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037: Waking Up to Bank Failures and What It All Means
Episode 3710th May 2023 • Retirement Equals Freedom • Josh Bretl
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It’s been a bumpy ride for banks lately – but context is everything! That’s why Josh Bretl, our fearless host and founder of FSR Wealth Strategies, is here to decode the collapse in recent weeks of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic.

When we talk about these bank failures and the role of the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.) in bailing them out, it’s important to understand the customer base of the institutions involved.

You’ll learn on this episode of Retirement Equals Freedom about the three key factors that have driven topsy-turvy ledger sheets and exposure for banks in general – but most especially among those serving primarily high-tech players holding lots of cash.

Interest rates at an all-time low converged with pandemic stimulus checks that produced a massive influx of cash deposits.

What happened next (you’ll have to tune in!) had everything to do with how those deposits and other cash holdings were invested and what occurred when interest rates started to rise.

Some banks – like those that specialize in serving the tech industry – have proved especially vulnerable. Risk mitigation is critical for just such situations, explains Josh, but you can rest assured that the banking system overall is fundamentally sound.

And remember: any account with a balance of up to $250,000 will always be covered by the FDIC.

It’s been a wake-up call for many of us who have been in an economic “dream state” the past 15 years, but there are fortunately lots of great financial planning strategies to help you navigate our new economic realities.

Josh and his Co-Host, Dave Schmidt, also leave you with some bonus advice to help manage the stress: Be kind. Go out there and live your life. We can make the world a better place!

Want to understand why it’s actually a bad thing for yields on investment vehicles like U.S. Treasury Bonds when interest rates go up? Listen to Episode 19 of Retirement Equals Freedom: "Do Bonds Have a Place in My Portfolio?"

If you’re feeling queasy about the recent banking roller-coaster, now may be the time to chat with Josh directly. He and the team at FSR Wealth Strategies are dedicated to ensuring your personal finances are safe – and growing! Click here to schedule your free 15-minute call.

Finally, here are a few fun links to explore if you’d like to dive into our podcast community:

  • Sign up for FSR’s page-turner of a newsletter here.
  • Join the R=F private Facebook group at this link.
  • Visit this pod link resource to get one-click access to your favorite platform for listening to past episodes!
  • You haven’t read "Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone"? Book 1 is the very best!
  • Click here for more about the behind-the-scenes FDIC negotiations that brokered the deal for Chase Bank to take over First Republic.

Transcripts

Josh Bretl:

Where banks were preparing for massive

Josh Bretl:

losses, what actually happened was there was a

Josh Bretl:

massive cash inflow to banks.

Josh Bretl:

The amount of cash sitting on a bank balance

Josh Bretl:

sheet went up tenfold, overnight, it felt like.

Josh Bretl:

So a bank that had a hundred million dollars

Josh Bretl:

all of a sudden had $120 or $130 million dollars.

Josh Bretl:

That sounds like a good problem to have, but they have to do

Josh Bretl:

something with that money.

Josh Bretl:

they can't let it just sit there.

Josh Bretl:

They have to earn interest on it, otherwise they're

Josh Bretl:

going to be losing money.

Josh Bretl:

You have to weigh everything together.

Josh Bretl:

But overall, it was kind of a good wake-up call for people

Josh Bretl:

to get back to fundamentals.

Josh Bretl:

And I feel like, actually a lot of 2022, and even in

Josh Bretl:

2023, it's been that wake-up call out of the dream state,

Josh Bretl:

that was the last 15 years.

Dave Schmidt:

It's been a bumpy ride for banks lately,

Dave Schmidt:

but context is everything.

Dave Schmidt:

that's why Josh, our fearless host, is here to decode the

Dave Schmidt:

collapse in recent weeks of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature

Dave Schmidt:

Bank, and First Republic.

Dave Schmidt:

When we talk about these bank failures and the role

Dave Schmidt:

the FDIC had in bailing them out, it's really important

Dave Schmidt:

to understand the customer base of these institutions.

Dave Schmidt:

Interest rates at an all time low, combined with pandemic

Dave Schmidt:

stimulus checks, produced a massive influx of deposits.

Dave Schmidt:

What happened next had everything to do with how

Dave Schmidt:

those deposits other cash holdings were invested, and

Dave Schmidt:

what occurred when interest rates started to rise.

Dave Schmidt:

Risk mitigation is critical for these situations, but rest

Dave Schmidt:

assured that the banking system overall is fundamentally sound.

Dave Schmidt:

It sure has been a wake up call for many of us who have

Dave Schmidt:

been in an economic dream state the last 15 years.

Dave Schmidt:

But fortunately there are many great financial

Dave Schmidt:

planning strategies that can help you navigate our

Dave Schmidt:

new economic realities,

Dave Schmidt:

And hey, Josh and I leave you with some sound advice on how

Dave Schmidt:

to deal with all this stress.

Dave Schmidt:

Be kind.

Dave Schmidt:

Go out there and live your life, man.

Dave Schmidt:

Because hey, we can make the world a better place.

Dave Schmidt:

You're listening to the Retirement Equals

Dave Schmidt:

Freedom Podcast.

Dave Schmidt:

Your host, Josh Bretl, is the owner of FSR Wealth Strategies.

Dave Schmidt:

And for the last 20 plus years, Josh has been helping

Dave Schmidt:

fine folks like you, gain the confidence to make retirement

Dave Schmidt:

the best part of your life.

Dave Schmidt:

And me.

Dave Schmidt:

Who the heck am I?

Dave Schmidt:

Oh, hey, I'm Dave!

Dave Schmidt:

Josh's longtime friend, co-host of the podcast and

Dave Schmidt:

big fan of dried mangoes from Costco and Sam's Club.

Dave Schmidt:

You gotta try 'em.

Dave Schmidt:

All right, all right, all right, enough of my voice, let me let

Dave Schmidt:

you let me end this introduction so we can get on with the show.

