As Canada’s auto industry faces fresh uncertainty, an old story from New Brunswick suddenly feels very current. In this episode, host Brendan Sweeney and guest host Greg Keenan sit down with Dimitry Anastakis, a University of Toronto professor and the author of Dream Car, a book about the history of the New Brunswick-built Bricklin SV1. Dimitry details the fascinating yet tumultuous journey of the Bricklin in the 1970s, why it was a failure with important lessons, and how we can apply those lessons to the startup and sustainability of a Canadian car company today. Dimitry also reflects on the Trillium Network’s Shifting Gears report and shares his vision for what a uniquely Canadian car should look like.
00:00 Introduction and Previous Episode Recap
00:52 Introducing the Guest: Dimitry Anastakis
02:43 Dimitry's Background and Academic Journey
04:13 Writing ‘Dream Car’: More than a Simple Case Study
08:41 Why Dimitry Thinks a Canadian Car is Feasible
09:50 The Future of Canadian Car Manufacturing
15:44 The Challenge of Sustaining a Car Company
25:35 Parallels Between Bricklin and Tesla
30:26 Why Dimitry Was Less Pessimistic After Reading the Trillium Network’s Report
45:46 What Dimitry Thinks a Canadian Car Should Look Like
Read the Trillium Network Report
Find Out More About Dimitry Anastakis
Find Out More About Trillium
About the Making it in Ontario Podcast
Making it in Ontario is your window into what's next in manufacturing. Ontario’s economy depends on manufacturing, but the latest research reveals concerning trends that could undermine the sector’s strength—if we don’t address them. Join us as we talk to CEOs and other leaders at the forefront of the sector about productivity, strategy, talent markets and career opportunities, and the role of manufacturing in a prosperous and sustainable future.
This podcast is an initiative of the Trillium Network for Advanced Manufacturing. It is produced by Storied Places Media.
Welcome to Making it in Ontario, your window into what's next in
2
:Ontario's manufacturing sector from the
data driven researchers at the Trillium
3
:Network for Advanced Manufacturing.
4
:I'm Michelle Samson.
5
:Brendan Sweeney: And I'm Brendan Sweeney.
6
:Michelle Samson: All right, Brendan.
7
:Well, we had a really great response to
our last episode on the, uh, potential
8
:of a Canadian car company, didn't we?
9
:Brendan Sweeney: I think we had an
absolutely exceptional response.
10
:Within an hour or two of the episode
coming out, I'm getting texts from people
11
:saying, this is great, it's informative,
it's entertaining, evidence-backed.
12
:But it's also optimistic and
that was really kind of the
13
:note we were trying to hit.
14
:Michelle Samson: That is perfect.
15
:And "optimistic" is a word that is used
by our guest in this episode as well.
16
:Brendan Sweeney: Yeah.
17
:Our guest is University of Toronto
professor and author of Dream Car,
18
:which is a book about the Bricklin
Motorcar company, Dimitry Anastakis.
19
:And there are not too many people who know
more about the history of the automotive
20
:industry in Canada than Dimitry.
21
:He sure flexes that
throughout this episode.
22
:There is lots going on in this episode.
23
:Michelle Samson: This is why I love
talking to academics because they can
24
:go real deep on a topic and Dimitry
had so much to say about this one.
25
:Just his depth of
knowledge was remarkable.
26
:Brendan Sweeney: Depth of knowledge,
optimism, enthusiasm, creativity.
27
:These are really good notes to hit during
what has been a really busy news cycle
28
:for the automotive industry in Canada.
29
:Michelle Samson: Has it?
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:Brendan Sweeney: Yeah, yeah.
31
:Yeah, with the duties on 49,000
Chinese made vehicles coming off,
32
:and with what we've been teased is
a federal auto policy or something
33
:similar that will come out in February.
34
:February is also when the
Toronto International Auto
35
:Show is going to be held.
36
:So maybe they'll team it up with that.
37
:That's pure speculation, but
it would make a lot of sense.
38
:We're gonna be in and around the
auto show doing some stuff, so
39
:would be great to see people there.
40
:In advance of the auto show.
41
:I think you're going to hear from
us once more on this podcast talking
42
:about the automotive industry.
43
:So pay attention to Dimitri here.
44
:He's got some great stuff to
say and stay tuned for one
45
:more episode in two weeks time.
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:Dimitry, welcome to Making it in Ontario.
47
:Nice to have you.
48
:Dimitry Anastakis: Great to be here.
49
:Thank you for having me.
50
:Brendan Sweeney: So, Dimitry, tell us a
bit about yourself, your quote unquote,
51
:as Greg likes to say, "auto" biography...
52
:Dimitry Anastakis: Sure.
53
:Well, my background in automotive
comes from my academic journey in
54
:the sense that I did my PhD thesis
on the:
55
:And originally when I was working on
the project, I thought it would be
56
:a lot more of a kind of diplomatic
history, and it ended up being much more
57
:economic and much more business-oriented
and much more in the industry.
58
:And that was one of the things that I
realized in writing the Auto Pact thesis,
59
:which became a book was that it wasn't
just a treaty between two countries.
60
:The auto industry played a
fundamental role in reshaping
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:the North American auto industry.
62
:And from that point forward a lot of
my writing has been about the auto
63
:industry, that interrelationship
between Canada and the United States,
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:Canada within the North American
sector, but Canada globally as well.
65
:So I've spent the last.
66
:25 years really thinking about,
writing about the industry.
67
:And I always say to my
students, I'm not a gearhead.
68
:If your car breaks down on the side of
the road, I will not be able to help you.
69
:But if you wanna know about
what the industry looked like in
70
:the 1970s then you can call me.
71
:Brendan Sweeney: So what we're
hoping to talk about today is a bit
72
:about your work, and particularly
your most recent book, Dream Car.
73
:And then talk about our kind of
recent report in the context of
74
:broader conversations about a Canadian
car company or a Canadian car.
75
:Did you know when you started the
book project for Dream Car, when you
76
:published the book, that it would become
more and more timely and more and more
77
:relevant every day from 2024 until now?
78
:Dimitry Anastakis: No, none whatsoever.
