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Time to 1.5 | 13 | Hail Mary
Episode 1321st June 2022 • Threshold • Auricle Productions
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Eva Kalea:

This is Threshold. Nonprofit, independent and

Eva Kalea:

listener-funded. Support the show at thresholdpodcast.org.

Mia Mottley:

For those who have eyes to see, for those who have

Mia Mottley:

ears to listen, and for those who have a heart to feel, 1.5 is

Mia Mottley:

what we need to survive. Two degrees is a death sentence.

Amy Martin:

Welcome to Threshold, I'm Amy Martin, and

Amy Martin:

this is Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados. She's

Amy Martin:

speaking to world leaders at COP26 the UN climate conference

Amy Martin:

held in Glasgow, Scotland, urging them not to give up on

Amy Martin:

the primary goal of these talks, keeping global temperatures

Amy Martin:

below 1.5 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels.

Mia Mottley:

Our people are watching, and our people are

Mia Mottley:

taking note. And are we really going to leave Scotland without

Mia Mottley:

the resolve and the ambition that is sorely needed to save

Mia Mottley:

lives and to save our planet. How many more voices and how

Mia Mottley:

many more pictures of people must we see on these screens

Mia Mottley:

without being able to move? Or are we so blinded and hardened

Mia Mottley:

that we can no longer appreciate the cries of humanity?

Amy Martin:

What Prime Minister Mottley is pointing to here is

Amy Martin:

something we've also been examining, in various ways,

Amy Martin:

throughout this season of our show. The climate crisis is not

Amy Martin:

just a carbon emissions problem, it's an inequality problem. In

Amy Martin:

fact, global warming and global inequality are the same problem,

Amy Martin:

manifesting in different ways. Just take the example of

Amy Martin:

Barbados. The indigenous population was all but wiped out

Amy Martin:

by colonization. Then Britain built enormous wealth by

Amy Martin:

abducting African people and brutalizing them there during

Amy Martin:

the Industrial Revolution, and now the emissions from the

Amy Martin:

fossil fuels that were part of that same process are

Amy Martin:

threatening the future of Barbados. With that history in

Amy Martin:

mind, Mia Mottley has every reason to show up at these

Amy Martin:

conferences with nothing but hostility toward the big

Amy Martin:

emitters. But instead, she and leaders like her from countries

Amy Martin:

around the world with similar stories are saying to the

Amy Martin:

wealthy nations, please work with us to fix this. Recognize

Amy Martin:

the loss and damage you've caused. Help us to adapt to the

Amy Martin:

coming changes, because we're all in this together.

Mia Mottley:

Do some leaders in this world believe that they can

Mia Mottley:

survive and thrive on their own? Have they not learned from the

Mia Mottley:

pandemic? Can there be peace and prosperity if one third of the

Mia Mottley:

world prospers and the other two thirds of the world live under

Mia Mottley:

siege and face calamitous threats to our well-being?

Amy Martin:

If there's one statistic that you remember from

Amy Martin:

this season of our show, I hope it's this one: the countries of

Amy Martin:

the G20- 20 of the world's biggest economies- have

Amy Martin:

generated more than 80% of cumulative global greenhouse gas

Amy Martin:

emissions. 20 economies, 80% of emissions. That means more than

Amy Martin:

150 countries are stuck dealing with a problem that they did

Amy Martin:

very little to create. So the question at the center of this

Amy Martin:

UN process is, will the countries that got the world

Amy Martin:

into this mess take responsibility for leading the

Amy Martin:

way out of it?

Mia Mottley:

Code red, rode Red to the G7 countries. Code red,

Mia Mottley:

Code red to the G20 and we've come here today to say, try

Mia Mottley:

harder, try harder, because our people, the climate army, the

Mia Mottley:

world, the planet, needs our actions now, not next year, not

Mia Mottley:

in the next decade. Thank you.

Siobhan McDonnel:

There's an urgency to these issues and a

Siobhan McDonnel:

sense of the responsibility when we walk into these rooms.

Unknown:

We cannot experiment with our home because we don't

Unknown:

have an alternative.

Unknown:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: This is all about power, both financial and

Unknown:

political. Some countries get to do things, and others don't.

Wanjira Mathai:

I think we can agree we need to get 1.5. It is

Wanjira Mathai:

about life and death.

Amy Martin:

So it's Wednesday of week two. It was a big day

Amy Martin:

today.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: Yes, it was a big day because the presidency

Amy Martin:

released their draft text for the Glasgow... I think they're

Amy Martin:

going to call it Glasgow declaration. I'm not quite sure

Amy Martin:

what they're going to call it, but that's the chapeau, the

Amy Martin:

overall Glasgow outcome.

Amy Martin:

I'm inside the Blue Zone on the second week of COP26

Amy Martin:

talking to Dr. Saleemul Huq of the Independent University

Amy Martin:

Bangladesh. Saleem is one of the few people who spent all 26

Amy Martin:

conferences of the parties, or COPs. He serves as an advisor to

Amy Martin:

the least developed countries group at the negotiations. And

Amy Martin:

I've learned a lot from Saleem, including words like "chapeau."

Amy Martin:

It turns out it doesn't only mean "hat" in French. It's also

Amy Martin:

the first part of an international treaty where the

Amy Martin:

main goals of the agreement get defined. It's often referred to

Amy Martin:

as the cover text here in coplandia, and that's what came

Amy Martin:

out today. There are big sections on adaptation and

Amy Martin:

mitigation, and my colleague Shola Lawal is going to help us

Amy Martin:

get caught up on some of those issues in just a minute. But

Amy Martin:

first, I want to know what's going on with my chosen beat,

Amy Martin:

loss and damage.

Amy Martin:

And did it have anything to say about loss and damage in it?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: It has a section on loss and damage, but

Amy Martin:

it isn't enough.

Amy Martin:

In its simplest form, the conflict around loss

Amy Martin:

and damage is that many of the countries that have done the

Amy Martin:

least to cause the climate crisis stand to lose the most

Amy Martin:

from it, and they want the big emitters to recognize those

Amy Martin:

losses and create some kind of system for compensation. Many of

Amy Martin:

the wealthy countries don't want to do that. The details of what

Amy Martin:

the cover text says about loss and damage get pretty technical

Amy Martin:

pretty fast, so I'm just going to summarize it this way: Saleem

Amy Martin:

and other loss and damage advocates here have some reason

Amy Martin:

to be cautiously optimistic, but with an emphasis on the caution

Amy Martin:

part. He says they've scaled back their goals. Rather than

Amy Martin:

pushing for funding, they're aiming to get the wealthy

Amy Martin:

countries just to agree to start building a process for

Amy Martin:

addressing loss and damage through something they're

Amy Martin:

calling the Glasgow Facility for Loss and Damage Finance.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: They don't have to give finance, but they

Amy Martin:

have to acknowledge it needs to be discussed. And so we need

Amy Martin:

language that allows the Glasgow decision to enable us to start

Amy Martin:

working on what would finance look like. How much would be

Amy Martin:

needed, who might give it, how it would be arranged and

Amy Martin:

organized.

