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Update: Winners and Losers in the Hyper-Digital Era, with John Rossman (Business, Data, Leadership, Future)
Bonus Episode18th March 2025 • The Action Catalyst • Southwestern Family of Podcasts
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Author, executive advisor, and Managing Partner and Founder of Rossman Partners, John Rossman, rejoins the show to discuss “the innovator’s dilemma”, building foundations, chasing perfection, and making big bets, how to REALLY use metrics and make metrics a verb, 3 megatrends for the future of business, the role of business in democracy, and the #1 mistake leaders make.

Mentioned in this episode:

Download John’s free Business Manifesto and learn more at RossmanPartners.com.

Rossman Partners / John Rossman

Download John’s free Business Manifesto and learn more at RossmanPartners.com.

Rossman Partners / John Rossman

Transcripts

Host:

We are pleased to welcome back to the program John

Host:

Rossman, an author, executive advisor and keynote speaker on

Host:

digital transformation, leadership and business

Host:

reinvention. He was an early executive at Amazon and now

Host:

serves as the managing partner and founder of Rossman Partners,

Host:

and he was previously our guest on episode 433, of the Action

Host:

Catalyst. John, welcome back.

John Rossman:

Great to be back.

Host:

A lot of your public work in the past has touched on your

Host:

time at Amazon; The Amazon Way, Think Like Amazon, that was sort

Host:

of the focus the last time we caught up. You've got a few new

Host:

works out now. But I want to start with the Rossman Business

Manifesto:

The Pig, The Lipstick, and The Playbook of

Manifesto:

Champions, This really sounds like you're taking the more

Manifesto:

holistic ownership of all of your experience, bringing it

Manifesto:

together. Who's the target audience for this manifesto, and

Manifesto:

what's the specific problem it's addressing, and how did you come

Manifesto:

to identify that problem?

John Rossman:

So I get to do a lot of keynote speaking, and I

John Rossman:

have some clients, and one of the interesting things I've seen

John Rossman:

over the past year is most of my work has been about kind of

John Rossman:

major transformation, innovation, but I've had a half

John Rossman:

dozen keynotes where it's like, no, no, no, no, no. We want to

John Rossman:

focus on our culture and execution and kind of like some

John Rossman:

of the basics. And so that was like one clear signal, and the

John Rossman:

other signal is last year we saw a number of just gold standard

John Rossman:

brands. Ironically, a lot of them out of the Pacific

John Rossman:

Northwest. Here, a number of gold standard brands who went

John Rossman:

from being lauded in the pinnacle within their category

John Rossman:

to like a substantial business challenge that they have, right?

John Rossman:

So the brands I'm thinking about, think about this set of

John Rossman:

gold standard brands, Starbucks, Boeing, Nike and Intel, right?

John Rossman:

Very different sectors. All of them a different sort of

John Rossman:

situation, but they clearly have suffered from a combination of

John Rossman:

what I think are kind of two factors. One is they get kind of

John Rossman:

trapped within their own business model, and they're just

John Rossman:

incrementalizing themselves to the next thing. So that's kind

John Rossman:

of the innovators dilemma. And the other is a cultural thing,

John Rossman:

of like, what their expectations are in the business between

John Rossman:

themselves, and that's kind of a culture of mediocrity that

John Rossman:

hasn't become just accepted. It's actually become the

John Rossman:

standard within a number of kind of healthy companies. And I

John Rossman:

think that that combination is really the challenge that I

John Rossman:

address in the pig, the lipstick in the playbook of champions, of

John Rossman:

being both trapped from our own success and not seeking high

John Rossman:

performance, both for our business and for the way that we

John Rossman:

work. And so that's the specific problem. But I wanted to get it

John Rossman:

out. It's a free resource ebook. It is a playbook. We outline

John Rossman:

specific things to do that I think are both practical, but

John Rossman:

they're underplayed. They're understated within most

John Rossman:

organizations, but a couple that I think are super powerful and

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simple. So there's three sections of the book, building

John Rossman:

the foundation, chasing perfection, taking big bets

John Rossman:

under building the foundation, one of the key plays is about

John Rossman:

people, and I think everybody starts with the wrong place when

John Rossman:

they think about getting the right people in the

John Rossman:

organization, helping them be successful. Because everybody

John Rossman:

thinks it's about like the person, and I disagree. I think

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it's about a thoughtful design of the organization and what the

John Rossman:

job is that needs to be needed. And so many companies haven't

John Rossman:

really thought through, you know, for this role, for this

John Rossman:

team, for this core capability, or a company, what's the job

John Rossman:

that's needed now and going forward. How would we define it?