Dave Schmidt:

FSR Wealth Management is a registered investment advisor

Dave Schmidt:

located in Elmhurst, Illinois.

Dave Schmidt:

Information and opinions contained in this audio

Dave Schmidt:

have been arrived at by FSR Wealth advisors.

Dave Schmidt:

All information herein is for informational purposes

Dave Schmidt:

and should not be construed as investment advice.

Dave Schmidt:

It does not constitute an offer, a solicitation or recommendation

Dave Schmidt:

to purchase any security.

Dave Schmidt:

FSR is not providing legal, tax, accounting, or financial

Dave Schmidt:

planning advice in this audio.

Dave Schmidt:

These views are as of the date of this publication

Dave Schmidt:

and are subject to change.

Josh Bretl:

Maggie's in first grade.

Josh Bretl:

Maggie loves to read, but she's in first grade.

Josh Bretl:

She doesn't have that same level of experience.

Dave Schmidt:

Naturally.

Josh Bretl:

So Harry Potter, there's certain words,

Josh Bretl:

plus it's a British author, there's just certain words

Josh Bretl:

that she can't let go without asking, "What's that mean?

Josh Bretl:

What's that mean?"

Josh Bretl:

So it's like every page is like 20 questions, "What's that mean?

Josh Bretl:

What's that mean?"

Josh Bretl:

We try to teach her context and just listen.

Josh Bretl:

I've now gotten the fact that I'm not going to answer

Josh Bretl:

you until the page is over.

Josh Bretl:

And then we can go back, if there's anything you didn't

Josh Bretl:

understand, we'll talk about it.

Josh Bretl:

There was a thing in the book yesterday where they're talking

Josh Bretl:

about they heard somebody whooping in celebration.

Josh Bretl:

And I wouldn't go back and answer that to her.

Josh Bretl:

Because I was like, she understands what whooping is.

Josh Bretl:

I mean, the girl, whoops her whole life.

Josh Bretl:

And so we're sitting at breakfast this morning and

Josh Bretl:

we're talking about Harry Potter because I read the books

Josh Bretl:

and Missy didn't last night.

Josh Bretl:

So she was asking, "What'd you learn in Harry Potter?"

Josh Bretl:

And Maggie goes, "Dad wouldn't tell me what whooping means."

Dave Schmidt:

oh, no.

Josh Bretl:

All four of us are going, "Whoop-whoop!"

Josh Bretl:

She goes, "Oh, okay."

Dave Schmidt:

That's awesome.

Dave Schmidt:

That's funny.

Dave Schmidt:

Landon sees commercials for Harry Potter.

Dave Schmidt:

He sees pictures of the amusement park,

Dave Schmidt:

and he's intrigued.

Dave Schmidt:

I'm slightly concerned he wouldn't enjoy it.

Dave Schmidt:

I don't read books.

Dave Schmidt:

I'm like Jason Bateman, books are just foreign language to me.

Josh Bretl:

Without a doubt.

Dave Schmidt:

I don't know, how do I introduce him to it?

Josh Bretl:

I actually think Harry Potter is

Josh Bretl:

right up your alley.

Josh Bretl:

The two of you could read books.

Josh Bretl:

Just start with book one.

Josh Bretl:

Book one is the easiest.

Josh Bretl:

It's Missy's favorite.

Josh Bretl:

As she says, all the later books, they have dark

Josh Bretl:

symbolism and all sorts of...

Josh Bretl:

Now I don't understand symbolism, I barely

Josh Bretl:

understand what a metaphor is.

Josh Bretl:

But Missy's very good at English, I'm not.

Josh Bretl:

But she says, book one's phenomenal.

Josh Bretl:

It's a great...

Josh Bretl:

Between the fantasy and the descriptive characters and

Josh Bretl:

just the thought process, both you and Landon will love it.

Josh Bretl:

It's an easy read.

Josh Bretl:

You can do it a heartbeat.

Josh Bretl:

And if you don't like to read, the audiobook is one

Josh Bretl:

of the best audiobooks I've ever heard my entire life.

Dave Schmidt:

Really?

Josh Bretl:

The narrator is great.

Dave Schmidt:

Are you looking at that name now?

Josh Bretl:

Yeah, I kind of want to play it here.

Josh Bretl:

I kind of want to put a clip of it in there for you.

Dave Schmidt:

All right.

Josh Bretl:

This is the audiobook here real quickly.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, sure.

"'... Harry Potter Narrator:

make you, get out of the way,

"'... Harry Potter Narrator:

Potter!' Harry made up his mind in a split second.

"'... Harry Potter Narrator:

Before Snape could take even one step toward him,

"'... Harry Potter Narrator:

he had raised his wand.

"'... Harry Potter Narrator:

'Expelliarmus!'"

Josh Bretl:

the narrator, whoever the actor is

Josh Bretl:

reading this, I think it's Jim Dale or something.

Josh Bretl:

He's phenomenal.

Josh Bretl:

It's Jim Dale.

Josh Bretl:

I'm looking on my screen here.

Josh Bretl:

But do it that way.

Josh Bretl:

Listen to it.

Dave Schmidt:

Okay.

Josh Bretl:

Buy the audiobook.

Josh Bretl:

It's worth it.

Josh Bretl:

It's really cool.

Josh Bretl:

In fact, try your local library and see if you can download it.

Dave Schmidt:

We're doing an event at the Glen Ellyn Library.

Dave Schmidt:

Maybe I could just get it there.

Josh Bretl:

Good call.

Josh Bretl:

It's worth it.

Josh Bretl:

You both, you and Landon will thoroughly enjoy it.

Josh Bretl:

I'm assuming Carla has read it.

Dave Schmidt:

No.

Dave Schmidt:

She stays away from anything fantasy and supernatural.

Josh Bretl:

Really?