Amy Martin:

But even getting this limited goal accomplished

Amy Martin:

is not at all guaranteed, Saleem says. And time is running out.

Amy Martin:

The conference is scheduled to end on Friday.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: This is the last 24 hours where pressure can

Amy Martin:

work. After 24 hours, that's it.

Amy Martin:

That pressure plays out in the form of battles over

Amy Martin:

words throughout the whole two weeks of this conference,

Amy Martin:

negotiators on the dozens of issues at play here pass

Amy Martin:

documents back and forth, pushing to get words or phrases

Amy Martin:

added, deleted or changed. That text eventually makes its way up

Amy Martin:

to the COP president, usually someone from the country or

Amy Martin:

region where the conference is being held. In this case, the

Amy Martin:

President is Alok Sharma, a senior minister in the UK

Amy Martin:

administration of Boris Johnson, and he has the unenviable task

Amy Martin:

of weaving all of these different threads together into

Amy Martin:

one document, which everyone will hopefully be willing to

Amy Martin:

sign off on by the end of the conference. The chapeau or cover

Amy Martin:

text that was released today is kind of like Sharma's first

Amy Martin:

public draft of that document. It shows what's been agreed to

Amy Martin:

so far and what's left to be decided. Again, it's Wednesday,

Amy Martin:

and the conference is scheduled to end on Friday, so negotiators

Amy Martin:

are working madly to get the changes they want solidified in

Amy Martin:

the text.

Siobhan McDonnel:

We run so hard. You know, our days are 16,

Siobhan McDonnel:

18 hours long, but there's an urgency to these issues and a

Siobhan McDonnel:

sense of the responsibility that we carry with us when we walk

Siobhan McDonnel:

into these rooms that's incredibly, profoundly important

Siobhan McDonnel:

to the work.

Amy Martin:

This is Siobhan McDonnel, lead negotiator on

Amy Martin:

loss and damage for Fiji at this COP. She agreed to do a short

Amy Martin:

interview with me as long as we focused on the issue itself,

Amy Martin:

what loss and damage is and why it matters, and stayed away from

Amy Martin:

the specifics of what was happening in the negotiating

Amy Martin:

rooms here. But before we start, I want to know how people get

Amy Martin:

into this work, how you even become a negotiator. Siobhan

Amy Martin:

gives me a quick overview of her pathway into this role.

Siobhan McDonnel:

I'm Australian. I'm a woman of

Siobhan McDonnel:

color. I have a long, complex history. I've lived and worked

Siobhan McDonnel:

in the Pacific for many, many years, and I've spent a lot of

Siobhan McDonnel:

time negotiating on behalf of Pacific Island countries. I am a

Siobhan McDonnel:

lawyer, professionally. I've written parts of the

Siobhan McDonnel:

Constitution in Vanuatu. I've written all of the land laws in

Siobhan McDonnel:

Vanuatu. I've written

Amy Martin:

And like almost all small island developing states,

Amy Martin:

they're among the most climate vulnerable societies on the

Amy Martin:

planet. They're already being impacted in the form of

Amy Martin:

droughts, deterioration of coral reefs, deadly storms, and, of

Amy Martin:

course, sea level rise. And there are more threats on the

Amy Martin:

horizon.

Siobhan McDonnel:

So this is really the heart of climate

Siobhan McDonnel:

justice. This is the global south, saying to carbon emitting

Siobhan McDonnel:

countries, we emit almost no carbon, and yet we bear the

Siobhan McDonnel:

brunt of these impacts. How is this fair?

Amy Martin:

Siobhan says Pacific Islanders are doing all they can

Amy Martin:

to adapt to a changing climate. They're protecting mangroves and

Amy Martin:

planting more, developing climate resilient crops,

Amy Martin:

improving their early warning systems and establishing new

Amy Martin:

marine conservation areas. But not all climate change impacts

Amy Martin:

can be mediated or adapted to. Some loss and damage is

Amy Martin:

inevitable, and not just in the future. It's already happening.

Siobhan McDonnel:

We are talking about relocation and

Siobhan McDonnel:

resettlement of atoll islands.So beyond adaptation, no amount of

Siobhan McDonnel:

sea walls, no amount of mangrove plantations. What are the

Siobhan McDonnel:

answers, then, in this space? This is what we negotiate over.

Amy Martin:

The answers in this space are not easy. To take just

Amy Martin:

one example, Siobhan tells me about what happened on Vanuatu

Amy Martin:

between 2015 and 2020. The country was slammed by two

Amy Martin:

category five cyclones in just five years. After the first one

Amy Martin:

hit, Cyclone Pam, there was a major drought, and people

Amy Martin:

couldn't provide enough food for themselves through their

Siobhan McDonnel:

And so there was a very extended period in

Siobhan McDonnel:

gardens.

Siobhan McDonnel:

which people became completely dependent on rice, the

Siobhan McDonnel:

provisioning of rice that was taken out to villages. And with

Siobhan McDonnel:

that came child stunting as a result. So there is now this

Siobhan McDonnel:

period of acute child malnutrition and stunting

Siobhan McDonnel:

amongst this proportion of the population in Vanuatu. So

Siobhan McDonnel:

climate change has these health impacts. So at what point do we

Siobhan McDonnel:

say this is not fair? And at what point do we try and

Siobhan McDonnel:

recalibrate that equilibrium? And how do we decide to do it?

Siobhan McDonnel:

You know, as the world, how do we come together and negotiate a

Siobhan McDonnel:

more just outcome? And this is really the issue that sits

Siobhan McDonnel:

underneath loss and damage.

Amy Martin:

Loss and damage is where the rubber meets the road

Amy Martin:

in terms of those common but differentiated responsibilities

Amy Martin:

we talked about in our last episode. The principle that

Amy Martin:

everyone has to do something here, but the countries that

Amy Martin:

have released the most emissions have to do more. It's a stated

Amy Martin:

principle of these talks, but loss and damage is one of the

Amy Martin:

places where it becomes real. Or doesn't.

Siobhan McDonnel:

So as negotiators, we come together

Siobhan McDonnel:

every year and we try to nut it out. But it's slow, processional

Siobhan McDonnel:

work about trying to create some arms and legs around what loss

Siobhan McDonnel:

and damage might do and how it might work in developing

Siobhan McDonnel:

countries, and it's one of the big asks of this COP presidency.

Amy Martin:

This is where the role of a COP president becomes

Amy Martin:

crucially important. As president, Alok Sharma is not a

Amy Martin:

representative of the UK at this conference. He's supposed to

Amy Martin:

serve as a neutral party that listens to all voices and builds

Amy Martin:

an agreement that balances all the various needs and concerns.

