From Lake Tahoe, Zephyr market strategist Ryan Nauman hosts Zephyr’s Adjusted for Risk Podcast featuring YieldMax ETFs strategist and CNBC contributor Mike Khouw to discuss the fast-growing trend of using options and other derivatives inside ETFs for drawdown management and enhanced income. Khouw shares his derivatives background, explains YieldMax’s approach to single-stock option income ETFs. They cover the macro backdrop (inflation, labor trends, and a potential new Fed chair), why cash flow matters for many investors, how options overlays tend to perform in different markets, and key advisor considerations and misconceptions around single-stock products, including concentration risk, taxes, and the tradeoff between distributions and price appreciation. Khouw directs listeners to yieldmaxetfs.com for fund details and holdings transparency.
00:00 Welcome and Topic
01:18 Meet Mike Khouw
02:38 YieldMax Strategy Overview
05:26 Cash Flow vs Growth
12:50 Why Options Overlays
16:05 Options ETF Boom Explained
22:42 When Overlays Work Best
30:43 Advisor Due Diligence
33:44 Concentration and Tax Angles
37:19 Portfolio Fit and Examples
43:00 Where to Learn More
43:38 Final Thanks and Subscribe
Let's go.
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:Ryan Nauman Market Strategist Zephyr:
Hello everyone and welcome to
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:zephyr's adjusted for Risk Podcast
from the shores of Lake Tahoe.
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:I am Ryan Nauman, the market
strategist here at Zephyr.
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:One of the hottest trends in the ETF
space has been the inclusion of options in
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:other derivatives within the ETF wrapper.
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:While some.
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:strategies focus on protecting
against drawdown risk.
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:Others focus on producing enhanced income.
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:I have on an industry expert who
is going to help us understand
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:what these new products mean for
financial advisors and investors.
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:But first, today's episode is sponsored
by the award winning Zephyr, which
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:helps investment professionals
make more informed investment
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:decisions behalf of their clients.
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:Alright.
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:Enough from me.
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:I have already talked enough.
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:Let's go ahead and move on
to the star of the show.
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:My next guest.
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:He doesn't need much of an
introduction, but here it is.
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:Anyway, I'd like to give a
very warm welcome to Mike Co.
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:Mike is the strategist at Yield Max
ETFs in A-C-N-B-C contributor, Mike.
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:you so much for coming on the show.
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:It's an honor to have you on one.
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:A conversation I'm looking
forward to for some time.
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:Can you please tell us a little bit
more about yourself and yield Max ETFs?
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:Mike Khouw Strategist YieldMax ETFs:
Sure.
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:Yeah, so first of all, thank
you very much for having me.
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:I really appreciate the opportunity.
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:I've spent most of my career.
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:In derivatives.
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:Trading, I started as a floor
based options specialist and market
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:maker on the Philadelphia Stock
Exchange in the mid, late:
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:Since that time, I've focused a lot
of my career on structuring and also
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:on educating investors, actually
even educating some of the traders.
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:I was part of the training program
at one of the trading firms
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:that I worked at called Bluefin
Trading, which still exists.
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:As you point out I've been a contributor
on CNBC in:
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:concept of a show called Options Action
which was the first sort of linear
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:business television show about options
g and that went live January,:
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:And they also had hits that would
go on during things like fast money.
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:And so I've been doing
that since that time.
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:And more recently I joined
Yield Max as a strategist.
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:And at Yield Max we focus on single
stock option income ETF products.
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:So essentially what we're doing
is giving people democratized.
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:Strategy in a stock, if you will, where
we own proxies for the underlying stocks
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:and then sell call spreads against it
to generate some options, a premium.
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:And then we also run a
number of funds as well.
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:We have one that focuses on the top 50
largest companies in the s and p called
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:Biggie, appropriately named, which
sells some options premium against the
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:basically 80% of the s and p, if you will.
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:We have one that we recently
launched called Quad D, which.
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:Seeks to essentially double the dividend
of the Dow Jones Dividend Index.
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:So that yields about three, three and
a half percent in stock dividends.
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:And then we try to create an options
overlay that will, on a net basis,
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:add another three to 4% net to that.
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:So hopefully getting into the
neighborhood of 7% total yield.
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:On that between the dividends
and the options income.
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:So a broad swath, we have
over 60 funds overall.
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:Ryan: That's fantastic, Mike.
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:Couple things there.
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:is financial literacy month, so
I love that you brought up the
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:education piece to list some options.
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:I'm not gonna lie, Mike, I'm a
little, whenever anyone talks about
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:single stock option overlays or
products, I get a little hesitant,
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:a little bit worried about those
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:Mike: Oh.
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:Ryan: out there or individual clients.
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:I might get into these that aren't
fully aware of what they are and
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:some of the risks such as maybe a
nav erosion and stuff like that.
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:So we're gonna talk a lot about
that since one of the reasons why
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:I'm really excited to have you on.
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:Before we get started though,
how's your:
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:Faster holding up.