Josh Bretl:

Even as a teacher, I figured you'd have to

Josh Bretl:

know all that stuff.

Dave Schmidt:

No.

Josh Bretl:

She is so boring.

Dave Schmidt:

I agree.

Dave Schmidt:

She's like, if they make books about "The Real Housewives",

Dave Schmidt:

maybe I'll read them.

Dave Schmidt:

But not to good stuff like Harry Potter and stuff.

Dave Schmidt:

I'm going to get my butt kicked for imitating her.

Josh Bretl:

I'm worried about you leaving that in, but we

Josh Bretl:

know she doesn't listen to the podcast, so it doesn't matter.

Dave Schmidt:

It's true.

Josh Bretl:

If anyone, Annette, if you're listening to this,

Josh Bretl:

please don't tell Carla.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Dave Schmidt:

And guess what, Josh and I are going to have a really

Dave Schmidt:

good lunch, but you'll never know because you don't listen.

Josh Bretl:

All right.

Josh Bretl:

Let's not tempt them.

Dave Schmidt:

Not tempt fate.

Dave Schmidt:

It's true.

Dave Schmidt:

Leslie may actually be talking to our wives behind

Dave Schmidt:

our back and telling them everything that we say.

Josh Bretl:

Leslie, we've talked about Leslie before,

Josh Bretl:

our show notes writer.

Josh Bretl:

We're going on vacation to San Francisco after school is out.

Josh Bretl:

We wanted to take the kids somewhere different and we're

Josh Bretl:

going to stay up in Muir Woods and it's going to be cool.

Dave Schmidt:

:

"Everywhere you look.

Dave Schmidt:

:

Everywhere..."

Josh Bretl:

Our kids don't care about that.

Dave Schmidt:

Right.

Josh Bretl:

I've been to San Francisco a bunch of times.

Josh Bretl:

It's been probably 10 years since I've been there.

Josh Bretl:

But Leslie lives out there and I asked her if she had

Josh Bretl:

any recommendations and in her own words, snowballed me.

Josh Bretl:

And it was the most helpful.

Josh Bretl:

And Missy and I have checked out books from the library.

Josh Bretl:

We've read all these websites.

Josh Bretl:

But Leslie's 30-page email, this is what it felt like,

Josh Bretl:

was the most helpful thing we've ever read to it.

Josh Bretl:

If anyone's going to San Francisco, let me know, I will

Josh Bretl:

forward you Leslie's email.

Josh Bretl:

It was great.

Dave Schmidt:

Leslie is just awesome.

Dave Schmidt:

Hidden Gem.

Dave Schmidt:

I don't actually don't want other podcasters and

Dave Schmidt:

marketing people find out about her because I want to

Dave Schmidt:

hog her out to ourselves.

Josh Bretl:

Either we need to give her more work....

Dave Schmidt:

Let's just triple our podcast output then.

Josh Bretl:

We're going to triple it?

Dave Schmidt:

Let's triple it.

Josh Bretl:

I like it.

Dave Schmidt:

Tripling our podcast output's a

Dave Schmidt:

lot like these recent bank failures, I think.

Dave Schmidt:

No, that's implying that we'd fail on our adventures here.

Josh Bretl:

I actually wanted to talk about this.

Josh Bretl:

This came in a headline in the news recently.

Dave Schmidt:

What is today's date?

Dave Schmidt:

Because we're recording this.

Josh Bretl:

We're recording this on May 2nd.

Josh Bretl:

And recently there was another bank failure over the weekend.

Josh Bretl:

First Republic Bank, which is a fairly large bank, was

Josh Bretl:

taken over by the FDIC and sold overnight to JPMorgan Chase.

Josh Bretl:

This is the third bank failure of the year.

Josh Bretl:

Third big bank failure in over the year.

Josh Bretl:

Earlier in March, we had Silicon Valley Bank out, not too far

Josh Bretl:

from Leslie, in Silicon Valley.

Josh Bretl:

We had Signature Bank, a New York bank, and then we

Josh Bretl:

had recently First Republic.

Josh Bretl:

They happened a little bit differently, but they

Josh Bretl:

seemed to come on quick.

Josh Bretl:

They were kind of all of a sudden out of the blue.

Josh Bretl:

And I wanted to spend a few minutes talking about

Josh Bretl:

why this is occurring and why we're seeing this now.

Josh Bretl:

Because we haven't talked about this for a long time.

Josh Bretl:

It's been '08, ' 09, '07 a little bit, when we started

Josh Bretl:

seeing some of these things.

Josh Bretl:

And it's a different scenario.

Josh Bretl:

It's a different ballpark.

Josh Bretl:

I wanted to kind of set the stage of why this is happening

Josh Bretl:

and what's going on and where we think it's going in the future.

Josh Bretl:

This is a timely podcast.

Josh Bretl:

The facts could change.

Josh Bretl:

And if you're listening to this three years from now.

Josh Bretl:

This could be a whole different world.

Dave Schmidt:

Can I say one quick thing?

Dave Schmidt:

In 2005 when I first...

Dave Schmidt:

2005?

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Dave Schmidt:

When I got my job at the bank, everybody around me, including

Dave Schmidt:

you, said, "Oh, good Lord.

Dave Schmidt:

The chances of that bank failing are high."

Dave Schmidt:

I would like to say for the record, I have not ever

Dave Schmidt:

worked for any of those three banks that just closed.

Dave Schmidt:

I cannot be blamed for this one, Josh.

Josh Bretl:

Charter One, which is where you worked...

Josh Bretl:

Who bought Charter One?

Dave Schmidt:

Citizens Bank and then Fifth Third

Dave Schmidt:

or BMO bought Citizens.

Josh Bretl:

Actually, David, it's a great way to put it.

Josh Bretl:

Even banks, as a general rule of thumb, are so strong

Josh Bretl:

that even you working there couldn't bring one down.