Amy Martin:

It's impossible to find a perfect balance, of course, but

Amy Martin:

that's the goal.

Siobhan McDonnel:

We have these huge impacts to our ways of

Siobhan McDonnel:

life, to our ways of being. These are material and non

Siobhan McDonnel:

material impacts that we bear every day, every year. Pay up.

Siobhan McDonnel:

Where is the financial mechanism? And of course, the

Siobhan McDonnel:

answer is uh-uh.

Amy Martin:

The answer from who?

Siobhan McDonnel:

The answer from the carbon-emitting

Siobhan McDonnel:

developed world.

Amy Martin:

While I've been talking to Siobhan, my colleague

Amy Martin:

Shola Lawal has been spending time with world renowned

Amy Martin:

environmental leader Wanjira Mathai.

Wanjira Mathai:

We've got to get serious about the solidarity

Wanjira Mathai:

around the adaptation agenda, the loss and damage agenda. Yes,

Wanjira Mathai:

there have been some openings, and we are starting to discuss

Wanjira Mathai:

it more, but we really don't have time to make small steps

Wanjira Mathai:

every COP. We have to make some significant leaps. This is about

Wanjira Mathai:

absolute exponential change that has to happen fast.

Amy Martin:

Wanjira is from Kenya. She's the managing

Amy Martin:

director for Africa and Global Partnerships at the World

Amy Martin:

Resources Institute, and she also chairs the board of the

Amy Martin:

Wangari Maathai Foundation, which furthers the work of her

Amy Martin:

late mother, the first African woman to win the Nobel Peace

Amy Martin:

Prize. Shola asked her for a general assessment of the

Amy Martin:

conference in the middle of the second week.

Shola Lawal:

What have you seen so far at COP and how are you

Wanjira Mathai:

Yeah, well, the good news first, I think there

Wanjira Mathai:

feeling?

Wanjira Mathai:

has been a significant acknowledgement that nature is a

Wanjira Mathai:

big part of the climate solution. A commitment to halt

Wanjira Mathai:

and slow deforestation by 2030 is crucially important and

Wanjira Mathai:

backed with real finance. So that's really good news. We saw

Wanjira Mathai:

also the methane pledge, which is important.

Amy Martin:

These pledges Wanjira mentioned, one about

Amy Martin:

preserving forests and one on reducing methane emissions, were

Amy Martin:

sort of like side deals made by big groups of countries at COP.

Amy Martin:

They weren't part of the official negotiations here, but

Amy Martin:

they were still significant in terms of ambition and potential

Amy Martin:

impact. The US and China also issued a joint declaration

Amy Martin:

mapping out common goals and establishing an ongoing working

Amy Martin:

group for enhancing climate action in the 2020s. But when it

Amy Martin:

comes to the work of the conference itself, Wanjira says

Amy Martin:

it's harder to find things to celebrate.

Wanjira Mathai:

We came here with a great hope that 1.5

Wanjira Mathai:

degrees increase would be the general direction of travel. I

Wanjira Mathai:

think we can agree that is still the consensus that we need to

Wanjira Mathai:

get to 1.5 but it's so tragic that there are such efforts to

Wanjira Mathai:

scuttle that.

Wanjira Mathai:

We need to be within a trajectory that gets us

Amy Martin:

Those efforts show up in the form of lack of

Amy Martin:

effort. Lack of ambition in the "nationally determined

Amy Martin:

to 1.5 because the alternatives, essentially is a death sentence.

Amy Martin:

contributions," or NDCs. That's the system created by the Paris

Amy Martin:

Agreement, in which countries are supposed to make their own

Amy Martin:

emissions reduction plans and then report back to the whole

Amy Martin:

group. There's been some progress sorting out some of the

Amy Martin:

technical details around how these get reported, but the

Amy Martin:

plans themselves are still woefully inadequate.

Amy Martin:

We don't quite appreciate that. It is about life and death.

Amy Martin:

We're still on a pathway that will get us to 2.7, 2.8 whatever

Amy Martin:

it is, it's not 1.5. We have to try harder, we have to do more.

Amy Martin:

And when I say we, it is the big emitters. It is China. It is the

Amy Martin:

US, it is Australia. Countries that have built their wealth and

Amy Martin:

growth on the back of high emitting fuels have got to do

Amy Martin:

the most. Simple as that.

Amy Martin:

Another big topic at this COP is the old pledge made

Amy Martin:

by the world's wealthiest countries to collectively

Amy Martin:

deliver $100 billion each year to developing nations. Those

Amy Martin:

funds were designated for climate adaptation and

Amy Martin:

mitigation projects, by the way, not for loss and damage. That

Amy Martin:

pledge was made in 2009 but it had never been fulfilled, and

Amy Martin:

when Shola spoke with Wanjira, it was clear that it wasn't

Amy Martin:

going to happen at COP26 either. Instead, the wealthy countries

Amy Martin:

had announced that they would begin meeting the pledge in

Amy Martin:

2023.

Shola Lawal:

What has been your biggest eye roll moment here?

Wanjira Mathai:

I think my biggest eye roll movement could

Wanjira Mathai:

easily be the commitment to deliver climate finance by 2023.

Wanjira Mathai:

I mean, how long will we continue pushing the ball

Wanjira Mathai:

forward? So for 10 years we didn't make it, and then we come

Wanjira Mathai:

and we say, 2023-again, push the ball forward. The rich economies

Wanjira Mathai:

have still not addressed how they'll meet the shortfall. That

Wanjira Mathai:

was a big eye roll moment. Every African should be rolling their

Wanjira Mathai:

eyes.

Shola Lawal:

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, in one session

Shola Lawal:

I was in, said, this is reparations. Do you agree with

Shola Lawal:

that very controversial statement?

Wanjira Mathai:

It's a controversial subject. But I

Wanjira Mathai:

think that what people are trying to really say is that

Wanjira Mathai:

there needs to be common but differentiated responsibility,

Wanjira Mathai:

that there needs to be an acknowledgement that those who

Wanjira Mathai:

have benefited from a high emitting, high carbon economy

Wanjira Mathai:

ought to repair the damage they've caused. I don't think

Wanjira Mathai:

there's anything controversial about that. In fact, it's coded

Wanjira Mathai:

in the Paris Agreement, in in the justice elements, the fact

Wanjira Mathai:

that we do have to acknowledge the disproportionate

Wanjira Mathai:

responsibility of higher meeting economies, and the fact that

Wanjira Mathai:

they cannot walk away. They cannot walk away from this mess

Wanjira Mathai:

that they have created.

