Finding alpha is notoriously difficult.
Instead of trying to pick stocks better, what if you simply added the return of high-conviction, alternative strategies on top of your asset allocation?
That’s the opportunity portable alpha unlocks for allocators.
Join us for an exclusive webinar where we reveal how capital-efficient ETFs can be used to “port” the returns of any alternative investment on top of your asset allocation.
In this educational session, we will:
Perfect For:
Okay.
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:Well, thank you everybody.
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:for joining us today.
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:My name is Rodrigo Gordillo.
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:I'm the president of Resolve
Asset Management Global and co
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:founder and trading advisor of
the ReturnStack suite of ETFs.
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:And I'm delighted today to be joined by
Corey Hofstein, CIO of Newfound Research,
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:as well as co founder and portfolio
manager of the ReturnStack suite of ETFs.
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:If you haven't heard of the ReturnStack
lineup before, Ultimately, what
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:this suite aims to do is to unlock
the benefits of diversification.
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:And this is done by allowing you
to introduce alternative investment
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:strategies and exposures into your
portfolio without having to sacrifice
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:your core stock and bond exposure.
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:Now in the suite, Each ETF follows
the same simple formula, which is
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:for every dollar invested, we're
going to provide a dollar of either
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:a core stock or bond exposure, plus
an extra dollar to an alternative
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:asset class or investment strategy.
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:And we launched our first ETF in
February:
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:suite just actually passed over four
hundred, eight hundred and forty million
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:dollars, and hopefully rapidly toward
a billion by the end of the year.
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:We only have a couple of weeks scoring.
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:we're excited by that growth.
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:Obviously, there's a demand for it.
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:And today, uh, I'm actually quite
excited for Corey, uh, to specifically
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:talk about the return stack global
stocks in bonds, ETF, that's RSSB.
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:And he will have a chance to really
walk the audience through, through
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:the many ways that one could utilize
this unique ETF to enhance portfolio
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:diversification and really allow for all
types of unique stacking opportunities.
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:And importantly here for this webinar
is that please do feel free to ask any
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:questions along the way in the chat bot.
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:You can just type it in.
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:I'll do my best in responding real time
to you, or if I can kind of nudge Corey
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:and ask him questions as he goes along.
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:Um, so with that, Corey, I'm excited to
turn it over to you to do the deep dive.
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:Corey Hoffstein: Well, thank you, Rodrigo.
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:And thank you for that kind intro.
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:I'm personally really excited
to talk about RSSB, the Return
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:Stack Global Stocks and Bonds.
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:I think at its face, it's probably our
most boring ETF that we have in the suite,
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:but I actually think once you go under
the hood, it is our most powerful ETF.
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:This, product allows you to
ultimately stack whatever you want.
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:onto your portfolio.
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:So whatever alternative investment class,
asset class or strategy, you can now turn
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:that into an overlay on your portfolio.
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:So really excited to talk about it.
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:Before I get there though, I want to talk
about this concept of portable alpha.
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:This was an institutional idea that was
very, very popular in the:
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:me, in the, in the 2000s and then post
:
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:except among a select few
institutions who really had a
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:like extreme success using it.
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:We actually just did a podcast with
the CIO of Delta's Pension, John
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:Glidden, who had an unbelievable
turnaround at their pension.
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:You can check out our Get Stacked
podcast, or we actually published a
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:quick A case study on our website.
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:You can check that out.
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:That went live today talking about
how he used Portable Alpha to take
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:a dramatically underfunded pension
and get it to an overfunded status.
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:Really a great story and a great
success case of using Portable Alpha.
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:Where I want to start with
is what is Portable Alpha?
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:This term is coming back.
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:We're seeing it a lot more in the news.
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:If you haven't heard of it,
if you're unfamiliar with it,
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:that's that's not a surprise.
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:It really has been exclusively
an institutional concept.
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:So I want to start with a quick
explanation of what it is, and more
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:important than what it is, I want to
start with what problem is Portable
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:Alpha ultimately trying to solve.
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:And as you can probably guess from
the name, the Alpha part of the name,
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:what Portable Alpha was originally
designed to solve was for allocators
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:and professional investors who were
trying to beat their benchmark The
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:portable alpha was effectively invented
as a new way to try to beat a benchmark
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:in a more sophisticated manner.
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:So I want to start with
this picture, right?