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:Mike: It's going pretty well.
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:I think.
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:I'm the number two ranked analyst on
CNBC at the moment for the year to date.
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:Total returns of about, it was just
shy of 10% after the first quarter.
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:So up 9.8%
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:I think was the number that I saw.
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:In terms of total returns year to
date might be actually a little bit
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:higher because the person who did that
calculation, I didn't calculate it myself.
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:I don't know that they do an appropriate
total return calculation, and that's
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:important for the conversation of
anything that generates incomes,
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:because you need to make sure
you get the dividends in there.
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:But yeah, so I think I was number two
out of all of those that gave acronyms.
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:I didn't win it last year, but
I did manage to win it in:
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:Ryan: I love it.
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:We've got a long way.
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:It's crazy.
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:It's April, but we still got a long
ways to go to:
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:Interesting
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:Mike: way.
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:Ryan: Love it.
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:Love it.
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:Investors, they're faced
with so much uncertainty.
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:Right now we have geopolitical risk,
monetary uncertainty with, a new fed
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:chair person coming in here soon.
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:Cracks in the labor and market.
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:What's your take on the
current macro backdrop?
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:Are we still not outta the woods?
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:Are there more things
to be concerned about?
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:Mike: It's genuinely
a complex environment.
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:When, isn't it though, I guess is,
the thing I could say just bringing
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:up Kevin Walsh, who you mentioned.
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:The new Fed chairperson.
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:He hasn't been confirmed yet, but I
expect that he probably will be it's
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:a person I have a lot of respect for.
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:He is an individual who historically has
expressed some concern about excessively
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:dovish monetary policy, and I think that
if we look at the biggest missteps that
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:the Fed has taken in my professional life.
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:That certainly took place, in
that:
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:Probably actually a little bit I,
by:
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:a bit, but I think it's pretty clear
that both treasury and the Fed did
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:not fully recognize the inflationary
risks that the economy was facing, and
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:they did not respond quickly enough.
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:I'm not saying anything controversial.
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:I think by saying that, considering
that in that period we saw the highest
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:inflation that the nation has seen in 40
years and Kevin Walsh has been critical
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:of excessively easy monetary policy.
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:And, some of the quantitative easing that
went on, and I think that speaks well to,
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:the idea that he will be a steady hand.
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:On the tiller, but what are the other
things that we, as investors ought to be
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:taking a look at and what really matters?
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:Obviously we care about the
other health of the economy,
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:which is the economy growing?
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:So inflation is one part of it if
we think about the Fed's mandate.
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:The other is labor.
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:There's a little bit of concern,
I think it would be fair to
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:say we, we have seen since.
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:There was a big peak in job
creation that took place.
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:After we came outta the pandemic,
the economy began to get restarted.
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:There was massive job creation,
of course, because there was a
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:large bit of unemployment that
resulted from the pandemic.
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:The pace of job growth has
slowed very steadily since
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:it peaked in also about 2021.
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:And some of the revisions
have not been positive.
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:In recent months.
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:So I think that's a little bit of a
concern, but I think ours is a fairly
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:resilient economy, and I think that's
the thing that people need to focus on.
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:If there is any economy in the
world that is resilient, it's ours.
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:In fact, I would argue that as long as
we don't mismanage it the United States
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:is still the best economy in the world.
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:And that's not to say that there
aren't others that haven't been
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:growing faster or have seen.
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:More accelerated growth like China.
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:But China has systemic
problems all its own.
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:It also has a demographic cliff and
it still has a big lending problem to
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:deal with in their real estate market.
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:If I think about an economy that can and
should be healthy, assuming we don't get
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:into too many other sort of geopolitical
risks around the world, and obviously
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:we're dealing with one in the Middle
East right now, but if we can get to
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:the far side of that I feel pretty good.
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:Ryan: Yeah.
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:Fantastic.
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:Mike and I completely agree, and
as long as, the consumers and the
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:US consumers, they like to spend so
long as they continue spending, I
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:think I think we'll be okay there.
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:So with that backdrop
that you just mentioned.
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:Is it time for financial advisors and
then investors to focus more on cash
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:flow rather than price appreciation?
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:, Like you said, the economy's been
resilient, but so too has markets, they've
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:been resilient over the years and even
when times we think market might pull
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:back some, it just on ripping higher.
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:So why should investors focus on cash
flow now versus continue just to ride the
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:wave and enjoy the price appreciation.
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:Mike: I think it's always important
for people to think about cash flow.
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:I'm not sure that they always
do, but I think it matters, and
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:I like to think about cash flows
in two different ways as an.
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:Investor one.
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:I'm very interested in whether
the companies themselves are
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:generating free cash flow and
if they are, how they deploy it.
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:I think that's an important consideration.
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:And some of the biggest companies
in the world and in the United
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:States have been generating
massive amounts of free cash flow.
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:So investors who held them, whether
you held Nvidia, for example
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:or alphabet meta, Microsoft.