Amy Martin:

Wanjira says there's nothing controversial about

Amy Martin:

common but differentiated responsibilities, and it's true

Amy Martin:

that every country that has signed on to the UNFCCC process

Amy Martin:

has signed on to that principle. And that's nearly all of the

Amy Martin:

countries in the world. But there is a vast ravine between

Amy Martin:

the idea of common but differentiated responsibilities

Amy Martin:

and its implementation, and many issues have gone missing in that

Amy Martin:

ravine for 26 years. It comes down to the difference between

Amy Martin:

saying a thing and doing it. One is much harder than the other.

Amy Martin:

What day is it? I keep asking you. Today is Thursday. It's

Amy Martin:

midday. I'm with Adelle Thomas again. What is your general

Amy Martin:

feeling at this point in the conference?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: My feeling now is actually one of

Amy Martin:

anticipation.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas is a geographer from the University

Amy Martin:

of the Bahamas and the global think tank Climate Analytics.

Amy Martin:

She's helping to advise the alliance of small island states,

Amy Martin:

or AOSIS, at this COP. And when I ask her, what's going on with

Amy Martin:

loss and damage here on this second to last, officially

Amy Martin:

scheduled day, she seems to be in a good mood.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: We've seen some coming together of small

Amy Martin:

islands and the G77 group. So it's good to see that there's

Amy Martin:

some strengthening of different groups coming together, and

Amy Martin:

we'll see what that looks like in the decision text.

Amy Martin:

The G77 is a group of 134 developing nations, which

Amy Martin:

together represent over 5 billion people, more than 60% of

Amy Martin:

all humans on Earth. So their support adds a lot of heft to

Amy Martin:

the loss and damage proposals being made here in the final

Amy Martin:

days of COP26. Now it's up to the presidency, Alok Sharma and

Amy Martin:

a team of advisors to review all of the proposals and try to mash

Amy Martin:

them together into a final agreement.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: So they collect inputs from all of the

Amy Martin:

different parties and groups, and they try to come up with

Amy Martin:

some compromise that takes into account everyone's wants and so

Amy Martin:

everyone's disappointed. But that's how it works, like

Amy Martin:

iterations of this draft text, and we try to get it to some

Amy Martin:

point where we can agree upon.

Amy Martin:

That sounds exhausting.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: I can imagine that it is. Exhausting and

Amy Martin:

thankless, maybe. Because you're never going to be able to please

Amy Martin:

everyone, right? Once everyone is upset, then that's a good

Amy Martin:

outcome.

Amy Martin:

So that's what will be happening into the wee hours

Amy Martin:

of the morning on Thursday night, an attempt to come up

Amy Martin:

with an agreement that is equally dissatisfying to all

Amy Martin:

parties.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: So it's exciting to see AOSIS and G77

Amy Martin:

coming together on a shared position, even though it's

Amy Martin:

really late in the game. So this is like a Hail Mary pass, like

Amy Martin:

we're almost at the end tomorrow, and we're coming in

Amy Martin:

strong with this. So it's exciting now to see how that

Amy Martin:

will play out.

Amy Martin:

I gotta say, I think this might be the most I've seen

Amy Martin:

you smile. I don't want to read too much into it, but are you

Amy Martin:

feeling a little hopeful that this might go through?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Adelle Thomas: I'm feeling hopeful that this proposal will

Amy Martin:

at least result in a better strengthening of the text. I

Amy Martin:

mean, and as nerdy as this is, this is as exciting as it gets,

Amy Martin:

right? So like Thursday afternoon, before Friday, we're

Amy Martin:

coming in with this text on this kiosk, so it will be exciting to

Amy Martin:

see how it plays out.

Alok Sharma:

Very critical issues that are outstanding.

Alok Sharma:

There's a lot of discussion.

Amy Martin:

It's Friday. The latest version of the text is

Amy Martin:

out and the Hail Mary pass has been dropped. The text for loss

Amy Martin:

and damage has not been strengthened, as this big group

Amy Martin:

of countries was pushing for. I'm in a scrum of reporters

Amy Martin:

moving quickly through the hallway in the Blue Zone,

Amy Martin:

there's a lot of pushing involved, as we all try to get a

Amy Martin:

few seconds with the man in the middle, Alok Sharma, president

Amy Martin:

of COP26.

Amy Martin:

What's holding up loss and damage funding? Who's blocking

Amy Martin:

it, who's blocking loss and damage?

Alok Sharma:

Well, look, if you'll excuse me, a lot of

Alok Sharma:

issues that have been raised. We had almost 38, we had actually

Alok Sharma:

38 parties who spoke. We need to gather the thoughts of all of

Alok Sharma:

those colleagues. And see how each responds...

Amy Martin:

As often happens at COP, the parties couldn't reach

Amy Martin:

an agreement within the scheduled time, so they've

Amy Martin:

decided to extend the conference by one day. And at this point,

Amy Martin:

I'm pretty tired of all the conflict avoidance and other

Amy Martin:

niceties. I'm starting to get a little shouty.

Amy Martin:

Mr. Kerry, are we gonna get funding for loss and damage in

Amy Martin:

the final text?

John Kerry:

I'm sure there'll be something.

Amy Martin:

That was us climate envoy, John Kerry, and what he

Amy Martin:

said was, "I'm sure there'll be something."

Amy Martin:

Who's blocking loss and damage financing? Who's blocking it?

Frans Timmermans:

I don't see anybody blocking it. I see that

Frans Timmermans:

there's still differences of opinion which we need to bridge.

Amy Martin:

And that was Frans Timmermans, representative from

Amy Martin:

the European Union. You heard him a couple of episodes ago. He

Amy Martin:

was the person holding up the picture of his one year old

Amy Martin:

grandson. After this interaction with him, I met up with Dr.

Amy Martin:

Saleemul Huq again.

Amy Martin:

What's your response to that?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: It's bullshit. They are blocking it.

Amy Martin:

When you want to cut through the diplomatic double

Amy Martin:

speak, Saleem is a good person to talk to, and this is not just

Amy Martin:

his take. I spoke to many people with expertise on loss and

Amy Martin:

damage at the conference, and they all backed up what he said.

Amy Martin:

Progress was being blocked, primarily by the United States

Amy Martin:

and the European Union.

Amy Martin:

When they're in the negotiations trying to block it, and there

Amy Martin:

are all these other countries who want it to go forward. Is

Amy Martin:

there a point where people are just basically calling bullshit

Amy Martin:

and saying, you're blocking it, and we're not going to have

Amy Martin:

that?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: That's where we are right now. That's why

Amy Martin:

we're going to go on all night.

Amy Martin:

And how do you keep it going on all night?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: Till somebody gives up.

Amy Martin:

It's just about, you're refusing to basically

Amy Martin:

finalize the text.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: That's right. That's how you win these

Amy Martin:

arguments. Somebody has to concede.

Amy Martin:

What do you think the odds are that the vulnerable

Amy Martin:

countries will win this one tonight?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: Not good, but we're going to fight.

Amy Martin:

We'll have more after this short break.