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:Because this is actually, the story
goes back to the:
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:They were actually the originators
of the portable alpha idea.
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:It's a little fuzzy.
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:I'll give them credit.
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:There's a couple other
folks who take credit.
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:But largely I think the story starts
with PIMCO in the:
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:were running some bond mandates.
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:Now this is a current breakdown of the U.
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:S.
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:aggregate bond index, but you
can guess that probably back in
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:the 1980s, the total exposure to
treasuries wasn't too dissimilar.
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:When we look at the U.
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:S.
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:aggregate bond index today,
there is a large slug of U.
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:S.
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:treasury exposure, and so if you're
trying to beat this benchmark as a bond
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:manager, One of the choices you have
to make is am I going to touch that U.
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:S.
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:Treasury exposure or am I going to
take some off benchmark bets, right?
93
:Because there really isn't a
tremendous amount of security
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:selection you can do within U.
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:S.
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:Treasuries.
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:A 10 year U.
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:S.
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:Treasury is largely fungible
with any other 10 year U.
100
:S.
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:Treasury.
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:So if you have 10 year U.
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:S.
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:Treasury exposure in your benchmark,
How are you supposed to beat that unless
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:you go maybe buy corporates or mortgage
backed securities and take some off,
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:off benchmark bets in terms of how much
treasury exposure you're going to have?
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:Well, in the early 1980s, some very
sophisticated and thoughtful investors
108
:at PIMCO said, well, what if we, what if
we did something a little bit different?
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:What if instead of buying U.
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:S.
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:treasuries with our cash, we buy U.
112
:S.
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:treasury futures?
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:Now, U.
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:S.
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:Treasury futures are going to
give us the total return of U.
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:S.
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:Treasuries, but does
so in a levered manner.
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:So we only have to put up a little
bit of capital to get that exposure.
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:The return of those U.
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:S.
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:Treasury futures is in effect
going to be the return of U.
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:S.
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:Treasuries minus that cost of leverage.
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:And then we're going to have a
whole bunch of cash left over with
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:which we can invest however we want.
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:To make this, if you don't know futures,
sort of the simple way to think about
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:this is, let's say you wanted to buy
a house, a million dollar house, and
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:you have a million dollars in cash.
130
:Well, one choice is you
can just buy the house.
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:In this case, that would just
be like equivalent to just
132
:buying the treasury bond.
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:Or you could go to a bank and get
a mortgage, maybe put 200, 000
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:down, get an 800, 000 mortgage.
135
:You then get the return of the house minus
the cost of financing with your mortgage,
136
:and you have 800, 000 of cash left over.
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:Now, then the question becomes,
what do you do with that cash?
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:And that's where PIMCO said,
well, we can invest that cash to
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:outperform our cost of financing.
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:In our analogy, say, the cost of
the mortgage interest that you're
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:paying, well then you have effectively
added return on top of that
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:original thing you're investing in.
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:For PIMCO it was the treasuries,
in our case it's the house.
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:And so that's a very powerful concept
because it unlocks sort of that
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:beta you're getting, the treasuries,
versus how you are able to add
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:something on top by thoughtfully
using some leverage and financing.
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:Now what's important about using treasury
futures is that historically like if you
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:go look at mortgage rates today The actual
financing costs of mortgages can be quite
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:high, and a significant spread above,
say, the equivalent, uh, duration for U.
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:S.
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:Treasury, right?
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:You're gonna borrow at a
much higher rate than the U.
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:S.
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:government is.
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:But if you look at the embedded
cost of financing inside of Treasury
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:futures, it's historically been
a lot closer to T bill rates.
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:So what I have in this graph is
going back the last five years.
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:I've plotted the three
month LIBOR rate or SOFR.
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:It sort of starts LIBOR and SOFR.
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:Uh, the black line is your three
month T bill rate and the green
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:line is the embedded cost of
financing inside of a 10 year U.
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:S.
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:Treasury futures contract.
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:And what you can see is that
green line has historically, while
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:not perfectly fit, Very closely
danced around that black line.
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:And so what we can say is if we're
using something like us treasury
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:futures to replicate treasuries,
we're actually getting that
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:treasury return minus e bills.
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:And that's a, one of the lowest costs
of financing you can get, right?
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:That is the short term borrowing
rate of the us government.
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:And we're effectively able to tap
into that through the futures market.
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:The reason that's powerful and what
PIMCO did and what became known
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:as their bonds plus strategy is
they said, okay, let's replace our
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:treasuries with these treasury futures.