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:You could say, if I'm a young investor and
I'm thinking about the future, and I don't
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:need to use that cash flow now, then is
it all right to invest in companies that
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:pay a very low dividend or no dividend?
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:If they're growing quickly, if they're
growing faster than the economy,
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:if their EPS is growing faster than
their top line, and if their free
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:cash flow is growing faster as well.
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:I think that's fine for those investors
who only need capital appreciation because
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:they're not relying on their assets to
provide some measure of income for them.
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:There's another reason, and that
is that generally fa higher growth
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:companies what we sometimes call
long duration equity, they're also
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:gonna tend to be more volatile.
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:That might also matter less to younger
investors than it does to older ones.
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:But there certainly are a lot of
investors who don't like it when
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:their assets are highly volatile.
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:There are a lot of investors who are,
one of the reasons that they invested
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:was so that their investments could
provide them with an income at some point.
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:And the other thing is that income
producing assets or assets that throw off
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:distributions are inherently lower risk.
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:And to understand that intuitively, just
imagine if you were a bond investor.
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:And I said, okay, you can invest in
a bond that's a 20 year zero coupon.
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:So you put your money in and
hope you get your money and
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:some interest back at the end.
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:Or one that pays, biannual coupons, right?
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:So the one that's paying biannual coupons
because you're taking cash out of it
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:all the time is gonna be, lower risk.
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:And I think it's one of the reasons why.
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:You're not gonna find a whole lot of banks
that have a zero coupon car loan, for
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:example, where you go in to the dealership
today and you buy a car and five years
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:from now you owe them all of the principal
back, plus any accumulated interest.
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:That, that would certainly be a
riskier car loan to make than one
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:where they say, actually we'd like
you to start making monthly payments.
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:Ryan: I'm really glad you brought
that up about some investors.
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:They, you don't want capital
appreciation, price appreciation.
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:The market's a lot different
than, our grandparents market
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:and now a lot of growth names
are producing dividends, apple.
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:So now some of these investors, they
can get the best of both worlds in
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:a sense, at invest in some of these
growth names, but they're also producing
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:some, somewhat attractive income
based on the capital appreciation.
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:Do you think there's other ways or
other sources that might be suited
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:or better suited for equity income
during this market environment or
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:macro environment in addition to
just your basic dividend yield?
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:Mike: Of course I'm gonna be
talking my own book at this point.
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:When I say that I think options overlays
would be a, an intriguing additional
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:source of potential distributions
against an equity portfolio.
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:You mentioned Apple and it's true.
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:Here's a company that you know, one
of the greatest companies of all time,
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:and indeed they do pay a dividend.
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:But here's the problem.
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:And that is that their annualized dividend
yield is only about 40 basis points.
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:And if you take a look, I'll look
it up right now, using my handy
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:dandy Bloomberg terminal here.
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:If you're looking at the s and p in
general, the, the implied dividend yield
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:right now for one year is about 1%.
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:That means you're gonna be getting
about $10,600 per million in income.
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:That's not a whole lot right now.
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:If you look at something like the Dow
Jones Dividend Index, then you're gonna
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:be dealing with all dividend paying stocks
as the name would imply, and so that
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:yield is going to be higher in that case.
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:The yield as we speak
right now is about 3.35%.
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:So you'd be getting about $33,500 for
every million dollars you invested.
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:But if if you have monthly expenses
that are in the, say a hundred thousand
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:dollars a year range then you're gonna
need to have $3 million invested to
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:satisfy that cash flow requirement.
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:Or the alternative would be that you
can put some of your money into bonds
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:or some other kind of fixed income
and not have some equity exposure.
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:Bonds over the long run don't
have a terrific track record in
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:terms of total returns because
money gets devalued by inflation.
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:So it's nice to have an underpinning
basket of equities and that's why
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:we have strategies like Quad D.
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:So in Quad D'S case, what you're
doing is you're trying to get
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:the Dow Jones Industrial dividend
index constituent stocks.
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:Capturing their 3.35%
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:dividend yield and then putting in options
overlay on top of it by selling some call
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:spreads against those stocks that seeks to
about double the dividend on a net basis.
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:So the objective there would be,
hopefully that you're gonna get nearly 7%.
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:So double 3.35
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:would be 6.7%
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:is what our target distribution
rate on an annual basis.
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:And then you still own
the underpinning stock.
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:So you own those stocks,
you collect those dividends.
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:It for some investors though, will,
those will be viewed as qualified
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:dividends and then sell some options
strategies around that to, generate
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:a little bit of extra premium.
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:Ryan: Yeah, that's great Mike.
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:And you're exactly right in terms,
let's talk about option overlay
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:strategies here for a second.
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:They're very popular.
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:One of the hottest trends in the ETFs.
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:Based and rightfully they can
really, a big fan of democratization
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:of investment strategies.
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:For years, options were, for the
ultra high net worth institutions.
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:Now, like Yield Max's products, they're
bringing it to retail investors.
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:Is that trend, this hot trend
in option overlay strategies?
