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All the news that is fit to print -- or listen to -- Executive Orders, CPI data, Economic and Crypto Sanctions and DeFi takes a tumble
Episode 3010th March 2022 • Generation Bitcoin • McIntosh
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It has been a week of news!! This week we spent time covering the news. The beginnings of a regulatory framework in the United States will ultimately spur greater adoption and investment in cryptocurrency. What are the implications when a core developer suddenly walks away? And will this week's CPI news help or hurt the market?

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/09/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-sign-executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-innovation-in-digital-assets/

https://cointelegraph.com/news/janet-yellen-let-slip-details-of-biden-s-executive-order-on-crypto

https://blockworks.co/defi-star-developer-andre-cronje-calls-it-quits/

Podcasting 2.0 Apps Available at http://newpodcastapps.com/

I can be reached by email at mcintosh@genwealthcrypto.com and on twitter at @McIntoshFinTech. My mastodon handle is @mcintosh@podcastindex.social. Looking forward to hearing from you!

Website

https://genwealthcrypto.com

Music Credits

Protofunk by Kevin MacLeod

Link: https://incompetech.filmmusic.io/song/4247-protofunk

License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

The following music was used for this media project:

Music: Ethernight Club by Kevin MacLeod

Free download: https://filmmusic.io/song/7612-ethernight-club

License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Artist website: https://incompetech.com

Transcripts

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Hey everyone.

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No one on this podcast is a financial advisor.

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All information presented on this podcast is for informational purposes only.

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Now that we have the legal stuff out of the way, let's jump on in.

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Welcome to the Generational Wealth with Cryptocurrency podcast.

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I'm your host, McIntosh.

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Today we're just going to be talking about the news of the week because there has been

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a lot of news.

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But before I jump into that, it's 11 o'clock Central Time in the United States at night

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on Wednesday, March 9th.

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And today has been an interesting day, to say the least.

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We'll talk about that in the news segment.

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But Bitcoin jumped about 6.5% today in the 24 hours previous, which would be from 6 p.m.

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to 6 p.m. for the last two days in Central Time Zone.

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And now it's going back down.

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So it briefly went up, I believe it touched about 42.5, which would make sense.

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That's a resistance level, somewhere right around there, so 42,500.

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And it held that level for a good portion of the day.

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I actually thought it was going to probably retrace a bit and then maybe consolidate and

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then press on.

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But it did not.

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As Bitcoin often does, it does whatever it wants to, and it doesn't do what we think

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it should.

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But a little bit ago, it actually started retracing.

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And in fact, that seems to be accelerating a little bit.

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We're right now, as I'm recording this, at 39,300.

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It actually dipped down to somewhere around, yeah, right above 39,000, 39,030 or so, just

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really in the last few minutes.

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And maybe it's reached some stability here, and it'll move on from here.

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But certainly, if you happen to be in a trade, of course, you probably shouldn't be listening

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to this podcast because it's probably dated at that point.

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But for those of us who trade, we have to be careful about this kind of stuff.

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So, just a little aside there, some kind of real-time updates, if you want to call it that.

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Ethereum reached somewhere at 2,700 earlier today in tandem.

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I'm going to have to zoom out a little bit.

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Hold on just a second, and that looks like that might be it.

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Looks like, yeah, it reached 2,764, and it now is down to about 2,587.

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So, it's basically right where it started from, actually, which I believe is essentially

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what Bitcoin did.

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Had a nice pump, and we'll talk about why.

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Yep, it retraced.

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That's exactly what it did, both cases.

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Bitcoin definitely leading this in this case, and we'll discuss that a bit.

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But there you go, up-down, kind of the story of the last few months.

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So, until it breaks out, either up or down, we're just going to keep playing this game,

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which is what it seems to be doing.

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We've got really strong resistance right now at this 42,600 level, roughly, which is what

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it went up to today.

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I was not surprised to see it retrace.

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I was hoping it would retrace a little bit, and then hopefully push through.

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It doesn't appear to be in the cards for the immediate future, simply because of this retracement.

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Enough about that.

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Glad everybody's here, glad everybody's listening.

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I've been looking at the numbers.

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We've been flat a little bit.

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I think people were maybe getting discouraged.

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Better numbers have gone up, starting to climb again, so that's good to see.

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If you're the first time listening, welcome.

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I typically go over the news of the day, and that's really kind of all we're going to do

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on this episode.

