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Episode 25: Experimental Design in Learning: Measuring What Works with Chris Grady
Episode 2519th June 2026 • Tangents with TorranceLearning • TorranceLearning
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Hey, Megan, let's do a podcast. Great idea. What

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should we talk about?

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Hey, it's Megan from TorranceLearning and another

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installment in our Tangents with TorranceLearning Podcast. And one

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of the things that is super, super cool about my

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job and the work that I do is I get to talk to all sorts

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of really interesting people. And the

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cool part about having the podcast is that I get to share those conversations

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with everybody. And so what I'd love to do is

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introduce my new big nerd of a

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friend, Chris Grady, and have a conversation that

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may feel at first like it comes out of left field, and then all of

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a sudden it's going to say, oh, my gosh, this is like what we do

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here in Allen Date. So, Chris, welcome.

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Well, thanks for having me. And thank you for introducing me as a giant nerd.

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That is my official title. Chris Grady, Giant Nerd. I

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think maybe you need a little bit more of an official title than that, but

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I don't mind Giant nerd. Yeah, well, for people listening, I'm a

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researcher, and I'm a former senior advisor at usaid, where I help design and evaluate

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development programs, which, one might say has

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nothing to do with learning development other than that the word development

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is in both. And yet in both cases.

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Stop me if I'm wrong here. In both cases, we are doing a

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whole lot of effort aimed at a whole bunch of people

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or a targeted group of people in order to get them to do or

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change a behavior that we feel is

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good for them or good for us or good for something. Is that a fair

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description? Yeah, that's fair. I mean, most interventions at

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USAID were about behavior change. Right. We want people to do something different than

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they're doing. And that's most of the interventions in the world. Right. If you're doing

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an intervention, it's because you want something to change, and that's usually people's behavior.

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And then the key question is, did it work? And how do we know if

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it worked? And so that's what I specialize in. Okay, that's

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fascinating. And one of the things that so you

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presented earlier this year at an

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ATD intensive on measurement and

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analytics, and we. What was really cool was your

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entire conversation around experiments.

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And experiment is a word that generally

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feels very unsettling in the learning and development world because we want to

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come across as professionals. We know what is right for us.

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And while we love to iterate,

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that's part of what we do in our Agile process.

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We don't often call it an experiment.

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What do you mean when you say the word experiment?

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I mean something, I guess, very technical. You've got some group of people

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and you split them and then you do something to one group and don't do

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something to the other group. And that way you can learn the effect of the

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thing you did. Boom. Experiment.

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So if I were to say, gosh, it

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sounds like drug trials or university

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research or something like that. Is that a good

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analogy? Exactly. Drug trials, university

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research, they all almost always use experiments as their main tool for

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learning. So drug trials, right. You give the drug to some people and not others,

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randomly assign who gets it and who doesn't, so you can learn the effect of

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the drug. You can apply that same logic anywhere. Right. The same logic applies

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whether it's a social innovation, a drug trial, a diet, or

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anything. Anything you want you can do an experiment on and learn the effect of

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it. Okay, this kind of sounds

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like the scientific method. Yes. Yeah, it's very motivated

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by the scientific method. Right. You have a hypothesis and you want to test that

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hypothesis, and the experiment is the test. Okay. And

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then generally don't you end up with more questions at the end of all these

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things? Yeah, that's the best part. Every

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experiment, you analyze it, you get results, and then you want to know why did

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that happen? Or something will pique your interest in your brain, your curiosity.

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Then you can do another experiment. A never ending cycle of experiments. That's my

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dream. Megan, you are a big nerd.

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Okay, okay. So, all right. When

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I'm thinking about this process and how it unfolds, when does

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somebody decide they need to test

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this or measure this or design an experiment? Right.

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In my mind, not really knowing a lot about how these things work,

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somebody comes up with a good idea, somebody goes and they gets grant money, or

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they get budget money, or they get money money to be able

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to go do a thing that they think is a good idea and they start

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doing it. At what point in that process

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is the experiment designed? Like at the beginning, before

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you start doing the thing, before you start even designing the thing. Or does

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somebody say at the end, like, hey, I wonder if that worked? Which is, by

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the way, where we unfortunately often

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end up in learning and development, although we're trying to work our way back up

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that cycle. Yeah, unfortunately it's true. Most people start

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to wonder if it worked after they did it. But that is too late for

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an experiment. Right. Because to do an experiment, you have to randomize who gets the

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thing. And so you can't, after you've Already done the

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thing, it's too late to randomize it. So what often happens is

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you do a thing for usaid, it would be some development

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program, right? So a way to like help a country collect more taxes.