Erika Janik:

Hey everybody, this is Erika Janik, Threshold's

Erika Janik:

Managing Editor. Did you know that we have a Threshold

Erika Janik:

newsletter? Our newsletter is a great way to stay connected to

Erika Janik:

Threshold between seasons, find out what we're thinking about

Erika Janik:

and what we're reading, listening to and watching. So

Erika Janik:

subscribe to the Threshold newsletter today using the link

Erika Janik:

in the show notes or on our website, thresholdpodcast.org.

Alok Sharma:

Right, dear friends, dear colleagues, I

Alok Sharma:

think let's get started. We've had a lot of informal

Alok Sharma:

discussions. I think let's get on with the informal stock

Alok Sharma:

taking plenary.

Amy Martin:

Welcome back to Threshold, I'm Amy Martin, and

Amy Martin:

it's Saturday morning now. Alok Sharma is addressing the

Amy Martin:

delegates in the big plenary hall.

Alok Sharma:

So friends, we have reached a critical juncture

Alok Sharma:

where we must come together and bring our hard work to a

Alok Sharma:

successful conclusion. We know that the climate crisis is a

Alok Sharma:

truly global challenge, and ensuring that COP26 outcomes

Alok Sharma:

match the scale and urgency of our situation is our shared

Alok Sharma:

responsibility. As I said at the start of this conference, we

Alok Sharma:

will succeed or fail as one.

Amy Martin:

What follows is a lot of commentary from the

Amy Martin:

country delegates. Each comment is called an "intervention," and

Amy Martin:

there are many. Some people give speeches that seem designed for

Amy Martin:

news outlets back in their home countries. Others have technical

Amy Martin:

details they want to speak to. It goes on for a good long

Amy Martin:

while, but eventually everyone who wants to be recognized has

Amy Martin:

had their turn, and Alok Sharma calls for a short recess. Some

Amy Martin:

people leave the hall, but I had to fight a bit to get access to

Amy Martin:

this room, and I'm not leaving now for fear they won't let me

Amy Martin:

back in. And I'm glad I stayed put, because everything starts

Amy Martin:

to get more interesting. U.S.Climate Envoy John Kerry had

Amy Martin:

been sitting a few rows in front of me, but he stands up and

Amy Martin:

moves across the hall to talk to someone, and as he moves, he

Amy Martin:

collects a small swarm of people around him, delegates from other

Amy Martin:

countries and their staffs and reporters. In short order, I

Amy Martin:

join the hive. I'm too far back to hear what's going on, but

Amy Martin:

Kerry is tall, so I can see him talking intently to someone

Amy Martin:

while 30 or 40 people strain to listen. This is what's known as

Amy Martin:

a huddle in COP parlance. Not an informal, informal, not a

Amy Martin:

bilateral, but a pop up conversation between two

Amy Martin:

countries or a group of countries, who are trying to

Amy Martin:

work out some remaining points of friction. Soon, there are

Amy Martin:

several huddles happening in different parts of this big

Amy Martin:

hall. Frans Timmermans from the EU is in the middle of one of

Amy Martin:

the other ones. After a few minutes of buzzing around the

Amy Martin:

edges, a guard makes all of us reporters retreat to the back of

Amy Martin:

the room, where I find my colleague Shola Lawal.

Amy Martin:

Describe the room. What do you see?

Shola Lawal:

It's a big room. Of course, we have all the screens,

Shola Lawal:

but we also have world leaders gathered to one side of the

Shola Lawal:

room. It looks like they're trying to, like, argue something

Shola Lawal:

out.

Amy Martin:

Shola had not been able to get into the morning

Amy Martin:

session, but I'm thrilled that she managed to get in during the

Amy Martin:

break, because it's not often that you get to see politics in

Amy Martin:

action at this level.

Shola Lawal:

I mean, we're in the conference of basically the

Shola Lawal:

whole world. The whole world is gathered here. I mean, I love

Shola Lawal:

being a fly on this wall. I love it so much.

Amy Martin:

So do I. I'm so glad you're in here with me. Just

Amy Martin:

feels like such an honor to get to watch this process getting

Amy Martin:

worked out like right in front of us, and you look around and

Amy Martin:

you see all these country names. There's Paraguay, there's Papua,

Amy Martin:

New Guinea, there's Japan. And as I said over and over

Amy Martin:

yesterday, the world is watching us. It feels like a really

Amy Martin:

momentous occasion right now.

Shola Lawal:

It does feel like a momentous occasion. And it's a

Shola Lawal:

privilege to witnesse, really. It is.

Amy Martin:

It is a privilege. But the problem is, we're not

Amy Martin:

really sure what it is we're witnessing, like so many things

Amy Martin:

at this conference, we're so close and yet still so far away.

Amy Martin:

We can see the huddles, but we can't join them, so we don't

Amy Martin:

know what's being discussed. The running theory among the

Amy Martin:

reporters and observers we're chatting with is that it has

Amy Martin:

something to do with a paragraph in the mitigation section of the

Amy Martin:

agreement which calls for an end for most fossil fuel subsidies

Amy Martin:

and the phasing out of coal. If it's accepted, that would be the

Amy Martin:

strongest statement on fossil fuels of any COP agreement to

Amy Martin:

date. But there's talk that China and India are raising

Amy Martin:

objections.

Amy Martin:

Okay, Kerry's coming our way.

Shola Lawal:

Yeah, I see him.

Amy Martin:

Giving people thumbs up. I noticed him like fist

Amy Martin:

bumping people earlier. It's like he's actively, I don't know

Amy Martin:

if I've ever seen like politics, like I'm watching the gears of

Amy Martin:

politics turning right now.

Shola Lawal:

Exactly, I can see the wheels turning. He's like,

Shola Lawal:

let's go to this side and then this side and these guys have an

Shola Lawal:

agreed yet? Okay, let's go talk to them.

Amy Martin:

Yeah, exactly. Oh, he's gonna, he's talking to, I

Amy Martin:

think that's the minister from China.

Shola Lawal:

Oh, it's China. Yes, yes.

Amy Martin:

These are the two biggest, two biggest emitters

Amy Martin:

currently talking to it basically, yeah. And as you can

Amy Martin:

see, like a huddle immediately forming, like a big one.

Shola Lawal:

And the whole, yeah, the whole room has now

Shola Lawal:

turned to this side.

Amy Martin:

At some point, the US and China delegations exit

Amy Martin:

the hall together through a back door. The official proceedings

Amy Martin:

were supposed to resume at noon, then it was pushed back to 2:30

Amy Martin:

and now it's three o'clock, and we're completely in the dark

Amy Martin:

about what's going on and when things will restart.

Shola Lawal:

Okay, I think we'll be here for a while.

Amy Martin:

Yes.