Dave Schmidt:

I know.

Josh Bretl:

It took the likes of some really bad

Josh Bretl:

decisions and some different things that went out there.

Dave Schmidt:

Thank you very much for getting

Dave Schmidt:

that on the record.

Josh Bretl:

Yep.

Josh Bretl:

No.

Josh Bretl:

Banks are very strong.

Josh Bretl:

But I do want to talk about what's going on here

Josh Bretl:

because these are unique.

Josh Bretl:

This is something that people didn't see coming here.

Josh Bretl:

Let me talk a little bit about how a bank works and

Josh Bretl:

how a bank makes money.

Josh Bretl:

When you deposit money into a bank, they have to do something

Josh Bretl:

with that because they're going to pay you interest.

Josh Bretl:

Now, it may not be a lot of interest, but they're

Josh Bretl:

going to pay you interest.

Josh Bretl:

Let's say they're going to pay you 1%.

Josh Bretl:

They have to take that money and they've got to put it somewhere

Josh Bretl:

else so they can earn more than 1% because not only do they have

Josh Bretl:

to pay you 1%, but they've got to pay their employees, they've

Josh Bretl:

got to buy property, they've got those giant buildings

Josh Bretl:

they got to take care of, and they have to make a profit.

Josh Bretl:

They may need to earn two and a half percent.

Josh Bretl:

I'm making numbers up here.

Josh Bretl:

3%, 4%, whatever that might be, so they can pay you 1%.

Josh Bretl:

Make sense so far?

Dave Schmidt:

So far so good, my man.

Josh Bretl:

What they do is they're going to make money

Josh Bretl:

in a couple different ways.

Josh Bretl:

One is they're going to charge fees, and fees come

Josh Bretl:

out of all sorts different places, but that's not what

Josh Bretl:

I'm talking about today.

Josh Bretl:

They're going to earn interest.

Josh Bretl:

And they earn interest in one of two ways.

Josh Bretl:

One is they send loans out.

Josh Bretl:

They'll make a loan.

Josh Bretl:

You'll deposit your money, they'll turn around and

Josh Bretl:

loan it to somebody else for whatever their use.

Josh Bretl:

And loan rates might be 4% or 5%, whatever the bank

Josh Bretl:

charges, so they can turn around and pay you 1%.

Josh Bretl:

They can't usually loan out all of their money.

Josh Bretl:

If a bank takes in, let's use a number here, let's

Josh Bretl:

say a hundred million dollars, they may be able

Josh Bretl:

to only loan out 60 million.

Josh Bretl:

They've got to do something else with that 40.

Josh Bretl:

Does that make sense?

Josh Bretl:

What they do traditionally is they will use what

Josh Bretl:

they call Tier 1 Capital.

Josh Bretl:

Tier 1 Capital is like risk-free capital.

Josh Bretl:

It's US Treasuries.

Josh Bretl:

It's a very common thing.

Josh Bretl:

It's really high grade bonds and investments.

Josh Bretl:

Makes sense so far?

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, Roger that.

Josh Bretl:

Roger that.

Josh Bretl:

This is riveting stuff.

Josh Bretl:

This is actually fascinating stuff, too, to me.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, it would be fascinating to you.

Alex:

Hashtag tax

Josh Bretl:

Now, what happens though is during the

Josh Bretl:

pandemic, everybody thought that we were going to have

Josh Bretl:

a mass economic issue.

Josh Bretl:

Banks started preparing for losses like crazy.

Josh Bretl:

They were allocating cash to get ready for losses.

Josh Bretl:

But the government came in and said, "Whoa, we're going

Josh Bretl:

to stimulize this thing and we're going to give more

Josh Bretl:

stimulus than we've ever given in our entire life."

Josh Bretl:

Where banks were preparing for massive losses, what

Josh Bretl:

actually happened was there was a massive cash inflow to

Josh Bretl:

banks, bank balance sheets.

Josh Bretl:

The amount of cash sitting on a bank balance

Josh Bretl:

sheet went up tenfold, overnight, it felt like.

Josh Bretl:

So a bank that had a hundred million dollars

Josh Bretl:

all of a sudden had $120 or $130 million dollars.

Josh Bretl:

That sounds like a good problem to have, but they have to do

Josh Bretl:

something with that money.

Josh Bretl:

And they can't let it just sit there.

Josh Bretl:

They have to earn interest on it, otherwise they're

Josh Bretl:

going to be losing money.

Josh Bretl:

Follow me so far?

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Josh Bretl:

They weren't loans.

Josh Bretl:

You can't all of a sudden come up with that amount

Josh Bretl:

of loans overnight.

Josh Bretl:

So they were putting it back into treasuries.

Dave Schmidt:

Okay, treasury is a what now?

Josh Bretl:

Treasury is a government bond,

Josh Bretl:

a government note.

Josh Bretl:

You are loaning money to the US government.

Josh Bretl:

They're called US Treasuries, and they would pay you

Josh Bretl:

interest in return.

Dave Schmidt:

Got it.

Josh Bretl:

Now, back then, the interest on those treasuries

Josh Bretl:

were really, really low.

Dave Schmidt:

Back then, as in like 2020-ish?

Josh Bretl:

2020, 2019, 2018, 2020.

Josh Bretl:

And a five-year treasury was paying one and a half percent.

Josh Bretl:

Maybe two.

Josh Bretl:

Nothing crazy.

Josh Bretl:

Now, fast-forward to today, at the end of last year, the

Josh Bretl:

end of 2020, treasuries were paying four and a half, 5%.

Josh Bretl:

But these banks were sitting on all of these old

Josh Bretl:

treasuries that were still paying them one and a half.

Josh Bretl:

Now what happens, we've talked about this in our

Josh Bretl:

bond episode, if you remember that riveting episode,

Josh Bretl:

bonds work on an inverse relationship to interest rates.