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And then you want to know if it worked. So what you have to do

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then is do it again, right? Maybe in a different place, in a different location

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where you can randomize it. And so I think that's actually a good process

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because you do it once almost as a pilot. You kind of figure out how

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to implement something and you get a sense that it might have worked, right?

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And so then you want to know, you want some rigorous evidence that it did

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work, and then you do an experiment on it. So I think that's a good

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workflow. Like first do something as kind of a pilot, and then if you think

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it works, you want to scale it up and do it everywhere and do it

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a lot, then it experiment. So you've got more than just a proof of

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concept, you have rigorous evidence that it was effective. Okay, so this is a

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multi step. So this is interesting. So the way

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learning project works, we're often like, go do this thing and we do a bunch

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of analysis and we do some design and some development work. And then

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there's generally a pilot group if we're smart, or a beta test or something.

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And you're saying maybe

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you're not saying this, I'm interpreting this, maybe like

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we do that pilot, we do that beta, but then

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that next iteration is actually an experiment where we

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say like, is this actually. So we've proven it kind of works, and then we

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should test whether or not it actually has the intended effect on the

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audience. Yeah, absolutely. Because it's very easy to

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delude ourselves into thinking something works when it doesn't. Because we want it to work.

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Right. If I'm at USAID and I've helped design a program, I

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think it's going to work. I designed it to be effective. And so

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unless I have rigorous evidence that it doesn't work, I'm going to assume it does.

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And so sometimes we need an experiment to check ourselves. And another good

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reason to pilot is that you want to know if the intervention

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works or doesn't work. Not because you're

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learning to implement it, but because it being implemented well is working

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or not. Because something you might try and think of some example, but

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something might be failing not because it doesn't work, because you don't know how to

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do it yet, like riding a bike, right? It might take some time to Figure

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out how to ride the bike. And then after that, you want to test if

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you're faster or slower riding than running. If you only test it, when someone's

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learning to ride a bike, it's going to look like they're slower because they're falling

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off the bike. But once you learn to ride the bike, it's much faster,

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obviously. So you have that same issue when you're piloting a program, right? When

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people pilot, they're essentially falling off the bike over and over until they learn how

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to pedal. And so you don't want to be testing them falling off the bike.

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You want to test the bicycle. You know what I mean? I totally do. I

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totally do. And it occurs to me this is, we're falling

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into this. It's a little bit intentional, but

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a client of ours, government client, asked us

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to build an AI practice module. Yeah,

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it's pretty fancy. It's actually super constrained

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because for us, we want to make sure that it works and it doesn't go,

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like, off the rails. But

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the, the first asked was, can you build an, an

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mvp, basically a proof of concept. Can it do its thing? And we

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shopped that proof of concept around a bunch of, you know, different

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stakeholders. And at the same time, we're, every time we're, we're

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shopping it and demoing it, we're punching that. Kicking the

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tires, whatever you do to tires, right? Don't puncture tires. That's a bad idea. But

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we're kicking the tires and, and, and, and really

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kind of working on this. And then our next

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iteration, we're actually building out because

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this audience happens to be really, really

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pure, like as, as pure as you're going to get in L and D. And

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we're going to talk about that in a second. I'll tell you a little bit

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about our world, but we have a large

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population, about a thousand learners who all have exactly

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the same job, and they're taking exactly the same learning

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program. And we are going to give half of them a randomized group. Half

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of them will get the AI practice, half of them will get the same

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exact module, but it won't be AI. It'll just be

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straight up. And then we'll be able to assess

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their performance. At the end on. I think we have eight different metrics

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that we're looking at. But all of that

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is before we spend the big money to scale it up

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100 times the size to a much, much larger audience. So

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it was interesting in the design of that. I was hanging out with another big

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Nerd. And I said, oh,

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I'm kind of feeling awkward here because

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we've got this AI practice. We're going to give it to half the audience and

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the other half isn't going to get it. But what if the other half, like,

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but then they might fail the test and they might not get their job and

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all this stuff. And this big nerd's

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response was, you're assuming that this is going to be better.