Amy Martin:

The story that unfolded next was a microcosm of the entire

conference experience:

a mixture of confusion, a lot of waiting

conference experience:

around and intense drama that left me with a bunch of

conference experience:

conflicting thoughts and feelings. I want to walk you

conference experience:

through what happened, not because the outcome of this last

conference experience:

minute squabble was terribly consequential in and of itself,

conference experience:

but because I think the story sheds some light on how things

conference experience:

actually work at COP. So the rumors were correct, this drama

conference experience:

was centered around the language on fossil fuel subsidies and

conference experience:

phasing out coal. And to set the stage here, I need to rewind the

conference experience:

clock 24 hours to the Friday version of this same meeting,

conference experience:

when all the delegates are gathering to make comments on

conference experience:

the draft text. U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry specifically

conference experience:

mentioned this particular paragraph in the mitigation

conference experience:

section, which again calls for ending most fossil fuel

conference experience:

subsidies and phasing out coal.

John Kerry:

$2.5 trillion in the last five years, six years went

John Kerry:

into subsidies for fossil fuel that's a definition of insanity.

John Kerry:

We're allowing to feed the very problem we're here to try to

John Kerry:

cure. It doesn't make sense. Those subsidies have to go, and

John Kerry:

we're the largest oil and gas producer in the world, and we

John Kerry:

have some of those subsidies, and President Biden has put in

John Kerry:

legislation to get rid of them.

Amy Martin:

So Kerry is supportive of this paragraph,

Amy Martin:

and because the US is such a big emitter, that's a big deal here.

John Kerry:

Phasing out unabated coal and inefficient fossil fuel

John Kerry:

subsidies must stay, that language must stay. Unabated

John Kerry:

coal, how could we possibly, in 2021 knowing what the evidence

John Kerry:

is, be wishy washy on that subject.

Amy Martin:

To many people in the room, there was already a

Amy Martin:

lot of wishy washy stuff in this paragraph. A lot of countries

Amy Martin:

didn't want the words "unabated" or "inefficient" in there. Those

Amy Martin:

are wiggle words that allow for potential loopholes. Here's the

Amy Martin:

delegate from Costa Rica.

Costa Rica:

We understand that this is a systemic change in our

Costa Rica:

economies, and for this reason, we also want clear languages on

Costa Rica:

the need to eliminate all fossil fuel subsidies, not only the

Costa Rica:

inefficient ones, and to accelerate the phase out of coal

Costa Rica:

power.

Amy Martin:

So that was Friday. Delegates had expressed

Amy Martin:

consensus around this paragraph. It was weaker than many wanted,

Amy Martin:

but stronger than anything that had been said on fossil fuels

Amy Martin:

before COP, which let's take a moment to note, is bananas,

Amy Martin:

considering that the whole problem here is fossil fuels.

Amy Martin:

But back to the story. Now we're here on Saturday afternoon,

Amy Martin:

truly in the 11th hour, and the rumor is India and China want to

Amy Martin:

further water down this section. We're hours past the time when

Amy Martin:

the meeting was supposed to restart, but Alok Sharma doesn't

Amy Martin:

want to call the meeting back to order until he's sure the

Amy Martin:

agreement is going to be accepted by all the parties.

Amy Martin:

There's no voting here. It's not like he steps up to the podium

Amy Martin:

and says, "all in favor, say aye." He needs to get that aye

Amy Martin:

from everybody ahead of time before official proceedings

Amy Martin:

restart, or he risks someone raising an objection and

Amy Martin:

refusing to adopt the proposal, and potentially the whole

Amy Martin:

agreement falls apart. Finally, the huddles start to disperse,

Amy Martin:

delegates return to their seats, and Sharma calls the group back

Amy Martin:

together.

Alok Sharma:

So first, I now invite the COP to adopt the

Alok Sharma:

decision entitled Glasgow climate pact.

Amy Martin:

He proposes that the text be adopted, and then

Amy Martin:

there's a pause.

Alok Sharma:

I see China is seeking an intervention. I

Alok Sharma:

invite China to take the floor.

Amy Martin:

The Chinese representative says in so many

Amy Martin:

words that they have proposed a change to the text, but he

Amy Martin:

doesn't say exactly what the change is.

Alok Sharma:

Thank you, China. I see India wishes to take the

Alok Sharma:

floor. India, you have the floor.

Amy Martin:

The representative from India reads out the

Amy Martin:

proposed change.

India:

...call upon parties to escalate the development...

Amy Martin:

They want the text to say "accelerating efforts

Amy Martin:

towards the phase down of unabated coal power and phase

Amy Martin:

out of inefficient fossil fuel subsidies." So instead of

Amy Martin:

phasing coal out, it would be phased down. This is the drama

Amy Martin:

that was presumably playing out in these huddles now being

Amy Martin:

brought forward and into the record.

Alok Sharma:

Thank you to China, India for their interventions.

Alok Sharma:

Dear delegates, you have a revised proposal for the

Alok Sharma:

paragraphs that were set out by Minister Yadav. Could I ask

Alok Sharma:

whether distinguished delegates, having heard the proposal, is

Alok Sharma:

this proposal agreeable to you? I have an intervention from

Alok Sharma:

Switzerland. Switzerland, I give you the floor.

Switzerland:

Thank you, Mr. President.

Amy Martin:

Switzerland is part of the environmental integrity

Amy Martin:

group, or eig, a small group of countries that negotiate

Amy Martin:

together.

Switzerland:

On behalf of the EIG, we would like to express

Switzerland:

our profound disappointment that the language that we have agreed

Switzerland:

on, on coal and fossil fuel subsidies has been further

Switzerland:

watered down as a result of an intransparent process. Let us be

Switzerland:

clear, we do not need to phase down but to phase out coal and

Switzerland:

fossil fuel subsidies. The EIG does not want to risk that we

Switzerland:

leave Glasgow without an outcome. Therefore, we did not

Switzerland:

oppose this additional last minute change, weakening the

Switzerland:

outcome of Glasgow, but we are disappointed both about the

Switzerland:

process and about this last minute change. This will not

Switzerland:

bring us closer to 1.5 but make it more difficult to reach it.

Alok Sharma:

Thank you.

Amy Martin:

There is big, long applause in the room. A lot of

Amy Martin:

people are mad, really mad. Many countries here wanted the

Amy Martin:

language in this paragraph to be even stronger than what they had

Amy Martin:

consented to previously, and now it was being made weaker at the

Amy Martin:

last minute. But if they object to this, then the whole

Amy Martin:

agreement falls apart, and all of this work would be for

Amy Martin:

naught, not just the two grueling weeks here in Glasgow,

Amy Martin:

but the years of effort leading up to this point. I can feel the

Amy Martin:

tension crackling through the room. It feels like the entire

Amy Martin:

process could implode. That's happened at previous COPs.

Amy Martin:

Here's the representative from Mexico.

