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Gaming News 2026: The new normal - Layoffs, Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks, March Madness & Charity Boxing
Episode 137th April 2026 • Slots & Locks – The Business, Math & Psychology of Gambling • Chris Mello, Tim Cogswell
00:00:00 00:35:31

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Today we’re launching our first “gaming news” episode of Slots and Locks, where we apply our proprietary perception–probability–design framework to the current industry chaos.

We dive into the recent wave of layoffs at companies like IGT and Aristocrat (including the Malta pullout). We argue that these cuts are often driven by margin optimization, organizational flattening, AI implementation, or even sale prep, rather than pure revenue decline. We also get personal, sharing our own experiences on the emotional first 48 hours of being let go, the vital importance of severance negotiation, and the cold, impersonal nature of the modern layoff process.

Next, we break down prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. We view these as event-based financial contracts that function a lot like real-time sports wagering but with far broader markets than traditional sportsbooks, creating significant regulatory tension and competitive pressure.

Finally, we recap the March Madness bracket outcomes. We debate our Final Four picks—though as you'll hear, Mello is once again spectacularly, hilariously wrong about everything. While he was busy backing Arizona and Illinois, Michigan and UConn were busy punchng their tickets to the title game. Seriously Mello, stick to Tennis!

We also give a shout-out to the SBC Charity Boxing event that just wrapped up in London, and close, as always, with our responsible gambling reminders.

00:00 Gaming News Kickoff

01:17 Perception Probability Design

02:01 Layoffs Industry Snapshot

02:30 Surviving Layoff Rounds

04:29 Why Layoffs Happen

06:35 Leadership vs Employee View

10:50 The First 48 Hours

14:44 Severance Negotiation Tips

16:43 Finding the Silver Lining

17:58 Prediction Markets Next

19:29 Contracts Not Bets

20:17 Why Prediction Wins

21:21 Sportsbooks Feel Pressure

22:52 Live Hedging Explained

24:05 SBC Charity Boxing

27:20 March Madness Update

31:39 Brackets vs Markets

32:34 Final Four Picks

34:43 Wrap Up Takeaways

SBC link

https://sbcevents.com/sbc-charity-boxing-championship/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=SBCSC-26&promo=sbcmrktng-oSiXfeAt&tr=true

SBC donation link

https://www.justgiving.com/charity/oliverswishfoundation

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