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:Is it being driven by investors, financial
advisors, or is it just asset managers
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:trying to enhance their product lineups?
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:Mike: I think it is a
combination of things.
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:First of all, options.
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:Relative to the length and time
of the stock market in the United
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:States at least, are relatively new.
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:I think what a lot of people
don't know is that options have
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:been around for a very long time.
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:In fact, one could argue that the first
options trades ever done were done
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:in ancient Greece by Theus of Miletus
on all oppresses back around 600 bc.
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:But in the United States.
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:Our first stock exchange was the
Philadelphia Stock Exchange, which was
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:founded in the late 17 hundreds, and
we didn't have exchange traded options
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:in the United States until 1973, and
that was only on a handful of stocks.
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:There were call options only they
listed puts three, four years later.
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:But they still were.
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:It was not a really popular product.
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:Now since I got into the business
in the late:
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:annual growth rate of options
volume has been significantly
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:higher than it has been for stock.
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:So I think the fact that
we've seen a big increase in
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:self-directed brokerage platforms.
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:And also the internet itself has
allowed people to educate themselves.
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:Every investor who's an auto
didact, who wants to learn about
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:things now has the opportunity.
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:You do not have to go and
buy a book about options.
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:I did write one.
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:People are welcome to go and buy that.
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:There are a lot of other good ones too.
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:Sheldon Berg's Options, volatility
and Pricing is probably one of the
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:best known amongst Options traders.
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:McMillan, there's a lot of
good books on the subject, but
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:you don't need one anymore.
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:Because information about options
is so readily available and people
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:can educate themselves about it.
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:So that's an important driver.
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:Right there.
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:Just that options, volumes have taken off.
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:People are more aware of them
and understand their risks
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:and benefits much better.
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:So that's one part of it.
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:There's another part which is that
ETFs themselves have taken off.
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:ETFs are generally speaking, a more
cost effective and tax efficient
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:wrapper for a fund than some other
more traditional approaches have been.
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:And also because they've been coming
out so fast and furious, there's
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:just a much wider array of potential
strategies that are in there.
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:So that played into it as well.
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:There have been changes in the
rules and the interpretation.
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:There was some.
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:Rules as it doesn't really matter what
they were, they'll just tell people.
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:18 F dash four was a rule
interpretation and clarification that
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:took place a couple of years ago.
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:And what it really did was better
laid out the ground rules for
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:exchange traded products that
use options in their strategy.
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:And so that allowed
once there was greater.
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:Clarification on what can and can't
be done, then it allowed for a lot
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:of these products to come out and
created a lot of innovation, I think.
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:And so when you put all of those things
together and then also combine that
329
:with, we have an aging population, a lot
of them have a lot of money invested in
330
:the markets, and more of those people
are going to get to a point in their
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:lives where they are, depending on.
332
:Taking money from their investments rather
than continuing to contribute to their
333
:investments as they transition from being
in the working world to, retirement.
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:And I think you put all of those
things together and that's one of the
335
:reasons why you're seeing such a huge
growth in these types of products.
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:The other thing I would say is as big as
these things have become, and they have
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:become big as a percentage of the overall
exchange traded product market globally.
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:There's still a relatively small
percentage, big as they are, and
339
:there are options based ETFs out
there that have, individual funds
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:that have 80, $90 billion in them.
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:So you could have a
trillion dollars in this.
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:And then you look at the size and
scale of the market overall and
343
:realize could it get a lot bigger?
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:It can, and it.
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:Ryan: Yeah, that's a great point.
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:I'm glad you brought the,
kind the history of options.
347
:I'm going to age myself here, Mike.
348
:I do that a lot on this show.
349
:When I was kid in high school, my dad,
dabbled in investing and stuff like that.
350
:He had mentioned that he an a call
on I think at the time it was Amgen
351
:and how well it did and stuff.
352
:And at the time it was like options.
353
:He was trying to explain it to
me and I was like, oh my gosh, we
354
:didn't have the internet back then.
355
:So it was like, how, what is an option?
356
:And now it's just gone mainstream.
357
:Especially like during COVID.
358
:I remember COVID, just all the reports
of all the options, the volume of
359
:options just spiking during COVID and
it really hasn't slowed down it seems
360
:and because like you said, the ETFs
now are making it more accessible, so
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:Mike: Yeah, I think we, I think
yield max trades more options than
362
:the entire options market did when
I first started in this business.
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:Ryan: Wow.
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:That's
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:Mike: That's, I realize that sounds
probably incredible, but that seems
366
:about right because there have been weeks
when we have traded eight or 9 million
367
:options contracts and that would probably
have been more than a lot of weeks than
368
:the entire options market would do in
the:
369
:is, I'm looking right now on, yeah.
370
:So right now.
371
:We're averaging close to
60 million contracts a day.
372
:And to put things in perspective,
for those that don't know much about
373
:options, an options contract usually
represents about a hundred shares.
374
:There can be reasons for corporate
actions and things like that, that's
375
:not the case in in some circumstances.
