You're listening to the Tracking Wisdom Podcast, exploring the universal
Peter:truths that we see woven through culture, consciousness, and the human experience.
Ryan:Morning everybody, and welcome back to another episode
Ryan:of the Tracking Wisdom Podcast.
Ryan:I'm Ryan.
Peter:I'm Peter.
Ryan:And today we're doing a bit of a follow-up from our
Ryan:previous episode on Dean Radin.
Ryan:And this is a critique of Dean Radin's work and we wanted to kinda offer that
Ryan:as a balance to the work he put out.
Ryan:Some of his stuff is controversial, and so we wanted to try and present
Ryan:and discuss the counterpoint.
Ryan:And what we're reviewing today is from "The Skeptic's Dictionary."
Ryan:This is a critique by Robert T.
Ryan:Carroll, who was the founder and author of "The Skeptic's Dictionary."
Ryan:He's also author and professor of philosophy, logic, and
Ryan:critical reasoning at Sacramento City College from 1977 to 2007.
Ryan:He unfortunately passed away back in 2016, but this was written on the
Ryan:1997 published book by Dean Radin called " The Conscious Universe: The
Ryan:Scientific Truth of Psychic Phenomena."
Ryan:And the website didn't have a published date for this review but based on
Ryan:my research here, I am assuming this was written between 2007 and 2016.
Ryan:Evidence for that was that he seemed to have written it after he had left his
Ryan:teaching position back in 2007, and he also had mentioned references to Dean
Ryan:Radin's newer release back in 2006.
Ryan:And of course, if he passed away in 2016, he didn't write it after that, so.
Ryan:Likely this was written closer to 2007.
Ryan:And I say that mostly because the review is on a book from 1997,
Ryan:which is now pushing 30 years old.
Ryan:And the review itself is pushing 20 years.
Ryan:And so there may be scientific findings, or general institutional or, wisdom
Ryan:that has changed to some degree.
Ryan:I don't know that's true, but I think it's worth noting as far as
Ryan:the limitations of this discussion.
Ryan:I think that pretty much sets up the background of what we're reviewing.
Ryan:We will, of course, link this critique in the description.
Ryan:And this review, I think, was a demonstrated effort to provide a balanced
Ryan:and rational critique of the work.
Ryan:I think it's not without its own limitations a- and faults, but I
Ryan:think in general, the author did a pretty good job of moving beyond his
Ryan:clear bias on the likelihood of psi phenomena being proven or even likely.
Ryan:So I think importantly, there are definitely a couple, off the top,
Ryan:points that he makes that are reasonable, rational, and relevant
Ryan:critiques of Dean Radin's work.
Ryan:I think it's also important to kinda set the record in the beginning that
Ryan:The overall flavor of the review is less demonstrable that psi phenomena
Ryan:is not real, and more a grievance that the jump to conclusion that
Ryan:Dean Radin makes about the findings is either irrational or unwarranted.
Peter:Yes.
Peter:So he does say in his note that it's more of a deconstruction than a review.
Ryan:Yes.
Peter:And I think it's an exercise in pointing out…
Peter:it's an exercise in critical thinking, and it's an exercise in pointing out where
Peter:Radin either misleads or seems misguided.
Ryan:And in a way it kind of Lands on what the experimental
Ryan:record is entitled to establish.
Ryan:And while some of the studies have critique about methodology, there are
Ryan:certain findings in the research that seem to be pretty undisputed that their
Ryan:findings are beyond chance, right?
Ryan:That there are statistically significant findings that are beyond chance.
Ryan:The points that the skeptics makes is that doesn't mean therefore psi is real, which
Ryan:is the jump that Dean Radin makes, and I do think that's probably a fair criticism.
Ryan:I don't necessarily agree that's…
Ryan:okay, actually there's another caveat I wanna make before we get into this.
Ryan:Neither of us read Dean Radin's book,
Peter:Yes
Ryan:So we're kinda taking this review at its face value that what he's saying,
Ryan:and representing, is authentic or-
Peter:Yes
Peter:… Ryan: correct.
Peter:Yes
Peter:I think a lot of the criticisms that he makes are reflected in Radin's interviews.
Ryan:So the term I'm questioning, and I don't know if this is true,
Ryan:is at times the reviewer, Bob Carroll, seems to be conflating the
Ryan:term proof with the term evidence.