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:We're going to put a little
cash aside for margin, right?
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:We need that.
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:That's sort of like a down
payment for the house.
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:That's how we're managing these treasury
futures as they move up and down.
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:Now those treasury futures are going
to have Um, a financing cost equal to
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:T bills, but what if we take that cash
that's left over and invest it in short
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:term, slightly worse credit quality, maybe
some stuff with some embedded optionality
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:like mortgage backed securities, things
that we think are close to cash, cash
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:like in terms of risk, but slightly
riskier to earn a slightly higher return.
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:And if we can earn that slightly
higher return above the financing
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:rate, we've effectively stacked that
return on top of our bonds, right?
186
:And so they were able to take their
security selection advantage in short term
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:bonds to outperform cash and then stack
that excess return on top of treasuries.
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:And that's how they were able to
basically create alpha in that big
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:slug of treasuries that they had
that otherwise there was really
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:no security selection opportunity.
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:Now, a couple of years after this,
they realized this didn't have to
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:simply be done in the world of bonds.
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:They could take the same
idea and do it in U.
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:S.
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:equities.
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:I think it was 1985 or 1986 that the U.
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:S., uh, that the S& P 500
futures started trading.
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:And what PIMCO realized is they said,
look, our advantage is in picking bonds.
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:We don't think we can pick stocks.
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:But what if we simply said we're
going to buy S& P 500 futures
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:to get S& P 500 exposure?
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:We're going to put some cash aside as
margin, and then we'll use the rest of
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:the portfolio to invest in short term,
you know, high quality corporates, maybe
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:some embedded optionality with some
mortgages, again, some, some cash like
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:instruments that take on a little bit
more risk and by outperforming cash, the
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:cost of financing in those S& P futures,
we can create what looks like alpha.
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:And right.
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:And so this concept of portable
alpha is born because what they're
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:doing is generating returns in bonds.
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:And stacking that on top of stocks, right?
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:So the, where they're generating the
excess returns has now been unlocked
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:from the underlying asset, the beta
that most investors are buying for.
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:And this became known as PIMCO's
Stocks Plus program and has been
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:running since the mid 1980s, uh,
with great popularity, right?
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:Because again, the idea is you can get
your S& P 500 exposure, but you don't need
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:to pick stocks better to beat the market.
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:Hempco is able to say, no, we think
we can pick bonds better and we're
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:going to take that ability and stack
it on top of the equity beta you want.
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:So it's a profoundly powerful
construct that they unlock.
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:And this is something that in the early
:
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:of institutions who said, well, we don't
just have to pick bonds with that cash.
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:We can do whatever we want.
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:And that's where things really started
to see, well, we can take our betas,
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:whether it's stocks or bonds and stack
on all sorts of hedge fund strategies.
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:What we, when we take a step
back and say, well, what does
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:this really unlock for investors?
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:What we think this unlocks is
what we call the funding problem
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:of alternative strategies.
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:This idea that if you are traditionally
benchmarking to a portfolio of stocks and
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:bonds and you want to add alternatives
to your portfolio, you typically
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:have to sell those stocks and bonds
to make room for those alternatives.
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:So your classic 60 percent stocks, 40
percent bonds becomes say a 50, 30, 20.
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:The problem with this approach is
that by selling stocks and bonds
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:to make room for your alternatives,
you create a hurdle rate problem.
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:A hurdle rate both in the rate of
return that those alternatives have
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:to have and hopefully outperform to be
additive to the portfolio, but also a
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:behavioral hurdle rate in our experience.
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:Stocks and bonds tend to be
much more transparent to end
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:investors and stakeholders.
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:Alternatives tend to be higher cost,
less tax efficient, less transparent, and
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:just behaviorally harder for investors
to stick with over the long run to reap
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:the benefits of the diversification
that they bring to the portfolio.
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:This new world approach of Portable
Alpha, again, not really new world,
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:it's been around for 40 years, but
is being reintroduced now, allows
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:us to say, let's keep the 60 40 and
let's stack those alternatives on top.
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:So let's keep that core benchmark.
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:And use our active risk budget
to add these alternatives on top.
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:And again, we think this really solves
that funding problem because no longer
249
:do you need to outperform the stocks
and bonds you sold, you simply need
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:to outperform your financing rate.