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But we frequently talk about different topics, maybe a currency, a coin, different subjects.

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Today, a little bit different.

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We are only going to talk about the news, because there's been quite a bit, and I think

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some of it's very important.

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I will say this.

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One of my predictions I made at my end-of-year show, or I guess it was very early in 2022

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when it came out, is that there was going to be more regulation this year.

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That is certainly proving to be the case.

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So yay, I got one right now.

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I can't predict the price of Bitcoin at the end of this month, unfortunately, or the end

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of this year.

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But to me, this one was fairly obvious.

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As Bitcoin and crypto in general becomes more widespread, more in use, countries are going

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to regulate it.

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They're going to look at it and determine how they're going to deal with it.

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They may outlaw it.

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We kind of saw that with India, actually, earlier this year or late last year.

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I think it was actually late last year.

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They said they were going to not allow their citizens to buy crypto.

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They backtracked on that.

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You've got countries like El Salvador, where El Salvador, in fact, leading the charge,

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made Bitcoin legal tender.

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Other countries have said, we'll take it for tax money, whatever.

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To my knowledge, El Salvador is the only country to actually say it's legal tender at this point.

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Although I do think that that is something else that will happen later this year.

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I think we'll have probably several more countries.

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But earlier today, President Biden signed an executive order on crypto regulations.

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That's actually what, in my opinion, caused the bounce.

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The order was pretty much what everybody thought.

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I think that's why we got the nice little bounce.

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Actually, yesterday, Janet Yellen is Secretary of the Treasury, so she heads up the Treasury Department.

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Her team, whatever, I'm sure she didn't do this, but basically, a release that she was

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going to have got leaked a day early about this executive order, so we kind of already

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knew what it was going to be before it even got done.

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In summary, and I will have a link in the show notes to the website where they kind

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of give, from the governmental perspective, it's actually on the whitehouse.gov website,

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an overview of it, not word for word, but a basic summary.

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So a couple of things that they were really looking for, they want to, or at least they

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say they want to protect consumers, investors, businesses.

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So this is where they'll do things like, we're worried about drug money being done through

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crypto, or drug trade being done through crypto, for that matter, or money laundering in general.

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That's always the big thing.

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They've proven over and over that very little activity at this point in crypto is related

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to money laundering or this type of illicit activity.

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Why is that?

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Well, it's real simple, because the very nature of a blockchain and the tools that are available

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now means that if a governmental agency takes interest in your activities, they can figure

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out what you're doing.

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You're far better off if you're laundering money, and this is not advice, none of this

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is financial advice, but you're far better off to launder your money in U.S. dollars

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that are basically untraceable.

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So that's part of it.

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They want to protect financial stability, and they are worried about national security.

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They did mention promoting U.S. leadership in technology and economic competitiveness.

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I'm going to read this actually.

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Promote U.S. leadership in technology and economic competitiveness to reinforce U.S.

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leadership in the global financial system.

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Now, this to me is an important point.

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I'm glad to hear it in a sense.

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I think the U.S. should be leading this crypto charge, so to speak, as a U.S. citizen.

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I want my country doing that, just like if you live in another country, you probably

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want that country to be leading the charge, and that's okay.

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That requires the government being involved in making it a good environment for that type

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of activity, for one thing.

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So hopefully that will help there.

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But on the other hand, I promise, well, there's a couple other things.

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Promote equitable access to safe and affordable financial services.

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I don't mean to be rude, but frankly, this is actually one of the reasons crypto was created.

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We've talked quite a bit on this podcast, for example, about El Salvador and the use

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of remittances, how that ties into their GDP, and the exorbitant cost that companies like

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Western Union are charging people to send money.

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Okay, anyways, last item, explore a U.S. central bank digital currency.

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Now, that is not a surprise.

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Am I a fan of that?

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No, not really.

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Am I surprised by that?

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Not at all.

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The government wants a central currency, and I think I said this explicitly several months ago.

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We've discussed it in regards to China, in regards to some of these other countries that

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are bringing central bank digital currencies online.

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They want that so they can have their hands in the pie, so to speak, so that it helps

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with the taxing process.

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It helps with all of that.

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And you can make that as nefarious as you want.

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They can use that to spy on you and see everything that you do, and that's absolutely true.

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Again, it's just like with the money laundering, it's all on the blockchain, therefore it's

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all available.

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Hello, right?