376
:But most stock options
represent a hundred shares.
377
:So 60 million contracts a day.
378
:That's gonna work out to 6 billion
in round numbers approximately.
379
:That's, you think about that as
options on 6 billion shares a day.
380
:That's a lot of activity.
381
:Ryan: That is a lot of activity and it's
just amazing how just the markets have
382
:evolved over time and it just, how quick.
383
:They move and we talked about it earlier.
384
:It's a fascinating watch.
385
:One of the reasons why I love this
industry is you would just wake
386
:up every day and you have no idea
387
:It's evolved.
388
:Are there certain market environments
we talked about, equity markets
389
:have been very resilient.
390
:Also, macro, the macro dynamics that
you mentioned earlier, there are
391
:certain environments where option
overlay strategies perform better in.
392
:Mike: Yeah, one thing I often like
to say to people is that of course
393
:some market environments are better.
394
:For different stocks, for
different strategies, then other
395
:environments are on a relative basis.
396
:And the reason is that, oftentimes
what you're doing is, squeezing the
397
:risk return balloon, if you will.
398
:So I can grab more from one
part but usually there's some
399
:other kind of a trade off.
400
:I guess the best way to think about it
this way is that these strategies will.
401
:Tend to shine in, three
basic environments.
402
:So flat or sideways markets where
you're not getting a whole lot
403
:out of, and not giving up much
in terms of price appreciation.
404
:That's a place where you're gonna
see, real out performance because
405
:you're gonna be collecting options,
premiums, but you're not really
406
:giving up anything in exchange for it.
407
:On a relative basis, that's going to be.
408
:More outperformance relative to,
just straight, long equities, and
409
:that should make sense to you, right?
410
:So if I buy a stock, I pay a hundred
dollars a share, and I sell an
411
:upside call option against it at,
say the 1 0 5 strike for two bucks
412
:and the stock does nothing well.
413
:After the end of the period, I collected
my two bucks and I do it again.
414
:And so I will have outperformed the
stock by two bucks for that period.
415
:And as many times as I do that,
I will outperform the stock
416
:cumulatively by more and more.
417
:But I think the important thing for
investors to remember is that if this
418
:is my strategy, I still own the stock.
419
:Don't I want the stock to go up?
420
:And the answer is yes.
421
:So I would say to people that,
the ideal circumstance for.
422
:Funds that own stocks or proxies for
stocks and sell some upside premium
423
:against them is that the market's just
marching steadily higher and you're
424
:getting some capital appreciation out
of your stocks and you're generating
425
:some premium from your options overlay.
426
:That's the sweet spot for the strategy.
427
:It, I've heard people say,
oh, the upside is capped.
428
:We sell call spreads, which
means we are short one call
429
:and long another, so we're not.
430
:You're not capping your
upside, but it will be reduced.
431
:That's the balloon squeezing
effect that I'm talking about.
432
:But we are still in the long strategies.
433
:We have some short ones too.
434
:You are rooting for the
underlying stocks to go higher.
435
:One other thing I would just
point out, and that is that, as
436
:time passes, how much people are
willing to pay for options varies.
437
:When things are more volatile,
they'll pay more for options.
438
:And sometimes what that can mean is that.
439
:Depending on how much the market moves
around the relative premium, you're
440
:getting the volatility risk premium.
441
:That's essentially the excess
return you expect to collect
442
:by selling options goes higher.
443
:I was just talking about this earlier
today because with all of the tumult
444
:that's going on in the Middle East right
now one of the questions that came up was.
445
:What, how does realized volatility
compare to implied volatility?
446
:The price of options compare to how
much the market's moving around.
447
:And, I looked back and I saw that about
30 days before, we're talking today,
448
:the implied volatility looking forward
in the s and p 500 was about 22.5%.
449
:Why was that?
450
:Things ha in the Middle East had
just recently conflated, right?
451
:We'd had strikes on Iran.
452
:People got very concerned.
453
:Oil prices shot up, the market
rolled over a bit, and the more
454
:anxious people get, the more they
are willing to pay for options.
455
:And so options, premiums
were much, much higher.
456
:And now we've had a month since
all of this stuff, even more to
457
:look back and say how much did
the market actually move around?
458
:And the market was expecting 22.5%
459
:implied volatility.
460
:That means an annualized standard
deviation of about 22.5%,
461
:and the market realized about 18%.
462
:So that means that options, if we
look at that 30 day window, one month
463
:window, thereabouts, were overpriced
by about four or four and a half
464
:clicks of all which is, about 20%.
465
:So it's been a good time to be.
466
:An option seller, and that's
not always gonna be the case.
467
:Sometimes you get really big
exogenous shocks and sometimes
468
:you just wish you weren't in the
market at all when that happens.
469
:But, and we don't have a crystal ball.
470
:We can't see that coming, but it's in
this way that, sometimes you can benefit,
471
:but from uncertainty a little bit.