Ryan:And I don't know, I have heard interviews of Dean Radin who says unequivocally,
Ryan:in his opinion, he doesn't necessarily say in his opinion, that psi phenomena
Ryan:is real based on his research.
Ryan:But the term proof, which Carroll did use in this review, I don't know
Ryan:how much Dean Radin calls it proof as opposed to evidence, and I do think
Ryan:there's a meaningful distinction there.
Peter:Oh, absolutely.
Peter:In fact, I think, so up 'til now i've found Radin's discussions
Peter:of his research very interesting.
Peter:And I found his presentation, like the way he presents his
Peter:position, to be fairly compelling.
Peter:And part of that was the fact that he focuses on evidence
Peter:and he doesn't say it's proven.
Peter:Although, you know, certainly from the way Carroll talks about the
Peter:book, it does sound like Radin says in the book, that things are
Peter:pretty much scientifically proven.
Ryan:Right
Peter:Yeah
Ryan:And I just don't know if that's his commentary or
Ryan:interpretation of what's said-
Peter:Right, right
Ryan:versus like a verbatim kind of quote from that.
Ryan:Which it may be.
Ryan:And I think trivially Dean Radin thinks his stuff is pretty solidly-
Peter:Right
Ryan:proven.
Ryan:Yeah.
Ryan:And I guess that could be evidenced as is described in the review that Dean
Ryan:Radin says, " Psi researchers have moved beyond experiments on whether psi is real
Ryan:towards experiments on how it works."
Ryan:So I guess that at least alludes to the fact that he believes this to be proven.
Peter:You know, The fact that this is such an old book, like decades old, we
Peter:might say, "Oh well, some of Carroll's criticisms aren't valid anymore,"
Peter:but I don't think we will say that.
Peter:Because even though there is, you know, there's ongoing research, and there's
Peter:new experiments and new evidence-
Ryan:Yeah
Ryan:… Peter: presumably, that's kinda not the nature of Carroll's criticism.
Ryan:Which is much more about how Radin presents…
Ryan:well, Radin's reasoning for his conclusions that psi is real,
Ryan:and what the logical holes are.
Ryan:Mm-hmm.
Ryan:I would say this is a struggle both with the critique and with the
Ryan:referenced material in Dean Radin's work, via this book and book review,
Ryan:that the experiments are quite old.
Ryan:And there is some, the random number generator stuff seems to be m- more
Ryan:recent, but a lot of the cited evidence is like late 19th century stuff.
Ryan:And some of the citations that Carroll provides in refutation
Ryan:of it is like from the 1950s.
Ryan:So I felt like some of this discussion was out of date in that
Ryan:regard, where, you know, oh, people in the 1950s didn't believe the
Ryan:stuff from the 1920s therefore…
Peter:so I think part of the thing is a lot of what Radin talks about that Carroll
Peter:has a problem with is what people believe.
Peter:What this expert or this scientist says about psi.
Peter:One of the ones I remember is Sagan.
Peter:Carroll has, takes issue with the fact that Radin pulls a quote from Sagan to
Peter:say Carl Sagan believes that psi is real.
Peter:And so it's
Peter:The older stuff I think is in response to Radin saying, " even back then,
Peter:these people believed this, or these people didn't believe that."
Peter:And so Carroll's responding to kind of-
Ryan:Sure
Peter:you're misrepresenting what people said-
Ryan:Right
Peter:or what they believed.
Peter:And there's no reason to think that, they think the way you say they're thinking.
Peter:And I think overall, as we said off mic, there's a propensity
Peter:on both sides of this…
Peter:as we look at different kinds of paranormal discussion or discussion
Peter:of para normal phenomena and their critics- we find that there's
Peter:cherry-picking on both sides.
Ryan:Right.
Peter:And maybe I'm introducing that a little bit too early, but-
Ryan:yeah, I think that's an important note, because that is one
Ryan:of my grievances with this review.
Ryan:It was very well done.
Ryan:I'm gonna…
Ryan:And I am I don't have strong feelings on Dean Radin, but I don't feel
Ryan:as strongly about his conclusions as this- … author reviewer did.