79
:I mean, it was really kind of a
labor of love in the sense that
80
:I started that book in 2007.
81
:And I've been working on it
kind of in the background with
82
:other projects all that time.
83
:And it took a long time to do the book.
84
:But it came out of another book
that I had written, which was called
85
:Autonomous State, which was about the
Canadian auto industry within the North
86
:American and global context in the
period after, in the:
87
:And I'd written only like a paragraph or
two about the Bricklin as an example of
88
:how the industry was being reshaped by
continental integration and that there
89
:was this unusual case of a vehicle built
in New Brunswick, which was kind of like
90
:an outlier, a footnote, a unusual story.
91
:And the Bricklin itself
is kind of notorious.
92
:It's infamous as being this vehicle
that gets built, there's only about
93
:3000 of them that are made, that's
got a lot of state support to it.
94
:The New Brunswick government of Richard
Hatfield puts in like $25 million.
95
:And of course, it is seen as
a kind of tremendous flop.
96
:The fact that they get going and they
build cars, but then they go bankrupt
97
:and the government in New Brunswick
is on the hook for all this money.
98
:So it's had in the public perception
a kind of image as a product and
99
:a project that was not necessarily
ill-fated from the start, but one that
100
:was a kind of quixotic venture to make
this unusual gull-wing plastic car.
101
:And over the course of the time that I
was writing the book, you know, I'd done
102
:some interviews with Malcolm Bricklin, I
was working on other projects, but I had
103
:no idea that it would come to be seen,
uh, the project itself and the book, as
104
:something that would reflect a lot of
the changes and developments that are
105
:going on now, which weirdly enough it
is because it is this unusual case of
106
:an effort that is a cross-border effort
of a car made in Canada, which a lot of
107
:people don't realize, the Bricklin was,
they were all made in Canada, but they
108
:were only intended to be sold into the
United States, which is another kind of
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:wrinkle on how things have evolved more
recently, and that there were no Bricklins
110
:that were supposed to be sold in Canada.
111
:It was a kind of a very
unusual arrangement.
112
:Over the course of the years that I
was writing the book, originally I
113
:kind of started off thinking about is
just a kind of classic business case
114
:study that I could say, Hey, here's
a example of a Canadian car company.
115
:I also talked about it and thought
about it as an example of failure.
116
:And I thought, business historians and
economic historians are often, you know,
117
:writing about success stories, and I
thought this was actually a failure that
118
:you could learn a lot from in terms of
what was going on in the industry and
119
:how things had evolved in the industry.
120
:Bricklin was very unusual in the
sense that it was the only real
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:mass manufacturing car endeavor
and venture in the post-war period,
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:right from the forties all the way up
until Elon Musk gets into production
123
:with the Roadster in the 2010s that
had actually gotten off the ground,
124
:nobody had able been able to do it.
125
:So, the fact that it
happened was a miracle.
126
:But the fact that it happened in the early
:
127
:economy was going through a period of
severe disruption, very much paralleling
128
:today, was even more useful in terms of
using that vehicle as a vehicle to talk
129
:about these broader issues like North
American integration, like the nature
130
:of business in the auto industry, like
technological change, like disruptions
131
:that were going on and new developments
in the sector that were really reshaping
132
:the way people thought about cars.
133
:And, you know, it, it partly came out
of my academic experience, but I'd
134
:also, I'd worked in the government
as, you know, in the automotive
135
:office in the provincial government.
136
:So I had a different perspective as
well as being an academic in terms
137
:of how I saw the auto industry and
how I saw the interplay between
138
:the government and the auto sector,
at least in Ontario and in Canada.
139
:And that was useful in terms of
framing how I thought about this
140
:and the perspective of, you know,
the state's role in an auto sector,
141
:and particularly in our auto sector.
142
:And how it evolved.
143
:Brendan Sweeney: What are some of the most
important takeaways from the book when it
144
:comes to the notion of whether or not a
Canadian car company can be successful?
145
:Dimitry Anastakis: Well, I think the
key takeaway was, you know, there
146
:was this fundamental question, which
was, Could this have succeeded?
147
:Should this have succeeded?
148
:And why did it fail?
149
:Because the Bricklin case is
really unusual in the sense that
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:they make it into production.
151
:By 1975, they built 3000 cars.
152
:And they're gearing up to
do the next year's model.
153
:Uh, you know, this is a niche car.
154
:It's a sports car with gull-wing
doors, plastic, and all that stuff.
155
:But in the context of the 1970s there
was a lot of potential for this to work.
156
:There was a huge market of baby
boomers who were buying sports cars.
157
:Bricklin was a fantastic salesperson.
158
:He was really able to kind of
promote the vehicle very well.
159
:So he had a lot of public
relations success with the vehicle.
160
:And there are lots of reasons
why it could have succeeded.
161
:And there are a lot of
reasons why it failed.
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:And this was the kind of one thing
that I came to in the end, was that
163
:making a car in Canada is doable.
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:It's absolutely a doable thing.
165
:There's proof that this happened.
166
:Bricklin has built 3000 vehicles.
167
:About 1500 of them are still on the road.
168
:There's a tangible artifact of
the success of putting a car
169
:into production and selling them.
170
:And, you know, Bricklin, to this
day and I'm still in touch with
171
:Malcolm, will tell you we had
back orders for 45,000 vehicles.
172
:Despite all the problems with quality
and distribution and manufacturing,
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:people still wanted the car.
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:People were cheering for the car.
175
:People thought that the car could succeed.
176
:The problem wasn't necessarily, and
there was significant problems on the
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:manufacturing side and the quality
side and the cost of the vehicle, the
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:problem was really that aspect that is
so fundamental to our industry, which is
179
:the tremendous capital costs of making
sure that you can build a vehicle,
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:enough of them, on time, in a quality
manner, in a way that people will like,
181
:and that you can distribute them and
keep selling them and keep it going.
182
:And the capital costs for
Bricklin were tremendous.
183
:And the one place he could get capital
from was the Government of New Brunswick.
184
:He wasn't able to get a lot of support
from private entities, from banks.