472
:Ryan: I, when it's done correctly,
uncertainty, volatility can
473
:be an investor's front, They
474
:Mike: Exactly.
475
:Ryan: of it.
476
:So I'm gl really glad you
brought up both sideways markets.
477
:PE ratio, vol valuations been very high.
478
:So based on that, a lot of people, a lot
of talking analysts predict that, you know
479
:what, for the next couple years, maybe
markets are gonna be a little bit flat.
480
:There's not gonna be 10, 20%
returns that we've seen recently.
481
:So with the valuations high and
past, research that, we could have a
482
:sideways market or we're not gonna see
double digit returns moving forward.
483
:So maybe a good environment here
for some of these option strategies.
484
:Mike: Yeah I don't know which work you're
thinking of when you cite those numbers.
485
:JP Morgan put out a, an
interesting piece recently and I
486
:encourage people to look for it.
487
:It's a scatter diagram basically,
and what it does is it shows the
488
:price to earnings of the s and p.
489
:Plotted against the forward
returns over the subsequent decade.
490
:And as you would expect, the
higher the valuation that you pay
491
:for an investment, the lower it's
expected returns are over time.
492
:Which is exactly what you would expect.
493
:You can imagine that if I have an
investment where I think it's gonna
494
:make 5% a year but then instead of.
495
:Buying it when it implies 5%, I buy it
when it implies four, that my expected
496
:returns are gonna be somewhat less, right?
497
:So if you pay more for the
future earnings, then your return
498
:would necessarily be lower.
499
:The another way to think about this
is that if you take a look at the
500
:returns over the last century or
so, for as close a proxy to the
501
:s and p 500 is we can create, the
long term average annual return.
502
:Is in the mid-high single digits.
503
:Now, we've been getting much, much
better than that over the course
504
:of the last couple of years.
505
:But realistically, can we expect that rate
of constant price appreciation to persist
506
:from, one year to the next indefinitely?
507
:Some mean reversion is to be expected.
508
:The US economy grows probably
what, three and a half, 4% per year
509
:revenues in the s and p probably
grow at six, six and a half percent.
510
:And the compound annual growth rate
for adjusted EPS on the s and p has
511
:probably been close to 8% of late.
512
:At some point, it would be
realistic to assume that your
513
:annual returns would appreciate.
514
:Possibly with the, with, the
average rate of adjusted EPS growth.
515
:That would make sense.
516
:And if that's true, then 20% a
year is probably unrealistic.
517
:And if you are looking to get something
better than the rates of return,
518
:that a mean reversion would imply.
519
:It probably makes some sense to, to
spread your chips around a little
520
:bit and look for some investments
that pay some distributions as well.
521
:Ryan: Yeah.
522
:Yeah, that's a great point, Mike.
523
:Let's go back.
524
:I mentioned at the beginning, I'm a
little bit hesitant about some of these
525
:single stock option overlay strategies.
526
:talk about that for a second.
527
:What should financial advisors consider?
528
:Maybe they're like me, where they're
a little bit hesitant, incorporating
529
:them into their client portfolios.
530
:I often talk a lot about MA alignment,
making sure these products align
531
:with their client's objectives.
532
:What should financial advisors
consider when thinking about.
533
:Incorporating these single
stock option overlay strategies.
534
:Mike: So the single stock options
overlay strategies are basically intended
535
:to be a replacement for affecting an
options overlay on that stock yourself.
536
:So essentially I'm going to allow
people who trade millions of contracts
537
:every week to do my, covered call
spread strategy on Nvidia, for example.
538
:So if you don't wanna manage that strategy
yourself, and there's a lot to ma manage
539
:because you have to adjust the strikes
and roll those positions at least once
540
:a week if you're using weekly options.
541
:If it's a call spread, that's two options.
542
:And it's a whole lot easier of
course for a lot of people to say,
543
:you know what, I'm just gonna buy
Nvidia rather than buy Nvidia and
544
:manage that options process myself.
545
:So that's really who that's intended for.
546
:You already know that you want that
stock and you already know that you
547
:wanna run an option strategy on it.
548
:So that's really who the single
stock strategies are for.
549
:One of the things that I sometimes see
and have heard people say is they will
550
:just comb the universe and say, oh, this
one looks like it has a big distribution.
551
:I'm gonna buy that.
552
:Looking at a single stock options
income strategy product, and thinking
553
:of it kind of the way you might have
historically thought about a mutual
554
:fund, that's not what these are.
555
:These are strategies on stocks that you
can deploy, essentially democratizing
556
:a strategy that logistically would be
too difficult to affect for yourself.
557
:So if you have that stock and you
know you wanna run an options income
558
:overlay strategy against it, the ETF
might be a better solution for you
559
:in terms of much e, lower complexity.
560
:Perhaps there might even end up being
some tax efficiency in it for you.
561
:And it trades with the
convenience of a stock.
562
:So that's really who those are for.
563
:We also have diversified portfolios
though, so if you just want to do
564
:semiconductors, then you would do
something like a chippy or a soi.