Ryan:And I felt like this author did a very good job overall trying to present a
Ryan:very rational discussion and breakdown of each element I mean, it, it comes
Ryan:out to 60 pages, like a 13-part-
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:It's extensive.
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:And then there's these random comments, at the end of a chapter- … or
Ryan:even in between- … that detract from its the quality of the review,
Ryan:the unbiased attempt- Yeah … where it's clear, and it even, he mentioned
Ryan:at the very end what was the…
Ryan:it had to do with healing with the mind, and he was talking about H.
Ryan:pylori.
Peter:Yes.
Ryan:And then basically said, "Even if you showed me
Ryan:it- … I wouldn't believe it."
Ryan:Which, kinda goes, flies in the face of his initial opening, which is
Ryan:skeptics have to have an open mind.
Peter:So Yeah, I think this is the bigger discussion, that looking at this leads to.
Peter:But I wanna go back to some of his specific criticisms, or general
Peter:criticisms, of Radin, 'cause I think that's important in looking
Peter:at Radin's credibility overall.
Ryan:Yes.
Peter:Up till now, I've found Radin fairly credible.
Ryan:Mm-hmm.
Peter:Like, Oh, this is really interesting stuff.
Peter:He seems…
Peter:I think uh, when we reviewed something earlier, I said, " something I really
Peter:like about Radin is that he doesn't come across as crazy enthusiastic,
Peter:and he seems very measured."
Ryan:Yes.
Peter:And, I think a big part of that was because of his, use of evidence
Peter:versus proof in his presentation.
Peter:But I think, Carroll points out or picks on two major areas of overall
Peter:approach that are a problem for Radin.
Peter:And I think the biggest one is meta-analysis.
Peter:And the second one, it's related, is statistics.
Peter:So basically Radin's most compelling argument, or the argue, the
Peter:argument that he presents as the most compelling information, in
Peter:support of psi phenomenon, is
Peter:… and I'm not clear here, 'cause he might have said it in the
Peter:book, that science proves…
Peter:we don't know that.
Peter:But that it's based on meta-analysis.
Peter:And Carroll's point is that me- meta-analysis allows Radin to
Peter:incorporate invalid studies into valid results and say, "overall, these many
Peter:hundreds of experiments have been done, and the likelihood that these
Peter:outcomes are random is, very small."
Peter:And then that's where the, the statistical part comes in.
Peter:Actually, it's not so much st- statistics as interpretation.
Peter:Which is that because it's non-random, it therefore proves-
Peter:Is … the reality of psi.
Peter:Or yeah, that the most likely explanation for this non-randomness is psi phenomenon.
Ryan:Right.
Peter:That's the, probably-
Ryan:Right
Peter:….the
Peter:fair way of putting it.
Peter:Or therefore we can conclude that it's psi.
Peter:And Carroll takes exception, and is, really pretty emphatic, that Radin
Peter:is disregarding error and basically a whole bunch of non-intentional
Peter:causes, of statistical anomaly.
Ryan:Yeah, I think, so this is where it was tough for me, because from what
Ryan:I recall, Carroll specifically said he didn't go through these meta-analyses.
Ryan:So some of what he's saying is coming across, at least to me when I'm,
Ryan:like, listening to the two of them, as "Well, "it could have been," right?
Ryan:And I think that's fair-
Peter:Mm-hmm
Ryan:…that
Ryan:to raise that, but he is also presenting it in a way that is "There was."
Ryan:And I th- some of them definitely did-
Peter:Exactly
Ryan:ha- had studies that subsequently had methodologies that were in
Ryan:question and/or had non-compliance with the actual methodology.
Peter:Exactly.
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:And and obviously those bring the results into question.
Ryan:But it wasn't across the board that all the-
Peter:Exactly
Peter:… Ryan: all the studies and experiments and everything had these things.
Peter:I, I think overall the issue is that, if controls are inadequate,
Peter:so you're not controlling for fraud, you're not controlling for error,
Peter:you're not controlling for information bleed-through with subjects, that those
Peter:then become possible explanation for the statistically compelling outcomes,
Peter:and that Radin doesn't address that.
Ryan:I think in certain circumstances he seemed to.
Ryan:Now, I think he didn't address it to Carroll's satisfaction.