185
:He did have money from
banks, he had his own money.
186
:He had been successful with Subaru,
Bricklin had brought Subaru to North
187
:America, and in fact the Subaru company
that exists today is the Subaru company
188
:that he had founded in 1968, and he used
some of the money and the collateral
189
:from his Subaru days into the company.
190
:But in the early 1970s, he's facing
a landscape where not a lot of people
191
:want to take a risk on a new car
company because of the structural
192
:challenges that are going on.
193
:And New Brunswick is a bit of an
outlier in the sense that the Hatfield
194
:government, was deeply committed to
trying to change the narrative of their
195
:province and say, Hey, we're not just
hewers and wood and drawers of water.
196
:There's more than just the
Irvings in our province.
197
:We can do this kind of stuff.
198
:And they did succeed in
doing this kind of stuff.
199
:But in an era where the Japanese
are just starting to arrive.
200
:It's still very much a D3-dominated
oligopoly where the car companies
201
:are gigantic and they require these
massive amounts of capital and they
202
:have these armies of, workers and
accountants and everybody to do this,
203
:putting money towards a car company
is pretty risky at the best of times.
204
:Putting more money towards this car
company was becoming very risky.
205
:And ultimately what happened was that
the New Brunswick government, even though
206
:they had put in $25 million, which was
actually a very small amount of money
207
:to start a car company, to actually
make it into production, decided that it
208
:wasn't worth the political risk for them
anymore because the costs were going up.
209
:And Bricklin to this day would
say, Hey, we were on our way.
210
:If we had an extra $10 million
or $15 million, we would've
211
:worked at all the kinks.
212
:We would've driven the cost down.
213
:We would've been able to
produce even more effectively.
214
:That's, you know, that's speculation.
215
:He may have been able to do this.
216
:But it's not that you can
just simply throw money at the
217
:issue to solve the problem.
218
:But you need to have that money in
the first place to even get to a point
219
:where you can solve the problems.
220
:And he didn't have the money.
221
:So no matter what kind of innovative
techniques that he used to make this
222
:car company get into production and
successfully make it into production.
223
:And, you know, from my research and
my assessment of the Bricklin car
224
:company, he did use a lot of pretty
innovative techniques that were echoed
225
:by Elon Musk in the years to come.
226
:One's an IC and one's an EV, but a lot
of the kind of model that Bricklin is
227
:using is what Elon ends up using in
terms of getting off the ground and
228
:starting the car company and moving
it into a kind of a viable entity.
229
:So he would say, yeah, we could have
done this if we just had more money.
230
:That's great if you've got the money
and you make it into production
231
:and you are able to kind of
sell that first round of cars.
232
:But what next?
233
:I mean, eventually one single car
of a very particular niche is gonna
234
:get you a specialty kind of level
of sales where you're gonna be able
235
:to survive for a while, for sure.
236
:And there's a few models out there.
237
:You know, there are the Aston Martins
of the world and the McLarens of
238
:the world, but Malcolm was trying
to do more mass manufacturing.
239
:He wasn't trying to do just specialty.
240
:He had visions of selling 30,000 cars
in '74 and 60,000 cars in '75, and even
241
:more than that in the years to come.
242
:That necessarily wasn't realistic.
243
:But the fact is, and I will say this.
244
:He did make it in production.
245
:He made 3000 cars.
246
:They were about to go into the next phase
of production for the next vehicle year.
247
:And it may very well have worked.
248
:The challenges though, are the ones
that are faced in any startup dynamic.
249
:You need a ton of money.
250
:You need to be able to
get into production.
251
:You need to have an audience as much as
a market, because in the auto industry,
252
:because it's so high profile, it's not
necessarily like the manufacturer of
253
:planes or trains where you've got a kind
of a market there that you know you're
254
:gonna have, you need to also have an
audience because there's so much of a
255
:public perception aspect in the automobile
industry, which is different than others.
256
:And I get asked this question all
the time about, could it have worked?
257
:Should it have worked?
258
:I often say, It did work.
259
:It worked for the 18 months
that they were in production.
260
:And it might have continued working
if there had been more political will
261
:and a willingness to really back this.
262
:Which really does speak to the
situation that we find ourselves in
263
:today in a lot of ways about, you
know, how does that dynamic play out?
264
:It's doable.
265
:It certainly is doable.
266
:But the particularities of a state-backed
auto company are a lot more fraught
267
:than meets the eye in the first place.
268
:Greg Keenan: One of the things that
strikes me about what you just said
269
:is if you're gonna do this as a
group of companies with a government,
270
:you need to do this by not focusing
so much energy on just getting it
271
:up and running, but on step two.
272
:Like I think about Blackberry and RIM.
273
:One trick pony.
274
:Dimitry Anastakis: Yeah.
275
:Greg Keenan: They were never able to meld
music into the phone the way Apple did.
276
:So, maybe the answer for a
Canadian car company, if it ever
277
:comes to that, is look way beyond
you're gonna do at the beginning.
278
:Dimitry Anastakis: Yeah, I mean,
that is a pathway, and I would
279
:say this much, I mean, I would be
remiss to say we can't do this.
280
:Because we can do this.
281
:We do this.
282
:I mean, there are lots of examples
of Canadian made vehicles.
283
:We have the wherewithal, we
have the ability, we have the
284
:personnel, we have the skills.
285
:We build cars, we build pretty good
vehicles, all kinds of vehicles.
286
:From EVs at BrightDrop, which we were
building, to minivans in Windsor, to
287
:sports cars in Markham at Multimatic.
288
:So there's a range of vehicles
that we have been able to
289
:do and built lots of times.
290
:Obviously foreign owned entities.
291
:But there's lots of models there too of
state enterprise and private enterprise
292
:on different sectors of the economy,
working together to build amazing
293
:Canadian products and Canadian vehicles.
294
:Whether it's C-series planes or
trains in Kingston and Thunder Bay.
295
:You know, there's lots of great
examples, De Havilland and all
296
:kinds of instances where the state
and private enterprise have come
297
:together and created great stuff.