Josh Bretl:

As interest rates rise, the value of bonds has to fall.

Dave Schmidt:

Has to.

Josh Bretl:

Mathematically.

Dave Schmidt:

Mathematically.

Josh Bretl:

These banks' balance sheets were showing a giant loss

Josh Bretl:

in their treasury portfolio.

Josh Bretl:

Now, as long as they held them, and if it was a five-year

Josh Bretl:

treasury, as long as they held them for that five-year period,

Josh Bretl:

they'd get their money back.

Josh Bretl:

But they were showing this huge loss as it came into play.

Josh Bretl:

Now, the bank regulators, they don't look at that loss as

Josh Bretl:

far as Tier 1 Capital goes.

Josh Bretl:

And it's not really a big deal.

Josh Bretl:

But these banks are only earning one and a half percent.

Josh Bretl:

Now, in the world of SVB Bank, is a great example here.

Josh Bretl:

SVB Bank had a lot of really, really high-end depositors.

Josh Bretl:

They worked specifically with these Silicon Valley

Josh Bretl:

companies that would have-

Dave Schmidt:

it's hard to say.

Josh Bretl:

It is.

Dave Schmidt:

And it's even harder to say when

Dave Schmidt:

you follow up with Silicon.

Dave Schmidt:

Specifically Silicon.

Josh Bretl:

:

Specifically Silicon.

Josh Bretl:

:

Silicon Valley Bank specialized in startups that

Josh Bretl:

:

had large cash balances.

Josh Bretl:

:

These companies would have millions of dollars

Josh Bretl:

:

in their accounts.

Josh Bretl:

:

And the FDIC insurance was only 250,000 bucks.

Josh Bretl:

:

So what happened was the report came out that SVB Bank was

Josh Bretl:

:

losing money because these treasuries were underwater.

Josh Bretl:

:

Well, all the depositors said, "Hey, I have 5 million

Josh Bretl:

:

of uninsured deposits."

Josh Bretl:

:

And so they said, "Hey, we're going to move this money."

Josh Bretl:

:

And moving money in a bank nowadays is as simple

Josh Bretl:

:

as picking up your phone and transferring money.

Josh Bretl:

:

Money would leave overnight.

Dave Schmidt:

And they can't really control that.

Josh Bretl:

They can't control it, it's the clients' money.

Josh Bretl:

It's the customers' money.

Josh Bretl:

To the customers' viewpoint, they felt nervous.

Josh Bretl:

They felt, "Hey, what's going on here?"

Josh Bretl:

And we had these uninsured deposits and we had to make

Josh Bretl:

sure that they were safe.

Josh Bretl:

Now, if you look at the safety of banks.

Josh Bretl:

All of a sudden it brought out the safety of banks

Josh Bretl:

that came out there.

Josh Bretl:

And the FDIC came in and they shut SVB and

Josh Bretl:

Signature Bank down, kind of the middle of the day.

Josh Bretl:

And they said, "Hey, we're going to take..."

Josh Bretl:

They created what's call a bridge bank.

Josh Bretl:

And they did all these things and eventually somebody else,

Josh Bretl:

another bank, bought them.

Josh Bretl:

But to save those deposits, the government had to come

Josh Bretl:

in and say, "Hey, there's no more uninsured deposits, SVB.

Josh Bretl:

If your money is at SVB, we will insure all of it."

Josh Bretl:

And what that did is that just kept everybody else

Josh Bretl:

who was still left to leave their money there.

Josh Bretl:

Otherwise, the whole thing would've collapsed and have

Josh Bretl:

been a massive calamity.

Dave Schmidt:

Do you know percentage-wise of how much

Dave Schmidt:

assets was taken out, how much money was taken out?

Josh Bretl:

I did read that, that number is public.

Josh Bretl:

It was a pretty high number, and it was actually

Josh Bretl:

organized via social media.

Dave Schmidt:

Depositors at the bank went into a Reddit and-

Josh Bretl:

"Hey, we need to pull money out.

Josh Bretl:

Did you guys see this?

Josh Bretl:

We're transferring money."

Josh Bretl:

Stuff like that.

Josh Bretl:

Which is all legal, it's all legitimate.

Dave Schmidt:

Totally.

Josh Bretl:

And it's understandable.

Josh Bretl:

But the Federal Reserve has not done them any help

Josh Bretl:

because of the fact that they're the ones raising

Josh Bretl:

interest rates like crazy.

Josh Bretl:

The treasuries are built off of and all these

Josh Bretl:

things are built off of.

Josh Bretl:

When they have that giant loss in their portfolio,

Josh Bretl:

which isn't truly a loss because they have that money

Josh Bretl:

sitting there, it's become a giant problem as they've

Josh Bretl:

had to pull money out there.

Josh Bretl:

What we see here is we see kind of an interest rate issue.

Josh Bretl:

We see a timing issue.

Josh Bretl:

And we also see a poorly managed risk issue.

Josh Bretl:

I'm having trouble today, a poorly managed risk issue

Josh Bretl:

because they should have seen this interest rate risk.

Josh Bretl:

But it was a culmination of, there's never been deposits

Josh Bretl:

coming into a bank this fast.

Josh Bretl:

From the stimulus, banks have never seen this

Josh Bretl:

level of cash input.

Dave Schmidt:

Got it.

Josh Bretl:

At a time when interest rates were

Josh Bretl:

record lows, they had to do something with the cash.

Josh Bretl:

They invested that cash in, low rate, US Treasury bonds.

Josh Bretl:

Interest rates went up, had to show a loss, and that triggered

Josh Bretl:

a fear as that came into play.

Josh Bretl:

Now, the nice thing is all banks in the country are

Josh Bretl:

pretty much going through the exact same thing.

Josh Bretl:

But some of them have hedged their risk better, and they

Josh Bretl:

don't have the same issues, or they don't have nearly the

Josh Bretl:

level of uninsured deposits.