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Exactly. Like, oh, my gosh, what a butt punch.

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Right? I was like, oh.

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But yeah, like, yeah, I was assuming that this beautiful

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thing we're making was going to be better. And how much better to

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test it than to make that assumption? Right. So,

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so how do we. And this kind

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of came up during the ATD intensive too. Right. Most people

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say it might be infeasible. We don't have the budgets, we don't have the

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time. It's unfair to, you know, if, if.

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How do we. How do we make ourselves feel better? Or how do we

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design an experiment that's feasible in an

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environment? Well, we have to train everybody. Got

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any ideas? How have you tackled this? Yeah, it's a good question.

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Also, the ethics of an experiment came up a lot at usaid,

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but I think that this ethical question comes up a lot when you

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assume that the thing works, because then it would be wrong to not give it

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to everybody. So what we've done is, well, we don't know if it works yet,

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so let's do the experiment and then if it works, give it to the control

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group who didn't receive it. You can always give it to them later. Right.

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And you also find often, if you think about it, it's

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almost unethical not to do the experiment, because what if what you're doing

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not only doesn't have any effect, but it's harmful and you've

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actually done something harmful to people. You want to know that and you want to

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not be able to do it. And if something's ineffective, you don't want to waste

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a bunch of money on it because that's not helping people. So the best way

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to help people do the experiment early, figure out if something works or not, and

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then roll it out to everybody. So that same logic should apply in

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training. Like your example with an AI training module.

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What if the AI was worse and it made people worse at their jobs? You'd

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want to know that. So you don't roll it out to everyone. And if it's

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completely ineffective, you'd also probably want to know that too, because it's probably costly to

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roll it out to everyone and so that money could be better spent elsewhere.

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Totally, totally. Because it's a lot more expensive to build AI training than

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straight up elearning. Yeah. Okay,

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so that's really helpful perspective and

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probably tweaks the messaging that a lot of L

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and D people need to be engaging with their business

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on learning and development is

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often. Especially when it's employee development. Right. It's a, it's a.

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Well, it is not even often. It is a cost center. It is an

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expense to the business and not often

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seen as a source of competitive advantage.

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It's not often seen as an. Yeah, we say it's an investment in

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people and it is an investment in people. But

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when times are tough, what gets cut? It's training. Right.

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Marketing is also an investment in the business that doesn't get cut as

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much. So we're kind of in this tricky

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spot. What that means though, is that a

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lot of times people want to, when they say like, oh,

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Megan, I want to measure some stuff, I say, oh, great, why do you want

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to measure? And they want to prove their worth to the

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organization does that. To me, that sounds like, oh,

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that sounds biased. Am I thinking of that right? Yeah.

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When you're doing the experiment, you. You want to be accepting of

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either result. Like if something works or doesn't work.

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Yeah. And you wouldn't want to go in desiring a certain

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outcome. Right. Because you're going to. There's unconscious ways you can

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kind of make that outcome be achieved. There's lots of

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little effects. Like if you bring someone into a lab and

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you want a certain, you want them to respond a certain way, they tend

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to pick up on that, even if what you're doing is unconscious. And then they'll

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respond that way. And so it would look like whatever you did had the effect.

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But it's people's social intelligence coming out. That's why you often see

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in medical trials and other rigorous studies, double blind.

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So the experimenter, when someone comes in, the experimenter doesn't know if

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that person's in the treatment group or control group because the experimenter knowing

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biases the respondent. That's why in a drug trial, they'll often

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give people a pill in the control group, but it's just a salt pill. It

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doesn't have any medicine in it. Because they don't want either

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side to know which group they're in because people will manifest something themselves.

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That sounds like you might have a similar problem here. If you want to Find

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something, you're often going to find it. But it's difficult then to

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unbiase yourself. How do we unbiased ourselves? We're human beings, we're all biased.

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So, yeah, I don't have a good answer for how to do that unless you

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can find some way to bind yourself. Maybe you

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remove yourself a bit from the actual analysis of the

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experiment or implementing it and have somebody who

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doesn't have a stake in the results being kind of a positive outcome do

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that. But that, yeah, that's tough because who

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else is going to implement and analyze the experiment if not, you don't

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have a good answer. Megan? Well, you got me in a pickle.

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We say, like all good questions spawn more questions.