298
:You could do it where you could have
a Crown Corporation, a JV, all kinds
299
:of different types of collaborations
that would result in an entity that's
300
:making something and making a vehicle.
301
:We know we can make quality vehicles.
302
:I mean, for many years the scuttlebutt
around was that Canadian made
303
:vehicles were always better than their
equivalents from the United States
304
:just because of the quality of the
workforce and all this other stuff.
305
:So, there's no question
that we can do that.
306
:It is that next step, Greg,
of where do you go from there?
307
:If you have one vehicle,
what does it look like?
308
:What is that target market?
309
:And where do you get to the next step?
310
:And one of the concerns I have, or one
of the kind of barriers I think to this
311
:happening is that you can have an amazing
business plan and a model where you say,
312
:let's get a private enterprise with state
capital and state support to do this.
313
:And we've got, certainly, we've
got plants and infrastructure
314
:and the personnel to do this.
315
:And you do get to a kind of a
product there where you can say,
316
:I've got an idea for a model.
317
:Now you've gotta convince a private
entity to take that risk, which is
318
:I think in some ways the biggest
challenge, if you wanna bring in
319
:a private entity like a Magna.
320
:So, you know, Magna's obviously and
this is something that was discussed
321
:in the report, Magna's kind of the
perfect partner in the sense they are
322
:the largest parts manufacturer in North
America, third largest in the world.
323
:They already have a long track record
of assembly of vehicles in Europe.
324
:The question for Magna
is this risk worth it?
325
:Say Magna was gonna do what they do
all the time, which is to create a
326
:spinoff firm or another subsidiary
firm, which was just Canada Vehicle Inc.
327
:And that that much of the financial
risk was covered by, for instance,
328
:taxpayers, and that there was even
a guaranteed product out there.
329
:Say for instance the idea was that
the Canadian government would be
330
:contracting to build a vehicle that
would be both dual use in terms
331
:of military use and public use.
332
:Like a G 63, like the Mercedes-Benz, which
is I always think of it as kind of like
333
:the grandparent of all the big crazy SUVs.
334
:We could certainly do something like
that, which would meet a lot of needs,
335
:which would be a great way in the current
context of fulfilling demands around
336
:defense procurement and defense spending
and having a vehicle that would fit the
337
:kind of profile of what Canadians are seen
as in the world in terms of an audience
338
:in a marketplace in Canada and abroad.
339
:You know, I was joking earlier about,
you know, you want a vehicle that
340
:would be kind of like the Canada
Goose of vehicles, which is a really
341
:stylish, cool vehicle that is also
something that is really practical,
342
:really speaks to the kind of northern
rugged idea of a Canadian vehicle.
343
:And that would profile perfectly
well, and I think you'd have a good
344
:market and a good audience for that.
345
:So on its merits alone
as an idea, it's great.
346
:But is Magna willing to take a risk to
put their name on something like that?
347
:Maybe they are, maybe they're
willing to kind of say, Hey we are
348
:a Canadian based firm and this is
something that we really want to do.
349
:But if I'm sitting from the perspective
of the C-suite and I'm Magna, I don't
350
:know if it's worth that risk because
of the high profile nature of the auto
351
:industry, the difficulties of getting
to that second and third vehicle.
352
:We know, you both know better than
most, how difficult it is to build a
353
:car company from a one vehicle startup
and extend that range of vehicles out.
354
:Elon is discovering how
difficult that is right now.
355
:I mean, he's up to four vehicles, but he
has had no movement on any new product.
356
:And as we all know, the Cybertruck, which
was the next category that he wanted
357
:to get into, is a complete disaster.
358
:So even in the most successful
places where this has happened,
359
:it's really hard to do.
360
:And we also know that there are
lots of examples in this new
361
:landscape of one vehicle startups,
or one or two vehicle startups.
362
:The Rivians and the Scouts
of the world are out there in
363
:North America and elsewhere.
364
:So it's not beyond the
realm of possibility.
365
:It's not the startup, it's not
even the creation of the entity.
366
:It's not even building that first vehicle.
367
:It's the sustainability
of the auto industry.
368
:And this is what keeps these people
awake every night is, I'm gonna
369
:spend $2 billion on my next car.
370
:What if it's a flop?
371
:What if it's the next
Cybertruck or the next Edsel?
372
:No matter if I've got three
other vehicles that work, that
373
:one mistake is gonna kill me.
374
:And that's the challenge.
375
:And please don't get me wrong here, I
don't wanna be seen as the doomsayer here.
376
:I wrote a book about a car company that
actually made it and got into production.
377
:So I firmly believe that
it is absolutely doable.
378
:And, you know, there are a few examples
of a one-off that continued on.
379
:Land Rover and Range Rover are great
examples of that, that had the kind of
380
:initial beginnings of a utility vehicle.
381
:But we also know that in the 21st
century you know, you're only
382
:as good as your last vehicle.
383
:You're only as good as
your last kind of entry.
384
:And one of the great challenges of
the automobile market is the fact
385
:that Alfred Sloan in the 1920s made it
that planned obsolescence and styling
386
:and a car for every purse and purpose
became the model of how people thought
387
:automobility should function so that we
would have these constant new vehicles.
388
:And that the industry is so tied into
notions of the future, which I also talk
389
:about in the book, it's the first chapter,
is how the future and automobility are
390
:so entwined, so that if you are stale
or you're not providing that next new
391
:thing that consumers want, it becomes
pretty hard for you to stay in the game.
392
:Which is why that there's this
relentless pulse in the auto industry
393
:of the new model and the next
thing and the new technology, which
394
:is such a challenge to maintain.
395
:Greg Keenan: I was wondering, Brendan
and I were talking about this yesterday,
396
:what was the last, most recent successful
Canadian car company, apart from
397
:Bricklin's success in getting to market?
398
:Was it McLaughlin?
399
:Dimitry Anastakis: Yeah, McLaughlin.
400
:Gray-Dort is still in
production in the:
401
:It's a company that nobody's
ever heard of that, I think they
402
:get into a couple of thousand.
403
:Russell Automotive is successful
up until:
404
:shift automotive production.
405
:They had their factory on
King Street in Toronto.