Ryan:But there were- … some points in the review where basically he
Ryan:cited Radin saying "we determine that," and Carroll's kind of
Ryan:questioning how they determine that.
Ryan:I think Carroll's criticism about Radin's compulsion to move to
Ryan:therefore it's psi, has its teeth.
Ryan:But I'm also making some presumption that Radin is, and those who are doing
Ryan:this are, making attempts to isolate and remove or measure for those factors.
Ryan:It's not perfect, I recognize that, and there were some studies that were
Ryan:determined that they had fallibility.
Ryan:The thing is Radin discounts any other naturalized potential cause.
Ryan:In some of these studies, there have been results that have been acknowledged
Ryan:even by critics that, "yeah, it's beyond-
Ryan:" Peter: It's statistically
Ryan:significant … it's statistic-
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:But
Ryan:… Peter: right, right
Ryan:then branch and are like "the best we can say responsibly is
Ryan:we, it's weird and we don't know."
Ryan:And Radin takes the other branches, like "it's psi."
Peter:So that's Carroll's main-
Ryan:Yeah
Ryan:… Peter: criticism.
Ryan:Which I think is totally fair.
Peter:Is that you can't just assume that that the, the reports repeatedly
Peter:use the argument that because this is so statistically significant, it must be psi.
Peter:Without, number one, specifically controlling for things-
Ryan:Right
Peter:because they're not extreme- they're not rigorously designed.
Peter:Or number two just not considering alternate explanations.
Peter:And there are multiple examples of intentional misleading- … results,
Peter:fraudulent results that end up getting incorporated-
Ryan:Yeah
Peter:In, in the kind of overall story.
Peter:And then his second major criticism other than that interpretation of statistical
Peter:significance, which is a major- … that's a a major objection is Radin's insistence
Peter:that meta-analysis is so compelling-
Ryan:Right
Ryan:… Peter: that it is essentially proof.
Ryan:I think where we've heard Radin up till now, we haven't heard
Ryan:such a emphasis on meta-analysis.
Ryan:I think that was really, the core of this book was meta-analysis.
Ryan:And I think Carroll points out that it's Radin's standard approach.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:I think that he references another book, 'cause he's
Peter:done a whole bunch of books.
Peter:And Carroll's looked at previous books or reviewed or, published on them.
Peter:And that, is just his, one of his major modus operandis-
Ryan:Right
Peter:Is to do meta-analysis and then write a book about it.
Peter:So I think those are definite weaknesses for Radin's case.
Ryan:I agree.
Ryan:I so To be fair enough to Radin, Carroll critiques this book, in
Ryan:some circumstances, as if it's a published scientific paper, that
Ryan:should have extensive exposition on methodology and how all this works.
Ryan:And this book is
Peter:Right
Peter:… Ryan: consumer level.
Peter:So to expect that level of detail on the methodology and the evidence
Peter:and the studies and all that, I think is a little unreasonable.
Peter:He does have published papers, and it would've been interesting,
Peter:and maybe it does exist.
Peter:I haven't scoured all the Dean Radin criticisms that he has on this website,
Peter:but, perhaps a critique of an actual study of the meta-analysis or whatever
Peter:would've had more teeth in that regard.
Peter:I think there is a, a, another good point made.
Peter:Not that meta-analyses have no value,
Peter:but it is retrospective, and that there is the opportunity to
Peter:bring in the analyzer's bias of expectation that can curate the data.
Peter:I think all of that is totally reasonable and founded.
Peter:And that That the counter to that is you need to prospectively be establishing
Peter:what information is transferred, what is the expected outcome.
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:And obviously that would be in line with rigorous scientific practice.
Ryan:Then there's the retort that experiments with humans are inherently
Ryan:confounded because n-no single event can ever truly be re-replicated.
Ryan:Fine.
Ryan:And then the critique that Radin fails to consider alternate modalities
Ryan:of causation to the results.
Ryan:And again, even beyond, even if the experiments were all perfect and had
Ryan:zero issue in methodology he isn't considering any other causal factor.
Ryan:I mean, he even went as far as calling out, "Did Zeus do this?"
Ryan:Which obviously is a bit facetious, and…
Ryan:whatever.
Ryan:The point is made, he's not considering any other potential causations, and
Ryan:even Radin notes that we don't know if it's telepathy versus precognition,
Ryan:which are two different modalities.