John Rossman:

What do we think kind of the consistent goals are going to

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be? What's the decision making criteria and scope of this? What

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are the key metrics that we imagine this role having? And

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what do we think the the non obvious skills and background

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and actions? Attributes that would help somebody be

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successful, even if you have somebody in the role today and

John Rossman:

you want to help take their performance from good to world

John Rossman:

class, rethinking what the job is, is a super powerful way to

John Rossman:

help that person achieve those goals. But it goes so

John Rossman:

underplayed in companies, and this is not a big exercise to

John Rossman:

do, you know, and everything, but companies don't do it. So

John Rossman:

that's an example. Here's another one, and it's kind of

John Rossman:

from the chasing perfection section of the book, which is

John Rossman:

all about, like, how do we run a great business today, and how

John Rossman:

companies design and use metrics to actually get the signal of

John Rossman:

where aren't we good enough from a customer experience or from an

John Rossman:

operational standpoint. Today, I was a partner at Arthur

John Rossman:

Andersen. I was a green belt. I'm an industrial engineer by

John Rossman:

education. I thought I knew how to use metrics for impact, and I

John Rossman:

learned a whole graduate level course at Amazon, and it's been

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kind of one of the consistent things I work with clients in my

John Rossman:

keynotes on since then, is like metrics and how we use them. And

John Rossman:

there's two parts that I'll talk about here today. One is like,

John Rossman:

just how you design metrics, and it always has to be a balanced

John Rossman:

scorecard of metrics, right? You can't have just like one metric.

John Rossman:

You need efficiency, you need quality, you need cost metrics,

John Rossman:

right? And it's the design relative to those. But then the

John Rossman:

second part is like, what do you do with those metrics, right?

John Rossman:

And so I always talk about, make metrics a verb, right? They're

John Rossman:

not a thing, they're not static, they're a verb. And the and the

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action that we take is, how do we discover the signal, not to

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pat ourselves on the back, but to see where there's opportunity

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to chase perfection? And that was, I think, the design of kind

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of the metrics meetings, and the tone and the tempo and the

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purpose of those meetings is an absolute game changer for teams

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and companies that can turn metrics into the fuel that a

John Rossman:

improve the business for today, but it also it's like going to

John Rossman:

the gym. If you do this all the time, you're going to get the

John Rossman:

idea that fuels the next section of the playbook, which is big

John Rossman:

bets, like, how do you actually innovate and transform?

Host:

You've mentioned part three as big bets, and you've

Host:

already alluded to your other work, which is Big Bet

Host:

Leadership, Your Transformation Playbook for Winning in the

Host:

Hyper Digital Era. But we've all heard about the digital era.

Host:

We've been in it for a while now, but before we dive deeper,

Host:

just give us the definition of what the hyper digital era is.

Host:

Exactly what's that distinction?

John Rossman:

We know we're not good at making change happen,

John Rossman:

right? Like, if you look at the history of time, like the

John Rossman:

competitive advantage and life of companies tends to be pretty

John Rossman:

short. And if you think the past 2530 years of digital

John Rossman:

transformation and digital disruption has been something,

John Rossman:

the next 25 is going to make that pale in comparison, right?

John Rossman:

Like we are heading to an era, and it's not just because of

John Rossman:

technology. I outlined kind of three mega forces with kind of a

John Rossman:

fuse tying them together. And the three mega forces are a

John Rossman:

disruptive technology, which is, by itself, a highly disruptive

John Rossman:

factor. But the second one is just as disruptive, which is the

John Rossman:

aging of our population, the ability to attract, retain and

John Rossman:

get better leverage out of out of our skills and out of our

John Rossman:

people, is going to be a core competitive advantage. Because

John Rossman:

if you are just going to try to, like, continually hire and

John Rossman:

compete, you're going to be at a competitive disadvantage. So

John Rossman:

that's the second major, major force. Mega trend is, you know,

John Rossman:

the aging of a population and how scarce skilled talents can

John Rossman:

be. And the third is the overall indebtedness of our country to

John Rossman:

entitlement programs and to surfacing our debt, and that's

John Rossman:

going to create downward pressure for capital, so you're

John Rossman:

going to have to be both efficient for your capital, but

John Rossman:

it's also a calling, which is for our country to win, we have

John Rossman:

to innovate, and that innovation comes from all of our companies.