Mexico:

We all have remaining concerns that we're told we

Mexico:

could not reopen the text. Mexico, for example, believes

Mexico:

the language on human rights should have been strengthened,

Mexico:

and are very, very disappointed that such demands were not

Mexico:

heard, while others can still ask to water down their

Mexico:

promises. Thank you.

Alok Sharma:

Thank you. Thank you to Mexico for that

Alok Sharma:

intervention.

Amy Martin:

So people are upset both about the content and the

Amy Martin:

process here. This isn't the way things are supposed to work.

Amy Martin:

These kinds of changes should have been proposed much earlier

Amy Martin:

so everyone would have a chance to comment on them. In fact,

Amy Martin:

that's what they were told they had to do. Here's the

Amy Martin:

representative from Fiji.

Fiji:

A few days ago, in fact, about four days ago, when we

Fiji:

talked about some language on loss and damage, we were told

Fiji:

that we're introducing something at the last minute. It's rather

Fiji:

ironic that just about two hours ago, we discussed the text, and

Fiji:

now there's an amendment being made to that, and that I would

Fiji:

call last minute without any due process being followed.

Amy Martin:

Person after person took to the floor to voice their

Amy Martin:

disappointment, immense disappointment, profound

Amy Martin:

disappointment. One of the things I learned at COP is that

Amy Martin:

these are the words diplomats use to express rage. But no one

Amy Martin:

said they were going to walk away. As the interventions

Amy Martin:

rolled in, it seemed like the consensus was going to hold.

Amy Martin:

This is the representative from Liechtenstein.

Liechtenstein:

We believe weakening the language regarding

Liechtenstein:

the phase out of fossil fuels, especially coal, is nor

Liechtenstein:

ambitious nor in line with reaching the 1.5 degrees

Liechtenstein:

temperature goal. For the greater good, we must swallow

Liechtenstein:

this bitter pill. Thank you. And back to you, Mr. President.

Amy Martin:

Like I said earlier, watching all of this play out, I

Amy Martin:

had a mixture of reactions. Part of me was outraged that a few

Amy Martin:

big emitters had been able to affect the process and weaken

Amy Martin:

the text in this way, and at the same time, I was really moved by

Amy Martin:

repeated calls to go ahead and approve the text anyway, to

Amy Martin:

swallow that bitter pill and not let it poison everything. This

Amy Martin:

is Tina Stege from the Marshall Islands.

Fiji:

Thank you, President. On behalf of the Marshall Islands,

Fiji:

I wish to read into the record our profound disappointment with

Fiji:

the change in the language on coal from phase out to phase

Fiji:

down. I ask that this be reflected in the report of this

Fiji:

meeting. This commitment on coal had been a bright spot in this

Fiji:

package. It was one of the things we were hoping to carry

Fiji:

out of here and back home with pride, and it hurts deeply to

Fiji:

see that bright spot dim. We accept this change with the

Fiji:

greatest reluctance. We do so only, and I really want to

Fiji:

stress only, because there are critical elements of this

Fiji:

package that people in my country need as a lifeline for

Fiji:

their future. Thank you.

Amy Martin:

Alok Sharma listens politely to each objection,

Amy Martin:

thanking each person for their comments, and eventually it was

Amy Martin:

again his turn to speak.

Alok Sharma:

May I just say to all delegates, I apologize for

Alok Sharma:

the way this process has unfolded, and I'm deeply sorry.

Alok Sharma:

I also understand the deep disappointment, but I think, as

Alok Sharma:

you have noted, it's also vital that we protect this package.

Amy Martin:

He drops his head, clearly fighting back tears, and

Amy Martin:

when the delegates realize what's happening, they begin to

Amy Martin:

applaud for him, willing him on. It feels like applause for him,

Amy Martin:

but also for the cause here, like the delegates are saying,

Amy Martin:

we cannot and we will not let this fall apart. Many people

Amy Martin:

rise to their feet, and Sharma frowns and motions for them to

Amy Martin:

sit back down in classically English way.

Alok Sharma:

Delegates, thank you. Thank you, friends. We

Alok Sharma:

should be. We need to proceed. Thank you very much.

Amy Martin:

Then he regains his composure and moves on.

Alok Sharma:

I propose that the revised proposal is adopted as

Alok Sharma:

orally amended, a revised version, a written version will

Alok Sharma:

be issued shortly. Hearing no objections, it is so decided.

Amy Martin:

It's done. The Glasgow climate pact is adopted.

Amy Martin:

It's not strong enough, clear enough, or decisive enough to

Amy Martin:

meet this moment, but it is something, and something is

Amy Martin:

much, much better than nothing. The meeting continues for a long

Amy Martin:

time. Speeches are made, all kinds of things need to be read

Amy Martin:

into the record and approved. Shola had stepped out hours

Amy Martin:

earlier and hadn't been able to get back in. So finally, I make

Amy Martin:

my way out of the hall, say my goodbyes to her, and then I go

Amy Martin:

meet up with Dr Saleemul Huq one last time.

Amy Martin:

What did you think about the watering down of phase out to

Amy Martin:

phase down?

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: I think the language issue of the change in

Amy Martin:

wording is much less important than the fact that they allowed

Amy Martin:

India to change language at the last minute, and they told us we

Amy Martin:

couldn't do that. Right? We wanted to do that. We were told

Amy Martin:

you can't do that. So again, it's some countries get to do

Amy Martin:

things, and others don't. And the others include us, the poor,

Amy Martin:

vulnerable countries, we never get our way. We never get to

Amy Martin:

overrule other people. We are always the ones who get

Amy Martin:

overruled. That's how this works.

Amy Martin:

I was and still am confused about what happened

Amy Martin:

during this final plenary. Why did Alok Sharma allow for this

Amy Martin:

last minute change? It seems like he just got bullied into

Amy Martin:

it. Two big countries decided to object to some text at a moment

Amy Martin:

when they knew it would be very difficult for the group to fight

Amy Martin:

them, and they got their way. But if that's basically the

Amy Martin:

story, I want to understand why there aren't better protections

Amy Martin:

in place to prevent that sort of thing.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: This is all about power, both financial and

Amy Martin:

political, and it's the job of the presidency to have a

Amy Martin:

balancing act. And they failed. They just, and I'm not blaming

Amy Martin:

Alok Sharma, personally, he's a very nice person, I'm sure he

Amy Martin:

fought. He got railroaded as well.

Amy Martin:

And then there's loss and damage. Saleem had

Amy Martin:

called the odds correctly on that the text that the small

Amy Martin:

island developing states and the G77 had been pushing for did not

Amy Martin:

make it into the final draft.