Ryan:But on the same hand, the skeptics don't seem to be accepting that
Ryan:PK or, psi could be a thing.
Ryan:There was comments like, "I can't say it doesn't exist,
Ryan:but I don't think it does,".
Ryan:I think if you stop at we can't say that it doesn't exist brings better
Ryan:clout than, but I don't think it does.
Peter:So, I think that's really the crux of the discussion, that what we're talking
Peter:about is belief in the context of science.
Peter:And, it's not a discussion of whether science proves things or not.
Peter:It's a question of, is your belief supported by the science?
Peter:And so Radin is saying, "I'm doing science.
Peter:The scientific record, the evidence supports this belief."
Peter:And Carroll is saying no, you haven't demonstrated that the evidence supports
Peter:this belief because you're not looking at the limitations of the evidence- because
Peter:of experimental design, blah, blah, blah.
Peter:And you're using logical fallacies in your analysis and conclusions."
Peter:And so, he's not devaluing or rather not denying the value of meta-analysis.
Ryan:Mm.
Peter:What he's really focused on is over-interpretation and conclusions,
Ryan:Right
Peter:drawn from whatever method you're using.
Peter:Whether it's meta-analysis or something else.
Peter:And I think that's a hard hurdle for proponents of
Peter:paranormal phenomena to overcome.
Ryan:Sure.
Peter:Because it seems to be that critics are constantly able
Peter:to say, " This is why you're over-interpreting what you're presenting."
Peter:Not that that's not some evidence supporting, but the evidence is very weak.
Peter:And so then it becomes a choice of belief rather than a really strong case that
Peter:the scientific method supports this.
Peter:Yeah, I think I got there.
Ryan:Yeah.
Ryan:No, I think that's absolutely the, the single most valuable piece of
Ryan:the critique in the paper here.
Peter:Then on the other hand, as you alluded to, Carroll's
Peter:attitude comes through.
Ryan:Right.
Peter:He does a really good job of using his, really his profession was critical
Peter:thinking and- … understanding all the kind of tools of philosophy and logic.
Peter:And that's what's great about this piece-
Ryan:Yeah
Peter:is that there's a lot of application of that and links to-
Ryan:Yeah
Ryan:… Peter: the Outline Skeptic's Dictionary, and it's like, here's a whole list of
Ryan:arguments that you need to consider when you say you're proving something.
Ryan:So that's all great.
Ryan:But then he slides.
Ryan:He doesn't really slide 'cause it's kind of from the beginning.
Ryan:So he's got this overall context of supreme supremely rational,
Ryan:reasonable interaction, and then he uses a lot of language that's
Ryan:really, very highly colored.
Ryan:And you said h- ad hominem earlier.
Ryan:I don't know if it was on mic or not, and I was like it wasn't quite ad
Ryan:hominem, but it was it's pretty strong."
Ryan:Yeah.
Ryan:I mean, One of them, this wasn't necessarily specifically at Radin,
Ryan:but says that the approach makes one look like a babbling idiot.
Peter:Yeah and there was an argument.
Peter:At one…
Peter:The end, the very end of one of the sections it says, "It just
Peter:sounds like a whining dog."
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Those are such highly colored turns of phrase that it's
Peter:like you're really not sounding…
Peter:I mean, they're not logical arguments.
Peter:And of course the other major thing we're, finding is I I think,
Peter:you know, he's criticizing Radin for cherry-picking some stuff.
Peter:And then at the same time, it seems-
Ryan:Cherry-picking
Ryan:… Peter: he's also cherry-picking.
Ryan:Right.
Peter:So that's a real challenge for us in, for-
Ryan:Laypeople.
Ryan:… Peter: the public, for laypeople , in "Oh, who do we believe?"
Ryan:Because again, and this has come up for us before, where the proponents and the
Ryan:critics seem to be cross-talking in a way because they're cherry-picking their
Ryan:quotes or they're cherry-picking You know, who they say represents science and
Ryan:who they say represents the proponents.
Ryan:The, it undermines the argument of both sides.
Ryan:So when the critics only cite the outright frauds, that
Ryan:doesn't address everybody else.
Ryan:Right.
Peter:The other, sources of evidence.