406
:The building is still there.
407
:But they shift automotive production
into armaments because of the war,
408
:and they never get back into it.
409
:But McLaughlin is probably the one
which obviously gets subsumed and
410
:becomes General Motors of Canada.
411
:There are a few, like,
the Quebec one, um...
412
:Brendan Sweeney: Manic?
413
:Dimitry Anastakis: Manic, which does
a few small batches, and is Canadian.
414
:But these are not production cars.
415
:They're building small
batches of vehicles.
416
:But in terms of a kind of a production
model that gets into the mass market
417
:really it's probably Bricklin and
then, you know, Bricklin itself
418
:technically its ownership was American.
419
:Bricklin and the banks in the United
States owned the whole company, but it
420
:was the New Brunswick government with
Bricklin that owned the manufacturing
421
:side in Canada, which is really,
that was the car company itself.
422
:That's where all the money was.
423
:Oh.
424
:Hey, do you remember The Zen, which was
a EV startup in the early two thousands.
425
:They kind of managed to get into a little
bit of production, and then the car didn't
426
:meet safety requirements because it was
such a small, kind of little vehicle.
427
:So they eventually went out of business.
428
:But beyond that, there's not much.
429
:And there's gonna be many people
who are going to email and complain
430
:and say, Well, you missed this.
431
:But actually, I don't think that
there's that many, that they're
432
:out there that we are missing
433
:Greg Keenan: Well, I'll rephrase
the question now that you've
434
:answered it and say mass market.
435
:Dimitry Anastakis: Mass market.
436
:Yeah.
437
:I mean, if you think about
Multimatic, Multimatic makes batches
438
:of, I think, with the GT 40 they
make 200 of them or whatever.
439
:It's a very small batch.
440
:That's not mass market, but there's
a car company that's making vehicles
441
:in Canada, basically the whole thing.
442
:And obviously, you know, we
have a lot of these OEMs that
443
:are making vehicles in Canada.
444
:You know, BrightDrop
was only made in Canada.
445
:There's lots of sole sourced vehicles
that are just made in Canada.
446
:So it's not like we don't have
the ability to do it in terms of
447
:the production side of things.
448
:It's aspects of design, stuff like that.
449
:But, you know, I would say this much.
450
:The way that the industry is evolving,
it's actually getting easier to make
451
:cars, a lot easier, especially with EVs.
452
:And one of the really interesting
parallels between the Bricklin and
453
:Tesla, which I draw specifically in
the book, is that the approach that
454
:Bricklin was using really did kind
of anticipate what Elon was gonna do.
455
:So Bricklin, when he was making his
car, all he was making was basically the
456
:chassis, the body with plastic parts.
457
:Everything else besides the frame
and the body panels were off
458
:the shelf, including the engine.
459
:He was getting his engines first
from AMC and then from Ford.
460
:And he was just putting it right in.
461
:The parallel is what Elon was doing with
that first iteration of car where he
462
:was getting his engines, his batteries,
from Panasonic, and it was far less
463
:technologically demanding than doing
an ICE engine right from the get go.
464
:Which is a kind of technological
barrier that nobody can do except
465
:for the established manufacturers.
466
:I mean, one of the reasons that you
see companies like Scout and VinFast
467
:and Rivian is because if they can
get their batteries from somebody
468
:else, like a PowerCo, or a NextStar
or whatever, you can just buy those
469
:batteries off the shelf, put them
right into your vehicle, and suddenly
470
:the dynamics are completely different.
471
:And, in a few years when EVs are much
more part of the landscape, nobody's gonna
472
:care where you got your EV battery from.
473
:And in this world where the number
of parts for an IC is 20 to 30,000,
474
:the number of parts in an EV is 2
to:
475
:vehicles is much less complicated and
much less technologically difficult.
476
:Obviously I'm simplifying things.
477
:Clearly there's a lot of demands on the
technologies, but before the EV revolution
478
:it's impossible for you to do a startup
without having an engine of your own.
479
:And if you don't have an
engine, you don't have the car.
480
:Once you're overcoming that barrier
where you can slide an engine, whatever
481
:kind of EV battery it is in there,
you've really gotten over one of the
482
:biggest humps in terms of getting
to manufacturing of a motor vehicle.
483
:So the dynamics have made it in some
ways easier, even if the underlying
484
:technology, the batteries are, you
know, that's an amazing level of
485
:technology that only now we've reached
that ability to be able to do it.
486
:Because when Bricklin was trying to put
ther his vehicle in the early:
487
:this was an era of technological atrophy.
488
:There had not been a lot
of advances in materials.
489
:There hadn't been a lot of
advances in the engine technology.
490
:There hadn't even been a lot of
advances yet in terms of production.
491
:The Toyota production system was only
becoming part of the landscape of auto
492
:manufacturing starting in the 1970s.
493
:And it took General Motors and Ford
until the:
494
:at NUMMI or other places so that
they could learn how to do that.
495
:But by the time Elon shows up
in the:
496
:barriers have lowered dramatically.
497
:The production barriers have lowered
dramatically, so he can walk in, take
498
:over that Fremont plant in California,
which had been a General Motors plant
499
:that had been the joint venture between
GM and Toyota, and then had been Toyota's
500
:plant and say, Hey, I'm gonna start up
let me have some old technology in terms
501
:of the assembly line, and he's able to
get into manufacturing vehicles at a
502
:pretty low barrier and a pretty low cost
because of the advances in technology.
503
:And, not to get too far afield here,
but it's the same for him in space.
504
:Because so much of that technological
development has reached a certain point
505
:where it's now all part of our society,
and you can get your hands on some of
506
:these technologies in a way that you
couldn't do it in the:
507
:barriers are a lot less hard to overcome.
508
:Which is one of the reasons that,
this idea of a Canadian vehicle
509
:manufacturer and a Canadian owned
vehicle manufacturer is not at all
510
:beyond the realm of possibility.
511
:The barriers have lowered, but there are
other questions that are just as salient
512
:as they were in 1970 h as they're today.
513
:Brendan Sweeney: One of the things that
I just realized in our conversation about
514
:something we put in the report about
timatic was that until around:
515
:Multimatic was still 50% owned by Magna.
