Today, we are joined by Jerry Parker to discuss how recessions affect current trends and returns for Trend Followers, how to use ATR to determine the initial stop and when to switch to using a trailing stop for your position. We also discuss if it's possible to achieve comparable performance when investing through a public or private fund. Finally we turn to a few imporant topics like how “alts” or "alternatives" mean different things to different people, the Commodity Super Cycle and how it can create a false narrative, how Trend Following adapts to market regimes and much more.
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00:00 - Intro
01:57 - Market overview
09:42 - Q1, Andre: What to expect after a good run in Trend Following returns
13:51 - Q2, Ryan: How to use Average True Range (ATR)
27:05 - Q3, David: Performance in public mutual funds vs. offshore funds
32:07 - Q4, Paul: When to switch from Initial to Trailing stop and sizing your position
39:56 - Q5, Victor: How did Jerry manage to give back 200 ATRs in TESLA?
47:17 - Q6, Victor: How to Allocate your Risk Budget to avoid running out of cash?
53:41 - The different meatnings of “Alts” when it comes to investing
01:02:04 - Commodity Super Cycles - a false narrative?
01:09:51 - How Trend Following adapts to ever chaning market regimes
01:13:02 - What to expect from Trend Following in the long run
01:18:37 - Industry performance update
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here