Peter:Because finding a fraud doesn't mean that everyone's a fraud.
Peter:And then likewise, Radin says something about critics like, "Oh," the overall
Peter:argument the, that Carroll really objects to is all the air- all the
Peter:critics say this is impossible.
Peter:And it's like, no, I'm not saying it's impossible.
Peter:I'm saying that you haven't provided the evidence and the logical conclusion
Peter:from the evidence, that it's proven.
Peter:So I don't have to believe it because
Ryan:Right
Peter:it's not proven.
Peter:And I'm still gonna say it's possible, and that was I referenced the Sagan quote-
Ryan:Mm-hmm
Peter:Before, and S- Sagan was basically saying, "I can't say it's impossible."
Peter:And the, the use of the quote was more along the lines of, "See, Sagan
Peter:believes it, so you should, too."
Peter:Because he's-
Ryan:And then omitted that he said that he didn't think it.
Peter:Yeah.
Peter:He said, "I'm not saying it's impossible, but I don't think it's true."
Peter:Like,
Peter:he's not convinced.
Peter:And I think that's, kind of where from the evidence where we have to land.
Peter:Fr- and I don't wanna s- specify from the evidence.
Peter:Now, personally, do I believe in some of the stuff?
Peter:Yeah.
Peter:I do believe in some of the stuff.
Peter:But I'm not gonna go say-
Ryan:It's proven
Ryan:… Peter: it's proven by science.
Ryan:And I think that's where, we have to admit as proponents.
Ryan:If you're gonna be a proponent, I think you have to admit that
Ryan:it's not proven, but I believe it.
Ryan:Correct.
Peter:And I believe it because of all these accounts, and I don't believe
Peter:that these people are making this up, and I don't believe that tho- those
Peter:people are making this up, and I don't believe that everybody's a fraud.
Peter:And I don't believe that everybody's just believing
Peter:someone else and is just gullible.
Peter:'Cause I think people are having real experiences.
Peter:They may be misinterpreting it, them.
Peter:But it doesn't mean that because they're misinterpreting it, it's not psi.
Ryan:Correct.
Peter:Which is the point that you were making about
Peter:precognition versus telepathy.
Ryan:Telepathy.
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:Yeah.
Ryan:And I think that's kinda where Radin is landing even if his language is I'm
Ryan:gonna say unintentionally misleading because I don't think he's setting out…
Ryan:I think he fully believes what he believes and is trying to be honorable
Ryan:in the way he presents his work.
Ryan:I don't think he's a fraud specif- like-
Peter:Right.
Peter:The, the-
Peter:… Ryan: intentionally-
Peter:… Peter: the problem is-
Peter:… Ryan: defrauding people
Peter:… Peter: the problem is he wants to write books, and once you write a
Peter:book, it's forever there available-
Ryan:Sure.
Ryan:Oh, yeah
Ryan:… Peter: for someone to say he made this argument-"
Ryan:Absolutely
Ryan:… Peter: "therefore…"
Ryan:And there's, the cherry-picking.
Ryan:Yep.
Peter:It's pick this book.
Peter:He said this thing, therefore that proves that his reasoning is not sound and da da.
Ryan:Correct.
Peter:It's like the reasoning that he presented in this section
Peter:of this book is not sound.
Peter:It doesn't prove, equally, doesn't prove that he's wrong about everything.
Ryan:Right.
Ryan:And I mean, he's convinced that it exists.
Ryan:To his satisfaction, this has sufficient evidence that it's a real thing, and
Ryan:he's more inclined to moving towards how it works more than does it exist.
Ryan:Now, it doesn't, just 'cause he believes it doesn't make it real.
Ryan:But I do think that's part of where he's at now is he thinks it exists.
Ryan:There was comment on the random number generators and
Ryan:whether they're truly random.
Ryan:And that seemed to be a refutation, in that latter third where they were
Ryan:talking more specifically about studies.
Ryan:At the same time, one of the critics had mentioned a non-fully random number
Ryan:generator would have similar impact on both the control and the studied arm.
Ryan:And for me, I'll say two things.
Ryan:Number one, when it comes to generating randomness for human interaction,
Ryan:almost any randomized thing, whether it has, pseudo entropy versus some
Ryan:source of real entropy, is going to be random enough that the human isn't
Ryan:going to be able to follow patterns.