565
:If you were looking for the,
large cap equities, then it
566
:would be something like biggie.
567
:And that's more of an
investment in the strategy.
568
:Pre diversified, whereas the single
stock strategies are basically, I like
569
:that stock and I wanna run an options
income overlay strategy against it, and
570
:I'm gonna let these guys do it for me.
571
:Ryan: Yeah, that's great.
572
:And a lot of, especially on the tech
side, these tech companies, a other
573
:employees might have a overweight in their
firm's employee stock option plan that
574
:I'm assuming these single stock option
strategies can help hedge against that.
575
:There's some other strategies.
576
:There that can diversify that portfolio,
maybe hedge against that single stock
577
:risk of having a portion of your
portfolio in your company's stock.
578
:Mike: Yeah, it's funny that you should
mention that I have spoken to people who
579
:have heavily concentrated core equity
positions that want to use options,
580
:overlays specifically for that reason.
581
:I've spoken to people who have worked
for and have retired from, and then
582
:that's an important point I would make
because if you're a current employee.
583
:And you're receiving RSUs
restricted stock units.
584
:You may or may not be permitted to, to
trade options overlays, but I have spoken
585
:to people who, for example, worked at
Nvidia retired several years ago, held
586
:on to some of their stock, never realized
what that stock was going to do and have
587
:generated seriously generational wealth.
588
:I've directly spoken to people who.
589
:Have made hundreds of millions of
dollars in that company just that one.
590
:And now are aggressively looking
at options overlay strategies.
591
:'cause they're interested
really in two things.
592
:One, they want to generate some income
and Nvidia doesn't pay a big dividend.
593
:So they, they can't just hold the
shares and wait for a quarterly
594
:dividend to support their lives.
595
:And in many cases.
596
:As their net worth swelled
because these stocks appreciated
597
:so too did their lifestyle.
598
:So people who once upon a time might've
lived on $300,000 a year now live on, I'm
599
:not kidding, $300,000 a month, let's say.
600
:And they can sell off shares of the stock
to do that, but oftentimes that's not
601
:what they want to do because it has a tax
consequence if they sell their shares.
602
:And secondly.
603
:This is a refrain I hear all the time.
604
:They say, every single time I thought
I, I should sell some stock and didn't.
605
:I'm so glad I did not.
606
:So they've actually gotten
to the point where they don't
607
:know what the stock's gonna do.
608
:They're afraid to sell it because
they don't want the tax consequence.
609
:And also, by the way, Invidia
being based in California, if
610
:you're a California resident, you
are a Cal California resident.
611
:I think.
612
:You might be on the, in, in Nevada side.
613
:I am in California.
614
:The tax laws are not particularly.
615
:Friendly if you are selling appreciated
stock because they don't have a
616
:concept of long-term capital gain.
617
:So it's not tax advice.
618
:I'm not a tax lawyer or an
accountant seek your own tax advice.
619
:But I will tell you that I do know
a lot of people who have appreciated
620
:stock holdings that are using options
overlay strategies to generate
621
:distributions off of their core
holdings without selling those holdings.
622
:And in some cases also to
hedge them a little bit.
623
:If you sell premium against an equity
portfolio, you're effectively reducing
624
:your basis through the course of time.
625
:Is that a complete hedge?
626
:No.
627
:Does it mute the downside of it?
628
:Yes.
629
:Ryan: Yeah, Mike, that's great.
630
:I love that example
too, because especially.
631
:with concentration risk, I'm sure a lot of
portfolios out there are, heavily weighted
632
:to whether it's the MEG seven or the
mega tech, or in your case, like we were
633
:talking about, just the individual stock.
634
:So great insight there.
635
:Lastly.
636
:Financial advisors go back to them.
637
:What do you tell them?
638
:And people like me, what do you tell
them when they think these strategies,
639
:particularly the single stock
option, they're just too complicated,
640
:too risky, implied volatility.
641
:Just another thing they
need to think about.
642
:They have nav erosion they heard
about, it's I don't wanna touch these.
643
:What do you tell those
financial advisors about these?
644
:That maybe there's some
misconceptions out there to get
645
:over 'em and that you know what?
646
:They are good strategies for a portfolio.
647
:Mike: Yeah, I guess I would
say a couple different things.
648
:First of all number one, if you're
looking at options, income strategies in
649
:general, and you're not a stock picker,
and look, some, a lot of investment
650
:advisors are also not stock pickers.
651
:They may be picking stocks or
they may have stocks selected by
652
:their clients who say, I want to
own this, I heard a great thing.
653
:I don't know whether they heard it at
the barber shop or they heard it from
654
:their best friend, or, they've been
reading the paper and they have an idea
655
:that they want to be in a certain stock.
656
:Sometimes individuals have their own ideas
and sometimes they're right to have those
657
:ideas, and if they have selected a stock.
658
:And they would like to run an options
income strategy, then the single stock
659
:strategies might be an appropriate case.