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But it is what it is, and it's completely expected.

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I saw on Twitter earlier tonight, Bitcoin magazine is like, say no to central banks.

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I get it, I understand the sentiment.

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At the same time, the reality is it will happen, and it is happening.

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And it's not just the United States.

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I don't know at this point if China is in their kind of GA in their production release

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for their digital currency, but I know that they are already beta testing it.

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And it's for the same reasons.

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Any government is going to want to do, well, maybe not every government, but most governments

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are going to want to do this.

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So that is the executive order in summary.

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But it gave the market the right, they didn't come in and say, we're shutting down crypto.

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We're going to outlaw crypto.

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We're going to do everything we can to stop crypto.

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In some ways, they kind of say, we're going to come along and help.

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We're going to drive the innovation.

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In some ways, they say things that would be completely logical from their perspective.

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We're going to create a central bank digital currency.

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They're very, very, very concerned about the US dollar no longer being the world reserve

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currency.

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And they should be.

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They want to replace it with this.

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I do not think that will actually happen.

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I think, and I think this is a terrific thing overall for the world, I think Bitcoin has

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a more than reasonable shot of becoming ultimately the world's reserve currency.

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Why would I not want to buy oil from Saudi Arabia with Bitcoin rather than the US dollar

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if the US dollar is facing inflation?

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And that's not going to change whether it's digital or whether it's a print dollar.

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The same way that the Treasury can print US dollars kind of out of thin air with no backing,

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they can do the same thing with a central bank digital currency.

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That's not a problem.

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So that doesn't really change that.

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So if I'm Saudi Arabia, I don't want US dollars, I want Bitcoin if I'm thinking ahead.

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And I do think that's going to take a number of years.

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I would, you know, a wild guess, and it's just a guess, 10, 20 years, but I could certainly

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see the majority of the world's high level trading taking place in Bitcoin.

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So moving on, like I said, I'll include links in the show notes for these articles.

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Tomorrow, CPI data is going to be released, March the 10th.

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So this is the kind of scale of what is the US's inflation rate.

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The last one, I believe 7.5%.

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They're expecting this one to be up a little bit more, probably around 7.8%.

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And I don't know where people come up with these numbers.

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It's just word on the street, which is such a lame phrase.

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But that's just what I have heard.

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And it probably will be.

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They're going to slowly ratchet it up.

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We could argue, you could do many shows about where these numbers come from.

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It's not really important to us.

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The value is probably going to go up.

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Again, I don't think the stock market is going to get spooked about it.

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I don't think that Bitcoin is going to be affected by it.

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Now, if it's 8.5%, if it's 9%, if it's maybe even 8%, you may see the stock

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market drop, you might see Bitcoin react a bit, as well.

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But that's coming out tomorrow, so that's certainly important news.

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There will be a federal meeting next week, I think, the 14th or something like that,

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where they will then decide the interest rates for the central banks.

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And we do expect that to go up probably 0.25%.

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And the reason why they were planning on a half percent, which is a good, well, it's

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not a good jump, but it's a large jump in the scheme of things.

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But they're ratcheting that back, again, because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

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So the expectation is it will be a quarter of a percent, so rates will go up a bit.

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The stock market will get an infusion, and it will probably ultimately keep going up.

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Now, twice I've already mentioned Russia-Ukraine, I did want to talk about it for a minute as

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the final part of this.

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And because it ties directly into crypto in ways, I remember, just to give you a perspective,

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but I'm not going to tell you how old I am, but I do remember the tail end of the Cold

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War.

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I remember, so to speak, I guess you could call it that.

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I don't know what else to call it.

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I remember when the walls came down in Berlin.

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And then, of course, the string of wars that have gone on after that.

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Desert Storm, Desert Shield, so on and so forth, Kuwait, Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, and all

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that.

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This is the first time, to my knowledge, and I think I'm correct in this, that a war...

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So Russia invaded the Ukraine.

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That's indisputable.

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Ukraine wanted to be a member of NATO.

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That's on the record.

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Russia doesn't want that to happen.

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Putin has said so.

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One of the threats is that if NATO becomes involved, that Russia will escalate the war.

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So at this point, NATO is not directly involved.

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There's no fly zone over the Ukraine.

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So the Russian military is present over the skies of the Ukraine.

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There's no NATO troops.

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There's none of that.

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Now, the reality is, I don't think Russia thought it would even take two weeks to invade

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the Ukraine.