516
:So Magna has actually had a hand in making
a few vehicles in Canada and Markham,
517
:and then in, and I think now they've
put the niche vehicles in Newmarket.
518
:Dimitry Anastakis: Yep.
519
:Sorry.
520
:It's in Newmarket now
521
:Brendan Sweeney: Yeah,
it might be in both.
522
:They might kind of do it
across both locations.
523
:But anyway Dimitry, you provided us with
some feedback on the report and thank
524
:you for that and it was very helpful.
525
:We didn't get all of the feedback into
the report in time for publication.
526
:But I'd love to know, and I think our
listeners would really love to know
527
:what did you think of the report?
528
:What did you learn?
529
:What surprised you?
530
:And what did we miss?
531
:Dimitry Anastakis: Well, I learned a lot.
532
:And Dennis DesRosiers actually once
said this to me, he said, You could
533
:know so much about this automotive
industry, and it's still just a
534
:smidgen, because it's so expansive.
535
:So, you know, I'm reading your report
and I've researched a lot, written
536
:a lot about the auto industry, and
I found so many interesting bits
537
:about what you'd been talking about.
538
:And one of the things that struck me about
the report is that there is an underlying
539
:optimism, an idealism, here that is very
valuable in terms of that this is doable.
540
:Canadians have this kind of willingness
to cut down their own successes even
541
:when their successes are real successes.
542
:I mean, Greg, you just
mentioned Blackberry.
543
:And, on the one hand, yes, it's seen as
a company that created the smartphone
544
:market and dominated the smartphone market
and then lost the smartphone market.
545
:You know, Bombardier is another
one of a company that does so well.
546
:Nortel is another one.
547
:Massey Ferguson in farm implements.
548
:So these are all industrial technological
firms that had great success.
549
:And then they go through the kind
of normal course that most firms
550
:go through of success and decline.
551
:Not everybody can stay on top forever.
552
:And you know, it's even more unusual
when you think about these companies
553
:like Toyota and General Motors that have
been in business for a century or more.
554
:In the case of General Motors, as
e know, it did go bankrupt in:
555
:So, even in success stories,
there's lots of failure.
556
:Canadians have a tendency to just focus
on the end, the failure part, and not
557
:on the incredible success and innovation
that they have been able to achieve.
558
:Bombardier is probably one of theh
best examples of an incredible Canadian
559
:success story that, when we think
about it, sometimes we forget of
560
:just how amazing that story is, and
we focus on, Oh yeah, it fell apart.
561
:We had to sell the C-series,
we had to sell the trains, the
562
:company went down the tubes.
563
:So, what struck me about the report
is that there is a recapturing of
564
:that optimism and a willingness in
the report to say, We can do this.
565
:There are different types of models
and collaborations that can do this.
566
:And that's what struck me because
I thought, Hey, in the context of
567
:a world where we're facing so much
uncertainty, so much disruption why not?
568
:Why not Canadians to start taking
some chances again to start working
569
:together, to start thinking in that
kind of way of how do we collaborate?
570
:How do we think outside the box?
571
:How do we work together in a way
that is a collective national
572
:endeavor to try to accomplish
something that we know we can do.
573
:It is certainly a really
incredibly difficult thing to
574
:do, but the fact that the report.
575
:deals with all these different aspects
of the context of how the industry has
576
:evolved, the different examples of the
varieties of automotive and vehicle
577
:production that Canadians have undertaken
in the past that can happen again.
578
:And the models that you guys developed
in terms of what could happen and how
579
:it could evolve was, uh, let me say I
was far less pessimistic after reading
580
:your report than I was going in.
581
:And you know, I'm someone, like I
said, and I keep repeating this,
582
:who wrote a book about a car company
that did make it into production, but
583
:recognizes that that book shows all the
challenges that even when you get into
584
:production that you have to overcome.
585
:So when I read the report I came away
thinking about that there is a realistic
586
:path on how this could get done.
587
:And, you know, I don't know if
Brendan, you and Greg are kind of
588
:thinking about this as a game plan
that could be used or as a think piece.
589
:But either way certainly is food for
thought for a lot of people who are
590
:above our pay grade in terms of how do we
actually motivate all these stakeholders
591
:to do something that certainly could
have incredibly positive and beneficial
592
:implications for our industry, for our
country, for our economic wellbeing, and
593
:ordinary Canadians' economic wellbeings.
594
:Of course, having said that, I also
was struck by all those other questions
595
:that we've already talked about.
596
:What are those next steps?
597
:Even if you get to that
point, how do you continue it?
598
:How do you sustain it?
599
:How do you make this thing work?
600
:And, you know, I think that there
is another level of discussion
601
:even beyond the report that
can happen and should happen.
602
:And this is something that is
worthwhile in terms of talking about.
603
:And I will say this, as a historian,
I wanna talk about two things that
604
:I think are really important that
Canadians need to recognize and
605
:understand as we deal with the kind of
rapidly shifting context and quickly
606
:changing reality of our auto industry.
607
:And one of the things that I often
point out when I'm giving talks about
608
:how the auto industry has evolved is
from the:
609
:had a pretty vibrant auto industry.
610
:In fact, we had probably the
second largest auto manufacturing
611
:industry in the world.
612
:And virtually none of the vehicles we made
in that period went to the United States.
613
:In fact, virtually none of the vehicles
Canadians produced from:
614
:until 1965 went to the United States.
615
:We had a traditional branch plan economy.
616
:And one of the things that we did
is that we were very adaptable,
617
:very shrewd, very smart.
618
:We took advantage of the landscape
that we faced, and we had export
619
:markets outside of Canada.
620
:So not only were we using a branch plant
model to manufacture vehicles in Canada
621
:as best we could to build up a car
industry, to have lots of employment, to
622
:develop all of those additional aspects
of the industry, like a parts industry,
623
:like a tool and die industry, like
a distribution industry that are the
624
:benefits that we get that people don't
often talk about as much as they should.
625
:But we were doing this because much of our
production outside of Canada was going to
626
:these British Commonwealth marketplaces
that we were utilizing the circumstances
627
:that we faced to maximize our industry.