660
:If an advisor has a strong conviction in
a given underlying stock and is tracking
661
:options, prices and says, I like the
stock technically right here, it feels
662
:like it's probably gonna be range bound,
but the options premiums are high.
663
:I think we want to run an options overlay
strategy against the stock, but I'm
664
:not going to, I'm talking to clients.
665
:I am doing a lot of other things.
666
:I can buy a strategy like this and
I'm gonna allow people who do a lot
667
:of options trading to manage that
for me, I think that's a great case.
668
:I think also it's not a bad idea for
people though to have allocations to
669
:the more diversified products, the
ones that run a diversified strategy
670
:and have an options overlay strategy
against that to generate some income.
671
:The example I would provide.
672
:And I think this is illustrative is that,
as I previously pointed out something
673
:like our large cap 50, so I'm just, I'm
going to u use my Bloomberg terminal now.
674
:I'm just gonna compare what it did
versus the s and p, which, is essentially
675
:gonna behave a lot like it last year.
676
:So looking from December 31st,
:
677
:Okay.
678
:And if you look at that so
the s and p saw a 16.35%
679
:price appreciation from December from
the end of:
680
:24 to the last trading day of 2025.
681
:So if you brought spy, let's say that's
probably the biggest proxy, everybody
682
:knows that you'd have seen 16.35%
683
:price appreciation, and your total
returns would've been higher.
684
:You would've gotten 17.72%.
685
:What's the difference?
686
:Remember what I said.
687
:The s and p is giving you a
dividend yield of about 1%.
688
:Now, it was slightly higher
last year, a little over 1%.
689
:So the difference, 1.4
690
:ish percent was the dividends.
691
:So you bought stock, they went
up 16%, and then you got a
692
:little over 1% in dividends.
693
:And that's a great outcome, right?
694
:But for some people, that dividend
distribution wasn't sufficient.
695
:Biggie nearly tracked.
696
:Step for step how the s and p
behaved, because 80% of it is
697
:the exact same underlying stocks.
698
:So you're gonna have those stocks,
you're gonna get those dividends,
699
:but then additionally, you're
selling some options premium.
700
:So biggie's price appreciation
for:
701
:Now remember what I said for spy 16.3,
702
:16.4.
703
:Biggie appreciated 4.5%,
704
:but your total returns were over 19%.
705
:And that's because it's been paying
out distribution all of this time.
706
:And that distribution was more
than 14% of your initial investment
707
:throughout the course of the year.
708
:And I think that's really the point
that I would make for people is
709
:that you can choose a strategy that
will behave more like the underlying
710
:stocks or almost exactly like them.
711
:Quad D will behave a lot like the stocks
and get a little bit of options income,
712
:or you can get something that behaves
where your total returns are similar
713
:to stocks, but your price appreciation
isn't gonna be as much, but you're gonna
714
:get regular distributions like Biggie.
715
:Or you can just say, I love Nvidia.
716
:I wanna run in options
income strategy on that.
717
:So I'm gonna pick something like
NVD and that's gonna be mostly about
718
:getting distributions, but your nav
is, that's the trade off you're making.
719
:How much appreciation do you want?
720
:Versus how much distributions do you want?
721
:The more distributions you want,
the underlying asset's gonna
722
:have to really perform well.
723
:For to see considerable
price appreciation.
724
:And we did see that in, in
semis last year, but that's
725
:not gonna happen every year.
726
:There's, I've never seen a sector
that goes up 50, 60% year after year.
727
:Ryan: I wish there was Mike.
728
:I wish
729
:Mike: Oh yeah.
730
:Wouldn't that be great?
731
:Ryan: it would be fantastic.
732
:Mike, I knew it was gonna be a
really fun conversation and it was.
733
:Thank you for bringing
so much great insight.
734
:Really.
735
:It's been an honor on
a very important topic.
736
:Like you said, demographics, people are
aging, income is more important than
737
:ever now in such a great topic that,
another strategy that can help investors.
738
:During their retirement age.
739
:It was such a fun conversation.
740
:Thank you, Mike.
741
:Where can our audience get more
information about yield Max ETFs?
742
:Mike: The best place to go for
sure would be yield max etfs.com.
743
:We have all the information
about all the respective funds.
744
:All the tax information is there.
745
:You can actually go and see the
holdings of every single fund.
746
:They're updated every night.
747
:There you can see the transac.
748
:That took place, and that's a
really great place to get started.
749
:Ryan: Unlike what some people may
believe, I do some research here.
750
:Mike and I did check out yield Max.
751
:You guys do have a lot of great
insight and I love the transparency.
752
:So important.
753
:I love the transparency on the website.
754
:So thank you and thank you so much
for listening to this episode of
755
:Zephyr Adjusted for Risk podcast.
756
:You can watch all of our other episodes
on the Zephyr YouTube channel, all the
757
:other platforms that you may listen to
your favorite podcasts on, and please
758
:be sure to like and subscribe to those
channels and give us a follow on LinkedIn.
759
:Thank you very much and have
a great rest of your week.