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Tomorrow night, I think, it'll be two weeks that this has been going on.

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And the end is not in sight.

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They've not taken Kiev or any of the other...

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I think they've taken one city, essentially.

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They faced a lot of resistance.

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But the other countries around the world have done something that is unprecedented, in my

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opinion.

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They are waging what I would call economic warfare.

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So the banks are shut down.

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The major Russian banks, kind of their central banks or whatever, they have been knocked

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out of SWIFT, which is the Global Transaction Network.

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MasterCard Visa have stopped payments in Russia.

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Things like Germany has said there's a very, very valuable natural gas pipeline, Nordic

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something, sorry, but going into Germany that is not built yet or has not been turned on.

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And they said, we're not turning it on, because that would benefit Russia, of course.

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The United States is now saying, we're not going to import any Russian oil.

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The UK is saying, we're going to taper off our oil from Russia usage significantly over

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the next few months, the rest of this year.

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And I'm doing all this off the top of my head, so I apologize if I'm not getting things exactly right.

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But you're getting the idea, I hope.

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McDonald's is shut down.

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There was another large chain that is shutting down.

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Coinbase, probably the largest centralized exchange in the United States, has said, we're

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not going to allow the Russians access to their accounts.

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And they blocked 25,000 accounts, is I believe what they said.

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And they were trying to be maybe more specific, I think.

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They were, rather than just kind of banning everyone from Russia, they're saying, these

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are kind of the more important people.

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The oligarchs, I think is what they're called.

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Oh yeah, like France has seized one of the oligarchs' yachts, and it's happened somewhere

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else as well.

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So you've got all this economic stuff going on, and unfortunately some of it directly

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affects the Russian people who really don't have what we would say, they don't have a

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dog in the hut.

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I don't know how else to put it.

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Hopefully that makes sense to you.

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And they're getting hit by this.

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This war is not popular in Russia, in my opinion.

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There's been thousands of people already who've been arrested in Russia for protesting about

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the war, and that's certainly a fact.

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And they're getting hurt by these sanctions as well.

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But I do believe that in large part, these sanctions are affecting Russia.

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Russia is not economically a huge country.

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They have a lot of high quality resources such as oil, but they're not economically

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a huge country.

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And when you do things like shut down their banking system, it causes a lot of damage.

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I do believe that even though NATO doesn't have boots on the ground, or we're not even

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instituting a no-fly zone or anything like that, that this is causing problems for Russia.

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Now I don't think this will be the last time this is done.

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I think in any conflict like this where, well, larger countries is maybe not the right word,

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but a country like Russia is involved that's undeniably a world leader in a lot of ways,

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this type of warfare, if you want to call it that, is going to be used.

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A lot of people in the crypto community are taking the opportunity to say, well, you've

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got to be careful about where you put your Bitcoin, and we've talked about that quite

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a bit.

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If you have a significant amount of money in crypto, you probably shouldn't be keeping

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it on centralized exchanges.

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I'm sure there are people in Russia who have nothing to do with any of this that are getting

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swept into this through no fault of their own.

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So don't think that, well, that's happening in Russia and it'll never happen here.

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We don't know that.

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The government is certainly capable of going to Coinbase or Kraken or any of these American

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exchanges here in the United States and saying, you've got to block this person or that person

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or this group or that group.

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We saw it in Canada just recently with the trucker strike.

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Just be aware that you may be on the wrong side, so to speak, through no fault of your

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own.

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That's one of the reasons for not keeping your money, your crypto, on a centralized

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exchange like that.

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So it's something to think about.

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I would highly recommend it.

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That's almost one of the last reasons I would even think about it.

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It's something that, to an extent, is in the back of my mind, but I'm far more worried

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about losing my money to a hack or something like that or just through somebody's negligence

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than that.

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But it's all covered if you have your own wallet.

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I know one dedicated show to wallets you could go back and listen to, and those can take

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the form of software, which aren't as safe, but certainly cheaper, and then you can take

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the form of hardware where you have a little, almost like a little USB stick type device.

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It's a little more elaborate than that, but that's essentially what it is with software

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and it manages your portfolio.

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So you can go back and listen to that, if you have more than a small amount, it's something

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I would certainly think about.

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I do want to talk for just a minute about kind of some news in the DeFi world, and it's

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about some people that you probably have never even heard about.

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I had never actually heard about before this week.