628
:We are so in a mindset of the
period between the:
629
:now, where our industry is tied
so closely to the United States.
630
:But in fact it was tied to the
United States in terms of being
631
:a branch plan operation, but our
market wasn't in the United States.
632
:In 1963, out of the 600,000 plus vehicles
that were manufactured in Canada in
633
:1963, a grand total of 9,000 of them
went to the United States market.
634
:Okay?
635
:Then the Auto Pact happens because
at the time, in:
636
:markets in British Commonwealth and
other places were shrinking rapidly.
637
:So we had to find a new marketplace.
638
:And we did, we found the United States.
639
:We integrated in terms of our
industries, which reflected realities
640
:in the ground in terms of ownership,
in terms of a branch plan operation.
641
:So in 1963, out of the 600,000 vehicles we
built, we sent 9,000 to the United States.
642
:By 1973, 10 years later, with the Auto
Pact in full bloom, we built about 1.6
643
:million vehicles.
644
:Nearly a million of those
vehicles go to the United States.
645
:So we went from zero vehicles going to
the United States for the first 65 years
646
:of the industry, to 80% or 90% of our
vehicles going to the United States.
647
:And you know, we're in a situation
now where we may have to find other
648
:places in addition to the United
States to get our vehicles going.
649
:And one of the key differences is, from
the:
650
:the 1980s onwards, we were tied to the
United States and everybody knew that.
651
:And a lot of these other places in the
world had no real interest in making
652
:connections to Canada because there were
kind of these already established spheres
653
:of influence in terms of the sector.
654
:Well, even if we had gone knocking
on doors in the:
655
:2000s, and even in the two thousands
said, Hey, we would really like
656
:to make connections with you guys.
657
:Let's create a free trade agreement
with Korea, which we've done.
658
:Let's create a free trade agreement
with Europe, which we've done.
659
:There wasn't as much of a kind of
a notion that Canada would be a
660
:good and willing trading partner.
661
:In the current context of the United
States and its behavior, a lot of
662
:other countries are now recognizing
and realizing, Hey, maybe collaboration
663
:with Canada is not a bad idea.
664
:I mean, there was a report in the
newspaper today about the government
665
:thinking about, you know, if we're
gonna build submarines and buy submarine
666
:contracts with Korea or Germany, maybe
there might be some other aspect of that
667
:that includes automotive production.
668
:And in this context now, that is much
more realistic from those players'
669
:perspectives from the Germans who are now
like, Yes, we all know that the Canadians
670
:can't depend on the United States.
671
:We can't depend on the United States.
672
:Maybe there is more opportunity
now than there was before.
673
:And that is a pretty significant
difference in terms of this transition
674
:of going from no sales in the United
States to most of our sales in the
675
:United States to now maybe going to a
place where, again, some of our sales
676
:are not in the United States, but for
a key difference is we now have willing
677
:partners outside of the United States.
678
:Okay.
679
:That's one thing.
680
:The other thing is, and I think this
in your report, in the early:
681
:when Canada was in this difficult
situation, technology changes, markets
682
:shrinking, the auto industry in Canada
is really at risk, and we are trying
683
:to find a new arrangement, and we
do find a new arrangement with the
684
:United States with the Auto Pact.
685
:Two of the reasons that we're
successful is, at the time we had a
686
:very nationalistic finance minister by
the name of Walter Gordon, who really
687
:did hammer on the table in this era.
688
:And that was an era where there was
increasing protectionism, higher
689
:content requirements were being
imposed by countries like Brazil and
690
:Mexico upon foreign manufacturers.
691
:And Walter Gordon, when he was in the
negotiations with the United States
692
:about what was gonna happen to the auto
industry in Canada, vis-a-vis the United
693
:States, he talked very passionately
about developing the all Canadian car.
694
:Whether it was realistic
then, there certainly was a
695
:lot of discussion around it.
696
:There were elements of the Canadian
UAW, the Auto Workers Union, that
697
:was very much on board with that.
698
:Walter Gordon himself was, Hey we'll
put together the kind of necessary
699
:components to make this happen.
700
:Very analogous to today, an
era of disruption, an era of
701
:economic nationalism, an era when
governments are seeking ways to
702
:build up industrial capacity.
703
:An era where Canadian governments
are willing to spend the money and
704
:establish the kinds of entities
that could do that kind of thing.
705
:So, the parallels are quite
striking between then and today.
706
:And I know from my research from going
through the archives in Washington and
707
:in Texas and all these places, that there
was very much a concern by the United
708
:States about how this would happen.
709
:Now, the other side of the reason that
the Auto Pact emerges and that we're able
710
:to integrate our auto industry in this
way: in the:
711
:Americans who didn't want the Auto Pact.
712
:They didn't like the Auto Pact.
713
:Al Gore Sr.,
714
:the father of who was the vice
president, was one of the most
715
:vociferous critics of the Auto Pact.
716
:He said, this is terrible.
717
:You guys are gonna, you know,
sell us out to the Canadians.
718
:But there were key players in the auto
industry who were very committed to this
719
:idea of an integrated sector that could
take advantage of economies of scale
720
:and efficiencies, and could provide a
model for cross border integration that
721
:made not only the auto industry work
more effectively, but made Canada-US
722
:relations function even better.
723
:And, you know, I've written about this
before in books and articles where Henry
724
:Ford the second is probably the most
important figure in ensuring that the
725
:auto sector in Canada becomes a part
of this broader North American entity
726
:because Henry Ford II recognizes it's
beneficial for the Ford Motor Company
727
:of Canada as much as it is for the Ford
Motor Company of the United States, and
728
:it's beneficial for the industry and
it's beneficial for the two countries
729
:in terms of their economic wellbeing,
which means it's beneficial for ordinary
730
:Americans as it is for ordinary Canadians.
731
:So that whole line of reasoning, which
in my view is profoundly sound and
732
:sensible, is out the window for reasons
that have nothing to do with sanity.
733
:We know this.
734
:We're going through this, we're
experiencing this every day in the
735
:industry and in our Canada-US relations.