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Well, I think one of the things that in many organizations,

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right, we're starting to get data scientists brought into,

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or at least data analysts brought into the learning and development

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team. I even heard last year a team that

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had combined and they called it Learning, Design and Analysis. And I thought,

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oh, my gosh, that's amazing. And, and, and some people

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are finding in their organizations right there. They have a

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finance team or a marketing teams already doing this kind of analysis

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on surveys and stuff, or

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they're engineers or they're R and D folks who can have maybe a little bit

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more. They're a little bit more detached, but they also have the statistical

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analysis and tools to be able to do some of this work

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that is helpful. It also

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occurred to me, I wonder if there's like college interns or

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people who would love to have to work on this kind of thing.

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Yeah, I bet college interns would. I mean. So I've been going back

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thinking about what you would ask. I think we need to, in our minds, often

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reframe things we think. Like, if you do something and you find

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no effect, that's bad. No, that's great. You've learned that

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you don't need to do that, you know, and that's great. You can do something

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else. That gives you the freedom to, okay, let me design something new. Let me

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design something better. So we shouldn't go into it thinking, oh, if I find

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that what I did was ineffective, that I failed. No, that's like, that gives you

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another opportunity. You've learned something valuable and that's really helpful to the business to know

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they don't need to. Don't throw your money down that hole. Right. That is

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fantastic. Yes. Find out which money, which holes to throw the money at.

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Which hole? Does the money become a money tree or. I don't Know that,

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that, that works totally. So

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if we think about how

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we gather data, right. One

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of the things, and I'm think surveys as

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a. There are lots of different ways in which we can gather data.

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The learning and development team often doesn't have access

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to actual on the job performance data or

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doesn't have access to or the on the job performance is

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not quantified, it's not instrumented to be quantified and

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measurable. And so

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surveys is a tool that is often at our

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disposal. We can send surveys, we know who's taken a training, we can

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send them a survey. Any pitfalls there? As we think about

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designing surveys to send out to people, oh my gosh, there's

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so many pitfalls with any, any measurement is going to have lots of pitfalls. So

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there's a whole field called measurement validity where they try to validate

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measures and surveys. Obviously there's, there's going to be several possible

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issues that come up. The first thing, people just

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might not know the, you know, you're going to ask them their attitude on something.

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They'll come up with some attitude, but that might not

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be their real attitude. First, they might not know. Second, they might not want to

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tell you and they might not even let themselves know that they

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don't want to tell you. So are people lying to you or to themselves?

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There's like a lot of, in political science, we often study if

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people voted or not. If you ask the average person,

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they're going to tell you they voted. Something like 75% of people tell you they

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voted even when the actual voter turnout's like 50%

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because it's socially desirable to say you voted. And so if you just ask that

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question, clearly measurement validity is going to be low because

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we know that it doesn't correspond to people's actual behavior. So you have to figure

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out a way to ask people the question in a way that they can and

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want to respond honestly. So there's lots of tools for doing

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that. But that's a huge challenge. One, the simplest one,

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is to make the socially undesirable things seem totally acceptable. Right?

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So you do that with framing. You frame the question in a way that it's,

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you know, hey, we know a lot of people don't have time to vote. Did

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you do you have to have time to vote this year? And so then if

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they say no, it's like you've already kind of pre built in the excuse.

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So it's okay if you didn't vote because we know lots of people have

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Trouble getting there. So it's not that you're lazy or you didn't want to vote.

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It's like your life is busy. So little things like that can make it more

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acceptable for people to answer honestly. And then there's tools to

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grant people anonymity so that there's no way to

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trace their answer back to themselves. There's several ways.

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Okay, now we're going to get into really deep measurement validity, but there's several ways

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people do this. One is called, like, a randomized response technique. And the

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simplest way to explain this is you give someone a. You ask someone a yes

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or no question, then you give them a coin. You have them flip the coin

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so you don't see it. You say, if it's heads, just say yes. Just say

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yes. It doesn't matter what your actual response is. If it's a tails, answer

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this question. And so then if they say yes or no,

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or if they say yes, you're not actually sure if they said yes because of

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the coin or because that was their real answer. So they have plausible deniability

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that if they say yes to the socially undesirable thing, like, did they smoke

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marijuana? It's not that they actually smoked, it's that the coin told

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them to say yes. Right. There's other techniques that are similar, but those

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are ways if people don't want to tell you something,

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but you can get them to tell you by granting them anonymity.