Peter:Right.
Peter:Yeah.
Ryan:But at the same time, when they're talking about random number generators
Ryan:globally and looking at the random number generation in correlation to world events,
Ryan:they mentioned Princess Diana and Mother Teresa, and that there was a correlation
Ryan:of less randomization in the US and the UK when Princess Diana's funeral was
Ryan:going on, versus when Mother Teresa died.
Ryan:And the assumption is that because Princess Diana's event was more
Ryan:traumatic, the global consciousness had some sort of impact on the randomized
Ryan:state of these generators at that time.
Ryan:Those things definitely have to be fully random.
Ryan:The other thing I picked up on was comments about, and I
Ryan:think this is legitimate, right?
Ryan:At any given point in time in a study of limited sample, results can land that
Ryan:appear significantly out of random, right?
Ryan:So you could take 10 pennies, and while it should technically
Ryan:be 50/50, you could have seven-
Peter:mm-hmm, mm-hmm
Ryan:heads in a row.
Ryan:But the concept is the longer the sample, the more-
Peter:Mm-hmm
Ryan:iterations you have, the closer it gets to that ultimate 50/50.
Ryan:Some of these studies that had really strong results could
Ryan:have that confounding factor.
Ryan:That if done for an extended period of time, eventually you would
Ryan:start seeing this regression.
Ryan:And he actually calls out Radin, who says that when they were trying to have
Ryan:people try and influence something, that over time their efficacy of being
Ryan:able to produce good results waned.
Ryan:And Radin's interpretation of that is they get tired, basically.
Ryan:And Carroll's comment is that's evidence that, or you're not even considering
Ryan:that it's evidence of regressing towards the mean- It, it- … which
Ryan:is what you would expect over time.
Peter:Exactly.
Peter:Because if you flip a coin 10 times, it's very unlikely
Peter:that you will get five heads-
Ryan:Right
Peter:and five tails.
Peter:That is not at all expected.
Peter:And so the fact that you get seven heads and three tails
Peter:is not evidence of anything.
Peter:But if you do it over thousands of times, then you start to
Peter:expect approaching 50/50.
Peter:But you still don't expect 50/50.
Ryan:Which is part of Radin's point about meta-analyses, whether
Ryan:his ultimate assumption around them is flawed is another thing.
Peter:Mm-hmm.
Ryan:But his point is that you raise that sample by looking at the body
Ryan:of work versus any one single event.
Ryan:Which isn't wrong, and if you're putting garbage in, you get garbage out.
Peter:That's exactly the … Because the problem is that then you're not-
Ryan:Which is the critique
Ryan:… Peter: controlling for controls.
Ryan:Correct.
Peter:You're not controlling for quality of experiment.
Peter:And so you're able to introduce much more error and much more intentional influence-
Ryan:Right
Ryan:… Peter: than, than you would in a large-
Ryan:prospective blind study
Peter:prospective yeah, rigorous study, which is really what needs to be done.
Peter:Obviously that's a very significant challenge, especially with fringe science.
Ryan:Mm-hmm
Ryan:… Peter: or paranormal.
Ryan:And, I don't use fringe science in a derogatory way.
Ryan:But anything that's farther away from well- mainstream.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Yeah.
Peter:So I think w- we're gonna continue to be interested in fringe science, as
Peter:far as what the listeners will know as our overall orientation towards
Peter:explorations of consciousness and awakening and that kind of thing.
Peter:And interested in, to what extent people claim scientific evidence, and then
Peter:also the critiques of those people.
Peter:But, what we're seeing is there's just a lot of imperfection.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:We haven't seen a critical piece that is so solid that we don't say, "Wait
Peter:a second, You're making a bad point here," or "you're, you're really showing a bias."
Ryan:Which of course doesn't invalidate their good points.
Peter:R- exactly.
Ryan:Which is exactly the same on the other hand.
Peter:Exactly.
Peter:Exactly.
Peter:So it's a very, it's a very, it's a very demanding situation.
Peter:I don't think we can read one or two
Ryan:Mm-hmm
Peter:pieces from either side and say, "Oh well, I'm convinced."
Peter:That's the problem.
Ryan:Yep.