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:And if you're thoughtful as to how
you're constructing this stacking, that
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:financing rate can be as low as T bills.
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:And what this then allows us to
do is say, well, we can be really
254
:thoughtful about where we are using
our active risk budget, right?
255
:If we are benchmarking to some
passive 60 40 portfolio and we choose
256
:to be active, does it make sense
to be active in picking stocks?
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:Well, we've all seen the SPIVA report,
for example, that would tell you over
258
:the last 15 years, Only 10 percent
of large cap managers have actually
259
:beat their benchmark after costs.
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:It's a very hard thing to do, and it takes
an exceptional amount of skill to identify
261
:those managers and stick with them over
that period to reap those benefits.
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:And even if you do, sort of the average
alpha they generate isn't that great.
263
:So on the, on the left side here, what
we have is what the return would have
264
:looked like in a decomposed fashion.
265
:If you had managed to
pick a top four tile U.
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:S.
267
:large cap equity manager over
the:
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:So the prior decade, and
what you would see is that.
269
:You would have earned a 12.
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:84 percent annualized return, about 120
dips of which would have come from manager
271
:alpha, the vast majority of which would
have come from underlying beta in U.
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:S.
273
:large caps.
274
:Consider the new world approach, which
says, well, instead of trying to find
275
:alpha in the place that's proven to be
one of the hardest to find alpha, what if
276
:we just buy our beta, right, and stack on
top, in this case some hedge fund beta.
277
:So just basically chose a generic
hedge fund benchmark, didn't even
278
:have any skill, didn't try to do any
hedge fund selection, just said just
279
:give me broad hedge fund exposure,
stack that on top, get rid of the
280
:financing rate, the cost of cash, and
you would have added 275 basis points.
281
:So really no skill needed there in terms
of manager selection, and you would have
282
:more than doubled the excess returns
you would have added to your portfolio.
283
:So again, what we think is a truly
profoundly, uh, important unlock for
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:the way we think about spending that
active risk budget for investors
285
:in the pursuit of outperformance.
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:And when you use this framework,
really what it allows you to do is
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:think of any alternative investment
strategy or asset class as sort
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:of these Lego building blocks.
289
:When we look at the long term returns,
if we cut out the cash component, if
290
:we say what are, what's the excess
component of these different asset
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:classes, whether it's gold or trend
following or market neutral, long,
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:short or event driven strategies.
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:If we subtract out that T bill rate,
whatever's left over would have been
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:effectively what we can think about
stacking on top of our betas, right?
295
:And the, and again, we can mix and
match these to whatever objective
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:or outcome we're looking for.
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:So we could say, well, instead of trying
to pick stocks, why don't we just buy
298
:the S& P 500 and stack some gold on top?
299
:Or we could stack some trend following
or some macro or some equity long short.
300
:Again, in whatever combination we want
that creates an outcome that we want.
301
:Maybe it's, we want absolute
returns, uh, low vol alpha,
302
:excess returns, or maybe we want.
303
:some sort of stack that we think is going
to provide profound diversification in
304
:certain sort of market environments,
high inflation environments, or,
305
:uh, a breakdown of fiat, right?
306
:You could think about stacking a
little bit of gold and Bitcoin.
307
:There's all sorts of creative things you
can do when you unlock this framework.
308
:Question is then, how
do you do this, right?
309
:Because I mentioned at the very beginning,
the way PIMCO did this is they bought.
310
:U.
311
:S.
312
:Treasury futures.
313
:And then they bought S& P 500 futures
and most allocators don't have the
314
:ability to do that themselves, either
because their mandate prohibits it,
315
:or they don't have the ability to
do it on behalf of their clients.
316
:And that's where RSSB comes in.
317
:And that's why we think RSSB is
such an exciting product because
318
:it allows you to unlock this return
stacking and portable alpha concept.
319
:By simply using an ETF.
320
:So RSSB, when you give us a dollar, we
are going to give you a dollar of global
321
:equity exposure and a dollar of U.
322
:S.
323
:Treasury exposure.
324
:And the way we do that is very simple.
325
:You give us a dollar and we're
going to put 90 cents in, or
326
:effectively 90 cents, in passive.
327
:low cost equity exposure.
328
:We're basically trying to give you
something as close to call it MSCI Acqui
329
:or FTSE Global All Cap type exposure.
330
:No active bets being
made on the equity side.
331
:Every dollar, 90 cents is going into that.