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That's kind of cool. Well, I was even thinking, your first way, you're like, hey,

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there's a lot of reasons why people will come to a class and not be

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able to apply that on the job. Were you able to

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apply anything on the job that seems like a perfectly plausible thing?

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Yeah. They're going to give you way more accurate and honest

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responses than if you just say, did you apply this on the job? Because it's

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clear if you ask that you want them to say yes. You know, clear,

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your sociopaths will say, like, no. Yeah,

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okay. This is fascinating. And we could be here

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all day long, so looking

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forward to the opportunity to continue talking with you about it, But I want to

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shift gears slightly. We like to. To wrap up these.

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These conversations because you are more than your work. But I'm

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fascinated with just, like, work rhythms and

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rituals and the way people engage with their craft. And

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you've spent a lot of time in academia, like getting a PhD and all that.

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Right. Does that influence your. Your work

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rhythms, do you think in semesters or trimesters, what Are your

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fidgets? What are your work snacks? What if you were to

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sum up, what is Chris Grady's work style?

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What's it like? What's it like inside your head?

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Intense focus, which is different than any other. In my

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personal life, I'm very non focused and kind of chaotic. Go with the flow.

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When I work, I just disappear into my mind for hours. I often,

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I'll like even forget to eat and eight hours will go by and I'll

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realize I haven't moved in eight hours, which is very rare because if I'm not

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working, I'm constantly moving. I exercise constantly. I can't sit and watch

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tv. If my wife wants to watch a program, she wants to cuddle. She's usually

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disappointed because I'll wind up doing yoga during the program. But while I'm working,

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I just laser focus. Especially if I'm coding and doing analysis,

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the hours fly by. And I think that that was very

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beneficial in grad school where you need often like a lot of deep thinking and

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focused time for long periods of time. And

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it's harder to do that in a work world, right. Where I'm like, oh, I

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have half hour now, then I have a meeting for 30 minutes and then I

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need to, I don't know, I have 30 more minutes to do something and then

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an hour meeting. So I think for me academia was great because it let

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me use my natural rhythm of just I'm going to work on one thing for

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eight hours straight and that was a benefit instead of a detriment, which in the

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work world I've got to adjust and be more flexible. I don't know, there's a

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lot of people who would love the ability to focus like that. Yeah, I have

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reverse add.

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That's fantastic. Chris, this has been awesome.

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A window into your mind, window into your work.

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Applicability to my own work and probably the work

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of a lot of people who are listening. So I just want to thank you

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so much and looking forward to continuing the

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conversation. Thank you a lot, Megan. It was fun.

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So how'd that go, Megan? You know, that was super fun because it's the first

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time we've talked to somebody outside of the L and D

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industry and yet all the things that he

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does and talks about are applicable and appropriate

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for us. And we could just lift some of these techniques

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and there's some, some really easy, easy takeaways. Even if you took

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only one thing away, there's probably half a dozen one things that you could

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take away and do without any hardship

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or at least to have that conversation with your leader. So I think that

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was, that was super fun. And maybe we should find some other folks outside of

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L and D and see what we can learn from them. I know you've got

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one more thing to share, Megan. Yeah, there is one more thing.

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So here's, here's one more thing that I was thinking about as we're having this

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conversation with Chris is thinking

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back to the conversation with Will Telheimer. And as he's got

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a lot of work around, right? The learning transfer evaluation model. And

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it's, you know, where I've been really moving into. It's his, his wording around,

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right. Learning is competitive advantage for the business. And that's really resonated with me.

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And I know I brought that up here. But also

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connecting in, I want to go back now and reread performance

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Focused learning surveys by Will, because I think the combo

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of what Will's talking about and what Chris Grady is talking about

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is a really powerful combination for getting really

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valid measurement in our industry. This is Meg

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Fairchild and Megan Torrance, and this has been a

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podcast from Torrance Learning. Tangents is the official

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podcast of Torrance Learning, as though we have an unofficial one.

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Tangents is hosted by Meg Fairchild and Megan Torrance.

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It's produced by Dean Casteel and Meg Fairchild,

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engineered and edited by Dean Casteel with original

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music also by Dean Castile. This episode was

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fact checked by Meg Fairchild.

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