736
:And one of the key reasons that Ford,
Henry Ford II, the Deuce, is like
737
:that is because he'd been to war with
Canadians in the Second World War.
738
:He grew up in the context
of a relationship that was
739
:built on mutual respect.
740
:Obviously there's often been problems
in the Canada-US relationship, but
741
:most of the time, we're willing to
work that out and figure things out.
742
:So you've got key players in the industry
who are willing to kind of stand up
743
:and say, We wanna do this because we
know ultimately it's beneficial for us.
744
:That is lacking in our
current context right now.
745
:Those voices are much quieter.
746
:Who knows if they are willing to stand
up in this CUSMA negotiation, which, we
747
:hear that the manufacturers are all on
board with the idea of maintaining CUSMA,
748
:maintaining the integrated industry.
749
:But we also know that there is
an irrational actor in the White
750
:House who is completely detached
from history, economics, morality,
751
:and that makes everything at risk.
752
:Which provides, in a weird way, an
opportunity for Canadians to rethink
753
:the way that they're gonna do things.
754
:The disruption of the industry that's
going on does provide opportunities for
755
:us to rethink the way we're doing things,
and for us to engage in the kinds of ideas
756
:that you have presented in your paper.
757
:So, with every kind of immense challenge
and disruption, there are opportunities
758
:that could result in something
that gets us to a new e evolution.
759
:And the one thing that I have
learned as a historian of the
760
:Canadian auto industry is that it's
an incredibly resilient industry.
761
:That the circumstances on the ground
in:
762
:they are in 1930 and what they're in
:
763
:with NAFTA and what they are in 2025.
764
:But, Canadians and their governments
and their firms have done what they've
765
:needed to do to adapt to the situation,
to make sure that the industry continues.
766
:And despite what all these naysayers
have commented about our industry,
767
:there's no question in my mind that
on a cost benefit basis, on a value
768
:added basis, this industry has
provided a net benefit for Canada.
769
:Without question.
770
:And sorry for the rant guys, hey,
uh, you know, you got me going.
771
:Brendan Sweeney: Very last question,
and this is brainstorming here, if
772
:there was going to be a Canadian
car, what would it look like?
773
:What would it do?
774
:What would it be called?
775
:Dimitry Anastakis: You know, I keep
going back to that idea of what speaks
776
:to a Canadian brand outside of Canada
and inside of Canada is a rugged vehicle
777
:that fits where you could sell it not
just to the general public, but you
778
:could sell it to military, fire brigades
in the north, anything that kind of
779
:really speaks to that idea of Canada
in a world of challenges, ruggedness,
780
:a world of climate change, a world of
real disruption that, you know, we're
781
:building something that is dependable,
that is reliable, that is not necessarily
782
:bulletproof, I'm not getting into the
kind of dystopianness of the Cybertruck,
783
:but I'm saying, you know, one that
looks like something that makes a lot of
784
:sense in British Columbia, but is pretty
stylish in downtown Toronto as well.
785
:And that people outside of
Canada would say, Oh, that makes
786
:sense as a Canadian vehicle.
787
:When you're traveling outside of Canada,
and, you know, when you think about
788
:the brands and the identity of Canada
as a northern country, it's got a
789
:profile that looks like a Saab, like a
Viggen, like a Volvo, like a kind of not
790
:necessarily utilitarian, but something
that is really rugged and is at the same
791
:time stylish, but strong, dependable.
792
:I'm not gonna say the beaver, but
you know, the attributes of the
793
:beaver are something that really
do speak to a kind of a vehicle.
794
:And nobody's gonna call their car
a beaver, right, but I think that
795
:would not only sell in Canada because
that market already exists pretty
796
:strongly, and I think you'd have an
appeal to Canadians and you'd have
797
:to start pretty high up and bring it
down in terms of a quality vehicle.
798
:But I think that would be something
that would not only work as a kind
799
:of, can we get into production?
800
:Which we do do, the Stellantis plant in
Brampton was gonna be building Jeeps.
801
:But it also speaks to that consumption
side and the audience side, and
802
:the marketplace side and the image
side, you know, something like that.
803
:And then you could go into
different iterations of that.
804
:You could do a small sporty UV,
a kind of different vehicle.
805
:So, I don't know if that
answers your question, Brandon.
806
:Brendan Sweeney: It does.
807
:It could come in plaid.
808
:Greg Keenan: I've got a thought on
this, now that you talk about it.
809
:When it gets where it's going, there's a
version of it that disgorges a Ski-Doo.
810
:Dimitry Anastakis: That would be awesome.
811
:Greg Keenan: Or in the
summertime, a Sea-Doo
812
:Dimitry Anastakis: BRP makes three wheeled
vehicles, as you guys put in your report.
813
:And I thought about this because, yeah, I
mean, there are companies in the country
814
:that are adjacent, that they're close to
this, that it makes a lot of sense where
815
:it pops out and the Sea-Doo appears, or
the Ski-Doo appears, or you certainly have
816
:tracked tires or whatever the case may be.
817
:So, certainly.
818
:Brendan Sweeney: The BRP
four wheeled three wheeler.
819
:Problem solved.
820
:Comes in plaid.
821
:Dimitry Anastakis: Why not?
822
:Why not?
823
:It's plaid, it's strong.
824
:Brendan Sweeney: Yeah.
825
:Dimitry, thank you so much for coming on.
826
:This is great.
827
:Lots for our listeners
to chew on and to unpack.
828
:And again, I think this is a
really important contribution
829
:to the conversation.
830
:It's not the start of the conversation
and it's not the end of the conversation.
831
:And really looking forward to continuing
the conversation throughout:
832
:Dimitry Anastakis: Thank you
very much for having me on.
833
:I really appreciate the
opportunity to talk about this
834
:stuff and, uh, yes, thank you.
835
:Michelle Samson: New episodes
of this podcast are coming soon.
836
:Follow us on your favorite podcast
platform to be notified when it drops.
837
:Making it in Ontario is an
initiative of the Trillium Network
838
:for Advanced Manufacturing.
839
:It is produced by Storied Places Media.