Josh Bretl:

The average depositor, if the average depositor only

Josh Bretl:

has 80,000 as opposed to 800,000, well the average

Josh Bretl:

depositor is fully insured, it doesn't matter what happens.

Josh Bretl:

That becomes really no big deal.

Josh Bretl:

Now, Signature and First Republic, they had

Josh Bretl:

similar things happen.

Josh Bretl:

They're a little bit different than SVB.

Josh Bretl:

First Republic, though has kind of been on the radar.

Josh Bretl:

And what happened is the FDIC did not shut

Josh Bretl:

them down overnight.

Josh Bretl:

They did over the weekend.

Josh Bretl:

And they arranged a deal.

Josh Bretl:

The bank closed Friday.

Josh Bretl:

On Monday morning, they announced, "Hey,

Josh Bretl:

JPMorgan's taken it over."

Josh Bretl:

And over the weekend, they negotiated that

Josh Bretl:

whole deal as it came in.

Josh Bretl:

Those First Republic depositors never really knew.

Josh Bretl:

They just said, "Hey, now you're part of Chase."

Josh Bretl:

Similar to, you did so good at Charter One, all

Josh Bretl:

of a sudden overnight, they became part of Citizens Bank.

Dave Schmidt:

Citizens Bank.

Dave Schmidt:

Overnight though, we all of a sudden had our name

Dave Schmidt:

all over the, I think it's a Pittsburgh Pirates or...

Josh Bretl:

Citizens Bank field?

Josh Bretl:

All of a sudden you guys had a field.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Dave Schmidt:

We all of a sudden had a field.

Dave Schmidt:

And I'm like, "See, I did that.

Dave Schmidt:

Might be the Phillies.

Dave Schmidt:

I can't remember."

Dave Schmidt:

Oh, boy.

Dave Schmidt:

So do you know was Chase forced to take this on?

Dave Schmidt:

Or they asked to?

Josh Bretl:

I don't know the specifics.

Josh Bretl:

Boy, I'm just saying some fun words there.

Josh Bretl:

I don't know the specifics, but I was reading an article

Josh Bretl:

on FT, Financial Times, and there was a bidding war.

Josh Bretl:

And Chase put in some money as did the FDIC.

Josh Bretl:

Chase put in the most, or whoever, whatever happened here.

Josh Bretl:

And this is something that you wouldn't see.

Josh Bretl:

They don't really let Chase buy banks anymore.

Josh Bretl:

Chase is too big.

Josh Bretl:

But, First Republic, they waive that because they

Josh Bretl:

can come in and support.

Dave Schmidt:

Emergency.

Josh Bretl:

They have the financial strength to do that.

Josh Bretl:

The government will be out some money on this.

Josh Bretl:

They will lose some money, the FDIC.

Josh Bretl:

But Chase is going to protect all the depositors

Josh Bretl:

as that comes in.

Josh Bretl:

So bank failures, they're always out there, but this

Josh Bretl:

is kind of a unique one.

Josh Bretl:

With the sudden influx of cash, the interest rate

Josh Bretl:

changes, the way you can communicate on social media,

Josh Bretl:

the way you can instantly transfer money nowadays.

Josh Bretl:

This is something that I don't think we're done

Josh Bretl:

seeing the end of this, but I think for the most part,

Josh Bretl:

our financial institution, the the banks in general are

Josh Bretl:

extremely well capitalized.

Dave Schmidt:

I think what adds a level of fear is just how

Dave Schmidt:

much uncertainty and volatility there is in general with

Dave Schmidt:

our financial institutions.

Dave Schmidt:

I'm not going to pretend like I know the fancy words for it, but

Dave Schmidt:

what I am more concerned with is how does this affect everybody?

Dave Schmidt:

Like the normal people like your clients?

Dave Schmidt:

And does this affect people that don't even have

Dave Schmidt:

money with those banks?

Dave Schmidt:

Talk to me, goose.

Josh Bretl:

That's a great question.

Josh Bretl:

I mean, this is part of risk management.

Josh Bretl:

This is part of...

Dave Schmidt:

I know it's a great question, Josh.

Dave Schmidt:

Don't patronize me.

Josh Bretl:

Talk to me Goose.

Josh Bretl:

I like the line.

Josh Bretl:

This is something as owning your retirement, when you

Josh Bretl:

have to decide where you're going to have money sit.

Josh Bretl:

This is part of that safety thought.

Josh Bretl:

As you're looking at where you're going to stick your

Josh Bretl:

money, looking at the strength of banks is something we always

Josh Bretl:

want to take into consideration.

Josh Bretl:

Now, I got more calls about FDIC limits the weeks after SVB

Josh Bretl:

Bank, then I probably did all of the last 10 years combined.

Dave Schmidt:

I bet.

Josh Bretl:

Banks are still strong.

Josh Bretl:

Things are still in good stead out there.

Josh Bretl:

But you still want to monitor that because this

Josh Bretl:

could happen to a retiree.

Josh Bretl:

And now what does that mean?

Josh Bretl:

For the most people, it does not mean you're going to lose money.

Josh Bretl:

People who are losing money are the giant corporations.

Josh Bretl:

They're the giant investors.

Josh Bretl:

The hedge funds, things along those lines.

Josh Bretl:

For the average Joe, the average client that we're

Josh Bretl:

working with, what it could mean is a giant headache if

Josh Bretl:

you're not planned for it.

Josh Bretl:

Because just because the FDIC comes in and insures you,

Josh Bretl:

doesn't mean your money is back in your account overnight.

Josh Bretl:

It might take a few weeks.

Josh Bretl:

That's one of those, having those emergency funds,

Josh Bretl:

having those things out there becomes really important.

Josh Bretl:

And it's also spreading out your wealth.