Amy Martin:

Dr. Saleemul Huq: So yesterday, when we had the second draft

Amy Martin:

text on Friday, it had language that had been proposed by 138

Amy Martin:

developing countries representing 5 billion people on

Amy Martin:

the planet, asking for the Glasgow Facility for Loss and

Amy Martin:

Damage Finance was in the text. The final version we got today

Amy Martin:

and Saturday, it has disappeared at the instance of one country,

Amy Martin:

United States of America, and the COP presidency copped out to

Amy Martin:

them and deleted it. Absolutely arrogant behavior by the rich

Amy Martin:

countries, rich polluting countries. You're not just rich,

Amy Martin:

they're polluters. They just don't want to take any

Amy Martin:

responsibility whatsoever. It's a fuck you to the victims of

Amy Martin:

their pollution. In our face.

Amy Martin:

Adelle Thomas was already on her way back home,

Amy Martin:

but I sent her a message on WhatsApp asking her for her

Amy Martin:

thoughts, and she replied, "terrible text." And what about

Amy Martin:

the core issue here, the central goal of this conference and the

Amy Martin:

entire UN climate negotiation process, holding global

Amy Martin:

temperature rise to no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius over pre

Amy Martin:

industrial levels? Here's how Alok Sharma characterized it

Amy Martin:

speaking to the press after the conference ended.

Alok Sharma:

We have kept 1.5 alive, but I would still say

Alok Sharma:

that the pulse of 1.5 is weak.

Amy Martin:

This is obviously a less than ideal outcome, and

Amy Martin:

perhaps listening to our reporting from COP and the

Amy Martin:

frustrations of the people we followed here, you might be

Amy Martin:

tempted to condemn this entire process as worthless, but I

Amy Martin:

think that would be the wrong conclusion. Clearly, there are

Amy Martin:

huge flaws in the global climate negotiations, but it's important

Amy Martin:

to remember that this is the first time the world has tried

Amy Martin:

to tackle something this huge altogether.There was no pre

Amy Martin:

existing structure for this level of species wide

Amy Martin:

collaboration. We're making that up as we go along, and it

Amy Martin:

shouldn't surprise us that it's a bumpy journey, the fact that

Amy Martin:

almost every nation on earth is involved here is itself a

Amy Martin:

tremendous victory. So after watching it for two weeks, I

Amy Martin:

want this process to be much, much better, but I don't want it

Amy Martin:

to die, because then we just have to start over, and we don't

Amy Martin:

have time for that.

Amy Martin:

To wrap up our COP26 coverage, I want to take you back to a night

Amy Martin:

midway through the conference. I'd spent most of the day

Amy Martin:

following the first big protest. Now it was dark, I was cold and

Amy Martin:

hungry, and my feet were tired, but I had something I needed to

Amy Martin:

see before I went to find the rest of the Threshold team and

Amy Martin:

some dinner.

Amy Martin:

Oh, there it is. There it is.

Amy Martin:

It's the Glasgow Climate Clock, and it measures the time we have

Amy Martin:

left before we've committed ourselves to a world of more

Amy Martin:

than one and a half degrees of warming.

Amy Martin:

I'm looking at it now. It's projected onto an old steeple, a

Amy Martin:

really beautiful old steeple, actually here at this

Amy Martin:

intersection.

Amy Martin:

There are versions of this clock installed in several locations

Amy Martin:

around the world. This one uses this steeple as a sort of tower

Amy Martin:

shaped canvas. It's bathed in red and blue lights with numbers

Amy Martin:

projected onto it in bright white light. And the numbers are

Amy Martin:

moving, counting down the time to 1.5.

Amy Martin:

Seven years, 259 days, eight hours, 42 minutes, 31 seconds.

Amy Martin:

That's pretty intense, especially after spending the

Amy Martin:

day at the protest.

Amy Martin:

Seven years, 259 days. That was in November 2021 as we finalize

Amy Martin:

this episode, we're down to seven years, 30 something days.

Amy Martin:

I've seen the clock online before and it's still really

Amy Martin:

intense to look at it to watch the the seconds tick away. Seven

Amy Martin:

years, 259 days is nothing. That will disappear so quickly.

Amy Martin:

We're living through an extraordinary moment in human

Amy Martin:

history, the precious remaining window of time before we've

Amy Martin:

locked in truly catastrophic levels of global heating. But

Amy Martin:

it's hard to actually feel that reality. We're all just moving

Amy Martin:

through our lives, another day, another year, another climate

Amy Martin:

conference, and the climate clock ticks on. I think part of

Amy Martin:

the reason we don't feel that reality is that it's such a

Amy Martin:

frightening reality to feel. We naturally recoil from it, but if

Amy Martin:

we can face our fears and take in the truth about where we are

Amy Martin:

in this timeline, then we can start to write the next chapter

Amy Martin:

of this story. Because this clock, unlike most clocks, can

Amy Martin:

actually move in two directions. If we reduce our emissions, we

Amy Martin:

can add time to it. Our actions can help to add years to this

Amy Martin:

clock, and we can use those years to accelerate the

Amy Martin:

transition away from fossil fuels, flatten the temperature

Amy Martin:

curve and eventually start bending it back down. We need to

Amy Martin:

envision ourselves doing that, to imagine ourselves standing in

Amy Martin:

front of the climate clock, watching the time to 1.5 growing

Amy Martin:

instead of shrinking. And then we need to go make that happen.

Rachel Kyte:

So we're in uncharted territory, and we have

Rachel Kyte:

to embrace it. We can't sort of shy away from it.

Amy Martin:

This is Rachel Kyte, and she's just one of several

Amy Martin:

climate thought leaders we'll be talking to in our final episode.

Amy Martin:

That's next time on Threshold.

Jessica Becker:

I'm Jessica from Madison, Wisconsin. Reporting

Jessica Becker:

for this season of Threshold was funded by the Park Foundation,

Jessica Becker:

the High Stakes Foundation, the Pleiades Foundation, NewsMatch,

Jessica Becker:

the Llewellyn Foundation, and listeners. This work depends on

Jessica Becker:

people who believe in it and choose to support it. People

Jessica Becker:

like you. Join our community at thresholdpodcast.org.

Amy Martin:

This episode of Threshold was reported by Shola

Amy Martin:

Lawal and me Amy Martin, with production help from Nick Mott,

Amy Martin:

Erika Janik and Sam Moore. The music is by Todd Sickafoose. The

Amy Martin:

rest of the Threshold team is Eva Kalea, Deneen Weiske and

Amy Martin:

Caysi Simpson. Our intern is Emery Veilleux. Thanks to Sally

Amy Martin:

Deng, Maggy Contreras, Hana Carey, Dan Carreno, Luca

Amy Martin:

Borghese, Julia Barry, Kara Cromwell, Katie deFusco,

Amy Martin:

Caroline Kurtz and Gabby Piamonte. Special thanks to

Amy Martin:

Becca Richie, Damon Matthews, Rachel Waldholz, Carolyn Beeler,

Amy Martin:

Taliah Farnsworth, Christopher Preston, Leslie Scott, Katy

Amy Martin:

Scott, Joseph Harvey and Abe.

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