332
:And then we're going to put
10 cents in basically T bills.
333
:And those T bills are going to
serve as collateral for us to buy
334
:10 cents of equity futures to help
us fill out the rest of that dollar.
335
:as well as a dollar of
treasury future exposure.
336
:It's going to be a ladder of
two, five, ten, and long bond U.
337
:S.
338
:treasuries equally weighted,
so 25 percent in each.
339
:When you take that exposure combined,
what we're getting is a dollar of equities
340
:plus a dollar of treasuries, and those
treasury futures are going to include
341
:that cost of financing, and which is we've
seen is historically close to T bills.
342
:And so this tool then is is
a tool of capital efficiency.
343
:You're getting two dollars of
exposure for every dollar you invest.
344
:Now the way most people have, would have
historically looked at a fund like this
345
:would have been as a standalone, right?
346
:They would have said, well what have
global stocks done historically?
347
:What have bonds done historically?
348
:What happens if you look at something
where you stack them on top of
349
:each other and pay, you know, a
financing rate equal to T bills?
350
:Black line global stocks, blue line bonds,
green line would have been if you stack
351
:them together and pay the financing rate.
352
:And what I would argue is
this is the complete wrong
353
:way to look at this product.
354
:Because this product is not
meant to say buy this instead of
355
:global equities and you're going
to outperform over the long run.
356
:What this product is meant to
do is help you free up capital
357
:in your portfolio to then use to
stack other concepts and ideas.
358
:So in my opinion, this is a much better
way to think about a product like this.
359
:That if I put 50 cents into a product
like this and 50 cents in T bills,
360
:that return is going to look almost
equivalent to 50 percent global
361
:stock, 50 percent bond portfolio.
362
:Right?
363
:The black line, the green line match here.
364
:And that's important because that 50, 50
percent in a product like RSSB, Giving
365
:you returns that look like a dollar
in a 50 50 means that the rest of that
366
:portfolio, the other 50 cents in T bills,
can then be used to invest in whatever
367
:you want, and that will effectively
be stacked on that original 50 50.
368
:Now most people don't have a 50 50,
they have a 60 40 or a 70 30, so, and
369
:most people aren't going to want a
huge stack anyway, they might want a
370
:10 percent stack or a 20 percent stack.
371
:So the way we think about using
this is, for whatever stack size
372
:you want, you basically need to
sell enough stocks and bonds.
373
:And then get the exposure back
with RSSB to create the room for
374
:whatever alternative stack you want.
375
:So let's say you have a 60 40, 60 percent
stocks, 40 percent bonds, and you wanted
376
:a 20 percent stack of alternatives.
377
:Well, what you could do is you
could sell 20 percent of your
378
:stocks, sell 20 percent of your
bonds, and put 20 percent into RSSB.
379
:Now, remember, RSSB is going to give
you a dollar of stocks and a dollar
380
:of bonds for every dollar you invest.
381
:So that 20 percent in RSSB is
going to give you back 20 percent
382
:stocks and 20 percent bonds.
383
:And then you have left over 20
percent of your portfolio with which
384
:you can invest in alternatives.
385
:And when you take the stocks and bonds
and RSSB and add the exposure together,
386
:Through an x ray, you get your 60 40 back,
and the other things you're investing in,
387
:those alternative investment strategies or
asset classes, are now effectively stacked
388
:on top, at the financing rate, embedded in
the leverage that we manage within RSSB,
389
:again, using the treasury futures that
get you a financing rate close to T bills.
390
:And that's why, if we go back to
a graph like this, we would see
391
:that the T bill rate, When you
invest the 100 100 portfolio, plus
392
:T bills, gets you something that
looks almost identical to the 50 50.
393
:Because those treasury futures have
historically had an embedded financing
394
:rate almost equivalent to T bills.
395
:Incredibly powerful way to borrow.
396
:So then, the question is,
okay, what do you stack?
397
:And there's really, sort of, it's
an open ended conversation here.
398
:We have some biases as to what
we think you should stack.
399
:We have a strong bias that whatever
you're stacking, ideally is, has
400
:low correlation to stocks and bonds.
401
:That's where we can go back to what
Rodrigo said at the beginning, that
402
:return stacking is all about unlocking
the benefits of diversification.
403
:But we recognize some people may
want to stack for outperformance.
404
:Some people may want to stack for
diversification and downside protection.