Josh Bretl:

It's spreading out the thought that there are certain

Josh Bretl:

institutions that aren't impacted by the volatility

Josh Bretl:

of interest rates the way banking institutions are.

Josh Bretl:

But banking institutions also provide something.

Josh Bretl:

They're not subject to the fluctuations of the market.

Josh Bretl:

You have to weigh everything together.

Josh Bretl:

But overall, it was kind of a good wake-up call for people

Josh Bretl:

to get back to fundamentals.

Josh Bretl:

And I feel like, actually a lot of 2022, and even in

Josh Bretl:

2023, it's been that wake-up call out of the dream state,

Josh Bretl:

that was the last 15 years.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Josh Bretl:

Bank failures.

Dave Schmidt:

Bank failures, man.

Dave Schmidt:

Who would've thought it'd be such a riveting podcast topic?

Josh Bretl:

Hopefully you understood it and I figure if

Josh Bretl:

you understand it, the much more intelligent listeners we have

Josh Bretl:

will definitely understand it.

Dave Schmidt:

I should be offended, but #truth.

Dave Schmidt:

What I was thinking was...

Dave Schmidt:

Hey Mr.

Dave Schmidt:

Josh, let's take a break.

Dave Schmidt:

You've been talking for so long and my ears are sore.

Dave Schmidt:

Let's not make them snore.

Dave Schmidt:

Listening shouldn't be a chore.

Dave Schmidt:

So let's get to know Josh and Dave and watch our ratings soar!

Josh Bretl:

I have a hard enough time coming

Josh Bretl:

up with actual topics to talk about on the podcast.

Josh Bretl:

If you make me start researching bird sounds, I'm really

Josh Bretl:

going to have an issue.

Dave Schmidt:

I try not to LOL it's my own music there,

Dave Schmidt:

because that "Chickedy" got me laughing, man.

Dave Schmidt:

That was good.

Dave Schmidt:

That was really good.

Josh Bretl:

I went back to the pod deck here.

Josh Bretl:

And I'm going to get serious on this one.

Dave Schmidt:

Oh, crap.

Josh Bretl:

Look at your face.

Dave Schmidt:

I don't do serious well.

Josh Bretl:

What do you feel people complain too

Josh Bretl:

much about these days?

Dave Schmidt:

Something that really grinds my gears, maybe.

Josh Bretl:

Yeah, what grinds your gears?

Dave Schmidt:

Okay, I'll tell you what grinds my gears.

Dave Schmidt:

I know you see it a lot.

Dave Schmidt:

I see it a lot, too.

Dave Schmidt:

I have always had a deep appreciation for those that

Dave Schmidt:

work in the service industry, because I did myself.

Dave Schmidt:

And you did to some extent.

Dave Schmidt:

I cannot tolerate when people are impatient with people

Dave Schmidt:

in the service industries.

Dave Schmidt:

Restaurants specifically.

Dave Schmidt:

It drives me bonkers.

Dave Schmidt:

And I just want to go say, "Hey man, how about you put yourself

Dave Schmidt:

into their shoes for a second?

Dave Schmidt:

You have no idea what they're going through."

Dave Schmidt:

I've always gone out of my way to be super friendly with

Dave Schmidt:

these people and never blame them for what's happening.

Dave Schmidt:

That, Josh, that is my complaint.

Josh Bretl:

I do find it funny, and I realize this, that we're

Josh Bretl:

complaining about complaints.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, that's so meta.

Josh Bretl:

What people complain about too much

Josh Bretl:

to me is other people.

Dave Schmidt:

Oh, I like that!

Josh Bretl:

I feel like we've become a us-versus-them society.

Josh Bretl:

It's always, "Well, they said that."

Josh Bretl:

And, "They believe this."

Dave Schmidt:

it's gross.

Josh Bretl:

We agree at 98% of things as a country.

Josh Bretl:

If we could solve a few things working together, and

Josh Bretl:

just stop complaining and enjoy and live your life and

Josh Bretl:

be kind and go out there.

Josh Bretl:

I think we can make the world a better place.

Josh Bretl:

I feel a little John Lennon ask on this one.

Dave Schmidt:

Or Michael Jackson, Make the

Dave Schmidt:

world a better place.

Dave Schmidt:

To that point, I heard this, I don't know who said it.

Dave Schmidt:

It was probably on "SmartLess".

Dave Schmidt:

Somebody really smarter than I said this.

Dave Schmidt:

But people are so much nicer than we think they are.

Josh Bretl:

Yes.

Josh Bretl:

They're all going through the same stuff.

Josh Bretl:

And if you would just not complain or judge or do

Josh Bretl:

something, or sit and listen to them, I think we'd have

Josh Bretl:

a whole new world out there.

Dave Schmidt:

A whole new world!

Dave Schmidt:

This is the Aladdin theme song.

Dave Schmidt:

Come on now.

Josh Bretl:

Let's just let it go.

Dave Schmidt:

You got me.

Dave Schmidt:

Let it go.

Dave Schmidt:

Now we're singing.

Dave Schmidt:

So many Disney songs are just so relevant to life, am I right?

Josh Bretl:

Disney doesn't complain.

Dave Schmidt:

No, but speaking of Disney, Dave

Dave Schmidt:

relates to retirees.

Josh Bretl:

I was talking about bank failures and really

Josh Bretl:

wondering how the heck you'll relate this to retirees.

Dave Schmidt:

Sure.

Dave Schmidt:

Now, first of all, you do know that my sister Julie and I can

Dave Schmidt:

sing any number of Disney theme songs at the snap of a finger.

Dave Schmidt:

"Little Mermaid" will do it.

Dave Schmidt:

You want us to do a duet?

Josh Bretl:

I challenge the two of you.

Josh Bretl:

Jules, if I can get you and Dave on this podcast.

Josh Bretl:

Oh, man.

Dave Schmidt:

Well, with the new "Little Mermaid" coming

Dave Schmidt:

out, I'm curious to see how they kind of redo those songs.