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I was familiar with some of their projects and apparently there's been some controversy

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around these people in the past, but apparently on Saturday, a guy who heads up a number of

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projects along with his partner, who apparently is also very involved, quit.

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Just said, I'm done, deleted a Twitter account.

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I'll read this.

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It's Antonel and Andre Cronje.

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I hope I said his last name correctly, but they've been very involved for a number of

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years in a number of different projects and simply said, Andre and I have decided that

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we're closing the chapter of contributing to the DeFi slash crypto space.

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There are around 25 apps and services that we are terminating on April the 3rd, 2022.

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That is less than a month from now.

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We're talking about Yarn Finance, Keeper 3 Network, Multichain, XYZ, a smart contract

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exchange solidly, Chainlist, and Bribe CRV Finance.

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Now a lot of these I didn't know anything about.

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I had certainly heard of Yarn Finance.

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They also work on apparently the Phantom Network.

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A lot of this revolves around Phantom, I think, even though that's not directly mentioned

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here.

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The point is, and I don't know what their situation is, there is a history, at least

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for Andre, of not getting along with people in a project and friction.

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I don't want to go too much down that because I don't know.

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It's always two sides to a story, so I don't know.

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But this person, these individuals really, two people, just walked away apparently from

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millions of dollars of other people's money on these platforms.

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And I think this is a real issue.

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I think people a lot of times do not realize how fragile some of these ecosystems are and

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how much they center around certain individuals, around individuals.

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If they develop and mature, they ultimately get to the point where that's not the case.

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But Vitalik, for example, was creator, effectively, of Ethereum.

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There was other people involved, certainly.

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He's always been the lead person on that project.

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At this point, if Vitalik were to walk away from Ethereum, he would be missed.

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The price would probably briefly dip, but it would be okay.

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It might not move forward as fast, but it would certainly move forward.

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And I'm sure, at least with some of these larger projects like Phantom and the Yern

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Finance platform, that they will continue.

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But it's something to think about when you are investing in smaller projects.

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And this is one of the reasons why I would always recommend, don't put your full stake

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in Phantom.

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Let's say Phantom, for example.

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Phantom's doing very well.

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Oh my goodness.

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Phantom's awesome.

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I believe in Phantom.

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Phantom doesn't have a track record.

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Phantom hasn't been around that long, a couple of years maybe, I don't know.

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I really don't.

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I could be off.

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But it's not been five years.

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It's not been 10 years.

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And apparently, this is going to directly impact that group.

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He was the main developer for Phantom, if I'm to understand it correctly.

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I don't want to say that with certainty, because I don't know.

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But he was certainly heavily involved at Phantom.

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And the price dipped 15%, basically, as soon as this came out.

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So just take this as a word of warning.

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I wish them the best.

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I'm sorry things didn't work out.

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Oh, actually, here's a little bit in the article that I'll have in show notes.

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Talking about in 2020, he actually told a website that he was on the edge of quitting

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crypto.

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So this is basically a direct quote from him two years ago, citing a toxic DeFi community

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as his primary reason.

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I understand where he's coming from, actually.

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Twitter itself, especially, can be very toxic when it comes to crypto.

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Everybody has opinions.

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Everybody's hiding kind of anonymously behind Twitter.

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And it's easy for these shouting matches to happen.

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And it is toxic.

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And mentally, we have to be careful about that.

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But this is so much bigger than stupid people's opinions on the internet.

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And I am sad that he couldn't look beyond that.

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You can always just get off Twitter.

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There's a thought.

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If I'm a developer on a project and I'm getting a lot of flack about whatever, just get off

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Twitter.

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Get off whatever it is that all this is coming from.

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It is certainly possible.

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It's what he ended up doing in the end.

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He deleted his Twitter account.

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Is that maybe ideal?

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Well, if you're a developer, probably so because you'll be far more productive, in my opinion.

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Just my opinion.

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I see this with the traders all the time.

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You got the bulls, you got the bears, and all they do is fight.

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They just blah, blah, blah, blah.

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And people get in these big long threads and it gets ugly.

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It does.

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And I'm like, can we just be adults?

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That'd be a great start.

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But it is what it is.

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And if it's that bad, then just get off.

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Actually, you can apply that to any social media platform, Facebook, Mastodon, Twitter,

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YouTube, I don't know, whatever it is.