405
:And some people might have more specific
outcomes in mind, like they want to
406
:stack some sort of fiat hedge, right?
407
:So when you're stacking for
outperformance, You might think
408
:of all these style premia, these,
these long short equity strategies,
409
:these event driven strategies like
merger arb or, or SPAC arb, uh,
410
:market risk transfer strategies or
some alternative lending strategies.
411
:In stacking for diversification, you might
think of things like trend following,
412
:or carry, or systematic macro, or even
sort of defensive equity long short,
413
:quality long short, anti beta long short.
414
:Those sort of things can be stacked on
top of your portfolio as pseudo hedges.
415
:If you're stacking some sort of
fiat hedge because you're concerned
416
:about the currency in which you're
investing in, well, you could try
417
:to stack some gold or bitcoin.
418
:Again, the combinations
are sort of endless.
419
:RSSB is just the vehicle
that allows you to do it.
420
:Question that comes up is,
okay, RSSB allows you to do it.
421
:What should we do?
422
:How big a stack size should we create?
423
:How much of this is that stack
going to impact my portfolio?
424
:What's it going to do to the
volatility of my portfolio?
425
:These are questions that
come up all the time.
426
:And this is where I wanted to
take the bold step of trying to do
427
:some sort of live demonstration.
428
:Um, We do have some tools that are
available to financial professionals
429
:and advisors through our website.
430
:If you go to returnstack.
431
:com and go to the tools section we
have some, pretty easy to use Excel
432
:tools that allow you to explore this.
433
:But I recognize while we're prohibited
from giving that to anyone but
434
:investment professionals, um, there
are other ways in which you can try
435
:to explore these concepts on your own.
436
:And so
437
:Rodrigo Gordillo: So, Corey,
why don't we, why don't we
438
:just, there's a few questions,
broad questions about the, well,
439
:Corey Hoffstein: let me, let
me just sort of finish the last
440
:point of the presentation here.
441
:and then we'll, we can
do some, some Q and A.
442
:to end things.
443
:So, so the final point here for us
when it's at, at ReturnStack Portfolio
444
:Solutions and ReturnStack ETFs is
all about when you're talking about
445
:trying to It's a question of what
do you have greater conviction in?
446
:The traditional approach to beating
the market is security selection.
447
:And, and we've all seen the
SPIVA reports and the Morningstar
448
:Barometer, Active Passive Barometer.
449
:It is incredibly hard to beat the
market through security selection,
450
:especially when you're in an environment
like we are today, where large cap U.
451
:S.
452
:equities absolutely dominate the market.
453
:The market cap, and if you're
a global investor, 60 percent
454
:of your money is in U.
455
:S.
456
:equities, and the vast
majority of that is in U.
457
:S.
458
:large cap, where alpha is very,
very hard to find historically.
459
:Our question is, are your energies
better spent thinking through portfolio
460
:construction and saying, let me just
take the passive beta, and then try
461
:to stack things on top that we simply
have a higher conviction that that
462
:combination of whatever we stack
is just going to outperform cash.
463
:Doesn't even have to be alpha, right?
464
:Your portfolio is truly indifferent
between what is alpha and what
465
:is a new novel beta that you've
never had exposure to before.
466
:Your portfolio is not going
to know the difference.
467
:And so stacking new novel betas.
468
:Can be just as, if not more powerful than
spending your energies looking for manager
469
:selection and stock selection outbound.
470
:And so that is the question
that we leave everyone with.
471
:We know where we sit, right?
472
:We clearly sit on the side that we
think stacking is a profoundly powerful
473
:concept and should be utilized by all.
474
:Um, and we think RSSB is the tool
that really unlocks the ability for
475
:people to stack whatever they want.
476
:So with that, Rod,
477
:Rodrigo Gordillo: questions?
478
:Great stuff.
479
:Great job, Corey.
480
:yeah, some questions here about
the construction of the ETF itself.
481
:Uh, can you talk a little bit
about the longer average duration
482
:of the bonds in RSSB versus AG?
483
:RSSB's duration is longer than AG, right?
484
:Um, so what's rationally
behind the choice?
485
:Corey Hoffstein: Yeah, so we go with
a very simple futures ladder here.
486
:Um, when you go and look at AG.
487
:The composition of ag includes a lot
of mortgage backed securities, which
488
:have, right, an embedded optionality
in them that makes the duration sort
489
:of, uh, change quickly, depending
on how that option gets triggered.