Dave Schmidt:

Because we knew that one top to bottom, it was crazy.

Dave Schmidt:

Retirees, soon-to-be retirees, and just everybody

Dave Schmidt:

else out there who likes money, I can relate to you

Dave Schmidt:

with these bank closings.

Dave Schmidt:

In fact, that's why I just choose not to have money.

Dave Schmidt:

Instead, I've chosen to live a life of bartering.

Dave Schmidt:

Did you know that?

Dave Schmidt:

I barter everything.

Josh Bretl:

Sleepy Hollow dolls?

Dave Schmidt:

That could be one of them.

Dave Schmidt:

But I've never made a mortgage payment in my life.

Dave Schmidt:

Did you know that?

Josh Bretl:

Really?

Dave Schmidt:

I just go out and I play harmonica for

Dave Schmidt:

local charities, and then they pay for my mortgage.

Dave Schmidt:

Did you know that?

Josh Bretl:

Oh, that's really nice.

Dave Schmidt:

Do you pay for your own food?

Josh Bretl:

I do and yours.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, you do.

Dave Schmidt:

But see I don't-

Josh Bretl:

when this podcast is done, I think

Josh Bretl:

I'm buying you lunch again.

Dave Schmidt:

When you're not around, I don't

Dave Schmidt:

pay for food either.

Dave Schmidt:

Instead, I go out in the street, I let people stare

Dave Schmidt:

at my big legs and, in exchange, they give me food.

Dave Schmidt:

Did you know that?

Dave Schmidt:

I barter for food.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah.

Dave Schmidt:

And finally, this one's one's pretty private, I

Dave Schmidt:

haven't really shared it with anybody, but the clothes I'm

Dave Schmidt:

wearing, I don't buy them.

Dave Schmidt:

No.

Dave Schmidt:

I go arm wrestle monks in Joliet, and they

Dave Schmidt:

buy me these clothes.

Dave Schmidt:

I, dear friends, had never trusted cash and said, "I

Dave Schmidt:

live a life of barter."

Dave Schmidt:

Am I totally setting you up for the best full house moment ever?

Josh Bretl:

I'm going to try and distract

Josh Bretl:

from what you just said.

Dave Schmidt:

Sure.

Josh Bretl:

People, once you get to know Dave, you

Josh Bretl:

wouldn't complain about him.

Josh Bretl:

You would think he's a lovely human being.

Dave Schmidt:

There's really nothing to- Well,

Dave Schmidt:

Carla would argue that.

Dave Schmidt:

Other than Carla, no one has any beef with me, I don't think.

Josh Bretl:

No, I doubt it.

Josh Bretl:

But you can keep cash at banks.

Josh Bretl:

They are safe.

Josh Bretl:

They will take care of you.

Josh Bretl:

But I think it's good that you have another way you're planning

Josh Bretl:

for your future by also having a system of bartering in place.

Josh Bretl:

Does this mean I don't have to pay you anymore?

Dave Schmidt:

No.

Dave Schmidt:

That's another part of my barter is I'm your friend and then,

Dave Schmidt:

in exchange, you buy me food.

Josh Bretl:

I'm worried that you are viewing banks differently

Josh Bretl:

than a lot of the retirees and soon-to-be retirees are.

Josh Bretl:

But if they're so concerned about the safety of banks

Josh Bretl:

that they think they have to work with...

Josh Bretl:

Where'd you get your clothes from?

Josh Bretl:

Monks in Aurora.

Dave Schmidt:

I had to arm wrestle Monks in Joliet.

Josh Bretl:

Joliet.

Dave Schmidt:

Yeah, there's a whole clan of them out there.

Josh Bretl:

They're not as strong as the Aurora monks.

Dave Schmidt:

No.

Dave Schmidt:

True.

Dave Schmidt:

Right.

Josh Bretl:

But you should worry about diversifying

Josh Bretl:

and making sure that you have other systems.

Josh Bretl:

Because one day, what if your legs don't look

Josh Bretl:

as good as they do now?

Josh Bretl:

And you actually, I feel like this is demeaning to

Josh Bretl:

other people with large, hairy legs, but you can

Josh Bretl:

feel safe in banks now.

Josh Bretl:

I'm not worried about your money because you're insured.

Dave Schmidt:

We are insured.

Dave Schmidt:

I think if anybody does have any fear about these

Dave Schmidt:

bank closings, jump on our fsrwealth.com/podcast.

Dave Schmidt:

Book a complimentary 15-minute call with Josh.

Josh Bretl:

Actually having too much cash is not just

Josh Bretl:

a risk inside the banks.

Josh Bretl:

It's also interest rate risk internally for yourself.

Josh Bretl:

Inflation risk, things like that can hurt.

Josh Bretl:

It's always good to have more money than less, but having

Josh Bretl:

too much cash can hurt.

Josh Bretl:

And not because of bank failures, but just because

Josh Bretl:

it doesn't fit well into owning your own retirement.

Josh Bretl:

Dave?

Josh Bretl:

I think your DR2R is a little bit of a stretch.

Josh Bretl:

The way you tied that last part together there, brilliant.

Dave Schmidt:

I know.

Dave Schmidt:

What would this podcast be without me?

Dave Schmidt:

Let's be honest here.

Josh Bretl:

Nonexistent.

Dave Schmidt:

Nonexistent, no.

Dave Schmidt:

Josh, you know how we usually kind of end this

Dave Schmidt:

on a witty note here.

Dave Schmidt:

I am about to pee my pants.

Dave Schmidt:

And as you know, I don't buy clothes.

Dave Schmidt:

I barter for them.

Dave Schmidt:

I'm going to have to cut this podcast short.

Dave Schmidt:

I need to run and pee.

Dave Schmidt:

Bye!

Dave Schmidt:

Peeing in my pants is cool.

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