Peter:It is easy to be convinced-
Ryan:Yep
Ryan:… Peter: depending on your own inclination.
Ryan:Yep.
Ryan:No, and I think this even extends to the scientific community, where
Ryan:unless you're, up to your neck in the body of work, most people are
Ryan:skimming sources you know, like- right
Ryan:finding a couple of sources.
Ryan:Potentially confirmation bias, right?
Ryan:I need to find something that contradicts this," on either side.
Ryan:And going and finding one or two of those studies or papers and saying, "See?
Ryan:There it is."
Ryan:It is very easy, and this is a key point of the author in this, and I
Ryan:think was clearly a life work for him, trying to teach that these things exist,
Ryan:and practicing getting out of them.
Ryan:And I think that no amount of practice is ever going to alleviate any one of us from
Ryan:falling into these traps, but the more awareness we have of them, and the more
Ryan:practice w- and open-mindedness, I think.
Ryan:Because when you're attached to something, that's when these fallacies and-
Peter:Yeah
Peter:… Ryan: the ego takes over, and that's when- … the whole thing breaks down.
Peter:And nobody can claim science at that point.
Peter:That doesn't mean good points don't exist in it, but it becomes more
Peter:difficult to suss out what is a good point versus what's emotionally driven.
Peter:I do wish, and I guess we're probably seeing some of it, one of the the kind
Peter:of emotions or frustrations that came up for me in reading this, there's a
Peter:disinclination of mainstream materialist science to consider it at all.
Peter:Yeah.
Peter:I agree.
Peter:It's very disappointing to have things dismissed rather than held more
Peter:lightly as possible but improbable.
Peter:I think the argument tends to be that it's either fraud or superstitious-
Ryan:Right
Peter:belief, like completely non-critical acceptance of the idea-
Peter:… or superstitious belief, rather than finding the limitations of the argument,
Peter:finding the limit- limitations of the work, and then evaluating what remains.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:But, unfortunately the functional context of science, and
Peter:its funding by governments, and it's it's embedding in capitalism.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Just you…
Peter:That's the way it's gonna be.
Peter:Which is I would say overall What we're hoping for in terms of
Peter:consciousness and awakening, right?
Peter:It's like it doesn't have to be this way.
Peter:Like humans don't have to be this way.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:It is the way we are right now.
Peter:It is the way our society is right now But what we're learning from
Peter:our experience and explorations is that it doesn't have to be.
Peter:And so if we could change the context where these things are
Peter:happening, then people would be able to hold more openness and
Peter:more, even more contradiction.
Peter:Rather than saying that's a contradiction, therefore you're a liar."
Peter:"And everything that you say is a lie."
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Cause that's kinda where we land.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:That's kind of the shape of things as they are.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Whereas, oh, I found something that is untrue, and I have to do
Peter:some work in finding where the truth is in what you're saying.
Peter:Is there something true there?
Peter:But it's just much more obviously convenient and emotionally
Peter:satisfying to to be black and white.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:Yeah, so it's a tough- it's tough.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:It's a tough world.
Peter:no, I think there's definitely a lot of good criticism in this piece-
Ryan:Yeah
Ryan:… Peter: of Radin, and not just of his methods, but of his rhetoric, You
Ryan:know, his writing, things that he said that are misrepresentations of
Ryan:things that other people have said.
Ryan:And that's pretty important, and difficult, for a casual reader to detect.
Ryan:So it's very helpful to have a critic like this go through and
Ryan:pull some of those things out.
Ryan:Yeah.
Peter:And then at the same time, this is like a circle-
Ryan:Finding the limitations on that.
Peter:Yeah, exactly.
Peter:Exactly.
Peter:It doesn't prove that he's just a liar.
Peter:So yeah.
Ryan:Cool.
Ryan:Yeah.
Ryan:So we will, of course, link this.
Ryan:It it definitely had some good stuff in it, and I think it's
Ryan:worthwhile to explore counterpoints and positions to our own beliefs.
Ryan:So love to hear what you think if you read this, and then until
Ryan:next time, talk to you later.
Peter:Bye now.
Peter:Thank you for listening to the Tracking Wisdom podcast.
Peter:Join us next time as we continue the discussion.
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Peter:and visit www.eth-studio.com
Peter:for more information and content