490
:So we opted for a very simple 25 percent
2 year, 5 year, 10 year long bond ladder.
491
:the duration, I believe, is slightly
higher than where it is Ag today, but
492
:not, not meaningfully, not, not several
points higher, probably within a, I
493
:think it's within, uh, half a point.
494
:So, it is going to be a little bit
different, but we do find that that
495
:ladder, that equal weight ladder,
actually has done a pretty good job
496
:approximating Ag without doing anything
complicated, just doing equal weight
497
:2, 5, 10, and long bond approximating
Ag, over the last 15 20 years.
498
:And a better job when you get
out of Ag and look at just a
499
:diversified treasury bucket.
500
:So if you look at GOVT, for example, which
is an index of all the US treasuries,
501
:it actually gets you pretty darn close.
502
:The reality is you can use a
lot more complicated methods.
503
:Um, but when you look under ag, right,
you have durations and optionality
504
:and, and credit risks that just can't
be captured with four simple key, key
505
:duration points, uh, with futures.
506
:And so what we opted for was rather
than adding a tremendous amount of model
507
:risk and trying to match the duration
and curvature and convexity perfectly,
508
:sticking with the simple ladder seemed
to be a, uh, very robust approach.
509
:Rodrigo Gordillo: Perfect.
510
:Now, one question here is, wouldn't
it be more reasonable to have
511
:launched with 50 percent global
equities, 50 percent global bonds,
512
:instead of having an active bet on U.
513
:S.
514
:bonds?
515
:Why did we make that design decision?
516
:Corey Hoffstein: Yeah, so I can
answer that theoretically and
517
:I can answer that practically.
518
:Theoretically, When you talk about
going with global bonds, you have to
519
:ask the question of whether you're
going to currency hedge those bonds.
520
:Because if you don't currency
hedge those bonds, you are taking
521
:much more of a currency bet than
you are an international bond bet.
522
:The currencies tend to have much
more volatility than the bonds.
523
:So you have to consider whether you're
going to currency hedge that or not.
524
:And that's, that's not a
trivial design question.
525
:Practically, when I talk about being a U.
526
:S.
527
:allocator, U.
528
:S.
529
:investors really predominantly
only invest in U.
530
:S.
531
:bonds.
532
:And so when we talk about,
unfortunately, just being a U.
533
:S.
534
:based firm, predominantly selling to U.
535
:S.
536
:based allocators, the beta
they need to be replicated in a
537
:structure like RSSB tends to be U.
538
:S.
539
:bonds, not global bonds.
540
:Uh, I would say 99 percent of the
portfolios I evaluate includes
541
:zero international bond exposure.
542
:Rodrigo Gordillo: I agree with that.
543
:Corey, so what's one of the other
questions is what is kind of the stacking
544
:advantages or disadvantages of using
RSSB versus some of our other stacks?
545
:maybe we can talk about the size of
stacking available between one and
546
:the other, and then the obvious.
547
:Corey Hoffstein: Yeah, so RSSB is
going to give you the flexibility
548
:to stack whatever you want.
549
:So that is the advantage to RSSB, right?
550
:Um, you can, whether you like the
way we do alts or not, or maybe we,
551
:there's an alternative strategy that
we don't offer yet that you want to
552
:include, RSSB allows you to do it.
553
:But the downside to RSSB is the
maximum stack you can create
554
:in your portfolio is 50%.
555
:And that assumes you put 50 percent
of your portfolio into RSSB.
556
:Okay.
557
:which then assumes you want a 50 50
base and then you're doing a 50 50
558
:plus up to 50 percent alternatives.
559
:So there's a there's an inherent limit
as to how much you can stack with RSSB
560
:because you're only getting two dollars
of exposure for every dollar you invest.
561
:Whereas the other products in our suite
which are pre stacked alternatives are
562
:giving you a dollar of either stocks or
bonds depending on the ETF plus a dollar
563
:of that alternative and so you can in
theory have up to a 100 percent stack.
564
:The trade off is being, you are accepting
our approach to doing those alternatives.
565
:Um, and I understand that there
may be alternatives that we don't
566
:offer yet that you may want, or you
may prefer another, uh, manager's
567
:approach to certain alternatives.
568
:And so the trade off is really
the flexibility versus how much
569
:of a stack size you can create.
570
:Rodrigo Gordillo: Any
thoughts on a line item risk?
