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Navigating the Coastal Challenges: A Brief on Hurricane Melissa
Episode 4130th October 2025 • EM Morning Brief • Brian Colburn
00:00:00 00:04:17

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The primary focus of today's discussion revolves around the significant impacts of Hurricane Melissa as it navigates between the central Bahamas and Bermuda, specifically highlighting the consequential marine hazards and instances of minor coastal flooding along the Mid Atlantic and Northeast coastlines. We elucidate the various advisories issued by the National Weather Service, which indicate a marginal risk of severe weather, inclusive of damaging winds and the potential for isolated tornadoes. Additionally, we examine the coastal flood advisories that have been enacted across multiple states, notably affecting areas from Delaware to New York City, where localized road closures are anticipated during high tide. Furthermore, we provide insights into the expected wind and rain events in Maine, alongside the heightened water levels observed along the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac shorelines. Our aim is to keep our audience informed and prepared as we navigate these weather phenomena.

Takeaways:

  • The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Hurricane Melissa as it approaches the northeastern coast.
  • Coastal flooding and marine hazards are expected along parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast today.
  • Advisories from the National Weather Service indicate high tides may cause localized road closures.
  • Gusty winds and rain are anticipated in Maine as a strong low-pressure system moves in.
  • Coastal flood warnings remain in effect for various regions, including parts of Maryland and New York City.
  • Virginia continues to experience tidal flooding, particularly in the Chesapeake Bay area.

Sources

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php]

[SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS Baltimore/Washington coastal flooding | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS — New Castle DE advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php?inputstring=19730]

[NWS Gray AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&site=GYX&version=1]

[NWS Gray main page (hazards) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Anne Arundel) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ014&local_place1=Severn+MD&product1=Coastal+Flood+Advisory&warncounty=MDC003&warnzone=MDZ014]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Calvert) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ018&lat=38.72&local_place1=2+Miles+WNW+North+Beach+MD&lon=-76.5658&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC009&warnzone=MDZ018]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NJZ006&local_place1=Jersey+City+NJ&product1=Heat+Advisory&warncounty=NJC017&warnzone=NJZ006]

[NYCEM Weather Alert (issued ~18 hours ago) | https://www.nyc.gov/site/em/about/press-releases/202510229_pr-NYCEM-Urges-NYers-to-prepare-For-Heavy-Rain.page]

[NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NYZ212&lat=40.8031&local_place1=Harlem+NY&lon=-73.93&product1=Coastal+Flood+Statement&warncounty=NYC061&warnzone=NYZ072]

[NWS MHX Marine | https://www.weather.gov/mhx/marine]

[NWS Marine Forecast FZUS52 KMHX | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS52.KMHX.html]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (St. Mary’s) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ017&lat=38.1522&local_place1=Dameron+MD&lon=-76.3697&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC037&warnzone=MDZ017]

[NWS LWX — advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]

Transcripts

Speaker A:

Good morning.

Speaker A:

,:

Speaker A:

The big national driver today is the ocean.

Speaker A:

The National Hurricane center continues advisories on Hurricane Melissa as it tracks northeast between the central Bahamas and Bermuda while the core stays offshore.

Speaker A:

Melissa's swell and pressure gradient are boosting marine hazards and minor coastal flooding along parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast coastline.

Speaker A:

The Storm Prediction center holds a marginal severe risk from coastal North Carolina into portions of the Mid Atlantic, mainly for isolated damaging wind or a brief tornado this afternoon.

Speaker A:

Several National Weather Service offices from the Chesapeake to New Jersey and New York City have coastal flood advisories or warnings around today's high tides with localized road closures possible in typical vulnerable spots.

Speaker A:

Lets run through the States.

Speaker A:

Delaware faces minor coastal flooding around this afternoon's high tide as onshore flow and long period swell arrive.

Speaker A:

The NWS Mount Holly briefing highlights widespread minor coastal flooding potential and strong easterly winds today and explicitly expands the coastal flood advisory to include the tidal Delaware River.

Speaker A:

Maine prepares for a wind and rain event late tonight into Friday as a strong low passes.

Speaker A:

Nws gray Notes 2 periods of gusty winds first Friday morning from the east, then a westerly surge Saturday with coastal waters under gale headlines.

Speaker A:

Maryland tidal Potomac and Chesapeake Bay shorelines see elevated water levels today.

Speaker A:

The NWS Baltimore Washington office keeps multiple coastal flood warnings in effect including Anne arundel, Calvert and St. Mary's with 1 to 3ft of inundation possible in the most susceptible low lying areas at high tide.

Speaker A:

Additional advisories continue for portions of the Baltimore area and northern Chesapeake, New Jersey.

Speaker A:

Coastal flooding and strong onshore winds top today's risks.

Speaker A:

NWS Mount Holly's morning briefing calls for widespread 30 to 40 mile per hour gusts with isolated 45 to 50 miles per hour, minor coastal flooding at high tide and hazardous surf.

Speaker A:

The coastal flood advisory now includes the tidal Delaware river farther north.

Speaker A:

NWS New York has a coastal flood advisory for Hudson, Eastern Essex and Eastern Union plus NYC borough shorelines 1 to 5pm New York New York City Emergency Management issued a weather alert for today as a coastal low brings periods of moderate to locally heavy rain, gusty easterlies and minor coastal flooding around the afternoon high tide.

Speaker A:

NWS New York holds a coastal flood advisory for Manhattan, Staten island and Brooklyn during 1 to 5pm North Carolina marine hazards remain the main issue along the Outer Banks and adjacent coastal waters.

Speaker A:

NWS Newport Moorhead City highlights gale force gusts and seas 10 to 18ft today into Friday with small craft advisories and gale warnings posted across zones.

Speaker A:

Beach erosion and dangerous surf are possible during high tides.

Speaker A:

Pennsylvania Southeast Pennsylvania sits within the NWS Mount Holly impact area today as a strong coastal system brings gusty easterl periods of rain and a marginal severe risk along and southeast of I95.

Speaker A:

The office briefing notes widespread 30 to 40 mile per hour gusts, isolated 45 to 50 mile per hour near the coast and minor coastal flooding in tidal Delaware river zones.

Speaker A:

Urban Poor drainage flooding is possible under heavier showers.

Speaker A:

Virginia Tidal flooding continues for portions of the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac.

Speaker A:

NWS Baltimore Washington keeps coastal flood warnings for St. Mary's Calvert and Anne Arundel through portions of today into Friday morning.

Speaker A:

Advisories remain elsewhere.

Speaker A:

One to two feet of inundation in the most flood prone zones is possible at high tide.

Speaker A:

All other states have no significant updates in the last 24 hours.

Speaker A:

That's the brief for Thursday, October 30th.

Speaker A:

We'll be back with updates tomorrow.

Speaker A:

Stay safe.

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