Artwork for podcast STRAT
STRAT | Society & Supply Shocks
Episode 174th December 2023 • STRAT • Mutual Broadcasting System LLC
00:00:00 00:20:00

Share Episode

Shownotes

On this episode of STRAT, Mark Mansfield and Hal Kempfer tackle the issue of a fragmenting world order, where relative influence and leadership is shifting rapidly and framed by a US and China bilateral relationship tilting towards conflict. They look at various potential scenarios:

•           There is no scenario where the US and China become fully cooperative.

•           Most nations’ cost-benefit analysis’ support a world order where US leadership remains preferable to China or other non-aligned players.

•           The extremes of either a UNIPOLAR or BIPOLAR world – i.e., an old Cold War style scenario, will morph into a MULTIPOLAR gameboard.

•           As middle powers continually maneuver to remain relevant, a multipolar landscape creates the ‘off ramps,’ realignment options and triggers needed to dilute / balance the relative strength of both the US and China - (‘Balancers’: India, Japan, Germany, France, UK, and Canada).

•           ‘Spoiler’ status will remain with Russia, Iran, and North Korea.

In an uncertain world, with an increasingly dynamic planning environment, this is 20 minutes you don’t want to miss.

Links

Chapters

Video

More from YouTube