571
:Corey Hoffstein: Yeah, this
is one that comes up a lot.
572
:This is sort of the practical
reality of investing.
573
:What we find is for most people, a
stack of 10 percent isn't going to
574
:move the needle in their portfolio.
575
:They sort of need a stack of about 20
percent and 20 percent of things that
576
:are, you know, a vol of, of, 10%, right?
577
:So you're talking 20 percent
of managed futures and gold
578
:and all that sort of stuff.
579
:but if you were to do all that
with just a single fund, right?
580
:Let's say you were to buy our
RSST fund, which is every dollar
581
:you give us a dollar of U.
582
:S.
583
:equity plus a dollar of managed futures.
584
:That fund has a volatility of 19%.
585
:And so if you put 20 percent into
that, it's just going to stick out to
586
:your stakeholders or end investors,
hopefully both in a good way, right?
587
:And, you know, from time to time,
it's probably going to have a
588
:higher average per year drawdown.
589
:We hope the max drawdown is less than
just something like equities, but we
590
:think on average it's just higher vol.
591
:It's higher average annual drawdown.
592
:And so that product is going to stick out.
593
:And so what we advocate for is actually,
if you're going to take this stacked
594
:approach, you really probably don't
want any individual product to be
595
:more than five, maybe at most 10%.
596
:Because otherwise it's going to
start to stick out in your quarterly
597
:reviews and going to create that
behavioral friction as well.
598
:And so there's a trade off here of,
you know, how do you achieve the
599
:stack size you want versus how many,
you know, products do you need to mix
600
:and match to make sure that none of
them stand out too much in doing so.
601
:Rodrigo Gordillo: And can I
add something there as well?
602
:I think one of the key considerations
as you assess whether you want a
603
:standalone alternative as part of your
RSSB plus alternative portfolio versus
604
:a prepackaged, you know, stocks plus
alternative in a single solution, there's
605
:also the flip side of that, right,
Corey, from a behavioral perspective,
606
:where the line item risk, um, when
you're seeing a 20 percent allocation
607
:of a strategy, as we showed earlier
from:
608
:Versus one that's prepackaged
that makes the returns of the S&
609
:P and zero returns on the stack.
610
:You know, there's also some play there
in terms of whether, you know, line
611
:item risk is important to you and your
clients, um, to consider with all of
612
:these types of stacking alternatives.
613
:All right, I think we're
at the top of the hour now.
614
:Uh, I'd like to thank you, Corey,
for a fantastic presentation.
615
:You're already getting a lot of
comments here, uh, saying that it was an
616
:outstanding presentation, and I agree.
617
:For everybody here that, um, that
wants to learn more about what we're
618
:doing, The return Stack is all about.
619
:Please do reach out to
us, uh, on the website.
620
:You go to return stack.com/contact
us and you will be able to connect
621
:with somebody from the team.
622
:We are active participants
with our investor community and
623
:help create better portfolios.
624
:So if you want to
consultation, 50 minute chat.
625
:We're available there for you on, uh, for
any advisor that wants to, to reach out.
626
:And, um, as Corey alluded to some
of the other areas of education, if
627
:you have a YouTube channel, Return
Stacked or YouTube channel, if you
628
:look that up, we have the Get Stacked
Investment Podcast on returnstacked.
629
:com.
630
:If you go to the insights page,
we have a wide variety of articles
631
:that really answer all the
questions that we've been asked.
632
:We've tried to be thoughtful
about answering that.
633
:We'll also be publishing a couple of
new, um, articles in the next couple
634
:of weeks based on some of the new
stacks that are coming out, uh, that
635
:I think people would find useful.
636
:And, uh, finally we have a section
and we have the model portfolio
637
:section and the tools base, the
section for advisors and that's free.
638
:You just need to sign up.
639
:And we need to verify that
you're an advisor and within 24
640
:hours, you'll get access to it.
641
:And again, happy to help you understand
all those, understand the tools and
642
:see how those things could help.
643
:Any parting thoughts?
644
:Anything else you want
to talk about, Corey?
645
:Corey Hoffstein: No, thank you everyone
for tuning in, especially on the
646
:East Coast during your lunch hour.
647
:We appreciate you.
648
:And if you have any questions,
uh, as Rod said, there's a variety
649
:of ways you can contact us.
650
:So please reach out.
651
:Rodrigo Gordillo: Thanks everybody.