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So, in any community that we develop around generational wealth and cryptocurrency, I will

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promise you this.

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I'm not going to be like a tyrant, but we will not tolerate people being nasty.

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I mean, frankly, my mom raised me better.

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And there's just no place for that.

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We can agree to disagree.

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And I would hope we learn from each other.

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There's always two sides when it comes to trading.

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There's always the bulls.

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There's always the bears.

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They're not going away.

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You can disagree.

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It's okay.

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So anyways, I will have the article in the show notes.

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I'm sure that at least these major projects, projects, products, projects, whatever, I'm

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sure that these major projects will continue.

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I'm not really worried about phantom in the long run.

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Just disappointing.

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All right, so that kind of wraps it up.

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I know this has been a little bit different, but there's just, can I just say this?

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The world is changing.

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It's changing faster than actually I thought it would.

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The price isn't there.

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Now, that's ironic, because I thought the price would go up.

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The reality is, I thought 2022 or 2021 last year, going into 2021, I thought Bitcoin would

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come out at $100,000.

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I thought Ethereum might be close to $10,000, if not more.

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I was wrong.

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But what I didn't see in large part was some of these other changes that are happening.

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Coming back to the regulation for just a second, one very important point about this, when

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you have regulation in place, I promise you that will open up the floodgates, so to speak,

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for institutions to come into the Bitcoin space.

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There are companies, Michael Saylor's company, ARK Investing, companies like this, well,

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Tesla famously bought Bitcoin, which they still hold.

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There are companies who've already become involved, but you will see a flood of companies.

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Pensions moving to Bitcoin, retirement stuff, investment funds, insurance, annuity type.

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I think that's the right word for it.

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There's trillions of dollars in money out there that's in these types of investments

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and institutional holdings and this kind of thing.

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A good percentage of that, in my opinion, over the next 10 years will come into crypto

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in general, probably Bitcoin and Ethereum specifically.

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Those institutions, that institutional usage, I think it will actually be probably what

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drives us beyond $100,000 in Bitcoin.

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But they're waiting on the sidelines because of the lack of regulation.

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Larger companies that have a lot of money and cash and whatever, they tend to be very

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risk-averse.

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They're not going to go out and buy something that the government could say,

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no, you can't own that, we're taking that away from you or whatever.

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But when that regulation gets put in place, then they say, oh, this is good, we can deal with that.

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So, we invest.

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Oh, what's the price? It's low. Buy, right? Buy the dip.

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I forgot to actually add that to the regulation stuff earlier, and I meant to.

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So, that's it.

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That's what I got for this week.

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It's been an interesting week.

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Things continue to roll along.

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I do not give up.

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I do not know what the price is going to do.

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Hey, we could shoot up above $42,600 at Bitcoin tomorrow.

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I would not be completely shocked if it happened.

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I could wake up in the morning and we could be at $35K.

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It could happen just as well.

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When in doubt, zoom out.

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Always think, where am I going to be in five years?

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Where was Bitcoin five years ago?

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It wasn't at 40, you know, we're worried about $40,000 and $30,000.

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It's amazing.

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And go look at five years ago.

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You'll have a good laugh.

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So, I hope that's helpful.

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So, the Generational Wealth with Cryptocurrency podcast supports Podcasting 2.0.

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It is a value for value podcast with no sponsors and no advertising, and we never will have

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any of that.

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You can support the podcast in three different ways, time, talent, and treasure.

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If you want to support the podcast and you have some time or talent, I could use help

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with things like chapters for the podcast, transcriptions for the episodes.

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There's, I'm sure, a number of other things I could come up with.

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Treasure is just what it sounds like.

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If you find the content valuable, you can support the podcast by streaming Sats from

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Podcasting 2.0 app or sending support via PayPal to mcintosh at genwealthcrypto.com.

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You can get a Podcasting 2.0 app for the optimal experience at newpodcastapps.com, and I will

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have a link for that in the show notes.

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If you'd like the content, I would love it if you would visit the Apple podcast review

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page and leave a review.

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The more reviews I have, the more visibility the podcast has.

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Tell your friends about the Generational Wealth with Cryptocurrency podcast.

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Thanks for being here.

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I hope this has been helpful.

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I would love to hear from you.

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I'm on Twitter at McIntosh Fintech, and you can reach me by email at mcintosh at genwealthcrypto.com

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and, of course, the Generational Wealth website at genwealthcrypto.com.

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