John Rossman:

It doesn't come from somebody else's place. It comes from our

John Rossman:

place. And so those three mega forces together are going to

John Rossman:

create a vortex that creates both an opportunity and a

John Rossman:

challenge, and there's going to be a bunch of new winners.

John Rossman:

There's going to be a bunch of new losers in what I call the

John Rossman:

hyper digital era. And we you can't wait until you go, Oh, now

John Rossman:

I get it. Now I really need to change. You need back to kind of

John Rossman:

the athletic metaphor, like you need to get good at how you go.

John Rossman:

About innovating and transforming. It is an

John Rossman:

organizational capability. And so the best attribute you can

John Rossman:

always have is some patience right time to do these things.

John Rossman:

And so if you wait until you see the signals of kind of slowing

John Rossman:

growth, customers who don't love us, competition, that's that's

John Rossman:

kicking us in the rear. Now you're under pressure. Do it

John Rossman:

from a position of strength and growth. That's the time to build

John Rossman:

the capability of like, building the next businesses, innovating

John Rossman:

better, delighting customers better. That's the championship

John Rossman:

way.

Host:

To point number three about debts and entitlements.

Host:

We're now at the beginning of a new government administration

Host:

looking to make a lot of changes to business and regulations and

Host:

other things. Do you see a big impact there?

John Rossman:

Yeah, well, a couple of things. I think that

John Rossman:

these changes were going to take place regardless of

John Rossman:

administrations. And I would say I'm hopeful and supportive of

John Rossman:

any administration that would seek to both serve our citizens

John Rossman:

better and do it more effectively. And I think that

John Rossman:

that is what every company needs to do, and all of our federal,

John Rossman:

state local government should serve you. Do it better, do it

John Rossman:

more efficiently. The government is here for the people, not the

John Rossman:

other way around. It's We the People, right? We the People

John Rossman:

grant the government these powers. It's not the other way

John Rossman:

around, right? That's why it's an important call to action to

John Rossman:

me, if our plan is to wait for the government to address and

John Rossman:

fix the situation, I'm not optimistic about that. That's

John Rossman:

why I think, especially small, mid sized, large companies, they

John Rossman:

need to see it as part of the mission of like, our company

John Rossman:

needs to play a role in how America is more competitive and

John Rossman:

more innovative, because that's how we keep our great democracy

John Rossman:

going. And so don't wait for the government to fix it. That's

John Rossman:

never a great idea. I think that, you know, I'm optimistic

John Rossman:

that they're going to start tackling some of this. But

John Rossman:

that's not the whole playbook. The playbook is our businesses

John Rossman:

need to play a role in this. One of the phrases I'm fond of is

John Rossman:

that complaining is not a strategy, right? And so what do

John Rossman:

we do with these observations today, in our business, in our

John Rossman:

team, in my life, that's what I'm always interested in, is action.

Host:

Well, that's perfect for our podcast, right?

John Rossman:

Exactly, The Action Catalyst!

Host:

You make a pretty bold claim. You say that there are

Host:

countless books making the case for digital transformation,

Host:

innovation and reinvention, but they're not sufficient. But what

Host:

are they lacking that Big Bet brings to the table?

John Rossman:

Wow. You really did read it. I love it. I love

John Rossman:

it. So here's what's insufficient. What's easy to do

John Rossman:

is to talk to senior leaders, and it's like, Oh, I know I need

John Rossman:

to transform. I know I need to innovate. I know I need to

John Rossman:

leverage technology. I know I need to delight my customers

John Rossman:

better. I know I need to evolve my my operating model. I know I

John Rossman:

need to understand kind of this, this trial and error,

John Rossman:

experimentation mindset, but there's very little that

John Rossman:

actually for senior leadership and the teams that serve senior

John Rossman:

leaders. There's very little that actually says here's things

John Rossman:

that you the senior leadership team need to do different and

John Rossman:

the team that's driving this transformation. And so there's a

John Rossman:

lot written for kind of the individual contributor and the

John Rossman:

team leader around agile methodologies experimentation,

John Rossman:

but we couldn't find anything Kevin McCaffrey, I'm referring

John Rossman:

to and myself. We couldn't find anything that's like, here's

John Rossman:

what senior leaders need to do. Kevin ran new business

John Rossman:

incubation for T Mobile. I got to be the senior innovation

John Rossman:

advisor, working with them for three years. This is what we had

John Rossman:

to do AT T Mobile. Was our challenge. Wasn't like this

John Rossman:

tactical process of like, how do we explore, you know, new

John Rossman:

business models for T Mobile. It was helping the senior

John Rossman:

leadership understand how they needed to adjust or recalibrate,

John Rossman:

how they make decisions, how they allocate resources, how

John Rossman:

they spend time on these businesses and opportunities of

John Rossman:

the future versus their operating expertise in running

John Rossman:

today's business. And the biggest mistake that senior

John Rossman:

leaders make is they think that because they're really good

John Rossman:

operators and they understand, they've heard these concepts of

John Rossman:

innovation and experimentation, and so like, okay, I can do

John Rossman:

that. It starts from a belief system and an understanding

John Rossman:

fundamentally of what that is about and how to go about it,

John Rossman:

and if you apply the same tactics, the same belief

John Rossman:

systems, the same things that made you a great operator into

John Rossman:

this playbook of experimentation and major transformation, you

John Rossman:

will fail at it. And that's why we wrote the book. Big bet

John Rossman:

leadership is to for senior leaders and the teams. Serve

John Rossman:

senior leaders to really point out to them, these are things

John Rossman:

that you need to do different. Again, it's a very action

John Rossman:

oriented book, not theoretical. And that's what is missing in

John Rossman:

most books about innovation and transformation, is it's like,

John Rossman:

yeah, no duh, I need to change and I need to be competitive,

John Rossman:

but tell me what I need to do differently today as a senior

John Rossman:

leader to help make that happen. That's what we tried to answer

John Rossman:

in this book.

Host:

But as a companion to that book, you've got a lot of tools

Host:

available on your website for taking this big bet theme

Host:

further, but one of the most intriguing to us was Big Bet

Host:

GPT. Can you explain what that is?

John Rossman:

Yeah, so, you know, we kept the book very

John Rossman:

readable, right? It's, it's 45,000 words. It's a great

John Rossman:

narrative. It's a great audio book. And so we offloaded from a

John Rossman:

lot of the templates and tools and, you know, checklists and

John Rossman:

things to do. And so one of the things we did with, with all of

John Rossman:

that, was we created a purpose built GPT, and we have a prompt

John Rossman:

sheet that goes with it that can help you do these exercises of

John Rossman:

kind of developing the what sucks, memo of really thinking

John Rossman:

through your three futures. Exercise of putting these

John Rossman:

practices into place, it won't think for you. It won't do the

John Rossman:

work for you, but it is an incredible companion to help you

John Rossman:

see different framing, different phrasing, different options that

John Rossman:

you have out there. And so it really is a kind of a turbo

John Rossman:

button to help you speed your way through thinking this

John Rossman:

playbook through for yourself. I think there's more for us to do

John Rossman:

there too.

Host:

Well. I'm glad you said that. So what's next, and where

Host:

can people find you?

John Rossman:

Yeah, so people can find me on LinkedIn. John

John Rossman:

Rossman, that's really simple, or bigbetleadership.com is where

John Rossman:

all the resources and everything is, and that's also at

John Rossman:

rossmanpartners.com. What's next? Like, that's what I'm

John Rossman:

thinking about right now, and I think it's something that is a

John Rossman:

combination of for senior leaders and team leaders. How do

John Rossman:

I actually address these two core challenges that we identify

John Rossman:

in this business manifesto, which is a kind of being trapped

John Rossman:

by our success, that's the innovator's dilemma, and B, kind

John Rossman:

of suffering from accepting mediocrity, but leveraging AI to

John Rossman:

help you do that better. And how do I incorporate AI into

John Rossman:

everything that I do within an organization? That's what being

John Rossman:

an AI first company is about, and I think it's both kind of

John Rossman:

small tactics that you take, but it's also about re envisioning

John Rossman:

and leveraging AI. And so I think it's a combination of kind

John Rossman:

of business strategy leadership, but leveraging these very real

John Rossman:

and dynamic, fast changing capabilities that generative AI

John Rossman:

and other technologies bring to us. Because it's like a new

John Rossman:

internet. It's like, oh, now we have electricity. Like, it truly

John Rossman:

is a fundamental capability shift and again. Like, don't

John Rossman:

wait until it's too late. You gotta get comfortable, both

John Rossman:

individually and as a company, in how you leverage these things

John Rossman:

to make change happen.

Host:

John, thanks for being here once more.

John Rossman:

I love it. Thanks for having me.

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