by Russia and China.
Speaker:So in trade between Russia and China, they've been not buying and selling
Speaker:things in Russian, in US dollars.
Speaker:They've been using a mixture of their own currencies and gold.
Speaker:So, over the long term, Russia is likely to join China in forming an alternative
Speaker:to the US dominated IMF and World Bank.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:The most enormous, unintended consequence of U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:foreign policy has been to drive Russia and China together, along with
Speaker:Iran, Central Asia and other countries along the Belt and Road Initiative.
Speaker:So, so I see this as very interesting, actually, that, um, that those
Speaker:countries will look at systems of trade that don't involve the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:dollar, and other countries Eventually might follow suit and
Speaker:that will be a problem for the U.
Speaker:S.
Speaker:dollar, um, um,
Speaker:okay, um, the only, oh, and just personally, I'm just wondering,
Speaker:uh, whether buying gold would be a good investment in that case.
Speaker:Don't rely on this podcast for financial advice, but, uh, have a think about it.
Speaker:I am.
Speaker:Um.
Speaker:Right, what else have I got in the clips here before I nearly finish up?
Speaker:Uh, I've got that, I've done that one, um, just no fly zones.
Speaker:So there's been a bit of a talk about, about putting a no fly zone
Speaker:over the Ukraine, and People just don't understand what that means.
Speaker:I mean, there's been demonstrations where people are marching
Speaker:and saying, close the sky.
Speaker:I'll just play part of a demonstration.
Speaker:Night.
Speaker:Night.
Speaker:Knight.
Speaker:Knight, Knight.
Speaker:Night Close night, close night, close night.
Speaker:Well, if you're going to have a no fly zone over the Ukraine, that means you're
Speaker:going to shoot down Russian planes.
Speaker:Um, so if NATO or the US, or a combination, are going to start shooting
Speaker:down Russian planes, enforcing a no fly zone, then we really are heading to World
Speaker:War III, and that's not a good idea.
Speaker:So, you know, I don't blame the Ukrainian leader for, um, Asking for
Speaker:all these things, um, he's got his own self interest to try and look
Speaker:after, but that's not a good idea.
Speaker:So all right, in the chat, um, um, yeah, John says no fly
Speaker:zones, uh, for after you have air dominance, otherwise it's just war.
Speaker:That's true.
Speaker:So, um, let's see, um,
Speaker:Oh, you guys have been going on, which is good, but I don't think I can really
Speaker:go through it and keep it entertaining.
Speaker:So, thank you for your comments, especially Tom the Warehouse Guy.
Speaker:Maybe, Tom, we should have a private coffee at some stage and thrash all
Speaker:these ideas out, because I feel like you Disagree with me to some extent.
Speaker:But anyway, um, alright, well there you go.
Speaker:The whole point of that was basically to give you the context and the
Speaker:history of the lead up to this.
Speaker:It's not to say, um, Putin's a good guy and of course he
Speaker:should have invaded the Ukraine.
Speaker:And it's, it's not to say that we've gone over this before, it's
Speaker:to say, um, the events that, uh, the Western powers or the things that
Speaker:Western Powers did helped create.
Speaker:The environment that we're currently in that, uh, invariably a Putin
Speaker:character would come along and say, we're going to do this because of this.
Speaker:So, it's context and it's important to understand and, you know, if we are
Speaker:at some point with China in a similar position where we start lining up missiles
Speaker:ever closer to their border, maybe.
Speaker:We step back and we say, hey, that didn't actually pan out so
Speaker:well with Russia and Ukraine.
Speaker:Maybe we can learn a lesson and recognise that we shouldn't do
Speaker:that somewhere else and repeat it.
Speaker:So, um, so let's bear that in mind.
Speaker:Okay, I've been talking for a few hours and my voice, I think,
Speaker:has just about given up on me.
Speaker:Um, thanks for tuning in for the second part and, uh Catch
Speaker:you next week with something.
Speaker:Okay.
Speaker:Bye.
Speaker:Yeah.